Rosternomics
Log in Sign up 𝕏

Astros HOU

201684–78 (0.519)
‹ Previous Next ›

GM: Jeff Luhnow

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2016, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$92M
Surplus $M
+47
Win %
0.519
TAB
+12.3
WAB
+6.0
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
42.8
Dead money %
33%
Depth Players
8.0
Dead WAR
-4.4

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2016 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

LJason Castro111
REvan Gattis55
RErik Kratz⇄14
RMax Stassi8

1B

BMarwin Gonzalez92
RTyler White58
LAJ Reed35
LLuis Valbuena8
RYuli Gurriel5
LJason Castro3

2B

RJose Altuve148
BMarwin Gonzalez14
RDanny Worth6
LTony Kemp5
RAlex Bregman3
RTyler White2
LLuis Valbuena1

3B

LLuis Valbuena81
RAlex Bregman40
BMarwin Gonzalez22
RYuli Gurriel21
LColin Moran8
RDanny Worth5
RTyler White3
RMatt Duffy1

SS

RCarlos Correa153
BMarwin Gonzalez11
RAlex Bregman6
RDanny Worth2
RJose Altuve1

LF

LColby Rasmus87
LTony Kemp37
RJake Marisnick26
RTeoscar Hernández22
LPreston Tucker19
BMarwin Gonzalez18
RAlex Bregman1
RYuli Gurriel1

CF

RJake Marisnick74
LColby Rasmus21
RTeoscar Hernández15
RGeorge Springer1
BMarwin Gonzalez1
LTony Kemp1

RF

RGeorge Springer147
LColby Rasmus11
RTeoscar Hernández6
RJake Marisnick5
LPreston Tucker3
LTony Kemp1

DH

REvan Gattis71
LPreston Tucker22
RTyler White14
RJose Altuve13
RGeorge Springer12
LAJ Reed9
LTony Kemp8
RYuli Gurriel7
RCarlos Gómez⇄5
RJake Marisnick5
RAlex Bregman3
BMarwin Gonzalez3
LColby Rasmus2
RDanny Worth2
RErik Kratz⇄1

Starters

RChris Devenski2.7 WAR
RCollin McHugh2.6 WAR
LDallas Keuchel2.4 WAR
RLance McCullers Jr.1.9 WAR
RMike Fiers1.5 WAR
RDoug Fister0.7 WAR
RJoe Musgrove0.7 WAR
RScott Feldman⇄0.2 WAR
RDavid Paulino0.0 WAR
RBrady Rodgers-0.0 WAR
RBrad Peacock-0.0 WAR

Bullpen

★ RLuke Gregerson15 sv
RWill Harris28 h
RKen Giles18 h
RPat Neshek18 h
LTony Sipp12 h
RMichael Feliz5 h
RJames Hoyt1 h
RJosh Fields⇄0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2015)

PlayerfWAR
Chris Devenski2.7
Ken Giles1.4
Alex Bregman1.3
Doug Fister0.7
Joe Musgrove0.7
Yuli Gurriel0.3

Key subtractions (gone from 2015)

Player2015 fWAR
Jed Lowrie1.1
Vince Velasquez0.9
Hank Conger0.9
Brett Oberholtzer0.3
Chris Carter0.3
Joe Thatcher0.3

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Astros. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2016; everyone else is shown as a 2016 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Jose Altuve 2016 +7.2 +79.1 3.5 +75.6 $0.5M 1.38× Extension · 2025–2029 · $25.0M AAV
George Springer 2016 +4.5 +64.3 0.5 +63.7 $0.1M 1.79× Free Agent · 2021–2026 · $25.0M AAV
Carlos Correa 2016 +4.1 +43.1 0.5 +42.6 $0.1M 1.32× Free Agent · 2023–2032 · $33.3M AAV
Collin McHugh 2016 +2.6 +41.3 0.5 +40.8 $0.2M 1.96× –
Evan Gattis 2016 +3.2 +34.1 3.2 +30.9 $1.0M 1.33× –
Chris Devenski 2016 +2.7 +28.1 0.5 +27.6 $0.2M 1.28× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Will Harris 2016 +1.7 +26.8 0.5 +26.3 $0.3M 1.95× –
Lance McCullers Jr. 2016 +1.9 +23.1 0.5 +22.6 $0.3M 1.49× Extension · 2022–2026 · $17.0M AAV
Dallas Keuchel 2016 +2.4 +28.2 7.2 +20.9 $3.1M 1.49× –
Jason Castro 2016 +2.9 +23.2 5.0 +18.2 $1.7M 1.00× –
Mike Fiers 2016 +1.5 +18.2 0.5 +17.7 $0.3M 1.49× –
Ken Giles 2016 +1.4 +14.7 0.5 +14.2 $0.4M 1.34× –
Luis Valbuena 2016 +1.9 +13.0 6.1 +6.9 $3.2M 0.85× –
Jake Marisnick 2016 +1.0 +6.6 0.5 +6.1 $0.5M 0.83× –
Alex Bregman 2016 +1.3 +6.2 0.2 +6.0 $0.1M 0.58× Free Agent · 2026–2030 · $35.0M AAV
Luke Gregerson 2016 +1.1 +12.0 6.2 +5.7 $5.6M 1.34× –
Joe Musgrove 2016 +0.7 +5.6 0.2 +5.4 $0.3M 1.02× Extension · 2023–2027 · $20.0M AAV
Marwin Gonzalez 2016 +1.2 +5.2 2.0 +3.2 $1.7M 0.56× –
Michael Feliz 2016 +0.7 +3.6 0.5 +3.1 $0.7M 0.67× –
Josh Fields↔ 2016 +0.2 +1.0 0.4 +0.6 $2.0M 0.67× –
Jandel Gustave 2016 +0.1 +0.5 0.1 +0.4 $1.1M 0.67× –
Teoscar Hernández 2016 +0.1 +0.5 0.1 +0.4 $1.8M 0.83× Free Agent · 2025–2028 · $22.0M AAV
Kevin Chapman 2016 +0.1 +0.4 0.1 +0.3 $1.1M 0.67× –
David Paulino 2016 +0.0 +0.0 0.1 -0.1 $22.3M 0.67× –
Brady Rodgers 2016 -0.0 -0.2 0.1 -0.3 – 0.67× –
Danny Worth 2016 -0.0 -0.2 0.1 -0.3 – 0.56× –
Brad Peacock 2016 -0.0 -0.3 0.1 -0.4 – 1.02× –
Yuli Gurriel 2016 +0.3 +1.5 1.9 -0.4 $5.9M 0.58× –
Tyler White 2016 -0.0 -0.1 0.5 -0.6 – 0.56× –
Matt Duffy 2016 -0.0 -0.2 0.5 -0.7 – 0.58× –
Tony Kemp 2016 -0.1 -0.4 0.3 -0.7 – 0.83× –
James Hoyt 2016 -0.2 -0.9 0.1 -1.0 – 0.67× –
Doug Fister 2016 +0.7 +5.8 7.0 -1.2 $9.9M 1.02× –
Colin Moran 2016 -0.3 -1.3 0.1 -1.4 – 0.58× –
Max Stassi 2016 -0.3 -1.1 0.5 -1.6 – 0.52× –
Erik Kratz↔ 2016 -0.4 -2.2 0.4 -2.6 – 0.69× –
AJ Reed 2016 -0.7 -3.2 0.2 -3.4 – 0.56× –
Pat Neshek 2016 +0.5 +2.5 6.5 -4.0 $14.2M 0.67× –
Scott Feldman↔ 2016 +0.2 +1.1 5.2 -4.1 $24.3M 0.67× –
Preston Tucker 2016 -0.9 -4.9 0.5 -5.4 – 0.69× –
Colby Rasmus 2016 +1.0 +6.4 15.8 -9.4 $16.4M 0.83× –
Carlos Gómez↔ 2016 -0.6 -3.5 6.5 -10.0 – 0.69× –
Tony Sipp 2016 -0.8 -4.4 6.0 -10.4 – 0.67× –
Total—+42.9+473.291.7+381.2—

Trades

Every graded 2016 deal involving the Astros — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 5 total.

2016 · HOU / PHI
HOU · Jeff Luhnow +$11.2M
cash / PTBNL
PHI · Matt Klentak −$11.2M
Pat Neshek
HOU came out ahead by $11.2M
2016 · HOU / NYY
HOU · Jeff Luhnow +$4.8M
Brian McCann
NYY · Brian Cashman −$4.8M
Albert Abreu, Jorge Guzmán
HOU came out ahead by $4.8M
2016 · HOU / TOR
HOU · Jeff Luhnow +$4.0M
Lupe Chavez
TOR · Mark Shapiro −$4.0M
Scott Feldman
HOU came out ahead by $4.0M
2016 · HOU / LAD
HOU · Jeff Luhnow +$268.8M
Yordan Álvarez
LAD · Andrew Friedman −$268.8M
Josh Fields
HOU came out ahead by $268.8M
2016 · SDP / HOU
SDP · AJ Preller +$3.2M
Dan Straily
HOU · Jeff Luhnow −$3.2M
Erik Kratz
SDP came out ahead by $3.2M

Current & Historical Payroll

2016 payroll
$91.9M
2017 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2016, 2016–2022. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2016; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2016201720182019202020212022
Colby Rasmus297.000$15.8MFREE AGENT
Doug Fister326.058$7.0MFREE AGENT
Pat Neshek357.159$6.5MFREE AGENT
Carlos Gómez308.141$6.5MFREE AGENT
Luke Gregerson327.000$6.2MFREE AGENT
Tony Sipp326.100$6.0MFREE AGENT
Scott Feldman339.091$5.2MFREE AGENT
Erik Kratz366.000$386kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2016201720182019202020212022
Dallas Keuchel283.089$7.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Valbuena305.148$6.1MFREE AGENT
Jason Castro295.104$5.0MFREE AGENT
Jose Altuve264.072$3.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Evan Gattis293.000$3.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marwin Gonzalez273.133$2.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Fiers315.000$524kFREE AGENT
Josh Fields303.000$365kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (27)

PlayerAgeSvc2016201720182019202020212022
Yuli Gurriel320.000$1.9MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Collin McHugh292.084$529kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ken Giles251.113$528kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Will Harris312.102$526kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
George Springer261.166$522kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Marisnick251.145$520kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Correa210.119$517kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lance McCullers Jr.220.139$517kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Preston Tucker250.150$515kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Duffy271.000$510kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Max Stassi250.105$508kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler White250.000$507kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Devenski250.000$496kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Feliz230.038$455kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Kemp240.000$269kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
AJ Reed230.110$244kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Bregman220.000$194kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Musgrove230.000$175kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Teoscar Hernández230.000$144kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
James Hoyt290.000$130kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Peacock282.124$114kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Danny Worth302.049$114kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jandel Gustave230.000$100kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Colin Moran230.000$86kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brady Rodgers250.000$86kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Chapman280.128$80kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Paulino220.144$75kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2016 acquisition stacked onto Astros's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
Privacy Policy · Terms of Service · © 2026 Rosternomics