RRosternomics
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Twins MIN

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GM: Terry Ryan

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.95× league · TAB -14.9
-14.9TAB — talent above budget29th/30
-15.3WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)27th/30
5.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars21st/30
-8.2dead WAR — sub-replacement drag29th/30
42%dead money %24th/30
0.407win %27th/30
18.7roster fWAR28th/30
-48surplus $M (value vs cost)26th/30
$95Mpayroll $M14th/30

Roster

CFDenard Span 125GBen Revere 39GErik Komatsu 5G
LFJosh Willingham 119GDarin Mastroianni 25GRyan Doumit 16G
RFBen Revere 84GDarin Mastroianni 34GChris Parmelee 18G
SSBrian Dozier 83GPedro Florimón 43GJamey Carroll 37G
2BAlexi Casilla 96GJamey Carroll 66GEduardo Escobar 14G
3BTrevor Plouffe 95GJamey Carroll 44GEduardo Escobar 25G
1BJustin Morneau 99GChris Parmelee 38GJoe Mauer 30G
STARTERSScott Diamond 2.4WARBrian Duensing 1.4WARCarl Pavano 0.7WARCole De Vries 0.5WAREsmerling Vasquez 0.3WAR
CJoe Mauer 74GRyan Doumit 59GDrew Butera 41G
DHRyan Doumit 48GJoe Mauer 42GJustin Morneau 34G
BULLPEN★ Glen Perkins 16svJared Burton 18hAlex Burnett 10hCasey Fien 6hTyler Robertson 5hKyle Waldrop 2hJeff Gray 1hMatt Capps 0h
CJoe Mauer 74 · Ryan Doumit 59 · Drew Butera 41
1BJustin Morneau 99 · Chris Parmelee 38 · Joe Mauer 30
2BAlexi Casilla 96 · Jamey Carroll 66 · Eduardo Escobar 14
3BTrevor Plouffe 95 · Jamey Carroll 44 · Eduardo Escobar 25
SSBrian Dozier 83 · Pedro Florimón 43 · Jamey Carroll 37
LFJosh Willingham 119 · Darin Mastroianni 25 · Ryan Doumit 16
CFDenard Span 125 · Ben Revere 39 · Erik Komatsu 5
RFBen Revere 84 · Darin Mastroianni 34 · Chris Parmelee 18
DHRyan Doumit 48 · Joe Mauer 42 · Justin Morneau 34
SPScott Diamond 2.4 · Brian Duensing 1.4 · Carl Pavano 0.7 · Cole De Vries 0.5 · Esmerling Vasquez 0.3
BP★ Glen Perkins 16 · Jared Burton 18 · Alex Burnett 10 · Casey Fien 6 · Tyler Robertson 5 · Kyle Waldrop 2 · Jeff Gray 1 · Matt Capps 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2012 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Joe Mauer 29 FA-elig 1474.6 23.0 -11.1
Josh Willingham 33 FA-elig 1453.7 7.0 +2.5
Denard Span 28 arb 1283.2 3.0 +5.3
Scott Diamond 25 pre-arb 272.4 0.5 +5.7
Ben Revere 24 pre-arb 1242.1 0.5 +5.0
Jamey Carroll 38 FA-elig 1381.6 2.8 +1.3
Brian Duensing 29 arb 551.4 0.5 +3.2
Darin Mastroianni 26 pre-arb 771.1 0.5 +2.5
Glen Perkins 29 FA-elig 701.1 1.6 +1.3
Francisco Liriano↔ CHW 28 FA-elig 220.9 3.6 -1.2
Jared Burton 31 arb 640.9 0.8 +1.5
Carl Pavano 36 FA-elig 110.7 8.5 -6.6
Trevor Plouffe 26 pre-arb 1190.6 0.5 +1.1
Casey Fien 28 pre-arb 350.6 0.5 +1.0
Cole De Vries 27 – 170.5 – –
Alexi Casilla 27 FA-elig 1060.5 1.4 +0.0
Alex Burnett 24 pre-arb 670.4 0.5 +0.6
Esmerling Vasquez 28 – 60.3 – –
Justin Morneau 31 FA-elig 1340.1 14.0 -13.8
Clete Thomas↔ DET 28 arb 120.0 0.4 -0.3
Lester Oliveros 24 pre-arb 10.0 0.5 -0.5
Matt Capps 28 FA-elig 30-0.0 4.5 -4.5
Matt Maloney 28 arb 9-0.0 0.5 -0.6
Pedro Florimón 25 pre-arb 43-0.0 0.5 -0.6
Luis Perdomo 28 – 15-0.1 – –
Luke Hughes↔ OAK 27 pre-arb 4-0.1 0.2 -0.4
P.J. Walters 27 pre-arb 12-0.1 0.5 -0.7
Samuel Deduno 28 pre-arb 15-0.1 0.5 -0.8
Liam Hendriks 23 pre-arb 17-0.1 0.5 -0.9
Sean Burroughs 31 FA-elig 10-0.2 0.5 -0.9
Eduardo Escobar↔ CHW 23 pre-arb 14-0.2 0.1 -0.6
Kyle Waldrop 26 pre-arb 17-0.2 0.5 -0.9
Jeff Manship 27 pre-arb 12-0.2 0.5 -1.1
Anthony Swarzak 26 arb 44-0.2 0.5 -1.1
Tyler Robertson 24 pre-arb 40-0.2 0.5 -1.1
Chris Parmelee 24 pre-arb 64-0.3 0.5 -1.1
Matt Carson 30 pre-arb 26-0.3 0.5 -1.2
Drew Butera 28 pre-arb 42-0.3 0.5 -1.3
Erik Komatsu↔ STL 24 pre-arb 15-0.3 0.2 -1.1
Chris Herrmann 24 – 7-0.4 0.5 -1.4
Brian Dozier 25 – 84-0.4 0.5 -1.5
Tsuyoshi Nishioka 27 pre-arb 3-0.5 3.0 -4.2
Jason Marquis↔ SDP 33 FA-elig 7-0.7 0.9 -2.7
Nick Blackburn 30 arb 19-0.7 4.8 -6.6
Danny Valencia↔ BOS 27 pre-arb 34-0.7 0.4 -2.3
Jeff Gray 30 arb 49-0.8 0.5 -2.5
Ryan Doumit 31 FA-elig 134-1.1 3.0 -5.8

Key additions (new vs 2011)

PlayerfWAR
Josh Willingham3.7
Jamey Carroll1.6
Darin Mastroianni1.1
Jared Burton0.9
Casey Fien0.6
Cole De Vries0.5

Key subtractions (gone from 2011)

Player2011 fWAR
Michael Cuddyer2.5
Jason Kubel0.8
Jim Thome0.4
Kevin Slowey0.3
Brian Dinkelman0.0
Anthony Slama0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

2012 payroll
$94.7M

What the front office was committed to as of 2012, 2012–2018. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2012201320142015201620172018
Joe Mauer298.000$23.0M$23.0M$23.0M$23.0M$23.0M$23.0M$23.0M
Justin Morneau317.168$14.0M$11.7MFREE AGENT
Carl Pavano3613.161$8.5MFREE AGENT
Josh Willingham336.123$7.0M$7.0M$5.2MFREE AGENT
Matt Capps286.017$4.5MFREE AGENT
Ryan Doumit316.120$3.0M$3.5MFREE AGENT
Jamey Carroll389.020$2.8M$3.0MFREE AGENT
Glen Perkins2910.010$1.6M$2.5M$4.0M$4.7M$6.3M$6.5MFREE AGENT
Jason Marquis3311.012$875kFREE AGENT
Sean Burroughs3110.000$525kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (7)

PlayerAgeSvc2012201320142015201620172018
Nick Blackburn304.017$4.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Francisco Liriano285.104$3.6MFREE AGENT
Denard Span283.111$3.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alexi Casilla274.038$1.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jared Burton314.014$750kARB 3FREE AGENT
Esmerling Vasquez283.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Perdomo283.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (30)

PlayerAgeSvc2012201320142015201620172018
Tsuyoshi Nishioka271.000$3.0MPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Duensing292.104$515kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ben Revere240.167$492kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Burnett242.135$490kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anthony Swarzak261.038$488kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Gray301.122$485kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trevor Plouffe260.162$485kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Maloney281.055$482kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Waldrop261.000$480kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Florimón250.023$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Butera282.000$480kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Manship270.145$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Carson300.111$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Herrmann240.000$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Diamond251.161$480kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Samuel Deduno280.049$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Parmelee242.058$480kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Casey Fien280.052$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
P.J. Walters271.114$480kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Robertson240.101$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lester Oliveros240.091$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Dozier250.000$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Liam Hendriks230.023$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Darin Mastroianni260.149$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Danny Valencia271.123$398kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Clete Thomas281.027$385kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luke Hughes270.147$242kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Erik Komatsu240.000$240kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eduardo Escobar230.027$134kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cole De Vries270.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Twins 2012; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.