RRosternomics
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Marlins MIA

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GM: Larry Beinfest

Overview

WINDOW ↘ cooling
cheap & winning · year 8 in this regime · payroll 0.43× league · TAB +5.2
+5.2TAB — talent above budget10th/30
-0.1WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)17th/30
7.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars10th/30
-4.5dead WAR — sub-replacement drag14th/30
42%dead money %24th/30
0.438win %25th/30
29.1roster fWAR18th/30
+30surplus $M (value vs cost)2nd/30
$36Mpayroll $M28th/30

Roster

CFAlfredo Amezaga 87GCody Ross 36GAlejandro De Aza 35G
LFJosh Willingham 137GTodd Linden 37GJoe Borchard 14G
RFJeremy Hermida 116GJoe Borchard 34GCody Ross 19G
SSHanley Ramirez 151GAlfredo Amezaga 18GRobert Andino 3G
2BDan Uggla 158GAlfredo Amezaga 11GJason Wood 2G
3BMiguel Cabrera 153GAlfredo Amezaga 12GAaron Boone 12G
1BMike Jacobs 108GAaron Boone 48GJason Wood 45G
STARTERSSergio Mitre 2.2WARDontrelle Willis 2.2WARScott Olsen 0.6WARAníbal Sánchez 0.1WARRick Van Den Hurk -0.1WAR
CMiguel Olivo 119GMatt Treanor 53GPaul Hoover 2G
DHMiguel Cabrera 3GJosh Willingham 3GHanley Ramirez 1G
BULLPEN★ Kevin Gregg 32svMatt Lindstrom 20hJustin Miller 17hTaylor Tankersley 16hRenyel Pinto 16hArmando Benítez 11hLee Gardner 9hHenry Owens 5h
CMiguel Olivo 119 · Matt Treanor 53 · Paul Hoover 2
1BMike Jacobs 108 · Aaron Boone 48 · Jason Wood 45
2BDan Uggla 158 · Alfredo Amezaga 11 · Jason Wood 2
3BMiguel Cabrera 153 · Alfredo Amezaga 12 · Aaron Boone 12
SSHanley Ramirez 151 · Alfredo Amezaga 18 · Robert Andino 3
LFJosh Willingham 137 · Todd Linden 37 · Joe Borchard 14
CFAlfredo Amezaga 87 · Cody Ross 36 · Alejandro De Aza 35
RFJeremy Hermida 116 · Joe Borchard 34 · Cody Ross 19
DHMiguel Cabrera 3 · Josh Willingham 3 · Hanley Ramirez 1
SPSergio Mitre 2.2 · Dontrelle Willis 2.2 · Scott Olsen 0.6 · Aníbal Sánchez 0.1 · Rick Van Den Hurk -0.1
BP★ Kevin Gregg 32 · Matt Lindstrom 20 · Justin Miller 17 · Taylor Tankersley 16 · Renyel Pinto 16 · Armando Benítez 11 · Lee Gardner 9 · Henry Owens 5

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2007 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Hanley Ramirez 23 pre-arb 1545.2 0.4 +10.8
Miguel Cabrera 24 arb 1575.0 7.4 +3.4
Dan Uggla 27 pre-arb 1592.4 0.4 +4.8
Jeremy Hermida 23 pre-arb 1232.2 0.4 +4.4
Sergio Mitre 26 arb 272.2 0.4 +4.3
Cody Ross 26 arb 662.2 0.4 +4.3
Dontrelle Willis 25 arb 382.2 6.5 -1.8
Alfredo Amezaga 29 arb 1332.0 0.4 +3.9
Josh Willingham 28 arb 1441.8 0.4 +3.5
Lee Gardner 32 arb 621.4 0.4 +2.7
Matt Lindstrom 27 pre-arb 711.4 0.4 +2.6
Justin Miller 29 – 621.1 – –
Kevin Gregg 29 arb 741.0 0.6 +1.7
Miguel Olivo 28 arb 1220.7 2.0 -0.4
Scott Olsen 23 pre-arb 330.6 0.4 +1.0
Matt Treanor 31 arb 550.6 0.4 +0.8
Randy Messenger↔ SFG 25 pre-arb 230.3 0.1 +0.6
Todd Linden↔ SFG 27 arb 850.3 0.3 +0.3
Taylor Tankersley 24 pre-arb 670.2 0.4 +0.0
Logan Kensing 24 arb 90.2 0.4 -0.0
Josh Johnson 23 pre-arb 40.1 0.4 -0.1
Aaron Boone 34 FA-elig 690.1 0.9 -0.7
Chris Seddon 23 – 70.1 – –
Aníbal Sánchez 23 pre-arb 60.1 0.4 -0.3
Joe Borchard 28 arb 850.0 0.4 -0.3
Reggie Abercrombie 25 – 350.0 – –
Robert Andino 23 – 70.0 – –
Marcos Carvajal 22 – 30.0 – –
Erasmo Ramirez↔ OAK 31 – 40.0 – –
Renyel Pinto 24 pre-arb 570.0 0.4 -0.3
Nate Field 31 – 10.0 – –
Paul Hoover 31 – 30.0 – –
Henry Owens 28 pre-arb 22-0.0 0.4 -0.5
Ricky Nolasco 24 pre-arb 5-0.0 0.4 -0.5
Armando Benitez↔ SFG 34 FA-elig 36-0.1 6.5 -6.6
Rick Van Den Hurk 22 – 18-0.1 – –
Byung-Hyun Kim↔ ARI 28 FA-elig 23-0.1 2.1 -2.3
Jason Wood 37 FA-elig 98-0.1 0.4 -0.6
Harvey Garcia 23 – 8-0.1 – –
Mauro Zarate 24 – 4-0.1 – –
John Gall 29 – 3-0.2 – –
Wes Obermueller 30 – 19-0.2 – –
Carlos Martinez 25 pre-arb 2-0.2 0.4 -0.8
Ross Wolf 24 – 14-0.3 – –
Brett Carroll 24 – 23-0.4 – –
Eric Reed 26 – 18-0.4 – –
Alejandro De Aza 23 pre-arb 45-0.4 0.4 -1.3
Jorge Julio↔ COL 28 FA-elig 10-0.5 0.5 -1.5
Mike Jacobs 26 pre-arb 114-0.5 0.4 -1.5
Daniel Barone 24 – 16-0.8 – –

Key additions (new vs 2006)

PlayerfWAR
Lee Gardner1.4
Matt Lindstrom1.4
Justin Miller1.1
Kevin Gregg1.0
Todd Linden0.3
Aaron Boone0.1

Key subtractions (gone from 2006)

Player2006 fWAR
Wes Helms1.8
Joe Borowski0.7
Matt Herges0.3
Jose Garcia0.1
Todd Wellemeyer0.1
Brian Moehler0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2007 payroll
$35.6M

What the front office was committed to as of 2007, 2007–2013. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (6)

PlayerAgeSvc2007200820092010201120122013
Armando Benitez3413.000$6.5MFREE AGENT
Byung-Hyun Kim288.000$2.1MFREE AGENT
Aaron Boone3410.000$925kFREE AGENT
Jorge Julio286.000$529kFREE AGENT
Jason Wood379.000$390k$390kFREE AGENT
Paul Hoover316.000—$390kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (17)

PlayerAgeSvc2007200820092010201120122013
Miguel Cabrera244.000$7.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Dontrelle Willis254.000$6.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel Olivo285.000$2.0MFREE AGENT
Kevin Gregg294.000$575kARB 3FREE AGENT
Lee Gardner325.000$390kFREE AGENT
Matt Treanor313.000$380kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Borchard285.000$380kFREE AGENT
Alfredo Amezaga295.000$380kFREE AGENT
Josh Willingham283.000$380kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cody Ross264.000$380kARB 3FREE AGENT
Logan Kensing243.000$380kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sergio Mitre264.000$380kARB 3FREE AGENT
Todd Linden274.000$285kARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Miller295.000—FREE AGENT
Erasmo Ramirez314.000—ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nate Field315.000—FREE AGENT
Wes Obermueller305.000—FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (27)

PlayerAgeSvc2007200820092010201120122013
Hanley Ramirez232.000$402kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dan Uggla271.000$392kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Johnson232.000$382kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aníbal Sánchez231.000$381kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Taylor Tankersley241.000$380kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Jacobs262.000$380kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Renyel Pinto241.000$380kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Lindstrom270.000$380kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alejandro De Aza230.000$380kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Olsen232.000$380kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ricky Nolasco241.000$380kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeremy Hermida232.000$380kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Martinez251.000$380kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Henry Owens281.000$380kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Randy Messenger252.000$146kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Gall29–—
Reggie Abercrombie251.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Reed261.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Seddon230.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marcos Carvajal222.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robert Andino232.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brett Carroll240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ross Wolf24–—
Daniel Barone24–—
Harvey Garcia23–—
Rick Van Den Hurk220.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mauro Zarate24–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Marlins 2007; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.