RRosternomics

Twins MIN

GM: Terry Ryan

Overview

REBUILD ↗ rising
cheap & losing · year 4 in this regime · payroll 0.31× league · TAB -3.1
-3.1TAB — talent above budget20th/30
+2.3WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)13th/30
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars14th/30
-7.5dead WAR — sub-replacement drag25th/30
38%dead money %23rd/30
0.426win %26th/30
16.7roster fWAR30th/30
+8surplus $M (value vs cost)6th/30
$17Mpayroll $M30th/30

Roster

CFTorii Hunter 98GJacque Jones 63GDenny Hocking 21G
LFJacque Jones 90GMatt Lawton III 67GDenny Hocking 16G
RFMatt Lawton III 83GBrian Buchanan 24GDenny Hocking 19G
SSCristian Guzman 151GDenny Hocking 15GJason Maxwell 5G
2BJay Canizaro 90GDenny Hocking 47GJason Maxwell 30G
3BCorey Koskie 139GJason Maxwell 19GDenny Hocking 16G
1BRon Coomer 124GDavid Ortiz 27GDenny Hocking 12G
STARTERSBrad Radke 4.2WAREric Milton 2.8WARMark Redman 2.1WARJoe Mays 2.0WARJ.C. Romero 0.6WAR
CMarcus Jensen 49GMatthew LeCroy 49GChad Moeller 48G
DHDavid Ortiz 84GButch Huskey 36GMidre Cummings 10G
BULLPEN Bob Wells 10svTravis Miller 10hEddie Guardado 8hLaTroy Hawkins 7hJason Ryan 1hJack Cressend 0hMike Lincoln 0hDanny Mota 0h
CMarcus Jensen 49 · Matthew LeCroy 49 · Chad Moeller 48
1BRon Coomer 124 · David Ortiz 27 · Denny Hocking 12
2BJay Canizaro 90 · Denny Hocking 47 · Jason Maxwell 30
3BCorey Koskie 139 · Jason Maxwell 19 · Denny Hocking 16
SSCristian Guzman 151 · Denny Hocking 15 · Jason Maxwell 5
LFJacque Jones 90 · Matt Lawton III 67 · Denny Hocking 16
CFTorii Hunter 98 · Jacque Jones 63 · Denny Hocking 21
RFMatt Lawton III 83 · Brian Buchanan 24 · Denny Hocking 19
DHDavid Ortiz 84 · Butch Huskey 36 · Midre Cummings 10
SPBrad Radke 4.2 · Eric Milton 2.8 · Mark Redman 2.1 · Joe Mays 2.0 · J.C. Romero 0.6
BP Bob Wells 10 · Travis Miller 10 · Eddie Guardado 8 · LaTroy Hawkins 7 · Jason Ryan 1 · Jack Cressend 0 · Mike Lincoln 0 · Danny Mota 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2000 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Brad Radke 27 arb 344.2 3.5 +2.4
Eric Milton 24 pre-arb 332.8 0.3 +3.7
Corey Koskie 27 pre-arb 1462.6 0.2 +3.4
Matt Lawton III 28 arb 1562.3 2.0 +1.2
Mark Redman 26 pre-arb 322.1 0.2 +2.8
Joe Mays 24 pre-arb 312.0 0.2 +2.6
Jacque Jones 25 pre-arb 1541.3 0.2 +1.7
LaTroy Hawkins 27 arb 661.1 1.1 +0.4
Travis Miller 27 arb 671.0 0.2 +1.2
Bob Wells 33 FA-elig 761.0 0.7 +0.7
David Ortiz 24 arb 1300.7 0.2 +0.7
Hector Carrasco↔ BOS 30 FA-elig 610.6 0.7 +0.2
J.C. Romero 24 pre-arb 120.6 0.2 +0.6
A.J. Pierzynski 23 pre-arb 330.6 0.2 +0.6
Denny Hocking 30 FA-elig 1340.5 0.5 +0.2
John Barnes 24 110.3
Marcus Jensen 27 arb 520.2 0.3 -0.0
Jack Cressend 25 pre-arb 110.2 0.2 +0.0
Chad Allen 25 150.1
Midre Cummings↔ BOS 28 FA-elig 770.0 0.2 -0.2
Matt Kinney 23 pre-arb 80.0 0.2 -0.2
Danny Mota 24 4-0.0
Johan Santana 21 pre-arb 30-0.0 0.2 -0.2
Casey Blake 26 7-0.0
Danny Ardoin 25 15-0.0
Doug Mientkiewicz 26 3-0.1
Luis Rivas 20 16-0.1
Torii Hunter 24 arb 99-0.1 0.2 -0.4
Jason Maxwell 28 pre-arb 64-0.1 0.2 -0.3
Cristian Guzman 22 pre-arb 156-0.1 0.2 -0.4
Ron Coomer 33 arb 140-0.1 1.5 -1.7
Jay Canizaro 26 102-0.2
Jason Ryan 24 16-0.4
Eddie Guardado 29 FA-elig 70-0.5 0.9 -1.6
Sean Bergman 30 FA-elig 15-0.6 1.2 -2.1
Chad Moeller 25 pre-arb 48-0.7 0.2 -1.2
Mike Lincoln 25 pre-arb 8-0.8 0.2 -1.3
Todd Walker↔ COL 27 arb 23-0.8 0.1 -1.2
Brian Buchanan 26 30-0.8
Matthew LeCroy 24 pre-arb 56-1.0 0.2 -1.6
Butch Huskey↔ COL 28 FA-elig 64-1.1 0.3 -1.8

Key additions (new vs 1999)

PlayerfWAR
John Barnes0.3
Marcus Jensen0.2
Jack Cressend0.2
Matt Kinney0.0
Danny Mota-0.0
Johan Santana-0.0

Key subtractions (gone from 1999)

Player1999 fWAR
Terry Steinbach0.9
Marty Cordova0.9
Brent Gates0.8
Javier Valentin0.7
Mike Trombley0.5
Rick Aguilera0.4

Current & Historical Payroll

2000 payroll
$16.9M

What the front office was committed to as of 2000, 2000–2006. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (7)

PlayerAgeSvc2000200120022003200420052006
Sean Bergman307.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Eddie Guardado297.000$875k$1.8M$1.8M$2.7MFREE AGENT
Hector Carrasco306.000$729k$400kFREE AGENT
Bob Wells336.000$700k$1.1M$1.7MFREE AGENT
Denny Hocking307.000$500k$900k$1.1M$1.0MFREE AGENT
Butch Huskey287.000$294kFREE AGENT
Midre Cummings287.000$236kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2000200120022003200420052006
Brad Radke275.000$3.5MFREE AGENT
Matt Lawton III285.000$2.0MFREE AGENT
Ron Coomer335.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
LaTroy Hawkins275.000$1.1MFREE AGENT
Marcus Jensen274.000$285kARB 3FREE AGENT
Travis Miller274.000$225kARB 3FREE AGENT
Torii Hunter243.000$225kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Ortiz243.000$220kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Todd Walker274.000$93kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jay Canizaro264.000ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (24)

PlayerAgeSvc2000200120022003200420052006
Eric Milton242.000$285kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Corey Koskie272.000$245kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Mays241.000$240kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cristian Guzman221.000$230kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jacque Jones251.000$225kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Lincoln251.000$208kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
A.J. Pierzynski232.000$202kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Maxwell282.000$202kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chad Moeller250.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jack Cressend250.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Kinney230.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matthew LeCroy240.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.C. Romero241.000$200kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Redman261.000$200kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Johan Santana210.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Doug Mientkiewicz262.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Ryan241.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chad Allen251.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Buchanan260.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Danny Mota24
Danny Ardoin250.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Casey Blake261.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Rivas200.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Barnes240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Twins 2000; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3