RRosternomics
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Twins MIN

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GM: Terry Ryan

Overview

REBUILD ↗ rising
cheap & losing · year 2 in this regime · payroll 0.72× league · TAB -8.0
-8.0TAB — talent above budget25th/30
-11.6WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)27th/30
3.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars28th/30
-4.3dead WAR — sub-replacement drag11th/30
30%dead money %9th/30
0.407win %26th/30
22.1roster fWAR27th/30
-15surplus $M (value vs cost)19th/30
$74Mpayroll $M24th/30

Roster

CFAaron Hicks 81GClete Thomas 50GAlex Presley 28G
LFJosh Willingham 72GOswaldo Arcia 56GClete Thomas 26G
RFChris Parmelee 68GRyan Doumit 32GOswaldo Arcia 29G
SSPedro Florimón 133GEduardo Escobar 38GDoug Bernier 20G
2BBrian Dozier 146GEduardo Escobar 7GDoug Bernier 4G
3BTrevor Plouffe 120GEduardo Escobar 23GDoug Bernier 7G
1BChris Colabello 26GChris Parmelee 23GJoe Mauer 8G
STARTERSMike Pelfrey 2.4WARKevin Correia 1.3WARSamuel Deduno 1.2WARAndrew Albers 0.9WARScott Diamond 0.1WAR
CJoe Mauer 75GRyan Doumit 43GChris Herrmann 27G
DHRyan Doumit 49GJosh Willingham 35GJoe Mauer 29G
BULLPEN★ Glen Perkins 36svJared Burton 27hCasey Fien 17hBrian Duensing 15hJosh Roenicke 12hAnthony Swarzak 3hRyan Pressly 1hCaleb Thielbar 1h
CJoe Mauer 75 · Ryan Doumit 43 · Chris Herrmann 27
1BChris Colabello 26 · Chris Parmelee 23 · Joe Mauer 8
2BBrian Dozier 146 · Eduardo Escobar 7 · Doug Bernier 4
3BTrevor Plouffe 120 · Eduardo Escobar 23 · Doug Bernier 7
SSPedro Florimón 133 · Eduardo Escobar 38 · Doug Bernier 20
LFJosh Willingham 72 · Oswaldo Arcia 56 · Clete Thomas 26
CFAaron Hicks 81 · Clete Thomas 50 · Alex Presley 28
RFChris Parmelee 68 · Ryan Doumit 32 · Oswaldo Arcia 29
DHRyan Doumit 49 · Josh Willingham 35 · Joe Mauer 29
SPMike Pelfrey 2.4 · Kevin Correia 1.3 · Samuel Deduno 1.2 · Andrew Albers 0.9 · Scott Diamond 0.1
BP★ Glen Perkins 36 · Jared Burton 27 · Casey Fien 17 · Brian Duensing 15 · Josh Roenicke 12 · Anthony Swarzak 3 · Ryan Pressly 1 · Caleb Thielbar 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2013 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Joe Mauer 30 FA-elig 1135.0 23.0 -9.6
Brian Dozier 26 pre-arb 1472.9 0.5 +7.4
Mike Pelfrey 29 FA-elig 292.4 4.0 +2.3
Glen Perkins 30 FA-elig 611.8 2.5 +2.2
Pedro Florimón 26 pre-arb 1341.4 0.5 +3.3
Kevin Correia 32 FA-elig 321.3 4.5 -1.0
Samuel Deduno 29 pre-arb 181.2 0.3 +2.8
Casey Fien 29 arb 731.1 0.5 +2.3
Anthony Swarzak 27 arb 480.9 0.5 +2.0
Justin Morneau↔ PIT 32 FA-elig 1270.9 11.7 -9.2
Jared Burton 32 FA-elig 710.9 2.0 +0.4
Andrew Albers 27 – 100.9 0.2 +2.3
Brian Duensing 30 arb 730.9 1.3 +1.1
Trevor Plouffe 27 arb 1290.8 0.5 +1.7
Josmil Pinto 24 pre-arb 210.7 0.1 +1.9
Caleb Thielbar 26 – 490.5 0.4 +1.1
Josh Willingham 34 FA-elig 1110.5 7.0 -5.7
Doug Bernier 33 – 330.4 0.2 +0.9
Aaron Hicks 23 pre-arb 810.4 0.5 +0.6
Ryan Pressly 24 pre-arb 490.4 0.5 +0.5
Eric Fryer 27 pre-arb 60.4 0.1 +0.9
Michael Tonkin 23 – 90.2 0.1 +0.5
Alex Presley↔ PIT 27 pre-arb 280.2 0.1 +0.4
Oswaldo Arcia 22 pre-arb 970.1 0.3 +0.1
P.J. Walters 28 pre-arb 80.1 0.1 +0.1
Scott Diamond 26 pre-arb 240.1 0.5 -0.4
Eduardo Escobar 24 pre-arb 660.0 0.5 -0.4
Wilkin Ramirez 27 arb 350.0 0.5 -0.4
Josh Roenicke 30 arb 63-0.0 0.5 -0.6
Drew Butera↔ LAD 29 arb 2-0.0 0.2 -0.3
Kyle Gibson 25 – 10-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Chris Parmelee 25 pre-arb 101-0.1 0.5 -0.7
Clete Thomas 29 pre-arb 92-0.1 0.3 -0.5
Liam Hendriks 24 pre-arb 10-0.1 0.5 -0.8
Chris Colabello 29 pre-arb 55-0.1 0.4 -0.7
Shairon Martis 26 – 6-0.2 0.1 -0.5
Vance Worley 25 arb 10-0.2 0.5 -1.1
Chris Herrmann 25 pre-arb 57-0.2 0.3 -0.9
Cole De Vries 28 pre-arb 4-0.3 0.5 -1.2
Tyler Robertson 25 pre-arb 2-0.3 0.5 -1.2
Pedro Hernandez 24 pre-arb 14-0.3 0.2 -0.9
Jamey Carroll↔ KCR 39 FA-elig 59-0.3 3.0 -3.9
Darin Mastroianni 27 pre-arb 30-0.7 0.5 -2.4
Ryan Doumit 32 FA-elig 135-1.4 3.5 -7.3

Key additions (new vs 2012)

PlayerfWAR
Mike Pelfrey2.4
Kevin Correia1.3
Andrew Albers0.9
Josmil Pinto0.7
Caleb Thielbar0.5
Doug Bernier0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2012)

Player2012 fWAR
Denard Span3.2
Ben Revere2.1
Francisco Liriano0.9
Carl Pavano0.7
Alexi Casilla0.5
Alex Burnett0.4

Current & Historical Payroll

2013 payroll
$74.4M

What the front office was committed to as of 2013, 2013–2019. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (7)

PlayerAgeSvc2013201420152016201720182019
Joe Mauer309.000$23.0M$23.0M$23.0M$23.0M$23.0M$23.0MFREE AGENT
Justin Morneau328.168$11.7MFREE AGENT
Josh Willingham347.123$7.0M$5.2MFREE AGENT
Kevin Correia328.027$4.5M$4.0MFREE AGENT
Ryan Doumit327.120$3.5MFREE AGENT
Jamey Carroll3910.020$3.0MFREE AGENT
Glen Perkins3010.010$2.5M$4.0M$4.7M$6.3M$6.5MFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (5)

PlayerAgeSvc2013201420152016201720182019
Mike Pelfrey295.122$4.0MFREE AGENT
Jared Burton325.014$2.0MFREE AGENT
Brian Duensing303.104$1.3MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Roenicke303.062$505kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shairon Martis265.000$59kFREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (32)

PlayerAgeSvc2013201420152016201720182019
Scott Diamond261.161$530kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Vance Worley251.152$525kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eduardo Escobar241.001$520kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trevor Plouffe271.162$520kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anthony Swarzak272.038$502kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Casey Fien290.143$500kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Darin Mastroianni270.149$500kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Liam Hendriks240.118$500kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cole De Vries281.000$500kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Parmelee252.058$498kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Dozier260.100$498kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Florimón260.073$495kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Robertson250.101$495kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Hicks230.000$490kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Pressly240.000$490kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wilkin Ramirez271.084$490kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Caleb Thielbar260.131$356kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Colabello292.089$353kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Samuel Deduno290.139$348kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Clete Thomas291.027$321kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Oswaldo Arcia222.020$273kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Herrmann250.020$254kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Butera292.156$233kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Hernandez240.001$203kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Doug Bernier330.112$203kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Albers270.000$158kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Gibson250.000$150kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
P.J. Walters281.114$118kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josmil Pinto240.131$83kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Tonkin230.000$78kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Fryer272.108$59kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Presley271.091$53kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Twins 2013; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.