RRosternomics
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Mets NYM

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GM: Brodie Van Wagenen

Overview

CONTEND ↗ rising
expensive & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.17× league · TAB +8.5
+8.5TAB — talent above budget
-13.8WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)
1.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars11th/30
-2.8dead WAR — sub-replacement drag11th/30
45%dead money %11th/30
0.433win %20th/30
16.5roster fWAR7th/30
-17surplus $M (value vs cost)13th/30
$138Mpayroll $M9th/30

Roster

CFBrandon Nimmo 44GJake Marisnick 16GGuillermo Heredia 9G
LFJeff McNeil 28GDominic Smith 23GBrandon Nimmo 22G
RFMichael Conforto 52GBrandon Nimmo 10GJeff McNeil 4G
SSAmed Rosario 44GAndrés Giménez 23GLuis Guillorme 3G
2BRobinson Canó 34GAndrés Giménez 19GLuis Guillorme 17G
3BJ.D. Davis 34GTodd Frazier 29GAndrés Giménez 10G
1BPete Alonso 39GDominic Smith 25G
STARTERSJacob deGrom 2.6WARRick Porcello 1.6WARDavid Peterson 0.5WARSeth Lugo 0.4WARMichael Wacha 0.0WAR
CWilson Ramos 41GRobinson Chirinos 25GTomás Nido 7G
DHPete Alonso 17GRobinson Canó 13GJ.D. Davis 13G
BULLPEN★ Edwin Díaz 6svJustin Wilson 10hMiguel Castro 5hJeurys Familia 5hDellin Betances 4hJared Hughes 2hChasen Shreve 1hBrad Brach 0h
CWilson Ramos 41 · Robinson Chirinos 25 · Tomás Nido 7
1BPete Alonso 39 · Dominic Smith 25
2BRobinson Canó 34 · Andrés Giménez 19 · Luis Guillorme 17
3BJ.D. Davis 34 · Todd Frazier 29 · Andrés Giménez 10
SSAmed Rosario 44 · Andrés Giménez 23 · Luis Guillorme 3
LFJeff McNeil 28 · Dominic Smith 23 · Brandon Nimmo 22
CFBrandon Nimmo 44 · Jake Marisnick 16 · Guillermo Heredia 9
RFMichael Conforto 52 · Brandon Nimmo 10 · Jeff McNeil 4
DHPete Alonso 17 · Robinson Canó 13 · J.D. Davis 13
SPJacob deGrom 2.6 · Rick Porcello 1.6 · David Peterson 0.5 · Seth Lugo 0.4 · Michael Wacha 0.0
BP★ Edwin Díaz 6 · Justin Wilson 10 · Miguel Castro 5 · Jeurys Familia 5 · Dellin Betances 4 · Jared Hughes 2 · Chasen Shreve 1 · Brad Brach 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2020 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Jacob deGrom 32 FA-elig 122.6 25.0 -5.9
Michael Conforto 27 arb 541.9 8.0 +6.1
Brandon Nimmo 27 arb 551.8 2.2 +10.9
Rick Porcello 31 FA-elig 121.6 10.0 +2.0
Robinson Canó 37 FA-elig 491.4 24.0 -13.5
Dominic Smith 25 pre-arb 501.4 0.2 +9.9
Jeff McNeil 28 pre-arb 521.3 0.2 +9.5
Andrés Giménez 21 – 491.2 0.2 +8.7
Luis Guillorme 25 pre-arb 300.9 0.2 +6.2
Edwin Díaz 26 arb 260.9 5.1 +1.3
J.D. Davis 27 pre-arb 560.6 0.2 +4.3
Justin Wilson 32 FA-elig 230.5 5.0 -1.4
David Peterson 24 – 100.5 0.2 +3.2
Tomás Nido 26 pre-arb 70.4 0.2 +2.7
Seth Lugo 30 arb 160.4 2.0 +0.6
Pete Alonso 25 pre-arb 570.3 0.2 +2.2
Jake Marisnick 29 FA-elig 160.3 3.3 -1.0
Amed Rosario 24 pre-arb 460.3 0.2 +1.7
Todd Frazier↔ TEX 34 FA-elig 140.2 1.1 +0.3
Guillermo Heredia↔ PIT 29 arb 70.1 0.3 +0.8
Chasen Shreve 29 FA-elig 170.1 0.1 +0.9
Erasmo Ramírez 30 arb 60.1 0.1 +0.9
Hunter Strickland 31 arb 40.1 0.1 +0.7
Walker Lockett↔ SEA 26 – 20.1 0.0 +0.5
Ariel Jurado 24 pre-arb 10.1 0.0 +0.4
Michael Wacha 28 FA-elig 80.0 3.0 -2.7
Wilson Ramos 32 FA-elig 450.0 10.2 -10.0
Eduardo Núñez 33 FA-elig 20.0 0.1 +0.2
Miguel Castro↔ BAL 25 arb 100.0 0.4 -0.2
Corey Oswalt 26 pre-arb 40.0 0.1 +0.1
Juan Lagares 31 – 20.0 0.0 +0.1
René Rivera 36 FA-elig 2-0.0 0.4 -0.4
Dellin Betances 32 FA-elig 15-0.0 7.5 -7.7
Robinson Chirinos↔ TEX 36 FA-elig 12-0.0 2.5 -2.9
Drew Smith 26 pre-arb 8-0.1 0.1 -0.7
Ryan Cordell 28 pre-arb 5-0.1 0.0 -0.6
Ali Sánchez 23 – 5-0.1 0.0 -0.8
Jeurys Familia 30 FA-elig 25-0.1 11.7 -12.5
Yoenis Cespedes 34 FA-elig 8-0.1 6.0 -6.9
Paul Sewald 30 pre-arb 5-0.1 0.1 -1.0
Jared Hughes 34 FA-elig 18-0.1 0.3 -1.3
Brian Dozier 33 – 7-0.2 0.1 -1.3
Billy Hamilton↔ CHC 29 – 17-0.2 0.1 -1.4
Brad Brach 34 FA-elig 14-0.3 0.8 -2.7
Franklyn Kilome 25 – 4-0.3 0.1 -2.5
Robert Gsellman 26 arb 6-0.4 1.2 -3.8
Steven Matz 29 arb 9-0.7 5.0 -9.9

Key additions (new vs 2019)

PlayerfWAR
Rick Porcello1.6
Andrés Giménez1.2
David Peterson0.5
Jake Marisnick0.3
Guillermo Heredia0.1
Chasen Shreve0.1

Key subtractions (gone from 2019)

Player2019 fWAR
Zack Wheeler5.2
Joe Panik0.5
Chris Mazza0.1
Brooks Pounders0.0
Héctor Santiago-0.0
Donnie Hart-0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

2020 payroll
$138.0M
2021 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2020, 2020–2026. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2020; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (17)

PlayerAgeSvc2020202120222023202420252026
Robinson Canó3714.076$24.0MFREE AGENT
Jeurys Familia307.029$11.7MFREE AGENT
Wilson Ramos329.047$10.2MFREE AGENT
Rick Porcello3110.170$10.0MFREE AGENT
Dellin Betances326.078$7.5MFREE AGENT
Yoenis Cespedes348.000$6.0MFREE AGENT
Justin Wilson327.035$5.0MFREE AGENT
Michael Wacha286.062$3.0MFREE AGENT
Robinson Chirinos369.000$2.5MFREE AGENT
Todd Frazier349.000$1.1MFREE AGENT
Brad Brach347.063$850kFREE AGENT
René Rivera367.107$370kFREE AGENT
Jared Hughes347.162$259kFREE AGENT
Eduardo Núñez338.033$100kFREE AGENT
Brian Dozier337.100$100kFREE AGENT
Billy Hamilton296.028$94kFREE AGENT
Juan Lagares316.160$17kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2020202120222023202420252026
Jacob deGrom325.139$25.0MFREE AGENT
Michael Conforto274.043$8.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Edwin Díaz263.121$5.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steven Matz294.099$5.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Marisnick295.132$3.3MFREE AGENT
Brandon Nimmo273.042$2.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Seth Lugo303.082$2.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robert Gsellman263.042$1.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel Castro253.079$404kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Guillermo Heredia293.053$263kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chasen Shreve294.065$100kARB 3FREE AGENT
Erasmo Ramírez305.157$75kFREE AGENT
Hunter Strickland314.163$55kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (17)

PlayerAgeSvc2020202120222023202420252026
Pete Alonso251.000$242kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff McNeil281.069$229kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Amed Rosario242.062$225kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.D. Davis271.137$219kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dominic Smith251.146$214kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tomás Nido261.089$214kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrés Giménez210.000$209kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Peterson240.000$193kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Guillorme250.167$191kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Corey Oswalt260.107$131kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Smith261.100$106kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Franklyn Kilome251.075$72kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul Sewald302.044$56kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ali Sánchez230.000$47kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Walker Lockett260.066$32kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Cordell281.022$32kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ariel Jurado241.052$6kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Mets 2020; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.