RRosternomics

Rockies COL

GM: Jeff Bridich

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↘ cooling
expensive & losing · year 2 in this regime · payroll 1.18× league · TAB -18.0
-18.0TAB — talent above budget27th/30
-13.1WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)26th/30
5.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars17th/30
-9.3dead WAR — sub-replacement drag24th/30
61%dead money %26th/30
0.438win %22nd/30
18.3roster fWAR25th/30
-92surplus $M (value vs cost)29th/30
$153Mpayroll $M10th/30

Roster

CFIan Desmond 74GDavid Dahl 40GGarrett Hampson 31G
LFRaimel Tapia 91GIan Desmond 44GDavid Dahl 39G
RFCharlie Blackmon 135GDavid Dahl 24GRaimel Tapia 6G
SSTrevor Story 144GGarrett Hampson 15GBrendan Rodgers 9G
2BRyan McMahon 113GGarrett Hampson 50GBrendan Rodgers 16G
3BNolan Arenado 154GRyan McMahon 22GPat Valaika 3G
1BDaniel Murphy 110GMark Reynolds 32GYonder Alonso 32G
STARTERSGermán Márquez 3.7WARJon Gray 2.5WARPeter Lambert 0.5WARAntonio Senzatela 0.1WARChi Chi González 0.0WAR
CTony Wolters 112GChris Iannetta 45GDom Nuñez 14G
DHDaniel Murphy 4GCharlie Blackmon 2GIan Desmond 2G
BULLPEN Wade Davis 15svBryan Shaw 12hCarlos Estévez 11hScott Oberg 8hJairo Díaz 7hJake McGee 4hChad Bettis 4hWes Parsons 2h
CTony Wolters 112 · Chris Iannetta 45 · Dom Nuñez 14
1BDaniel Murphy 110 · Mark Reynolds 32 · Yonder Alonso 32
2BRyan McMahon 113 · Garrett Hampson 50 · Brendan Rodgers 16
3BNolan Arenado 154 · Ryan McMahon 22 · Pat Valaika 3
SSTrevor Story 144 · Garrett Hampson 15 · Brendan Rodgers 9
LFRaimel Tapia 91 · Ian Desmond 44 · David Dahl 39
CFIan Desmond 74 · David Dahl 40 · Garrett Hampson 31
RFCharlie Blackmon 135 · David Dahl 24 · Raimel Tapia 6
DHDaniel Murphy 4 · Charlie Blackmon 2 · Ian Desmond 2
SPGermán Márquez 3.7 · Jon Gray 2.5 · Peter Lambert 0.5 · Antonio Senzatela 0.1 · Chi Chi González 0.0
BP Wade Davis 15 · Bryan Shaw 12 · Carlos Estévez 11 · Scott Oberg 8 · Jairo Díaz 7 · Jake McGee 4 · Chad Bettis 4 · Wes Parsons 2

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2019 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Nolan Arenado 28 FA-elig 1556.1 26.0 -5.9
Trevor Story 26 arb 1456.0 5.0 +14.8
Germán Márquez 24 arb 293.7 0.6 +11.5
Jon Gray 27 arb 272.5 2.9 +5.2
Charlie Blackmon 32 FA-elig 1402.1 21.5 -14.5
David Dahl 25 arb 1001.7 0.6 +5.0
Scott Oberg 29 arb 491.0 1.3 +2.1
Jairo Díaz 28 pre-arb 560.9 0.4 +2.5
Ryan McMahon 24 pre-arb 1410.8 0.6 +2.2
Sam Hilliard 25 270.7 0.1 +2.3
Carlos Estévez 26 pre-arb 710.6 0.5 +1.5
Peter Lambert 22 220.5 0.3 +1.2
Harrison Musgrave 27 pre-arb 100.3 0.6 +0.3
DJ Johnson 29 pre-arb 280.2 0.6 -0.1
Antonio Senzatela 24 pre-arb 250.1 0.6 -0.1
James Pazos 28 pre-arb 120.1 0.1 +0.3
Chad Bettis 30 FA-elig 390.1 3.4 -3.0
Phillip Diehl 24 100.1 0.1 +0.1
Kyle Freeland 26 pre-arb 220.0 0.6 -0.5
Chi Chi González 27 140.0 0.2 -0.2
Yonder Alonso↔ CHW 32 FA-elig 54-0.0 3.5 -3.5
Dom Nuñez 24 16-0.0 0.1 -0.3
Noel Cuevas 27 pre-arb 1-0.0 0.1 -0.3
Mike Dunn 34 FA-elig 28-0.1 7.0 -7.2
Chris Rusin 32 FA-elig 2-0.1 1.7 -2.1
Ian Desmond 33 FA-elig 140-0.1 15.0 -15.5
Yency Almonte 25 pre-arb 28-0.2 0.3 -0.8
Joshua Fuentes 26 24-0.2
Bryan Shaw 31 FA-elig 70-0.2 8.5 -9.1
Tim Melville 29 pre-arb 7-0.2 0.1 -0.7
Wade Davis 33 FA-elig 50-0.2 18.0 -18.7
Pat Valaika 26 pre-arb 40-0.2 0.2 -0.9
Joe Harvey↔ NYY 27 pre-arb 9-0.2 0.3 -0.9
Garrett Hampson 24 pre-arb 105-0.2 0.6 -1.2
Raimel Tapia 25 arb 138-0.2 0.6 -1.3
Sam Howard 26 pre-arb 20-0.2 0.2 -0.9
Tony Wolters 27 arb 121-0.3 1.0 -1.8
Rico Garcia 25 2-0.3
Drew Butera 35 FA-elig 16-0.3 0.1 -1.1
Seunghwan Oh 36 arb 21-0.3 2.5 -3.6
Tyler Anderson 29 arb 5-0.3 2.6 -3.7
Chris Iannetta 36 FA-elig 52-0.3 4.2 -5.3
Jake McGee 32 FA-elig 45-0.3 8.5 -9.6
Wes Parsons↔ ATL 26 pre-arb 15-0.4 0.3 -1.4
Jeff Hoffman 26 pre-arb 18-0.4 0.2 -1.6
Yonathan Daza 25 pre-arb 44-0.6 0.1 -2.0
Daniel Murphy 34 FA-elig 132-0.7 10.0 -12.2
Brendan Rodgers 22 25-0.8 0.4 -2.9
Mark Reynolds 35 FA-elig 78-0.9 1.0 -3.8
Jesus Tinoco 24 24-1.1 0.3 -3.7

Key additions (new vs 2018)

PlayerfWAR
Jairo Díaz0.9
Sam Hilliard0.7
Carlos Estévez0.6
Peter Lambert0.5
James Pazos0.1
Phillip Diehl0.1

Key subtractions (gone from 2018)

Player2018 fWAR
Adam Ottavino1.9
DJ LeMahieu1.8
Carlos González1.5
Matt Holliday0.1
Jerry Vasto0.0
Brooks Pounders0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

2019 payroll
$152.9M
2020 guaranteed
$13.0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2019, 2019–2025. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2019; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2019202020212022202320242025
Nolan Arenado285.155$26.0M$13.0M$570k$23.4MOPT-OUT$8.0MOPT-OUT$24.0M$21.0M
Charlie Blackmon326.102$21.5MFREE AGENT
Wade Davis339.032$18.0MFREE AGENT
Ian Desmond339.027$15.0MFREE AGENT
Daniel Murphy349.109$10.0MFREE AGENT
Bryan Shaw317.081$8.5MFREE AGENT
Jake McGee327.127$8.5MFREE AGENT
Mike Dunn3410.000$7.0MFREE AGENT
Chris Iannetta3613.000$4.2MFREE AGENT
Yonder Alonso327.116$3.5MFREE AGENT
Mark Reynolds3512.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Drew Butera358.018$100kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2019202020212022202320242025
Trevor Story263.000$5.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chad Bettis304.096$3.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jon Gray273.062$2.9MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Anderson293.065$2.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Seunghwan Oh363.000$2.5MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Rusin324.092$1.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Oberg293.063$1.3MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chi Chi González274.000$206kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (30)

PlayerAgeSvc2019202020212022202320242025
Tony Wolters272.161$960kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Germán Márquez242.027$565kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Freeland262.000$565kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan McMahon241.006$560kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Antonio Senzatela241.125$560kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Raimel Tapia251.020$560kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Dahl251.162$560kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Harrison Musgrave270.148$557kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Garrett Hampson240.051$557kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
DJ Johnson290.028$557kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Estévez262.022$540kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jairo Díaz281.124$391kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brendan Rodgers220.000$391kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Peter Lambert220.000$346kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Harvey270.000$278kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wes Parsons260.005$265kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesus Tinoco240.000$254kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yency Almonte250.081$251kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pat Valaika261.069$239kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Hoffman261.034$200kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sam Howard260.048$158kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dom Nuñez240.000$143kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yonathan Daza250.028$134kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Noel Cuevas270.130$125kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Melville290.035$119kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sam Hilliard250.000$101kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
James Pazos282.067$87kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Phillip Diehl240.000$84kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joshua Fuentes26
Rico Garcia250.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Rockies 2019; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3