RRosternomics

Twins MIN

GM: Terry Ryan

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 3 in this regime · payroll 0.39× league · TAB -8.9
-8.9TAB — talent above budget26th/30
-5.9WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)19th/30
3.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars29th/30
-9.8dead WAR — sub-replacement drag28th/30
37%dead money %22nd/30
0.394win %30th/30
13.6roster fWAR29th/30
-0surplus $M (value vs cost)11th/30
$19Mpayroll $M29th/30

Roster

CFTorii Hunter 107GJacque Jones 82GDenny Hocking 11G
LFChad Allen 133GDenny Hocking 17GTorii Hunter 16G
RFMatt Lawton III 103GCorey Koskie 25GMarty Cordova 25G
SSCristian Guzman 131GDenny Hocking 61GCleatus Davidson 4G
2BTodd Walker 103GDenny Hocking 56GBrent Gates 47G
3BCorey Koskie 79GBrent Gates 61GRon Coomer 57G
1BDoug Mientkiewicz 110GRon Coomer 71GBrent Gates 5G
STARTERSBrad Radke 3.6WAREric Milton 3.6WARJoe Mays 1.6WARLaTroy Hawkins 1.4WARMike Lincoln 0.4WAR
CTerry Steinbach 96GJavier Valentin 76GA.J. Pierzynski 9G
DHMarty Cordova 84GTodd Walker 34GCorey Koskie 12G
BULLPEN Mike Trombley 24svBob Wells 17hEddie Guardado 15hTravis Miller 8hHector Carrasco 7hBenj Sampson 0hRob Radlosky 0hJ.C. Romero 0h
CTerry Steinbach 96 · Javier Valentin 76 · A.J. Pierzynski 9
1BDoug Mientkiewicz 110 · Ron Coomer 71 · Brent Gates 5
2BTodd Walker 103 · Denny Hocking 56 · Brent Gates 47
3BCorey Koskie 79 · Brent Gates 61 · Ron Coomer 57
SSCristian Guzman 131 · Denny Hocking 61 · Cleatus Davidson 4
LFChad Allen 133 · Denny Hocking 17 · Torii Hunter 16
CFTorii Hunter 107 · Jacque Jones 82 · Denny Hocking 11
RFMatt Lawton III 103 · Corey Koskie 25 · Marty Cordova 25
DHMarty Cordova 84 · Todd Walker 34 · Corey Koskie 12
SPBrad Radke 3.6 · Eric Milton 3.6 · Joe Mays 1.6 · LaTroy Hawkins 1.4 · Mike Lincoln 0.4
BP Mike Trombley 24 · Bob Wells 17 · Eddie Guardado 15 · Travis Miller 8 · Hector Carrasco 7 · Benj Sampson 0 · Rob Radlosky 0 · J.C. Romero 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1999 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Brad Radke 26 arb 333.6 2.2 +2.3
Eric Milton 23 pre-arb 343.6 0.2 +4.3
Corey Koskie 26 pre-arb 1172.7 0.2 +3.2
Jacque Jones 24 pre-arb 951.7 0.2 +1.9
Joe Mays 23 pre-arb 491.6 0.2 +1.8
LaTroy Hawkins 26 arb 331.4 0.3 +1.4
Travis Miller 26 arb 521.0 0.2 +1.1
Ron Coomer 32 arb 1270.9 1.1 +0.0
Terry Steinbach 37 FA-elig 1010.9 1.0 +0.2
Marty Cordova 29 arb 1240.9 3.0 -1.9
Brent Gates 29 FA-elig 1100.8 0.4 +0.6
Javier Valentin 23 pre-arb 780.7 0.2 +0.7
Hector Carrasco 29 arb 390.7 0.8 +0.0
Mike Trombley 32 FA-elig 750.5 1.5 -0.8
Bob Wells 32 arb 760.5 0.3 +0.3
Rick Aguilera↔ CHC 37 FA-elig 170.4 1.2 -0.7
Mike Lincoln 24 pre-arb 180.4 0.2 +0.3
Eddie Guardado 28 FA-elig 630.4 0.8 -0.4
Matt Lawton III 27 arb 1180.2 1.7 -1.4
J.C. Romero 23 pre-arb 50.2 0.2 +0.0
Torii Hunter 23 pre-arb 1350.1 0.2 -0.0
A.J. Pierzynski 22 pre-arb 90.1 0.2 -0.1
Mark Redman 25 pre-arb 5-0.0 0.2 -0.2
Midre Cummings 27 FA-elig 16-0.1 0.2 -0.4
Cleatus Davidson 22 12-0.1
Gary Rath 26 5-0.1
Dan Perkins 24 pre-arb 29-0.2 0.2 -0.5
Todd Walker 26 arb 143-0.3 0.3 -0.6
Jason Ryan 23 pre-arb 8-0.3 0.2 -0.6
David Ortiz 23 10-0.5
Chris Latham 26 pre-arb 14-0.6 0.2 -0.9
Benj Sampson 24 pre-arb 30-0.7 0.2 -1.1
Rob Radlosky 25 7-0.7
Chad Allen 24 pre-arb 137-0.9 0.2 -1.3
Denny Hocking 29 FA-elig 136-0.9 0.3 -1.5
Doug Mientkiewicz 25 pre-arb 118-1.3 0.2 -1.8
Cristian Guzman 21 pre-arb 131-3.1 0.2 -4.1

Key additions (new vs 1998)

PlayerfWAR
Jacque Jones1.7
Joe Mays1.6
Bob Wells0.5
Mike Lincoln0.4
J.C. Romero0.2
Mark Redman-0.0

Key subtractions (gone from 1998)

Player1998 fWAR
Bob Tewksbury1.9
Frankie Rodriguez1.3
Mike Morgan1.0
Dan Serafini0.4
Todd Ritchie0.3
Greg Swindell0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

1999 payroll
$19.0M

What the front office was committed to as of 1999, 1999–2005. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (7)

PlayerAgeSvc1999200020012002200320042005
Mike Trombley327.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
Rick Aguilera3714.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Terry Steinbach3713.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Eddie Guardado286.000$850k$875k$1.8M$1.8M$2.7MFREE AGENT
Brent Gates296.000$425kFREE AGENT
Denny Hocking296.000$325k$500k$900k$1.1M$1.0MFREE AGENT
Midre Cummings276.000$250k$236kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc1999200020012002200320042005
Marty Cordova294.000$3.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Radke264.000$2.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Lawton III274.000$1.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
Ron Coomer324.000$1.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Hector Carrasco295.000$800kFREE AGENT
Bob Wells325.000$350kFREE AGENT
LaTroy Hawkins264.000$300kARB 3FREE AGENT
Todd Walker263.000$278kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Travis Miller263.000$205kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (21)

PlayerAgeSvc1999200020012002200320042005
Eric Milton231.000$240kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Javier Valentin232.000$208kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Latham262.000$202kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Torii Hunter232.000$200kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Corey Koskie261.000$200kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Benj Sampson241.000$200kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Doug Mientkiewicz251.000$200kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Ryan230.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chad Allen240.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cristian Guzman210.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jacque Jones240.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Lincoln240.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Mays230.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dan Perkins240.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
A.J. Pierzynski221.000$200kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Redman250.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.C. Romero230.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Ortiz232.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gary Rath26
Cleatus Davidson22
Rob Radlosky25

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Twins 1999; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3