RRosternomics

Dodgers LAD

GM: Dave Wallace

Overview

FORCED-SPEND → steady
expensive & losing · year 6 in this regime · payroll 1.69× league · TAB -6.1
-6.1TAB — talent above budget19th/30
-2.8WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)17th/30
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars13th/30
-4.4dead WAR — sub-replacement drag14th/30
28%dead money %14th/30
0.531win %11th/30
34.6roster fWAR14th/30
-50surplus $M (value vs cost)29th/30
$105Mpayroll $M3rd/30

Roster

CFMarquis Grissom 95GTom Goodwin 70GMcKay Christensen 17G
LFGary Sheffield 141GMarquis Grissom 26GHiram Bocachica 10G
RFShawn Green 159GBruce Aven 4GHiram Bocachica 3G
SSAlex Cora 132GJeff Reboulet 56GAdrian Beltré 2G
2BMark Grudzielanek 133GJeff Reboulet 22GHiram Bocachica 19G
3BAdrian Beltré 124GDave Hansen 21GPhil Hiatt 17G
1BEric Karros 119GPaul Lo Duca 33GDave Hansen 25G
STARTERSChan Ho Park 4.4WARTerry Adams 4.0WARKevin Brown 3.0WAREric Gagne 1.4WARDarren Dreifort 1.4WAR
CPaul Lo Duca 99GChad Kreuter 70GAngel Pena 15G
DHGary Sheffield 2GMarquis Grissom 1GDave Hansen 1G
BULLPEN Jeff Shaw 43svMatt Herges 15hMike Trombley 13hJesse Orosco 10hGiovanni Carrara 9hTerry Mulholland 7hGregg Olson 4hAl Reyes 0h
CPaul Lo Duca 99 · Chad Kreuter 70 · Angel Pena 15
1BEric Karros 119 · Paul Lo Duca 33 · Dave Hansen 25
2BMark Grudzielanek 133 · Jeff Reboulet 22 · Hiram Bocachica 19
3BAdrian Beltré 124 · Dave Hansen 21 · Phil Hiatt 17
SSAlex Cora 132 · Jeff Reboulet 56 · Adrian Beltré 2
LFGary Sheffield 141 · Marquis Grissom 26 · Hiram Bocachica 10
CFMarquis Grissom 95 · Tom Goodwin 70 · McKay Christensen 17
RFShawn Green 159 · Bruce Aven 4 · Hiram Bocachica 3
DHGary Sheffield 2 · Marquis Grissom 1 · Dave Hansen 1
SPChan Ho Park 4.4 · Terry Adams 4.0 · Kevin Brown 3.0 · Eric Gagne 1.4 · Darren Dreifort 1.4
BP Jeff Shaw 43 · Matt Herges 15 · Mike Trombley 13 · Jesse Orosco 10 · Giovanni Carrara 9 · Terry Mulholland 7 · Gregg Olson 4 · Al Reyes 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2001 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Shawn Green 28 FA-elig 1616.7 12.2 -1.4
Paul Lo Duca 29 arb 1255.1 0.2 +8.0
Gary Sheffield 32 FA-elig 1434.6 9.9 -2.6
Chan Ho Park 28 FA-elig 364.4 9.9 -2.7
Terry Adams 28 FA-elig 434.0 2.6 +3.9
Kevin Brown 36 FA-elig 203.0 15.7 -10.9
Chad Kreuter 36 FA-elig 731.5 0.9 +1.5
Eric Gagne 25 pre-arb 331.4 0.2 +2.1
Darren Dreifort 29 FA-elig 161.4 9.4 -7.2
Mark Grudzielanek 31 FA-elig 1331.0 4.0 -2.3
Adrian Beltré 22 arb 1260.9 1.2 +0.2
James Baldwin↔ CHW 29 FA-elig 120.8 2.5 -1.2
Giovanni Carrara 33 470.7
Matt Herges 31 pre-arb 750.7 0.2 +0.9
Jeff Shaw 34 FA-elig 770.6 6.4 -5.4
Luke Prokopec 23 pre-arb 300.5 0.2 +0.6
Tim Bogar 34 FA-elig 120.3 0.5 -0.0
Andy Ashby 33 FA-elig 30.3 6.0 -5.5
Dave Hansen 32 FA-elig 920.3 0.6 -0.2
Jeff Reboulet 37 FA-elig 940.3 0.5 -0.0
McKay Christensen↔ CHW 25 280.2
Bruce Aven 29 210.1
Jesse Orosco 44 350.1
Al Reyes 31 190.1
Dennis Springer 36 4-0.0
Brian Johnson 33 3-0.0
Jeff Branson 34 13-0.1
Mike Trombley↔ BAL 34 FA-elig 19-0.1 0.6 -0.7
Chris Donnels 35 FA-elig 66-0.1 0.3 -0.5
Terry Mulholland↔ PIT 38 FA-elig 19-0.1 1.3 -1.5
Angel Pena 26 arb 22-0.2 0.2 -0.5
Phil Hiatt 32 30-0.2
Hiram Bocachica 25 pre-arb 75-0.2 0.2 -0.6
Jose Nunez↔ SDP 22 pre-arb 6-0.2 0.0 -0.4
Gregg Olson 34 FA-elig 28-0.3 1.8 -2.2
Mike Fetters↔ PIT 36 FA-elig 34-0.3 1.1 -1.5
Alex Cora 25 arb 134-0.4 0.2 -0.8
Eric Karros 33 FA-elig 121-0.4 7.5 -8.1
Jeff Williams 29 15-0.5
Tom Goodwin 32 FA-elig 105-0.5 3.4 -4.3
Marquis Grissom 34 FA-elig 135-0.9 5.0 -6.4

Key additions (new vs 2000)

PlayerfWAR
James Baldwin0.8
Giovanni Carrara0.7
Tim Bogar0.3
Andy Ashby0.3
Jeff Reboulet0.3
McKay Christensen0.2

Key subtractions (gone from 2000)

Player2000 fWAR
Todd Hundley2.6
Todd Hollandsworth1.0
Antonio Osuna0.6
Ismael Valdez0.6
Kevin Elster0.3
Onan Masaoka0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

2001 payroll
$104.8M

What the front office was committed to as of 2001, 2001–2007. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (29)

PlayerAgeSvc2001200220032004200520062007
Kevin Brown3615.000$15.7M$15.7M$15.7MFREE AGENT
Shawn Green288.000$12.2M$13.4M$15.7M$16.7MFREE AGENT
Gary Sheffield3213.000$9.9MFREE AGENT
Chan Ho Park287.000$9.9MFREE AGENT
Darren Dreifort297.000$9.4MFREE AGENT$12.4M$12.4M
Eric Karros3310.000$7.5M$6.9MFREE AGENT
Jeff Shaw3411.000$6.4MFREE AGENT
Andy Ashby3310.000$6.0M$8.0M$8.5MFREE AGENT
Marquis Grissom3412.000$5.0M$5.0MFREE AGENT
Mark Grudzielanek316.000$4.0M$5.0MFREE AGENT
Tom Goodwin3210.000$3.4MFREE AGENT
Terry Adams286.000$2.6MFREE AGENT
James Baldwin296.000$2.5MFREE AGENT
Gregg Olson3413.000$1.8MFREE AGENT
Terry Mulholland3815.000$1.3M$1.8MFREE AGENT
Mike Fetters3612.000$1.1MFREE AGENT
Chad Kreuter3613.000$900k$1.1MFREE AGENT
Mike Trombley349.000$643kFREE AGENT
Dave Hansen3211.000$625k$675kFREE AGENT
Tim Bogar348.000$525kFREE AGENT
Jeff Reboulet379.000$450k$450kFREE AGENT
Chris Donnels3510.000$300kFREE AGENT
Jeff Branson349.000FREE AGENT
Giovanni Carrara336.000$360kFREE AGENT$500k
Phil Hiatt328.000FREE AGENT
Brian Johnson337.000FREE AGENT
Jesse Orosco4422.000FREE AGENT
Al Reyes316.000FREE AGENT
Dennis Springer366.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (5)

PlayerAgeSvc2001200220032004200520062007
Adrian Beltré223.000$1.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Cora253.000$240kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul Lo Duca293.000$230kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Angel Pena263.000$210kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bruce Aven294.000ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (7)

PlayerAgeSvc2001200220032004200520062007
Matt Herges312.000$250kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Gagne252.000$220kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hiram Bocachica251.000$200kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luke Prokopec231.000$200kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Nunez220.000$19kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
McKay Christensen252.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Williams29

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Dodgers 2001; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3