Rosternomics

Reds CIN

202031–29 (0.517)Made Playoffs
‹ Previous Next ›

President of baseball ops: Dick Williams · GM: Nick Krall

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2020, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$130M
Win %
0.517
TAB
+2.7
WAB
+0.6
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
14.1
Dead money %
50%
Depth Players
2.0
Dead WAR
-3.4

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2020 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

LTucker Barnhart36
RCurt Casali29
RTyler Stephenson4

1B

LJoey Votto50
LMike Moustakas10
LJosh VanMeter3
LTucker Barnhart2
RMatt Davidson2
RChristian Colón1
RKyle Farmer1

2B

LMike Moustakas32
BFreddy Galvis16
RKyle Farmer13
RChristian Colón7
LJosh VanMeter7

3B

REugenio Suárez57
RMatt Davidson7
RKyle Farmer2
LMike Moustakas2

SS

BFreddy Galvis33
RJosé Barrero21
RKyle Farmer15

LF

LShogo Akiyama36
LJesse Winker15
RAristides Aquino13
RPhillip Ervin10
LBrian Goodwin7
LMark Payton6
RKyle Farmer2
LTravis Jankowski1

CF

RNick Senzel23
LShogo Akiyama21
LTravis Jankowski9
LBrian Goodwin8
RPhillip Ervin7
RMichael Lorenzen3
RAristides Aquino1

RF

RNick Castellanos57
LBrian Goodwin5
RAristides Aquino4
LTravis Jankowski3
LJesse Winker1

DH

LJesse Winker37
RMatt Davidson10
LJoey Votto5
LJosh VanMeter4
RAristides Aquino4
LMike Moustakas3
RChristian Colón3
RTyler Stephenson3
RJosé Barrero2
RNick Castellanos2
LBrian Goodwin1
RCurt Casali1
LMark Payton1
RPhillip Ervin1
LTravis Jankowski1

Starters

RTrevor Bauer2.6 WAR
RLuis Castillo2.4 WAR
RSonny Gray1.7 WAR
RTyler Mahle1.1 WAR
RTejay Antone0.7 WAR
RMichael Lorenzen0.6 WAR
LWade Miley0.1 WAR
RAnthony DeSclafani-0.1 WAR

Bullpen

RRaisel Iglesias8 sv
LAmir Garrett6 h
RLucas Sims5 h
RNate Jones4 h
RMichael Lorenzen2 h
RTejay Antone1 h
RRobert Stephenson1 h
LCody Reed0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2019)

PlayerfWAR
Tejay Antone0.7
Mike Moustakas0.5
Tyler Stephenson0.3
Nick Castellanos0.3
Shogo Akiyama0.3
Tyler Thornburg0.2

Key subtractions (gone from 2019)

Player2019 fWAR
Tanner Roark2.0
Jose Iglesias1.8
Yasiel Puig1.2
Derek Dietrich0.6
Kevin Gausman0.4
David Hernandez0.4

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Reds. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2020; everyone else is shown as a 2020 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Luis Castillo 2020 +2.4 +29.1 0.2 +28.8 $0.1M 1.49× Arb extension · 2023–2028 · $21.6M AAV
Trevor Bauer 2020 +2.6 +40.1 17.5 +22.6 $6.8M 1.96×
Sonny Gray 2020 +1.7 +20.6 10.2 +10.5 $5.9M 1.49× Free Agent · 2024–2027 · $25.0M AAV
Tyler Mahle 2020 +1.1 +8.8 0.2 +8.6 $0.2M 1.02× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $10.0M AAV
Jesse Winker 2020 +1.3 +7.2 0.2 +7.0 $0.2M 0.69×
Raisel Iglesias 2020 +1.1 +12.2 5.7 +6.5 $5.0M 1.34× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $16.0M AAV
Tejay Antone 2020 +0.7 +3.5 0.2 +3.3 $0.3M 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Lucas Sims 2020 +0.4 +2.4 0.2 +2.2 $0.5M 0.67×
Curt Casali 2020 +0.7 +2.9 1.5 +1.4 $2.1M 0.52×
Tyler Stephenson 2020 +0.3 +1.2 0.1 +1.2 $0.2M 0.52× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $6.8M AAV
Kyle Farmer 2020 +0.2 +1.1 0.2 +0.9 $0.9M 0.61× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.2M AAV
Tyler Thornburg 2020 +0.2 +0.9 0.1 +0.8 $0.9M 0.67×
Amir Garrett 2020 +0.2 +0.9 0.2 +0.7 $1.2M 0.67×
Sal Romano 2020 +0.1 +0.3 0.0 +0.3 $0.8M 0.67×
Brooks Raley 2020 +0.0 +0.2 0.0 +0.1 $0.9M 0.67× Free Agent · 2025–2026 · $1.9M AAV
Archie Bradley 2020 +0.1 +1.4 1.5 -0.1 $11.6M 1.34×
Jesse Biddle 2020 +0.0 +0.0 0.1 -0.1 $197.8M 0.67×
Aristides Aquino 2020 -0.0 -0.2 0.1 -0.3 0.83×
Shogo Akiyama 2020 +0.3 +1.8 2.2 -0.4 $8.1M 0.83×
Joel Kuhnel 2020 -0.1 -0.5 0.0 -0.5 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Tucker Barnhart 2020 +0.8 +3.5 3.9 -0.5 $4.7M 0.52×
José De León 2020 -0.1 -0.5 0.1 -0.6 0.67×
Michael Lorenzen 2020 +0.6 +3.1 3.7 -0.6 $6.4M 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $8.0M AAV
Cody Reed 2020 -0.1 -0.6 0.1 -0.7 0.67×
Mark Payton 2020 -0.1 -0.7 0.0 -0.7 0.83×
Nate Jones 2020 -0.1 -0.7 0.1 -0.8 0.67×
Nick Senzel 2020 -0.1 -0.6 0.2 -0.8 0.83×
Christian Colón 2020 -0.3 -1.2 0.1 -1.3 0.56×
Freddy Galvis 2020 +0.1 +0.4 2.0 -1.6 $23.1M 0.61×
Phillip Ervin 2020 -0.3 -1.7 0.1 -1.8 0.83×
Travis Jankowski 2020 -0.1 -0.9 1.1 -1.9 0.83×
Brian Goodwin 2020 -0.2 -1.1 0.9 -2.0 0.83×
Matt Davidson 2020 -0.3 -1.8 0.1 -2.0 0.69×
Josh VanMeter 2020 -0.4 -2.1 0.0 -2.1 0.69×
Pedro Strop 2020 -0.1 -0.4 1.8 -2.2 0.67×
Robert Stephenson 2020 -0.6 -3.0 0.2 -3.2 0.67× Free Agent · 2024–2027 · $11.0M AAV
Eugenio Suárez 2020 +1.1 +5.2 9.5 -4.3 $8.5M 0.58× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $15.0M AAV
Wade Miley 2020 +0.1 +1.0 6.0 -5.0 $47.8M 1.02×
Anthony DeSclafani 2020 -0.1 -0.4 5.9 -6.3 1.02×
Mike Moustakas 2020 +0.5 +2.4 12.0 -9.6 $22.4M 0.56×
Nick Castellanos 2020 +0.3 +2.0 16.0 -14.0 $53.4M 0.83× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Joey Votto 2020 +0.5 +2.1 25.0 -22.9 $52.0M 0.56×
José Barrero 2020 -0.5 -2.5 0.61×
Total+13.9+135.4129.2+8.6

Trades

Every graded 2020 deal involving the Reds — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 9 total.

Current & Historical Payroll

2020 payroll
$129.6M
2021 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2020, 2020–2026. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2020; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2020202120222023202420252026
Joey Votto3612.027$25.0MFREE AGENT
Nick Castellanos286.029$16.0MFREE AGENT
Mike Moustakas318.111$12.0MFREE AGENT
Sonny Gray306.061$10.2MFREE AGENT
Wade Miley338.025$6.0MFREE AGENT
Freddy Galvis307.021$2.0MFREE AGENT
Pedro Strop3511.000$1.8MFREE AGENT
Nate Jones348.000$100kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2020202120222023202420252026
Trevor Bauer295.158$17.5MFREE AGENT
Eugenio Suárez285.061$9.5MFREE AGENT
Anthony DeSclafani305.062$5.9MFREE AGENT
Raisel Iglesias304.154$5.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
Tucker Barnhart295.075$3.9MFREE AGENT
Michael Lorenzen284.159$3.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
Archie Bradley275.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
Curt Casali314.151$1.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Travis Jankowski293.148$1.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Goodwin293.019$880kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Thornburg315.162$143kFREE AGENT
José De León274.000$87kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (23)

PlayerAgeSvc2020202120222023202420252026
Shogo Akiyama320.000$2.2MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Castillo272.101$246kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Mahle252.018$226kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesse Winker262.080$224kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Amir Garrett282.099$220kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robert Stephenson272.049$219kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lucas Sims261.014$214kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Farmer291.129$211kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Senzel250.150$211kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tejay Antone260.000$196kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Davidson292.145$149kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aristides Aquino260.069$125kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesse Biddle282.166$108kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cody Reed271.072$83kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Christian Colón312.109$73kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Stephenson230.000$59kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Phillip Ervin271.118$59kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sal Romano261.125$48kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh VanMeter250.076$44kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Payton280.000$31kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brooks Raley320.045$29kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joel Kuhnel250.046$16kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Barrero220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2020 acquisition stacked onto Reds's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.