Rosternomics

Twins MIN

202278–84 (0.481)
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President of baseball ops: Derek Falvey · GM: Thad Levine

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2022, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$132M
Win %
0.481
TAB
-1.3
WAB
-3.0
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
32.0
Dead money %
23%
Depth Players
6.0
Dead WAR
-6.6

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2022 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RGary Sánchez91
RRyan Jeffers59
BSandy León25
RCaleb Hamilton11
LJosé Godoy2

1B

RJose Miranda77
LLuis Arraez65
RMiguel Sanó19
LAlex Kirilloff18
RCaleb Hamilton6
RTim Beckham2
RJermaine Palacios1
RGary Sánchez1

2B

BJorge Polanco97
LLuis Arraez41
LNick Gordon36
RJermaine Palacios12
BBilly Hamilton3

3B

RGio Urshela136
RJose Miranda34
LLuis Arraez7
RJermaine Palacios1
LNick Gordon1

SS

RCarlos Correa132
LNick Gordon17
RJermaine Palacios14
RRoyce Lewis11
BJorge Polanco6
RGio Urshela2

LF

LNick Gordon62
LJake Cave45
LTrevor Larnach33
RGilberto Celestino28
RKyle Garlick27
LAlex Kirilloff21
BBilly Hamilton12
RTim Beckham4
LMark Contreras3

CF

RGilberto Celestino90
RByron Buxton57
LNick Gordon38
LMark Contreras13
LJake Cave4
LMax Kepler3
RRoyce Lewis1

RF

LMax Kepler110
RKyle Garlick23
LMatt Wallner16
LTrevor Larnach11
LJake Cave10
LMark Contreras9
LAlex Kirilloff8
RGilberto Celestino8

DH

LLuis Arraez38
RByron Buxton34
RGary Sánchez32
RJose Miranda21
RKyle Garlick8
LTrevor Larnach7
RRyan Jeffers7
BBilly Hamilton5
BJorge Polanco5
RGio Urshela4
RCarlos Correa4
LAlex Kirilloff3
RTim Beckham3
LMax Kepler2
RMiguel Sanó2
LMatt Wallner1
LNick Gordon1

Starters

RSonny Gray2.4 WAR
RJoe Ryan2.2 WAR
RBailey Ober1.4 WAR
RChris Paddack0.9 WAR
RDylan Bundy0.8 WAR
RChris Archer0.5 WAR
RAaron Sanchez0.3 WAR
RLouie Varland0.2 WAR
RJosh Winder0.1 WAR
RSimeon Woods Richardson-0.0 WAR
RChi Chi Gonzalez-0.1 WAR
LDevin Smeltzer-0.1 WAR
RCole Sands-0.1 WAR
RTyler Mahle-0.1 WAR

Bullpen

RJorge Lopez23 sv
LCaleb Thielbar18 h
RGriffin Jax18 h
RJhoan Duran18 h
RJoe Smith14 h
RTyler Duffey9 h
REmilio Pagan7 h
RTrevor Megill3 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2021)

PlayerfWAR
Carlos Correa4.6
Gio Urshela2.6
Sonny Gray2.4
Jhoan Duran1.5
Jose Miranda1.4
Gary Sánchez1.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2021)

Player2021 fWAR
Josh Donaldson3.4
José Berríos2.3
Mitch Garver2.1
Nelson Cruz1.8
Michael Pineda1.3
Andrelton Simmons0.9

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Twins. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2022; everyone else is shown as a 2022 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Byron Buxton 2022 +3.4 +43.7 9.1 +34.5 $2.7M 1.60× Arb extension · 2022–2028 · $14.3M AAV
Joe Ryan 2022 +2.2 +25.7 0.7 +25.0 $0.3M 1.49× Arbitration · 2026–2027 · $6.2M AAV
Jhoan Duran 2022 +1.5 +23.9 0.7 +23.2 $0.5M 1.95× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $7.5M AAV
Luis Arraez 2022 +2.7 +22.8 2.1 +20.6 $0.8M 1.07× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $12.0M AAV
Sonny Gray 2022 +2.4 +28.7 11.9 +16.9 $4.9M 1.49× Free Agent · 2024–2027 · $25.0M AAV
Gio Urshela 2022 +2.6 +23.0 6.5 +16.5 $2.5M 1.12×
Nick Gordon 2022 +1.5 +14.9 0.7 +14.2 $0.5M 1.22×
Carlos Correa 2022 +4.6 +48.3 35.1 +13.2 $7.7M 1.32× Free Agent · 2023–2032 · $33.3M AAV
Caleb Thielbar 2022 +1.6 +12.7 1.3 +11.4 $0.8M 0.98× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $4.5M AAV
Bailey Ober 2022 +1.4 +11.7 0.7 +10.9 $0.5M 1.02× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $5.2M AAV
Griffin Jax 2022 +0.9 +9.7 0.7 +9.0 $0.8M 1.34× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $3.6M AAV
Max Kepler 2022 +1.5 +14.9 6.8 +8.2 $4.4M 1.22×
Jorge Polanco 2022 +1.7 +11.3 5.5 +5.8 $3.2M 0.82× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $20.0M AAV
Jose Miranda 2022 +1.4 +6.3 0.6 +5.7 $0.4M 0.56×
Chris Paddack 2022 +0.9 +7.6 2.2 +5.3 $2.4M 1.02× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Trevor Larnach 2022 +0.8 +5.1 0.7 +4.4 $0.9M 0.83× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $4.5M AAV
Jovani Morán 2022 +0.9 +4.7 0.4 +4.3 $0.4M 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Ryan Jeffers 2022 +0.8 +3.2 0.7 +2.5 $0.9M 0.52× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $6.7M AAV
Trevor Megill 2022 +0.4 +2.3 0.1 +2.2 $0.2M 0.67× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $4.7M AAV
Dylan Bundy 2022 +0.8 +6.1 4.0 +2.1 $5.3M 1.02×
Jake Cave 2022 +0.3 +2.3 0.3 +2.0 $0.8M 0.83×
Royce Lewis 2022 +0.5 +2.4 0.5 +1.8 $1.1M 0.61×
Aaron Sanchez 2022 +0.3 +1.8 0.1 +1.7 $0.2M 0.67×
Chris Archer 2022 +0.5 +4.4 2.8 +1.7 $5.1M 1.02×
Cody Stashak 2022 +0.4 +2.0 0.7 +1.3 $1.9M 0.67×
Gilberto Celestino 2022 +0.3 +1.9 0.7 +1.2 $2.4M 0.83×
Josh Winder 2022 +0.1 +1.0 0.4 +0.5 $3.6M 1.02×
Matt Wallner 2022 +0.1 +0.5 0.1 +0.5 $0.9M 0.83×
Juan Minaya 2022 +0.1 +0.4 0.1 +0.3 $1.3M 0.67×
Kyle Garlick 2022 +0.1 +0.9 0.7 +0.2 $4.9M 0.83×
Mark Contreras 2022 +0.0 +0.3 0.2 +0.1 $5.1M 0.83×
José Godoy 2022 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.1 0.52×
Austin Davis 2022 -0.0 -0.2 0.0 -0.2 0.67×
Simeon Woods Richardson 2022 -0.0 -0.2 0.0 -0.2 1.02× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Danny Coulombe 2022 +0.0 +0.2 0.7 -0.5 $23.9M 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.0M AAV
Chi Chi González 2022 -0.1 -0.5 0.0 -0.6 1.02×
Cole Sands 2022 -0.1 -0.4 0.2 -0.6 0.67× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.1M AAV
Ian Hamilton 2022 -0.1 -0.6 0.0 -0.6 0.67×
Devin Smeltzer 2022 -0.1 -0.6 0.1 -0.7 1.02×
Jorge Alcala 2022 -0.0 -0.0 0.7 -0.7 0.67×
Caleb Hamilton 2022 -0.2 -0.7 0.2 -0.9 0.52×
Tyler Thornburg 2022 -0.1 -0.8 0.1 -0.9 0.67×
Billy Hamilton 2022 -0.1 -0.9 0.3 -1.2 0.83×
Jorge López 2022 -0.1 -0.7 0.5 -1.2 1.34×
Sandy León 2022 -0.3 -1.1 0.3 -1.3 0.52× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.0M AAV
Tyler Mahle 2022 -0.1 -0.8 0.9 -1.7 1.02× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $10.0M AAV
Yennier Cano 2022 -0.3 -1.6 0.1 -1.7 0.67×
Michael Fulmer 2022 -0.0 -0.4 1.9 -2.3 1.34×
Dereck Rodríguez 2022 -0.5 -2.5 0.0 -2.5 0.67×
Emilio Pagán 2022 -0.1 -0.7 2.3 -3.0 1.34× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $10.0M AAV
Jharel Cotton 2022 -0.5 -2.4 0.6 -3.0 0.67×
Gary Sánchez 2022 +1.4 +5.7 9.0 -3.3 $6.5M 0.52× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $1.8M AAV
Tim Beckham 2022 -0.5 -3.4 0.2 -3.6 0.83×
Alex Kirilloff 2022 -0.5 -3.3 0.6 -3.9 0.83×
Jermaine Palacios 2022 -0.8 -4.1 0.2 -4.3 0.61×
Joe Smith 2022 -0.8 -4.5 2.5 -7.0 0.67×
Tyler Duffey 2022 -0.4 -4.5 3.8 -8.3 1.34×
Miguel Sanó 2022 -0.9 -4.1 9.2 -13.3 0.56×
Jhon Romero 2022 +0.1 +0.7 0.7 -0.0 $5.6M 0.67×
Ronny Henriquez 2022 +0.0 +0.1 0.1 +0.0 $3.4M 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Louis Varland 2022 +0.2 +1.8 1.02×
Total+31.8+314.0132.3+179.6

Trades

Every graded 2022 deal involving the Twins — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 12 total.

2022 · CIN / MIN Aug 2, 2022
CIN · Nick Krall +$22.4M
Spencer Steer, Christian Encarnacion-Strand, Steve Hajjar
MIN · Derek Falvey −$22.4M
Tyler Mahle
Too soon to call unsettled
2022 · MIN / SDP Apr 7, 2022
MIN · Derek Falvey +$13.6M
Emilio Pagán, Chris Paddack
SDP · AJ Preller −$13.6M
Taylor Rogers, Brent Rooker
Too soon to call unsettled
2022 · MIN / CIN Mar 13, 2022
MIN · Derek Falvey +$116.8M
Francis Peguero, Sonny Gray
CIN · Nick Krall −$116.8M
Chase Petty
Too soon to call unsettled
2022 · MIN / CIN Nov 18, 2022
MIN · Derek Falvey +$0.0M
Kyle Farmer
CIN · Nick Krall +$0.0M
Casey Legumina
Too soon to call unsettled
2022 · SDP / MIN Apr 21, 2022
SDP · AJ Preller +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
MIN · Derek Falvey +$0.0M
Brayan Medina
Too soon to call unsettled
2022 · DET / MIN Aug 2, 2022
DET · Sam Menzin +$2.4M
Sawyer Gipson-Long
MIN · Derek Falvey −$2.4M
Michael Fulmer
Too soon to call unsettled
2022 · CLE / MIN Aug 2, 2022
CLE · Chris Antonetti +$1.6M
Ian Hamilton
MIN · Derek Falvey −$1.6M
Sandy León
Too soon to call unsettled
2022 · BAL / MIN Aug 2, 2022
BAL · Mike Elias +$29.6M
Cade Povich, Yennier Cano, Juan Rojas, Juan Nuñez
MIN · Derek Falvey −$29.6M
Jorge López
Too soon to call unsettled
2022 · PHI / MIN May 30, 2022
PHI · Dave Dombrowski +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
MIN · Derek Falvey +$0.0M
John Andreoli
Too soon to call unsettled
2022 · MIN / ANA Nov 18, 2022
MIN · Derek Falvey +$6.4M
Alejandro Hidalgo
ANA · Perry Minasian −$6.4M
Gio Urshela
Too soon to call unsettled
2022 · TEX / MIN Mar 12, 2022
TEX · Jon Daniels +$3.2M
Mitch Garver
MIN · Derek Falvey −$3.2M
Isiah Kiner-Falefa, Ronny Henriquez
Too soon to call unsettled
2022 · MIN / NYY Mar 13, 2022
MIN · Derek Falvey +$49.6M
Gary Sánchez, Gio Urshela
NYY · Brian Cashman −$49.6M
Isiah Kiner-Falefa, Ben Rortvedt, Josh Donaldson
Too soon to call unsettled

Current & Historical Payroll

2022 payroll
$132.4M
2023 guaranteed
$15.1M

What the front office was committed to as of 2022, 2022–2028. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2022; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Carlos Correa276.119$35.1MFREE AGENT
Sonny Gray328.061$11.9MFREE AGENT
Miguel Sanó296.066$9.2MFREE AGENT
Byron Buxton285.160$9.1M$15.1M$15.1M$16.1M$15.1M$15.1M$15.1M
Gio Urshela307.000$6.5MFREE AGENT
Dylan Bundy296.026$4.0MFREE AGENT
Tyler Duffey317.000$3.8MFREE AGENT
Chris Archer338.156$2.8MFREE AGENT
Joe Smith3815.000$2.5MFREE AGENT
Billy Hamilton318.028$322kFREE AGENT
Sandy León337.138$255kFREE AGENT
Tim Beckham326.101$154kFREE AGENT
Tyler Thornburg336.115$88kFREE AGENT
Chi Chi González307.000$30kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Gary Sánchez295.086$9.0MFREE AGENT
Max Kepler295.152$6.8MFREE AGENT
Jorge Polanco285.024$5.5MFREE AGENT
Emilio Pagán314.091$2.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Paddack263.000$2.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Fulmer295.157$1.9MFREE AGENT
Caleb Thielbar353.131$1.3MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Mahle274.018$904kARB 3FREE AGENT
Danny Coulombe323.008$700kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jharel Cotton303.052$583kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge López293.102$515kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Cave293.072$281kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Sanchez295.069$70kFREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (34)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Luis Arraez252.121$2.1MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cody Stashak282.064$720kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge Alcala262.014$718kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Jeffers251.089$713kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Gordon260.136$707kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bailey Ober260.124$706kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Ryan260.033$702kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jhon Romero270.011$700kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jhoan Duran240.000$700kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gilberto Celestino230.057$687kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Griffin Jax270.091$681kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trevor Larnach250.101$677kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Garlick301.163$669kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Miranda240.000$596kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Kirilloff240.165$591kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Royce Lewis230.000$542kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Winder250.000$427kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jovani Morán250.023$381kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Caleb Hamilton270.000$235kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Contreras27$212k
Cole Sands240.000$196kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jermaine Palacios25$158k
Devin Smeltzer262.029$146kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yennier Cano280.000$104kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trevor Megill280.111$100kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Juan Minaya312.140$100kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Wallner240.000$73kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ronny Henriquez220.000$54kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Godoy270.030$25kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Davis292.105$22kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dereck Rodríguez301.102$12kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ian Hamilton270.114$12kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Simeon Woods Richardson210.000$12kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Louis Varland240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2022 acquisition stacked onto Twins's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.