RRosternomics
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Marlins MIA

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GM: Dave Dombrowski

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.39× league · TAB +5.3
+5.3TAB — talent above budget9th/30
+9.8WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)5th/30
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars14th/30
-3.7dead WAR — sub-replacement drag12th/30
24%dead money %12th/30
0.491win %17th/30
27.7roster fWAR19th/30
+12surplus $M (value vs cost)5th/30
$21Mpayroll $M29th/30

Roster

CFPreston Wilson 158GMark Kotsay 9G
LFCliff Floyd 108GHenry Rodriguez 94GMark Smith 29G
RFMark Kotsay 139GMark Smith 25GAndy Fox 9G
SSÁlex González 104GDave Berg 49GAndy Fox 33G
2BLuis Castillo 136GChris Clapinski 14GDave Berg 11G
3BMike Lowell 136GAndy Fox 32GKevin Millar 13G
1BDerrek Lee 147GKevin Millar 34GNate Rolison 4G
STARTERSChuck Smith 3.2WARRyan Dempster 2.8WARA.J. Burnett 1.4WARJesus Sanchez 1.0WARBrad Penny 0.9WAR
CMike Redmond 85GRamon Castro 50GSandy Martínez 9G
DHKevin Millar 6GCliff Floyd 1GMark Smith 1G
BULLPEN★ Antonio Alfonseca 45svBraden Looper 18hArmando Almanza 13hDan Miceli 11hRicky Bones 6hVic Darensbourg 3hRon Mahay 2hManny Aybar 1h
CMike Redmond 85 · Ramon Castro 50 · Sandy Martínez 9
1BDerrek Lee 147 · Kevin Millar 34 · Nate Rolison 4
2BLuis Castillo 136 · Chris Clapinski 14 · Dave Berg 11
3BMike Lowell 136 · Andy Fox 32 · Kevin Millar 13
SSÁlex González 104 · Dave Berg 49 · Andy Fox 33
LFCliff Floyd 108 · Henry Rodriguez 94 · Mark Smith 29
CFPreston Wilson 158 · Mark Kotsay 9
RFMark Kotsay 139 · Mark Smith 25 · Andy Fox 9
DHKevin Millar 6 · Cliff Floyd 1 · Mark Smith 1
SPChuck Smith 3.2 · Ryan Dempster 2.8 · A.J. Burnett 1.4 · Jesus Sanchez 1.0 · Brad Penny 0.9
BP★ Antonio Alfonseca 45 · Braden Looper 18 · Armando Almanza 13 · Dan Miceli 11 · Ricky Bones 6 · Vic Darensbourg 3 · Ron Mahay 2 · Manny Aybar 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2000 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Luis Castillo 24 arb 1363.8 0.4 +4.9
Chuck Smith 30 – 213.2 – –
Ryan Dempster 23 pre-arb 332.8 0.3 +3.7
Mike Lowell 26 pre-arb 1402.6 0.3 +3.5
Mark Kotsay 24 arb 1522.5 0.3 +3.2
Cliff Floyd 27 FA-elig 1212.4 4.5 -1.0
Preston Wilson 25 pre-arb 1611.9 0.3 +2.4
Kevin Millar 28 pre-arb 1231.9 0.3 +2.4
Derrek Lee 24 arb 1581.8 0.2 +2.3
A.J. Burnett 23 pre-arb 131.4 0.2 +1.9
Jesus Sanchez 25 pre-arb 451.0 0.3 +1.2
Ricky Bones 31 – 560.9 – –
Brad Penny 22 pre-arb 240.9 0.2 +1.1
Dan Miceli 29 FA-elig 450.8 1.5 -0.4
Antonio Alfonseca 28 arb 680.7 0.4 +0.6
Alex Fernandez 30 FA-elig 90.6 7.0 -6.1
Vic Darensbourg 29 pre-arb 560.5 0.2 +0.5
Chris Clapinski 28 pre-arb 340.3 0.2 +0.3
Mike Redmond 29 pre-arb 870.3 0.2 +0.2
Dave Berg 29 pre-arb 820.2 0.3 +0.0
Jason Grilli 23 – 10.2 – –
Pablo Ozuna 25 – 140.2 – –
Reid Cornelius 30 – 230.1 – –
Braden Looper 25 pre-arb 730.1 0.3 -0.1
Ramon Castro 24 – 500.1 – –
Henry Rodriguez↔ CHC 32 FA-elig 360.0 1.5 -1.5
Vladimir Nunez 25 pre-arb 17-0.0 0.3 -0.3
Manny Aybar↔ CIN 28 arb 21-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Mendy López 26 – 4-0.0 – –
Sandy Martinez 29 arb 10-0.1 0.3 -0.4
Andy Fox↔ ARI 29 arb 69-0.1 0.5 -0.6
Armando Almanza 27 pre-arb 67-0.1 0.2 -0.3
Mark Smith 30 – 104-0.1 – –
Paul Bako↔ ATL 28 pre-arb 56-0.1 0.2 -0.4
Ron Mahay↔ OAK 29 arb 18-0.1 0.2 -0.4
Joe Strong 37 – 18-0.1 – –
Danny Bautista↔ ARI 28 FA-elig 44-0.2 0.2 -0.4
Nate Rolison 23 – 8-0.3 – –
Brant Brown↔ CHC 29 arb 41-0.5 0.1 -0.8
Álex González 23 pre-arb 109-2.0 0.3 -3.1

Key additions (new vs 1999)

PlayerfWAR
Chuck Smith3.2
Ricky Bones0.9
Brad Penny0.9
Dan Miceli0.8
Jason Grilli0.2
Pablo Ozuna0.2

Key subtractions (gone from 1999)

Player1999 fWAR
Livan Hernandez2.2
Bruce Aven1.9
Kevin Orie1.3
Dennis Springer1.3
Jorge Fabregas0.4
Matt Mantei0.3

Current & Historical Payroll

2000 payroll
$21.1M

What the front office was committed to as of 2000, 2000–2006. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (7)

PlayerAgeSvc2000200120022003200420052006
Alex Fernandez3010.000$7.0MFREE AGENT
Cliff Floyd277.000$4.5M$5.5M$3.7MFREE AGENT
Dan Miceli297.000$1.5M$1.1MFREE AGENT
Henry Rodriguez328.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
Danny Bautista287.000$168kFREE AGENT
Ricky Bones319.000—$800kFREE AGENT
Mark Smith306.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2000200120022003200420052006
Andy Fox294.000$518kARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Castillo244.000$390kARB 3FREE AGENT
Antonio Alfonseca283.000$380kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Kotsay243.000$324kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sandy Martinez295.000$318kFREE AGENT
Derrek Lee243.000$225kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ron Mahay295.000$170kFREE AGENT
Brant Brown294.000$136kARB 3FREE AGENT
Manny Aybar283.000$105kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Reid Cornelius305.000—FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (23)

PlayerAgeSvc2000200120022003200420052006
Dave Berg292.000$295kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Álex González232.000$295kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Preston Wilson252.000$287kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Dempster232.000$268kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesus Sanchez252.000$265kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Millar282.000$265kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Vladimir Nunez252.000$264kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Lowell262.000$255kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Braden Looper252.000$255kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Redmond292.000$245kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Vic Darensbourg292.000$240kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
A.J. Burnett231.000$204kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Armando Almanza271.000$203kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Clapinski281.000$201kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Penny220.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul Bako282.000$190kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mendy López262.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ramon Castro241.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pablo Ozuna250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nate Rolison23–—
Jason Grilli230.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chuck Smith300.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Strong37–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Marlins 2000; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.