RRosternomics

Twins MIN

GM: Terry Ryan

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.43× league · TAB +9.8
+9.8TAB — talent above budget6th/30
+14.1WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)3rd/30
8.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars7th/30
-4.0dead WAR — sub-replacement drag12th/30
35%dead money %19th/30
0.525win %13th/30
33.5roster fWAR17th/30
+28surplus $M (value vs cost)2nd/30
$26Mpayroll $M30th/30

Roster

CFTorii Hunter 147GBobby Kielty 11GDenny Hocking 5G
LFJacque Jones 137GChad Allen 16GBobby Kielty 11G
RFBrian Buchanan 39GBobby Kielty 17GDustan Mohr 15G
SSCristian Guzman 118GDenny Hocking 47GJason Maxwell 12G
2BLuis Rivas 150GDenny Hocking 17GJason Maxwell 9G
3BCorey Koskie 150GJason Maxwell 11GDenny Hocking 6G
1BDoug Mientkiewicz 148GDenny Hocking 11GDavid Ortiz 8G
STARTERSBrad Radke 4.6WARJoe Mays 3.1WAREric Milton 2.1WARRick Reed 0.4WARKyle Lohse 0.4WAR
CA.J. Pierzynski 110GTom Prince 64GMatthew LeCroy 3G
DHDavid Ortiz 75GChad Allen 19GBrian Buchanan 18G
BULLPEN LaTroy Hawkins 28svBob Wells 16hEddie Guardado 14hTodd Jones 10hTravis Miller 5hJack Cressend 5hHector Carrasco 1hJohan Santana 0h
CA.J. Pierzynski 110 · Tom Prince 64 · Matthew LeCroy 3
1BDoug Mientkiewicz 148 · Denny Hocking 11 · David Ortiz 8
2BLuis Rivas 150 · Denny Hocking 17 · Jason Maxwell 9
3BCorey Koskie 150 · Jason Maxwell 11 · Denny Hocking 6
SSCristian Guzman 118 · Denny Hocking 47 · Jason Maxwell 12
LFJacque Jones 137 · Chad Allen 16 · Bobby Kielty 11
CFTorii Hunter 147 · Bobby Kielty 11 · Denny Hocking 5
RFBrian Buchanan 39 · Bobby Kielty 17 · Dustan Mohr 15
DHDavid Ortiz 75 · Chad Allen 19 · Brian Buchanan 18
SPBrad Radke 4.6 · Joe Mays 3.1 · Eric Milton 2.1 · Rick Reed 0.4 · Kyle Lohse 0.4
BP LaTroy Hawkins 28 · Bob Wells 16 · Eddie Guardado 14 · Todd Jones 10 · Travis Miller 5 · Jack Cressend 5 · Hector Carrasco 1 · Johan Santana 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2001 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Corey Koskie 28 arb 1535.8 0.3 +9.0
Brad Radke 28 FA-elig 334.6 7.8 -0.4
Torii Hunter 25 arb 1484.2 0.2 +6.6
Cristian Guzman 23 pre-arb 1183.9 0.3 +6.0
Joe Mays 25 pre-arb 343.1 0.3 +4.7
Doug Mientkiewicz 27 arb 1512.5 0.2 +3.8
Matt Lawton III↔ NYM 29 FA-elig 1032.2 2.7 +0.9
Eric Milton 25 arb 352.1 2.1 +1.3
A.J. Pierzynski 24 arb 1141.7 0.2 +2.5
Eddie Guardado 30 FA-elig 671.4 1.8 +0.4
Jacque Jones 26 pre-arb 1491.0 0.3 +1.3
Tom Prince 36 FA-elig 640.8 0.4 +0.9
Hector Carrasco 31 FA-elig 560.6 0.4 +0.6
Brian Buchanan 27 pre-arb 690.6 0.2 +0.7
Matthew LeCroy 25 150.6
Mark Redman↔ DET 27 pre-arb 90.5 0.2 +0.5
Rick Reed↔ NYM 35 FA-elig 120.4 2.5 -1.8
Kyle Lohse 22 190.4
J.C. Romero 25 pre-arb 140.4 0.2 +0.4
Jack Cressend 26 440.3
David Ortiz 25 arb 890.3 0.3 +0.3
Tony Fiore↔ TBR 29 40.1
Michael Cuddyer 22 80.1
Travis Miller 28 arb 450.1 0.3 -0.2
Dustan Mohr 25 200.0
Johan Santana 22 pre-arb 15-0.0 0.2 -0.2
Todd Jones↔ DET 33 FA-elig 24-0.0 1.4 -1.4
Juan Rincon 22 4-0.0
Mike Duvall 26 8-0.0
Casey Blake↔ BAL 27 13-0.1
Bobby Kielty 24 37-0.1
Chad Allen 26 pre-arb 57-0.1 0.2 -0.4
LaTroy Hawkins 28 FA-elig 62-0.1 1.4 -1.7
Grant Balfour 23 2-0.2
Quinton McCracken 30 24-0.2
John Barnes 25 pre-arb 9-0.3 0.2 -0.7
Denny Hocking 31 FA-elig 112-0.3 0.9 -1.4
Adam Johnson 21 7-0.4
Jason Maxwell 29 arb 39-0.4 0.2 -0.9
Bob Wells 34 FA-elig 65-0.5 1.1 -1.9
Luis Rivas 21 pre-arb 153-0.6 0.2 -1.1
Brad Thomas 23 5-0.7

Key additions (new vs 2000)

PlayerfWAR
Tom Prince0.8
Rick Reed0.4
Kyle Lohse0.4
Tony Fiore0.1
Michael Cuddyer0.1
Dustan Mohr0.0

Key subtractions (gone from 2000)

Player2000 fWAR
Marcus Jensen0.2
Midre Cummings0.0
Matt Kinney0.0
Danny Mota-0.0
Danny Ardoin-0.0
Ron Coomer-0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2001 payroll
$26.5M

What the front office was committed to as of 2001, 2001–2007. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2001200220032004200520062007
Brad Radke286.000$7.8M$8.8M$8.8M$10.8M$9.0M$9.0MFREE AGENT
Matt Lawton III296.000$2.7MFREE AGENT
Rick Reed3513.000$2.5M$7.0M$8.0MFREE AGENT
Eddie Guardado308.000$1.8M$1.8M$2.7MFREE AGENT
LaTroy Hawkins286.000$1.4M$2.8M$3.0MFREE AGENT
Todd Jones338.000$1.4MFREE AGENT
Bob Wells347.000$1.1M$1.7MFREE AGENT
Denny Hocking318.000$900k$1.1M$1.0MFREE AGENT
Hector Carrasco317.000$400kFREE AGENT
Tom Prince3614.000$400k$450k$338kFREE AGENT
Quinton McCracken306.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2001200220032004200520062007
Eric Milton253.000$2.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Corey Koskie283.000$300kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Ortiz254.000$260kARB 3FREE AGENT
Travis Miller285.000$255kFREE AGENT
Torii Hunter254.000$230kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Maxwell293.000$215kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Doug Mientkiewicz273.000$215kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
A.J. Pierzynski243.000$210kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Duvall263.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (22)

PlayerAgeSvc2001200220032004200520062007
Cristian Guzman232.000$325kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jacque Jones262.000$275kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Mays252.000$260kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chad Allen262.000$240kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Johan Santana221.000$212kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.C. Romero252.000$208kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Buchanan271.000$205kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Rivas211.000$200kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Barnes251.000$200kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Redman272.000$192kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Fiore291.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jack Cressend261.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Cuddyer220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matthew LeCroy251.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Casey Blake272.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bobby Kielty240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Grant Balfour230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Lohse220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Juan Rincon220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Thomas230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Johnson21
Dustan Mohr250.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Twins 2001; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3