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Astros HOU

201586–76 (0.531)Made Playoffs
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GM: Jeff Luhnow

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2015, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$84M
Surplus $M
+58
Win %
0.531
TAB
+15.2
WAB
+8.8
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
44.9
Dead money %
35%
Depth Players
8.0
Dead WAR
-0.9

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2015 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

LJason Castro103
BHank Conger69
RMax Stassi10
REvan Gattis6

1B

RChris Carter115
BMarwin Gonzalez43
LLuis Valbuena31
LJon Singleton14
RMatt Duffy2

2B

RJose Altuve153
BMarwin Gonzalez15
BJonathan Villar3
LLuis Valbuena1

3B

LLuis Valbuena99
BJed Lowrie47
BMarwin Gonzalez21
BJonathan Villar12
RMatt Duffy2

SS

RCarlos Correa99
BMarwin Gonzalez32
BJonathan Villar22
BJed Lowrie17

LF

LPreston Tucker79
LColby Rasmus72
BRobbie Grossman17
RJake Marisnick16
BMarwin Gonzalez15
REvan Gattis11
BJonathan Villar5
LAlex Presley4
RL.J. Hoes3
BHank Conger1

CF

RJake Marisnick99
LColby Rasmus43
RCarlos Gómez⇄40
RGeorge Springer10
BJonathan Villar2
LAlex Presley1

RF

RGeorge Springer93
LColby Rasmus43
LPreston Tucker14
RJake Marisnick13
RL.J. Hoes5
BRobbie Grossman4
LAlex Presley1

DH

REvan Gattis136
RChris Carter8
LJon Singleton4
BJonathan Villar4
LPreston Tucker3
BMarwin Gonzalez3
BRobbie Grossman2
BJed Lowrie2
LLuis Valbuena2
RJake Marisnick1
RCarlos Gómez⇄1
RJose Altuve1
RMax Stassi1

Starters

LDallas Keuchel5.7 WAR
RCollin McHugh3.5 WAR
RLance McCullers Jr.2.5 WAR
RVince Velasquez0.9 WAR
RScott Feldman0.8 WAR
RMike Fiers⇄0.5 WAR
RRoberto Hernandez0.3 WAR
LBrett Oberholtzer0.3 WAR
RAsher Wojciechowski0.1 WAR
RBrad Peacock0.1 WAR
RDan Straily0.1 WAR
LScott Kazmir⇄-0.1 WAR
RSamuel Deduno-0.2 WAR

Bullpen

★ RLuke Gregerson31 sv
RPat Neshek28 h
RWill Harris13 h
LTony Sipp13 h
RChad Qualls10 h
LOliver Perez⇄10 h
LJoe Thatcher6 h
RJosh Fields5 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2014)

PlayerfWAR
Carlos Correa3.4
Colby Rasmus2.9
Lance McCullers Jr.2.5
Luis Valbuena1.5
Luke Gregerson1.1
Jed Lowrie1.1

Key subtractions (gone from 2014)

Player2014 fWAR
Dexter Fowler2.1
Carlos Corporán1.2
Jarred Cosart0.9
Enrique Hernández0.7
Gregorio Petit0.5
Nick Tropeano0.4

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Astros. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2015; everyone else is shown as a 2015 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Dallas Keuchel 2015 +5.7 +114.3 0.5 +113.8 $0.1M 2.50× –
Collin McHugh 2015 +3.5 +61.6 0.5 +61.1 $0.1M 2.19× –
George Springer 2015 +3.9 +55.5 0.5 +55.0 $0.1M 1.79× Free Agent · 2021–2026 · $25.0M AAV
Jose Altuve 2015 +4.4 +42.6 2.5 +40.1 $0.6M 1.20× Extension · 2025–2029 · $25.0M AAV
Lance McCullers Jr. 2015 +2.5 +39.1 0.3 +38.8 $0.1M 1.96× Extension · 2022–2026 · $17.0M AAV
Carlos Correa 2015 +3.4 +32.3 0.3 +32.0 $0.1M 1.18× Free Agent · 2023–2032 · $33.3M AAV
Colby Rasmus 2015 +2.9 +36.7 8.0 +28.7 $2.8M 1.60× –
Jake Marisnick 2015 +1.8 +17.2 0.5 +16.7 $0.3M 1.22× –
Jason Castro 2015 +2.5 +15.1 4.0 +11.1 $1.6M 0.76× –
Luis Valbuena 2015 +1.5 +10.5 4.2 +6.3 $2.7M 0.85× –
Luke Gregerson 2015 +1.1 +12.1 6.0 +6.1 $5.3M 1.34× –
Josh Fields 2015 +1.2 +6.4 0.5 +5.8 $0.4M 0.67× –
Marwin Gonzalez 2015 +1.5 +6.6 1.1 +5.5 $0.7M 0.56× –
Vince Velasquez 2015 +0.9 +4.8 0.2 +4.6 $0.3M 0.67× –
Mike Fiers↔ 2015 +0.5 +4.3 0.2 +4.1 $0.3M 1.02× –
Will Harris 2015 +0.4 +4.0 0.5 +3.4 $1.4M 1.34× –
Preston Tucker 2015 +0.5 +3.5 0.4 +3.2 $0.7M 0.83× –
Hank Conger 2015 +0.9 +3.7 1.1 +2.6 $1.2M 0.52× –
Tony Sipp 2015 +0.9 +4.9 2.4 +2.5 $2.6M 0.67× –
Brett Oberholtzer 2015 +0.3 +2.8 0.5 +2.3 $1.5M 1.02× –
Carlos Gómez↔ 2015 +0.7 +5.0 2.9 +2.1 $3.8M 0.83× –
Chad Qualls 2015 +0.4 +4.3 3.0 +1.3 $7.4M 1.34× –
Asher Wojciechowski 2015 +0.1 +1.1 0.1 +1.0 $0.6M 1.02× –
Evan Gattis 2015 +0.3 +1.5 0.5 +0.9 $2.0M 0.69× –
Jonathan Villar 2015 +0.2 +1.0 0.3 +0.7 $1.3M 0.61× –
Max Stassi 2015 +0.2 +0.8 0.1 +0.7 $0.5M 0.52× –
Domingo Santana↔ 2015 +0.1 +0.7 0.0 +0.6 $0.4M 0.83× –
Dan Straily 2015 +0.1 +0.4 0.1 +0.4 $1.3M 1.02× –
Joe Thatcher 2015 +0.3 +1.4 1.0 +0.4 $3.9M 0.67× –
Matt Duffy 2015 +0.1 +0.5 0.1 +0.4 $1.2M 0.56× –
L.J. Hoes 2015 +0.0 +0.3 0.0 +0.3 $1.0M 0.83× –
Kevin Chapman 2015 +0.0 +0.1 0.0 +0.1 $1.5M 0.67× –
Oliver Pérez↔ 2015 +0.1 +0.6 0.8 -0.2 $7.4M 0.67× –
Jake Buchanan 2015 -0.1 -0.4 0.1 -0.4 – 0.67× –
Roberto Hernandez 2015 +0.3 +2.1 2.6 -0.6 $10.4M 1.02× –
Michael Feliz 2015 -0.1 -0.6 0.1 -0.7 – 0.67× –
Samuel Deduno 2015 -0.2 -0.9 0.5 -1.4 – 0.67× –
Jon Singleton 2015 +0.0 +0.1 2.0 -1.9 $81.2M 0.56× –
Alex Presley 2015 -0.2 -1.1 1.0 -2.1 – 0.83× –
Robbie Grossman 2015 -0.3 -2.2 0.5 -2.7 – 0.83× –
Chris Carter 2015 +0.3 +1.4 4.2 -2.8 $13.5M 0.56× –
Jed Lowrie 2015 +1.1 +5.1 8.0 -2.9 $7.3M 0.58× –
Scott Feldman 2015 +0.8 +6.8 10.0 -3.2 $11.9M 1.02× –
Pat Neshek 2015 +0.2 +0.9 5.5 -4.6 $32.6M 0.67× –
Scott Kazmir↔ 2015 -0.1 -0.6 5.5 -6.0 – 1.02× –
Brad Peacock 2015 +0.1 +0.5 0.5 -0.0 $8.8M 1.02× –
Total—+44.7+506.883.6+423.1—

Trades

Every graded 2015 deal involving the Astros — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 10 total.

2015 · MIL / HOU
MIL · Douglas Melvin +$173.6M
Brett Phillips, Domingo Santana, Adrian Houser, Josh Hader
HOU · Jeff Luhnow −$173.6M
Carlos Gómez, Mike Fiers
MIL came out ahead by $173.6M
2015 · ATL / HOU
ATL · John Hart +$37.6M
Mike Foltynewicz, Andrew Thurman, Rio Ruiz
HOU · Jeff Luhnow −$37.6M
Evan Gattis, James Hoyt
ATL came out ahead by $37.6M
2015 · CHC / HOU
CHC · Theo Epstein +$69.6M
Dexter Fowler
HOU · Jeff Luhnow −$69.6M
Luis Valbuena, Dan Straily
CHC came out ahead by $69.6M
2015 · OAK / HOU
OAK · Billy Beane +$24.8M
Daniel Mengden, Jacob Nottingham
HOU · Jeff Luhnow −$24.8M
Scott Kazmir
OAK came out ahead by $24.8M
2015 · OAK / HOU
OAK · Billy Beane +$27.2M
Jed Lowrie
HOU · Jeff Luhnow −$27.2M
Brendan McCurry
OAK came out ahead by $27.2M
2015 · ARI / HOU
ARI · Dave Stewart +$0.8M
Junior Garcia
HOU · Jeff Luhnow −$0.8M
Óliver Pérez
ARI came out ahead by $0.8M
2015 · MIL / HOU
MIL · Douglas Melvin +$29.6M
Jonathan Villar
HOU · Jeff Luhnow −$29.6M
Cy Sneed
MIL came out ahead by $29.6M
2015 · HOU / NYY
HOU · Jeff Luhnow +$2.4M
cash / PTBNL
NYY · Brian Cashman −$2.4M
Gregorio Petit
HOU came out ahead by $2.4M
2015 · HOU / TEX
HOU · Jeff Luhnow +$1.6M
Akeem Bostick
TEX · Jon Daniels −$1.6M
Carlos Corporán
HOU came out ahead by $1.6M
2015 · PHI / HOU
PHI · Scott Proefrock +$10.4M
Vince Velasquez, Brett Oberholtzer, Thomas Eshelman, Mark Appel, Harold Arauz
HOU · Jeff Luhnow −$10.4M
Ken Giles, Jonathan Araúz
PHI came out ahead by $10.4M

Current & Historical Payroll

2015 payroll
$83.7M
2016 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2015, 2015–2021. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2015; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2015201620172018201920202021
Scott Feldman328.091$10.0MFREE AGENT
Colby Rasmus286.000$8.0MFREE AGENT
Jed Lowrie316.111$8.0MFREE AGENT
Luke Gregerson316.000$6.0MFREE AGENT
Pat Neshek346.159$5.5MFREE AGENT
Scott Kazmir318.119$5.5MFREE AGENT
Chad Qualls3610.058$3.0MFREE AGENT
Carlos Gómez297.141$2.9MFREE AGENT
Roberto Hernandez349.000$2.6MFREE AGENT
Joe Thatcher336.068$1.0MFREE AGENT
Oliver Pérez3310.144$786kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (7)

PlayerAgeSvc2015201620172018201920202021
Luis Valbuena294.148$4.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Carter283.159$4.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Castro284.104$4.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Altuve253.072$2.5MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Sipp315.100$2.4MFREE AGENT
Hank Conger273.051$1.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Fiers304.000$165kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (28)

PlayerAgeSvc2015201620172018201920202021
Jon Singleton230.119$2.0MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marwin Gonzalez262.133$1.1MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Presley292.162$1.0MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Evan Gattis282.000$526kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Samuel Deduno312.096$525kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dallas Keuchel272.089$524kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Fields292.000$517kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Collin McHugh281.084$516kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Peacock271.124$516kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brett Oberholtzer252.000$516kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robbie Grossman251.056$515kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Will Harris301.159$514kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
George Springer250.166$513kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Marisnick240.145$511kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Preston Tucker240.000$385kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Correa200.000$330kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lance McCullers Jr.210.000$330kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan Villar241.018$266kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Vince Velasquez230.000$230kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Duffy260.000$141kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Max Stassi240.068$100kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Feliz220.000$97kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Asher Wojciechowski260.087$78kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Buchanan250.080$69kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dan Straily261.100$67kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
L.J. Hoes251.050$44kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Domingo Santana220.015$37kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Chapman270.116$33kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2015 acquisition stacked onto Astros's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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