RRosternomics

Rockies COL

GM: Jeff Bridich

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.99× league · TAB -21.9
-21.9TAB — talent above budget
-11.7WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)
1.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars11th/30
-6.4dead WAR — sub-replacement drag28th/30
55%dead money %20th/30
0.433win %20th/30
4.6roster fWAR27th/30
-88surplus $M (value vs cost)26th/30
$118Mpayroll $M17th/30

Roster

CFKevin Pillar 27GGarrett Hampson 20GDavid Dahl 17G
LFRaimel Tapia 36GSam Hilliard 14GGarrett Hampson 7G
RFCharlie Blackmon 50GKevin Pillar 25GSam Hilliard 13G
SSTrevor Story 57GGarrett Hampson 6GRyan McMahon 2G
2BRyan McMahon 33GGarrett Hampson 26GChris Owings 8G
3BNolan Arenado 48GRyan McMahon 14GJoshua Fuentes 6G
1BDaniel Murphy 29GJoshua Fuentes 26GRyan McMahon 12G
STARTERSGermán Márquez 2.3WARAntonio Senzatela 1.1WARKyle Freeland 1.0WARJon Gray 0.5WARRyan Castellani -0.6WAR
CTony Wolters 39GDrew Butera 25GElias Díaz 24G
DHMatt Kemp 32GRaimel Tapia 12GCharlie Blackmon 9G
BULLPEN Daniel Bard 6svCarlos Estévez 6hMychal Givens 6hYency Almonte 4hTyler Kinley 4hJairo Díaz 3hJeff Hoffman 0hJames Pazos 0h
CTony Wolters 39 · Drew Butera 25 · Elias Díaz 24
1BDaniel Murphy 29 · Joshua Fuentes 26 · Ryan McMahon 12
2BRyan McMahon 33 · Garrett Hampson 26 · Chris Owings 8
3BNolan Arenado 48 · Ryan McMahon 14 · Joshua Fuentes 6
SSTrevor Story 57 · Garrett Hampson 6 · Ryan McMahon 2
LFRaimel Tapia 36 · Sam Hilliard 14 · Garrett Hampson 7
CFKevin Pillar 27 · Garrett Hampson 20 · David Dahl 17
RFCharlie Blackmon 50 · Kevin Pillar 25 · Sam Hilliard 13
DHMatt Kemp 32 · Raimel Tapia 12 · Charlie Blackmon 9
SPGermán Márquez 2.3 · Antonio Senzatela 1.1 · Kyle Freeland 1.0 · Jon Gray 0.5 · Ryan Castellani -0.6
BP Daniel Bard 6 · Carlos Estévez 6 · Mychal Givens 6 · Yency Almonte 4 · Tyler Kinley 4 · Jairo Díaz 3 · Jeff Hoffman 0 · James Pazos 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2020 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Germán Márquez 25 arb 132.3 4.8 +12.2
Trevor Story 27 arb 592.0 9.0 +5.5
Antonio Senzatela 25 pre-arb 121.1 0.2 +7.8
Kyle Freeland 27 arb 131.0 2.9 +4.4
Raimel Tapia 26 pre-arb 510.6 0.2 +3.9
Nolan Arenado 29 FA-elig 480.6 35.0 -30.9
Yency Almonte 26 pre-arb 240.5 0.2 +3.7
Daniel Bard 35 arb 230.5 0.2 +3.5
Joshua Fuentes 27 300.5
Jon Gray 28 arb 80.5 5.6 -2.3
Charlie Blackmon 33 FA-elig 590.3 21.5 -19.0
Kevin Pillar↔ BOS 31 FA-elig 240.3 1.9 -0.0
Tyler Kinley 29 pre-arb 240.2 0.2 +1.4
Sam Hilliard 26 pre-arb 360.2 0.2 +1.0
Garrett Hampson 25 pre-arb 530.2 0.2 +0.9
Jeff Hoffman 27 pre-arb 160.1 0.2 +0.7
Ryan McMahon 25 pre-arb 520.1 0.2 +0.6
Chi Chi González 28 60.1 0.6 -0.2
Joe Harvey 28 pre-arb 40.0 0.2 +0.1
Jesus Tinoco↔ MIA 25 pre-arb 30.0 0.0 -0.0
Chris Owings 28 arb 17-0.0 0.2 -0.3
Tommy Doyle 24 3-0.0 0.0 -0.2
Phillip Diehl 25 pre-arb 6-0.1 0.1 -0.7
Antonio Santos 23 3-0.1 0.1 -0.7
Elias Díaz 29 arb 26-0.1 0.2 -0.9
Matt Kemp 35 FA-elig 43-0.1 0.4 -1.1
AJ Ramos 33 FA-elig 3-0.1 0.0 -0.9
Carlos Estévez 27 arb 26-0.2 1.1 -2.2
Ashton Goudeau 27 4-0.2 0.1 -1.4
James Pazos 29 pre-arb 6-0.2 0.1 -1.7
José Mujica 24 pre-arb 2-0.2 0.0 -1.9
Jairo Díaz 29 pre-arb 24-0.3 0.2 -2.6
Drew Butera 36 FA-elig 29-0.3 0.4 -2.8
Wade Davis 34 FA-elig 5-0.4 17.0 -19.6
Brendan Rodgers 23 pre-arb 7-0.4 0.1 -3.2
Mychal Givens↔ BAL 30 arb 10-0.5 1.5 -4.9
Tony Wolters 28 arb 42-0.6 1.9 -6.4
Ryan Castellani 24 10-0.6 0.2 -4.8
Daniel Murphy 35 FA-elig 40-0.9 8.0 -14.9
David Dahl 26 arb 24-1.0 2.5 -9.6

Key additions (new vs 2019)

PlayerfWAR
Daniel Bard0.5
Kevin Pillar0.3
Tyler Kinley0.2
Chris Owings-0.0
Tommy Doyle-0.0
Antonio Santos-0.1

Key subtractions (gone from 2019)

Player2019 fWAR
Harrison Musgrave0.3
DJ Johnson0.2
Chad Bettis0.1
Yonder Alonso-0.0
Noel Cuevas-0.0
Chris Rusin-0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2020 payroll
$117.5M
2021 guaranteed
$0.6M

What the front office was committed to as of 2020, 2020–2026. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2020; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (7)

PlayerAgeSvc2020202120222023202420252026
Nolan Arenado296.155$35.0M$570k$23.4MOPT-OUT$8.0MOPT-OUT$24.0M$21.0M$5.0M
Charlie Blackmon337.102$21.5MFREE AGENT
Wade Davis3411.000$17.0MFREE AGENT
Daniel Murphy3512.000$8.0MFREE AGENT
Matt Kemp3512.087$370kFREE AGENT
Drew Butera368.067$370kFREE AGENT
AJ Ramos336.030$29kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2020202120222023202420252026
Trevor Story274.000$9.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jon Gray284.062$5.6MARB 3FREE AGENT
Germán Márquez253.027$4.8MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Wolters283.161$1.9MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Pillar315.113$1.9MFREE AGENT
Mychal Givens304.069$1.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Estévez273.022$1.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chi Chi González285.000$629kFREE AGENT
Elias Díaz293.088$213kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Bard353.103$209kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Owings285.131$209kFREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (22)

PlayerAgeSvc2020202120222023202420252026
Kyle Freeland272.144$2.9MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Dahl262.162$2.5MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Antonio Senzatela252.106$212kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jairo Díaz292.083$212kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Raimel Tapia262.020$212kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan McMahon252.006$212kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Hoffman271.105$211kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Garrett Hampson251.030$211kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Kinley291.014$211kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yency Almonte260.168$209kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sam Hilliard260.034$197kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Harvey280.063$178kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Castellani242.001$162kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ashton Goudeau270.000$143kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brendan Rodgers230.132$125kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Phillip Diehl250.030$125kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
James Pazos292.096$121kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Antonio Santos230.000$53kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Mujica240.029$25kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesus Tinoco250.091$16kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tommy Doyle240.000$16kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joshua Fuentes27

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Rockies 2020; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3