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Twins MIN

202387–75 (0.537)Made Playoffs
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President of baseball ops: Derek Falvey · GM: Thad Levine

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2023, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$155M
Surplus $M
+18
Win %
0.537
TAB
+9.3
WAB
+4.9
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
43.6
Dead money %
15%
Depth Players
9.0
Dead WAR
-3.2

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2023 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RChristian Vázquez94
RRyan Jeffers82

1B

RDonovan Solano85
LAlex Kirilloff75
LJoey Gallo51
RChristian Vázquez7
LEdouard Julien4
RKyle Farmer4
RJordan Luplow⇄3
RJose Miranda2

2B

LEdouard Julien75
BJorge Polanco58
RKyle Farmer45
RDonovan Solano28
LNick Gordon11
BWilli Castro10
RChristian Vázquez2

3B

RRoyce Lewis49
RKyle Farmer43
BWilli Castro41
RJose Miranda38
RDonovan Solano19
BJorge Polanco15

SS

RCarlos Correa135
RKyle Farmer40
BWilli Castro8
LNick Gordon2
RRoyce Lewis1

LF

BWilli Castro54
LJoey Gallo51
LTrevor Larnach44
LMatt Wallner43
RJordan Luplow⇄20
LNick Gordon12
LAlex Kirilloff10
LAndrew Stevenson5
RKyle Garlick4
RKyle Farmer3

CF

RMichael A. Taylor126
BWilli Castro45
LNick Gordon20
LAndrew Stevenson18
LJoey Gallo11
RJordan Luplow⇄2

RF

LMax Kepler124
LMatt Wallner29
LTrevor Larnach20
LAlex Kirilloff11
LJoey Gallo10
RKyle Garlick8
RJordan Luplow⇄7
BWilli Castro4

DH

RByron Buxton80
LEdouard Julien27
RDonovan Solano13
BJorge Polanco12
RRoyce Lewis9
LMatt Wallner9
RRyan Jeffers9
RJordan Luplow⇄5
LAlex Kirilloff3
RJose Miranda3
LTrevor Larnach3
RKyle Garlick2
LMax Kepler2
RChristian Vázquez1
RKyle Farmer1
LJoey Gallo1
RMichael A. Taylor1
BWilli Castro1

Starters

RSonny Gray5.4 WAR
RPablo Lopez4.6 WAR
RBailey Ober2.5 WAR
RJoe Ryan2.3 WAR
RKenta Maeda1.6 WAR
REmilio Pagan1.2 WAR
RTyler Mahle0.4 WAR
RJose De Leon0.2 WAR
LDallas Keuchel0.2 WAR
RLouie Varland0.2 WAR

Bullpen

★ RJhoan Duran27 sv
RGriffin Jax23 h
LCaleb Thielbar14 h
LJovani Moran9 h
REmilio Pagan8 h
RBrock Stewart8 h
RJosh Winder1 h
RJorge Lopez⇄0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2022)

PlayerfWAR
Pablo López4.6
Edouard Julien2.6
Willi Castro2.4
Michael A. Taylor1.9
Kenta Maeda1.6
Kyle Farmer1.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2022)

Player2022 fWAR
Luis Arraez2.7
Gio Urshela2.6
Gary Sánchez1.4
Dylan Bundy0.8
Chris Archer0.5
Trevor Megill0.4

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Twins. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2023; everyone else is shown as a 2023 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Sonny Gray 2023 +5.4 +107.9 13.3 +94.6 $2.5M 2.50× Free Agent · 2024–2027 · $25.0M AAV
Pablo López 2023 +4.6 +80.4 5.5 +75.0 $1.2M 2.19× Arb extension · 2024–2027 · $18.4M AAV
Bailey Ober 2023 +2.5 +29.2 0.5 +28.7 $0.2M 1.49× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $5.2M AAV
Joe Ryan 2023 +2.3 +27.7 0.7 +27.0 $0.3M 1.49× Arbitration · 2026–2027 · $6.2M AAV
Max Kepler 2023 +2.7 +34.4 8.5 +25.9 $3.2M 1.60× –
Edouard Julien 2023 +2.6 +22.6 0.5 +22.1 $0.2M 1.07× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Willi Castro 2023 +2.4 +23.6 1.8 +21.8 $0.7M 1.22× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $6.4M AAV
Kenta Maeda 2023 +1.6 +19.2 3.1 +16.1 $1.9M 1.49× –
Matt Wallner 2023 +1.6 +15.3 0.4 +14.9 $0.2M 1.22× –
Royce Lewis 2023 +2.3 +15.5 0.7 +14.8 $0.3M 0.85× –
Michael A. Taylor 2023 +1.9 +18.4 4.5 +13.9 $2.4M 1.22× –
Byron Buxton 2022–2023 +3.9 +37.4 24.3 +13.1 $6.2M 1.11× Arb extension · 2022–2028 · $14.3M AAV
Ryan Jeffers 2023 +2.3 +13.7 0.7 +13.0 $0.3M 0.76× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $6.7M AAV
Griffin Jax 2023 +1.2 +13.1 0.7 +12.4 $0.6M 1.34× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $3.6M AAV
Jhoan Duran 2023 +1.1 +11.6 0.7 +10.8 $0.7M 1.34× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $7.5M AAV
Emilio Pagán 2023 +1.2 +12.7 3.5 +9.2 $2.9M 1.34× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $10.0M AAV
Brock Stewart 2023 +0.9 +4.7 0.6 +4.0 $0.7M 0.67× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.3M AAV
Donovan Solano 2023 +1.1 +4.9 2.0 +2.9 $1.8M 0.56× –
Alex Kirilloff 2023 +0.5 +2.4 0.7 +1.7 $1.3M 0.56× –
Kody Funderburk 2023 +0.3 +1.5 0.1 +1.4 $0.5M 0.67× –
Dallas Keuchel 2023 +0.2 +1.3 0.2 +1.1 $1.4M 1.02× –
Dylan Floro↔ 2023 +0.2 +2.2 1.3 +0.9 $6.3M 1.34× –
Jovani Morán 2023 +0.3 +1.6 0.7 +0.9 $2.5M 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Kyle Farmer 2023 +1.4 +6.3 5.6 +0.7 $4.0M 0.56× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.2M AAV
José De León 2023 +0.2 +1.0 0.5 +0.4 $2.9M 0.67× –
Josh Winder 2023 +0.1 +0.8 0.7 +0.1 $4.9M 0.67× –
Trevor Larnach 2023 +0.1 +0.8 0.7 +0.1 $6.1M 0.83× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $4.5M AAV
Dereck Rodríguez↔ 2023 -0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 – 0.67× –
Simeon Woods Richardson 2023 -0.0 -0.2 0.0 -0.2 – 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Andrew Stevenson 2023 -0.0 -0.2 0.1 -0.3 – 0.83× –
Jordan Luplow↔ 2023 +0.0 +0.1 0.4 -0.3 $39.4M 0.83× –
Oliver Ortega 2023 -0.0 -0.0 0.3 -0.3 – 0.67× –
Kyle Garlick 2023 -0.1 -0.4 0.8 -1.1 – 0.83× –
Cole Sands 2023 -0.1 -0.7 0.7 -1.4 – 0.67× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.1M AAV
Jorge Polanco 2023 +1.3 +6.0 7.5 -1.5 $5.6M 0.56× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $20.0M AAV
Brent Headrick 2023 -0.3 -1.6 0.2 -1.8 – 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Caleb Thielbar 2023 +0.1 +0.6 2.4 -1.8 $21.0M 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $4.5M AAV
Chris Paddack 2023 +0.1 +0.3 2.5 -2.2 $40.5M 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Jordan Balazovic 2023 -0.4 -2.0 0.3 -2.2 – 0.67× –
Jorge Alcala 2023 -0.4 -2.3 0.8 -3.1 – 0.67× –
Jose Miranda 2023 -0.7 -3.3 0.7 -4.0 – 0.58× –
Nick Gordon 2023 -0.5 -3.3 0.7 -4.0 – 0.83× –
Tyler Mahle 2023 +0.4 +3.1 7.5 -4.4 $19.9M 1.02× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $10.0M AAV
Jorge López↔ 2023 -0.7 -3.5 2.1 -5.6 – 0.67× –
Christian Vázquez 2023 +0.8 +3.5 10.0 -6.5 $11.8M 0.52× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.0M AAV
Joey Gallo 2023 +0.7 +3.3 11.0 -7.7 $14.7M 0.56× –
Carlos Correa 2023 +1.7 +12.3 33.3 -21.0 $19.4M 0.89× Free Agent · 2023–2032 · $33.3M AAV
Louis Varland 2023 +0.2 +1.3 – – – 1.02× –
Total—+47.0+523.1163.8+358.0—

Trades

Every graded 2023 deal involving the Twins — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 11 total.

2023 · MIN / MIA Jan 20, 2023
MIN · Derek Falvey +$99.2M
Jose Salas, Byron Chourio, Pablo López
MIA · Kim Ng −$99.2M
Luis Arráez
Too soon to call unsettled
2023 · MIN / KCR Jan 24, 2023
MIN · Derek Falvey +$16.0M
Michael Taylor
KCR · J.J. Picollo −$16.0M
Evan Sisk, Steven Cruz
Too soon to call unsettled
2023 · PHI / MIN Mar 27, 2023
PHI · Dave Dombrowski +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
MIN · Derek Falvey +$0.0M
Gabriel Yanez
Too soon to call unsettled
2023 · MIN / MIL Jun 14, 2023
MIN · Derek Falvey +$0.0M
Taylor Floyd
MIL · Matt Arnold +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2023 · MIL / MIN Apr 30, 2023
MIL · Matt Arnold +$22.4M
Trevor Megill
MIN · Derek Falvey −$22.4M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2023 · MIN / MIA Apr 9, 2023
MIN · Derek Falvey +$0.8M
cash / PTBNL
MIA · Kim Ng −$0.8M
Sean Nolin
Too soon to call unsettled
2023 · BAL / MIN Mar 27, 2023
BAL · Mike Elias +$7.2M
Danny Coulombe
MIN · Derek Falvey −$7.2M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2023 · MIN / MIA Apr 12, 2023
MIN · Derek Falvey +$0.0M
Alex De Goti
MIA · Kim Ng +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2023 · NYM / MIN May 28, 2023
NYM · Billy Eppler +$0.0M
Tyler White
MIN · Derek Falvey +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2023 · MIN / MIA Jul 26, 2023
MIN · Derek Falvey +$2.4M
Dylan Floro
MIA · Kim Ng −$2.4M
Jorge López
Too soon to call unsettled
2023 · WSN / MIN Jan 10, 2023
WSN · Michael Rizzo +$0.0M
Cristian Jimenez
MIN · Derek Falvey +$0.0M
A. J. Alexy
Too soon to call unsettled

Current & Historical Payroll

2023 payroll
$155.0M
2024 guaranteed
$48.5M

What the front office was committed to as of 2023, 2023–2029. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2023; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2023202420252026202720282029
Carlos Correa287.119$33.3M$33.3M$8.4M$21.5M$20.5M$20.0M$25.0MVEST
Byron Buxton296.160$15.1M$15.1M$16.1M$15.1M$15.1M$15.1MFREE AGENT
Sonny Gray339.061$13.3MCLUBFREE AGENT
Joey Gallo296.103$11.0MFREE AGENT
Christian Vázquez328.031$10.0MFREE AGENT
Max Kepler306.152$8.5MFREE AGENT
Jorge Polanco296.024$7.5MFREE AGENT
Michael A. Taylor329.000$4.5MFREE AGENT
Kenta Maeda357.000$3.1MFREE AGENT
Donovan Solano357.081$2.0MFREE AGENT
Dylan Floro327.000$1.3MFREE AGENT
José De León307.000$534kFREE AGENT
Dallas Keuchel359.120$228kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2023202420252026202720282029
Tyler Mahle285.018$7.5MFREE AGENT
Kyle Farmer324.129$5.6MARB 3FREE AGENT
Pablo López274.093$5.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Emilio Pagán325.091$3.5MFREE AGENT
Chris Paddack274.000$2.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Caleb Thielbar364.131$2.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge López304.102$2.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Willi Castro263.017$1.8MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge Alcala273.014$790kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Luplow294.108$358kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (25)

PlayerAgeSvc2023202420252026202720282029
Kyle Garlick312.163$750kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Jeffers262.089$742kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Gordon271.136$735kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trevor Larnach261.101$734kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Griffin Jax281.091$733kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Ryan271.033$730kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Miranda250.157$728kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Royce Lewis240.142$727kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jovani Morán260.124$726kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Winder260.113$726kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cole Sands250.073$724kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jhoan Duran251.000$720kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Kirilloff251.141$716kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brock Stewart311.105$615kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bailey Ober271.124$542kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Edouard Julien240.000$523kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Wallner250.019$352kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Oliver Ortega260.116$286kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Balazovic24–$252k
Brent Headrick250.000$190kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kody Funderburk260.000$132kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Stevenson292.127$116kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dereck Rodríguez311.110$14kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Simeon Woods Richardson220.004$8kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Louis Varland251.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2023 acquisition stacked onto Twins's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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