RRosternomics
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Mets NYM

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President of baseball ops: Sandy Alderson · GM: Jared Porter

Overview

FORCED-SPEND → steady
expensive & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.64× league · TAB -3.5
-3.5TAB — talent above budget18th/30
-11.4WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)27th/30
7.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars13th/30
-5.1dead WAR — sub-replacement drag13th/30
32%dead money %14th/30
0.475win %18th/30
36.9roster fWAR13th/30
-87surplus $M (value vs cost)27th/30
$207Mpayroll $M3rd/30

Roster

CFBrandon Nimmo 84GKevin Pillar 57GAlbert Almora Jr. 32G
LFDominic Smith 114GKevin Pillar 52GJeff McNeil 28G
RFMichael Conforto 117GKevin Pillar 22GKhalil Lee 11G
SSFrancisco Lindor 124GJavier Báez 100GJonathan Villar 26G
2BJeff McNeil 79GJosé Peraza 36GJavier Báez 35G
3BJonathan Villar 97GJ.D. Davis 50GLuis Guillorme 27G
1BPete Alonso 148GDominic Smith 15GJames McCann 6G
STARTERSJacob deGrom 5.4WARMarcus Stroman 3.6WARTaijuan Walker 1.4WARRich Hill 1.0WARTylor Megill 0.9WAR
CJames McCann 107GTomás Nido 52GChance Sisco 25G
DHPete Alonso 3GJeff McNeil 2GDominic Smith 2G
BULLPEN★ Edwin Díaz 32svAaron Loup 17hTrevor May 16hSeth Lugo 14hJeurys Familia 12hMiguel Castro 9hHeath Hembree 7hBrad Hand 3h
CJames McCann 107 · Tomás Nido 52 · Chance Sisco 25
1BPete Alonso 148 · Dominic Smith 15 · James McCann 6
2BJeff McNeil 79 · José Peraza 36 · Javier Báez 35
3BJonathan Villar 97 · J.D. Davis 50 · Luis Guillorme 27
SSFrancisco Lindor 124 · Javier Báez 100 · Jonathan Villar 26
LFDominic Smith 114 · Kevin Pillar 52 · Jeff McNeil 28
CFBrandon Nimmo 84 · Kevin Pillar 57 · Albert Almora Jr. 32
RFMichael Conforto 117 · Kevin Pillar 22 · Khalil Lee 11
DHPete Alonso 3 · Jeff McNeil 2 · Dominic Smith 2
SPJacob deGrom 5.4 · Marcus Stroman 3.6 · Taijuan Walker 1.4 · Rich Hill 1.0 · Tylor Megill 0.9
BP★ Edwin Díaz 32 · Aaron Loup 17 · Trevor May 16 · Seth Lugo 14 · Jeurys Familia 12 · Miguel Castro 9 · Heath Hembree 7 · Brad Hand 3

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2021 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Jacob deGrom 33 FA-elig 155.4 35.5 -18.1
Francisco Lindor 27 FA-elig 1253.9 22.3 -9.5
Pete Alonso 26 pre-arb 1523.6 0.7 +10.9
Marcus Stroman 30 FA-elig 333.6 18.9 -7.3
Brandon Nimmo 28 arb 923.2 4.7 +5.8
Edwin Díaz 27 arb 632.1 7.0 -0.3
Javier Báez↔ CHC 28 FA-elig 472.0 4.0 +2.7
Jonathan Villar 30 FA-elig 1422.0 3.5 +2.8
Aaron Loup 33 FA-elig 651.6 3.0 +2.3
Michael Conforto 28 FA-elig 1251.5 12.2 -7.5
Taijuan Walker 28 FA-elig 311.4 10.0 -5.3
J.D. Davis 28 arb 731.3 2.1 +2.2
Jeff McNeil 29 pre-arb 1201.1 0.6 +2.8
Rich Hill↔ TBR 41 FA-elig 131.0 1.0 +2.1
Tylor Megill 25 – 180.9 0.3 +2.7
Tomás Nido 27 pre-arb 580.7 0.6 +1.7
Joey Lucchesi 28 pre-arb 110.7 0.6 +1.7
José Peraza 27 FA-elig 640.6 0.6 +1.5
Trevor Williams↔ CHC 29 arb 100.6 1.1 +1.0
Kevin Pillar 32 FA-elig 1240.6 3.6 -1.6
Trevor May 31 FA-elig 680.5 7.8 -6.1
Luis Guillorme 26 pre-arb 690.5 0.6 +1.0
Billy McKinney↔ LAD 26 – 390.4 0.1 +1.3
Seth Lugo 31 arb 460.4 2.9 -1.6
David Peterson 25 pre-arb 160.4 0.6 +0.6
James McCann 31 FA-elig 1210.3 8.2 -7.1
Brandon Drury 28 arb 510.2 0.6 +0.2
Sean Reid-Foley 25 pre-arb 120.2 0.4 +0.3
Tommy Hunter 34 FA-elig 40.2 2.2 -1.6
Jake Reed↔ LAD 28 – 40.2 0.0 +0.5
Brad Hand↔ TOR 31 FA-elig 160.2 2.5 -2.0
Corey Oswalt 27 pre-arb 30.1 0.3 +0.1
Jordan Yamamoto 25 pre-arb 20.1 0.4 +0.0
Miguel Castro 26 FA-elig 690.1 1.7 -1.3
Heath Hembree↔ CIN 32 FA-elig 150.1 0.3 -0.0
Robert Gsellman 27 arb 180.1 1.3 -1.1
Drew Smith 27 pre-arb 310.1 0.5 -0.3
Johneshwy Fargas↔ CHC 26 – 70.0 0.1 +0.1
Jeurys Familia 31 FA-elig 650.0 11.7 -11.5
Stephen Tarpley 28 – 10.0 0.0 -0.0
Akeem Bostick 26 – 1-0.0 0.0 -0.0
Dellin Betances 33 FA-elig 1-0.0 6.0 -6.1
Geoff Hartlieb↔ PIT 27 – 3-0.0 0.0 -0.1
Noah Syndergaard 28 FA-elig 2-0.0 9.7 -9.8
Wilfredo Tovar 29 pre-arb 6-0.0 0.0 -0.1
Mason Williams 29 – 17-0.0 0.4 -0.5
Nick Tropeano↔ SFG 30 FA-elig 1-0.1 0.0 -0.2
Anthony Banda↔ PIT 27 – 5-0.1 0.0 -0.2
Travis Blankenhorn↔ MIN 24 pre-arb 23-0.1 0.1 -0.4
Trevor Hildenberger 30 – 2-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Carlos Carrasco 34 FA-elig 12-0.1 12.0 -12.3
Chance Sisco↔ BAL 26 pre-arb 5-0.1 0.0 -0.4
Thomas Szapucki 25 – 1-0.1 0.0 -0.4
Stephen Nogosek 26 pre-arb 1-0.1 0.1 -0.5
Robert Stock↔ CHC 31 pre-arb 2-0.2 0.2 -0.6
Jake Hager↔ ARI 28 – 5-0.2 0.0 -0.5
Yennsy Díaz 24 pre-arb 20-0.2 0.2 -0.9
Patrick Mazeika 27 pre-arb 37-0.3 0.2 -1.1
Jacob Barnes↔ TOR 31 arb 19-0.4 0.5 -1.7
Cameron Maybin 34 FA-elig 9-0.4 0.0 -1.3
Khalil Lee 23 – 11-0.4 0.1 -1.5
Albert Almora Jr. 27 arb 47-0.6 0.1 -2.0
Jerad Eickhoff 30 – 6-0.6 0.1 -2.0
Dominic Smith 26 arb 145-1.0 2.5 -5.8

Key additions (new vs 2020)

PlayerfWAR
Francisco Lindor3.9
Marcus Stroman3.6
Javier Báez2.0
Jonathan Villar2.0
Aaron Loup1.6
Taijuan Walker1.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2020)

Player2020 fWAR
Rick Porcello1.6
Andrés Giménez1.2
Justin Wilson0.5
Jake Marisnick0.3
Amed Rosario0.3
Todd Frazier0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

2021 payroll
$206.9M
2022 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2021, 2021–2027. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2021; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2021202220232024202520262027
Jacob deGrom336.139$35.5MFREE AGENT
Marcus Stroman306.026$18.9MFREE AGENT
Carlos Carrasco349.147$12.0MFREE AGENT
Jeurys Familia318.029$11.7MFREE AGENT
Taijuan Walker286.142$10.0MFREE AGENT
James McCann316.028$8.2MFREE AGENT
Trevor May316.012$7.8MFREE AGENT
Dellin Betances337.078$6.0MFREE AGENT
Kevin Pillar326.113$3.6MFREE AGENT
Jonathan Villar306.113$3.5MFREE AGENT
Aaron Loup338.040$3.0MFREE AGENT
Brad Hand317.092$2.5MFREE AGENT
Tommy Hunter3411.066$2.2MFREE AGENT
Rich Hill4111.127$1.0MFREE AGENT
Cameron Maybin3411.059$37kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (18)

PlayerAgeSvc2021202220232024202520262027
Francisco Lindor275.113$22.3MFREE AGENT
Michael Conforto285.043$12.2MFREE AGENT
Noah Syndergaard285.149$9.7MFREE AGENT
Edwin Díaz274.121$7.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Nimmo284.042$4.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
Javier Báez285.089$4.0MFREE AGENT
Seth Lugo314.082$2.9MARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel Castro264.079$1.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
Robert Gsellman274.042$1.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
Trevor Williams294.027$1.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Drury284.096$592kARB 3FREE AGENT
José Peraza274.102$570kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jacob Barnes314.030$491kARB 3FREE AGENT
Mason Williams293.147$383kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Heath Hembree325.106$312kFREE AGENT
Jerad Eickhoff305.028$121kFREE AGENT
Albert Almora Jr.275.000$100kFREE AGENT
Nick Tropeano304.050$22kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (31)

PlayerAgeSvc2021202220232024202520262027
Dominic Smith262.146$2.5MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.D. Davis282.137$2.1MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pete Alonso262.000$677kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff McNeil292.069$642kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Peterson251.000$586kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Guillorme261.167$581kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tomás Nido272.089$578kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joey Lucchesi282.067$574kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Smith272.034$531kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Reid-Foley250.122$417kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Yamamoto250.154$371kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Corey Oswalt271.052$313kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tylor Megill250.000$310kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yennsy Díaz241.008$227kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Patrick Mazeika270.008$215kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robert Stock311.123$157kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Travis Blankenhorn240.008$115kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Billy McKinney261.107$77kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trevor Hildenberger302.005$61kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Stephen Nogosek260.030$58kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Johneshwy Fargas26–$57k
Khalil Lee230.000$55kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Reed280.000$45kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wilfredo Tovar290.099$43kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chance Sisco262.103$34kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anthony Banda271.103$31kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Geoff Hartlieb271.093$30kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Hager280.000$24kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Stephen Tarpley281.130$21kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Thomas Szapucki252.061$15kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Akeem Bostick26–$3k

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Mets 2021; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.