Rosternomics
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Astros HOU

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GM: Jeff Luhnow (since 2012)

2015 roster — every player, value & surplus

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+8.9
WAB — wins above budget
+15.3
TAB — roster Talent above budget
86–76 (0.531)
record · made playoffs
+50M
surplus $M (value/$)
44.9
roster fWAR
$83.4M
payroll
PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Dallas Keuchel 27 arb 33 5.7 0.5 +17.5
Jose Altuve 25 arb 154 4.4 2.5 +11.5
George Springer 25 pre-arb 102 3.9 0.5 +11.7
Collin McHugh 28 arb 32 3.5 0.5 +10.6
Carlos Correa 20 – 99 3.4 0.3 +10.5
Colby Rasmus 28 FA-elig 137 2.9 8.0 +1.0
Lance McCullers Jr. 21 – 22 2.5 – –
Jason Castro 28 arb 104 2.5 4.0 +3.8
Jake Marisnick 24 pre-arb 133 1.8 0.5 +5.1
Luis Valbuena 29 FA-elig 132 1.5 4.2 +0.7
Marwin Gonzalez 26 arb 120 1.5 1.1 +3.6
Josh Fields 29 pre-arb 54 1.2 0.5 +3.2
Luke Gregerson 31 FA-elig 64 1.1 6.0 -2.4
Jed Lowrie 31 FA-elig 69 1.1 8.0 -4.5
Tony Sipp 31 FA-elig 60 0.9 2.4 +0.5
Vince Velasquez 23 – 19 0.9 0.2 +2.6
Hank Conger 27 arb 73 0.9 1.1 +1.7
Scott Feldman 32 FA-elig 18 0.8 10.0 -7.4
Carlos Gómez↔ MIL 29 FA-elig 41 0.7 2.9 -0.5
Preston Tucker 24 – 98 0.5 0.4 +1.3
Mike Fiers↔ MIL 30 arb 10 0.5 0.2 +1.5
Chad Qualls 36 FA-elig 60 0.4 3.0 -1.7
Will Harris 30 arb 68 0.4 0.5 +0.7
Brett Oberholtzer 25 pre-arb 8 0.3 0.5 +0.6
Chris Carter 28 arb 129 0.3 4.2 -3.2
Evan Gattis 28 pre-arb 153 0.3 0.5 +0.3
Joe Thatcher 33 FA-elig 43 0.3 1.0 -0.2
Roberto Hernandez 34 FA-elig 20 0.3 2.6 -1.8
Max Stassi 24 pre-arb 11 0.2 0.1 +0.5
Jonathan Villar 24 pre-arb 53 0.2 0.3 +0.4
Pat Neshek 34 FA-elig 66 0.2 5.5 -5.0
Asher Wojciechowski 26 pre-arb 5 0.1 0.1 +0.4
Matt Duffy 26 pre-arb 8 0.1 0.1 +0.2
Oliver Pérez↔ ARI 33 FA-elig 22 0.1 0.8 -0.5
Domingo Santana↔ MIL 22 – 14 0.1 0.0 +0.3
Brad Peacock 27 arb 1 0.1 0.5 -0.3
Dan Straily 26 pre-arb 4 0.1 0.1 +0.1
L.J. Hoes 25 pre-arb 8 0.0 0.0 +0.1
Jon Singleton 23 pre-arb 19 0.0 2.0 -1.9
Kevin Chapman 27 pre-arb 3 0.0 0.0 +0.0
Scott Kazmir↔ OAK 31 FA-elig 13 -0.1 5.5 -5.7
Jake Buchanan 25 pre-arb 5 -0.1 0.1 -0.3
Michael Feliz 22 – 5 -0.1 0.1 -0.4
Alex Presley 29 arb 8 -0.2 1.0 -1.5
Samuel Deduno 31 arb 9 -0.2 0.5 -1.0
Robbie Grossman 25 pre-arb 24 -0.3 0.5 -1.5

46 players appeared (WAR is complete); salary & surplus are on record for 45 of them (98%). Players without a salary show "–" — no single historical salary source is fully complete (especially 2020–2022).

WAR = FanGraphs (fWAR). Green = produced more value than paid (bargain); red = paid more than produced. Service: pre-arb (<3 yr) / arb (3–6) / FA-eligible (6+). Click headers to sort.

History: front-office performance & develop-vs-buy (1985–2024)

Trade ledger (realized WAR, all-time)

Best acquisitions
PlayerYearWAR for HOU
Jeff Bagwell199080.2
Yordan Álvarez201626.7
Mike Scott198221.9
Justin Verlander201719.7
Mike Hampton199319.2
Kevin Bass198217.5
Nolan Ryan198516.2
Moisés Alou199713.5
Ones that got away
PlayerYear tradedWAR elsewhere
Kenny Lofton199142.5
Curt Schilling199236.3
Ben Zobrist200633.1
Ken Caminiti199417.4
Freddy García199815.6
Jed Lowrie201313.0
Ramón Laureano20179.2
Patrick Sandoval20188.9
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.