RRosternomics
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Marlins MIA

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GM: Dave Dombrowski

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 2 in this regime · payroll 0.44× league · TAB +10.3
+10.3TAB — talent above budget5th/30
+4.7WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)11th/30
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars13th/30
-3.4dead WAR — sub-replacement drag7th/30
33%dead money %17th/30
0.469win %19th/30
34.5roster fWAR15th/30
+27surplus $M (value vs cost)3rd/30
$28Mpayroll $M29th/30

Roster

CFPreston Wilson 121GEric Owens 37GJeff Abbott 9G
LFCliff Floyd 142GKevin Millar 27GLyle Mouton 6G
RFEric Owens 72GKevin Millar 66GJohn Mabry 36G
SSÁlex González 142GDave Berg 19GAndy Fox 12G
2BLuis Castillo 133GDave Berg 34GAndy Fox 2G
3BMike Lowell 144GDave Berg 16GKevin Millar 10G
1BDerrek Lee 156GKevin Millar 15GRyan McGuire 4G
STARTERSBrad Penny 4.7WARMatt Clement 1.6WARRyan Dempster 1.5WARChuck Smith 1.1WARA.J. Burnett 1.1WAR
CCharles Johnson 125GMike Redmond 47GRamon Castro 3G
DHKevin Millar 6GCliff Floyd 3G
BULLPEN★ Antonio Alfonseca 28svBraden Looper 16hArmando Almanza 12hVic Darensbourg 11hRicky Bones 5hJuan Acevedo 4hVladimir Nunez 4hBenito Baez 0h
CCharles Johnson 125 · Mike Redmond 47 · Ramon Castro 3
1BDerrek Lee 156 · Kevin Millar 15 · Ryan McGuire 4
2BLuis Castillo 133 · Dave Berg 34 · Andy Fox 2
3BMike Lowell 144 · Dave Berg 16 · Kevin Millar 10
SSÁlex González 142 · Dave Berg 19 · Andy Fox 12
LFCliff Floyd 142 · Kevin Millar 27 · Lyle Mouton 6
CFPreston Wilson 121 · Eric Owens 37 · Jeff Abbott 9
RFEric Owens 72 · Kevin Millar 66 · John Mabry 36
DHKevin Millar 6 · Cliff Floyd 3
SPBrad Penny 4.7 · Matt Clement 1.6 · Ryan Dempster 1.5 · Chuck Smith 1.1 · A.J. Burnett 1.1
BP★ Antonio Alfonseca 28 · Braden Looper 16 · Armando Almanza 12 · Vic Darensbourg 11 · Ricky Bones 5 · Juan Acevedo 4 · Vladimir Nunez 4 · Benito Baez 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2001 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Cliff Floyd 28 FA-elig 1496.5 5.5 +5.0
Brad Penny 23 pre-arb 314.7 0.3 +7.3
Kevin Millar 29 arb 1443.4 0.7 +4.8
Mike Lowell 27 arb 1463.3 0.5 +4.8
Charles Johnson 29 FA-elig 1283.1 5.0 +0.0
Preston Wilson 26 arb 1233.1 1.0 +4.0
Derrek Lee 25 arb 1581.9 0.4 +2.6
Matt Clement 26 arb 321.6 0.9 +1.6
Ryan Dempster 24 arb 341.5 0.4 +2.0
Mike Redmond 30 arb 481.2 0.3 +1.6
Luis Castillo 25 arb 1341.2 2.2 -0.3
A.J. Burnett 24 pre-arb 271.1 0.2 +1.6
Chuck Smith 31 pre-arb 151.1 0.2 +1.5
Vladimir Nunez 26 arb 520.6 0.3 +0.8
Vic Darensbourg 30 arb 580.6 0.6 +0.3
Kevin Olsen 24 – 40.6 – –
Jesus Sanchez 26 – 170.5 – –
Antonio Alfonseca 29 arb 580.5 2.5 -1.7
Josh Beckett 21 – 40.4 – –
Álex González 24 arb 1450.4 0.3 +0.4
Andy Fox 30 arb 540.2 0.8 -0.4
Juan Acevedo↔ COL 31 – 200.1 – –
Gary Knotts 24 – 20.1 – –
Jeff Abbott 28 arb 280.1 0.3 -0.1
Braden Looper 26 arb 710.0 0.4 -0.3
Dan Miceli↔ COL 30 FA-elig 29-0.0 1.1 -1.2
Blaine Neal 23 – 4-0.0 – –
Johnny Ruffin 29 – 3-0.0 – –
Ryan McGuire 29 – 48-0.0 – –
Jason Grilli 24 pre-arb 6-0.0 0.2 -0.3
Joe Strong 38 – 5-0.0 – –
Ramon Castro 25 pre-arb 7-0.1 0.2 -0.3
Mike Gulan 30 – 6-0.1 – –
Dave Berg 30 arb 82-0.1 0.6 -0.8
Chad Mottola 29 – 5-0.1 – –
Benito Baez 24 – 8-0.1 – –
Ryan Thompson 33 – 18-0.2 – –
Ricky Bones 32 FA-elig 61-0.2 0.8 -1.2
Armando Almanza 28 pre-arb 52-0.4 0.2 -0.9
Lyle Mouton 32 FA-elig 21-0.6 0.3 -1.2
John Mabry↔ STL 30 – 82-0.6 – –
Eric Owens 30 FA-elig 119-0.7 1.2 -2.3

Key additions (new vs 2000)

PlayerfWAR
Charles Johnson3.1
Matt Clement1.6
Kevin Olsen0.6
Josh Beckett0.4
Juan Acevedo0.1
Gary Knotts0.1

Key subtractions (gone from 2000)

Player2000 fWAR
Mark Kotsay2.5
Alex Fernandez0.6
Chris Clapinski0.3
Pablo Ozuna0.2
Reid Cornelius0.1
Henry Rodriguez0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

2001 payroll
$27.5M

What the front office was committed to as of 2001, 2001–2007. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2001200220032004200520062007
Cliff Floyd288.000$5.5M$3.7MFREE AGENT
Charles Johnson297.000$5.0M$5.0MFREE AGENT
Eric Owens306.000$1.2M$2.2MFREE AGENT
Dan Miceli308.000$1.1MFREE AGENT
Ricky Bones3210.000$800kFREE AGENT
Lyle Mouton326.000$350kFREE AGENT
Juan Acevedo316.000—FREE AGENT
John Mabry307.000—FREE AGENT
Johnny Ruffin298.000—FREE AGENT
Ryan Thompson339.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (18)

PlayerAgeSvc2001200220032004200520062007
Antonio Alfonseca294.000$2.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Castillo255.000$2.2MFREE AGENT
Preston Wilson263.000$1.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Clement263.000$900kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andy Fox305.000$775kFREE AGENT
Kevin Millar293.000$700kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Vic Darensbourg303.000$625kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dave Berg303.000$588kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Lowell273.000$500kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Dempster243.000$400kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Braden Looper263.000$400kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Derrek Lee254.000$375kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Abbott284.000$300kARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Redmond303.000$300kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Álex González243.000$295kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Vladimir Nunez263.000$264kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan McGuire294.000—ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesus Sanchez263.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2001200220032004200520062007
Brad Penny231.000$260kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
A.J. Burnett242.000$250kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chuck Smith311.000$240kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Armando Almanza282.000$225kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ramon Castro252.000$214kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Grilli241.000$200kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Gulan30–—
Chad Mottola29–—
Gary Knotts240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Beckett210.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Strong38–—
Blaine Neal230.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Benito Baez24–—
Kevin Olsen240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Marlins 2001; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.