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Reds CIN

202183–79 (0.512)
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President of baseball ops: Dick Williams · GM: Nick Krall

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2021, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$126M
Surplus $M
-11
Win %
0.512
TAB
+1.2
WAB
+1.1
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
35.3
Dead money %
39%
Depth Players
9.0
Dead WAR
-5.3

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2021 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

LTucker Barnhart102
RTyler Stephenson78

1B

LJoey Votto123
RTyler Stephenson23
RAlex Blandino17
LMike Moustakas11
LMike Freeman9
BAsdrúbal Cabrera⇄5
LMax Schrock5
RKyle Farmer5
RScott Heineman2
LTucker Barnhart2

2B

RJonathan India148
RKyle Farmer9
RNick Senzel8
LMax Schrock8
RAlex Blandino5
BAlejo Lopez3
RJosé Barrero2
LMike Freeman2
LMike Moustakas1

3B

REugenio Suárez104
LMike Moustakas44
BAsdrúbal Cabrera⇄15
RKyle Farmer10
RAlex Blandino9
LMax Schrock9
LMike Freeman7
BAlejo Lopez3
RNick Senzel3

SS

RKyle Farmer121
REugenio Suárez34
LMike Freeman12
RJosé Barrero9
RAlex Blandino1

LF

LJesse Winker101
RAristides Aquino35
LMax Schrock23
LTyler Naquin22
LShogo Akiyama9
LTJ Friedl5
RAlex Blandino3
RDelino DeShields3
RKyle Farmer2
BAlejo Lopez2
RScott Heineman2
LMark Payton1
LMike Freeman1
RTyler Stephenson1

CF

LTyler Naquin92
LShogo Akiyama48
RNick Senzel29
RDelino DeShields18
RAristides Aquino14
RScott Heineman8
RJosé Barrero7
LTJ Friedl6
LMike Freeman3
BAlejo Lopez1
LJesse Winker1
RMichael Lorenzen1

RF

RNick Castellanos135
RAristides Aquino27
LTyler Naquin21
LJesse Winker5
LMark Payton4
LShogo Akiyama4
RScott Heineman2
RMichael Lorenzen1
LMax Schrock1

DH

LJesse Winker5
LJoey Votto3
RDelino DeShields1
LMike Freeman1
RNick Castellanos1

Starters

RLuis Castillo4.0 WAR
RTyler Mahle3.5 WAR
LWade Miley3.4 WAR
RSonny Gray2.4 WAR
RVladimir Gutierrez0.6 WAR
LReiver Sanmartin0.4 WAR
RTony Santillan0.2 WAR
RJeff Hoffman0.2 WAR
RJose De Leon0.2 WAR
RRiley O'Brien-0.2 WAR

Bullpen

★ RMychal Givens⇄8 sv
RMichael Lorenzen11 h
RBrad Brach10 h
RLucas Sims9 h
LAmir Garrett7 h
RRyan Hendrix3 h
RHeath Hembree⇄0 h
LSean Doolittle⇄0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2020)

PlayerfWAR
Jonathan India3.4
Tyler Naquin1.4
Vladimir Gutierrez0.6
Art Warren0.6
Luis Cessa0.5
Reiver Sanmartin0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2020)

Player2020 fWAR
Trevor Bauer2.6
Raisel Iglesias1.1
Curt Casali0.7
Tyler Thornburg0.2
Archie Bradley0.1
Freddy Galvis0.1

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Reds. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2021; everyone else is shown as a 2021 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Luis Castillo 2021 +4.0 +69.5 4.2 +65.3 $1.1M 2.19× Arb extension · 2023–2028 · $21.6M AAV
Tyler Mahle 2021 +3.5 +61.3 2.2 +59.1 $0.6M 2.19× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $10.0M AAV
Wade Miley 2021 +3.4 +52.8 8.0 +44.8 $2.4M 1.96× –
Nick Castellanos 2021 +3.7 +53.0 14.0 +39.0 $3.8M 1.79× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Jesse Winker 2021 +3.2 +41.5 3.1 +38.4 $1.0M 1.60× –
Jonathan India 2021 +3.4 +29.2 0.6 +28.7 $0.2M 1.07× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $8.0M AAV
Sonny Gray 2021 +2.4 +29.0 10.2 +18.8 $4.2M 1.49× Free Agent · 2024–2027 · $25.0M AAV
Kyle Farmer 2021 +2.1 +15.2 0.6 +14.5 $0.3M 0.89× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.2M AAV
Lucas Sims 2021 +1.3 +13.7 0.6 +13.1 $0.5M 1.34× –
Tyler Stephenson 2021 +1.8 +10.8 0.6 +10.3 $0.3M 0.76× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $6.8M AAV
Joey Votto 2021 +3.5 +34.0 25.0 +9.0 $7.1M 1.20× –
Tejay Antone 2021 +0.8 +8.7 0.6 +8.2 $0.7M 1.34× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Tyler Naquin 2021 +1.4 +9.6 1.5 +8.1 $1.0M 0.83× –
Tucker Barnhart 2021 +1.5 +9.4 4.2 +5.2 $2.7M 0.76× –
Vladimir Gutierrez 2021 +0.6 +4.8 0.4 +4.4 $0.7M 1.02× –
Reiver Sanmartin 2021 +0.4 +3.5 0.0 +3.5 $0.0M 1.02× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Art Warren 2021 +0.6 +3.0 0.4 +2.6 $0.7M 0.67× –
Luis Cessa↔ 2021 +0.5 +2.9 0.5 +2.4 $0.9M 0.67× –
Delino DeShields 2021 +0.2 +1.5 0.1 +1.4 $0.4M 0.83× –
Max Schrock 2021 +0.2 +1.3 0.2 +1.0 $1.2M 0.83× –
Tony Santillan 2021 +0.2 +1.3 0.3 +1.0 $1.1M 0.67× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.8M AAV
José De León 2021 +0.2 +1.0 0.1 +0.9 $0.6M 0.67× –
TJ Friedl 2021 +0.1 +0.9 0.0 +0.9 $0.3M 0.83× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $3.8M AAV
Jeff Hoffman 2021 +0.2 +1.0 0.6 +0.4 $3.1M 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $11.0M AAV
José Barrero 2021 +0.1 +0.5 0.1 +0.4 $1.0M 0.61× –
Sean Doolittle↔ 2021 +0.3 +1.5 1.2 +0.3 $4.2M 0.67× –
Heath Hembree↔ 2021 +0.2 +1.1 0.9 +0.2 $4.5M 0.67× –
Carson Fulmer 2021 +0.0 +0.0 0.2 -0.1 $22.1M 0.67× –
Dauri Moreta 2021 -0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 – 0.67× –
Mychal Givens↔ 2021 +0.1 +1.5 1.7 -0.2 $12.4M 1.34× –
Justin Wilson↔ 2021 +0.2 +1.0 1.4 -0.5 $7.8M 0.67× –
Ashton Goudeau↔ 2021 -0.1 -0.6 0.0 -0.6 – 0.67× –
Edgar García↔ 2021 -0.1 -0.7 0.0 -0.7 – 0.67× –
Brad Brach 2021 -0.1 -0.4 0.4 -0.8 – 0.67× –
Michael Feliz↔ 2021 -0.1 -0.4 0.4 -0.8 – 0.67× –
R.J. Alaniz 2021 -0.1 -0.7 0.1 -0.8 – 0.67× –
Sal Romano↔ 2021 -0.2 -0.9 0.1 -1.0 – 0.67× –
Cam Bedrosian↔ 2021 -0.1 -0.8 0.3 -1.1 – 0.67× –
Alejo Lopez 2021 -0.2 -1.1 0.1 -1.2 – 0.56× –
Scott Heineman 2021 -0.2 -1.1 0.1 -1.2 – 0.83× –
Alex Blandino 2021 -0.2 -1.1 0.4 -1.5 – 0.56× –
Nick Senzel 2021 -0.1 -1.0 0.6 -1.5 – 0.83× –
Mike Freeman 2021 -0.3 -1.4 0.2 -1.6 – 0.61× –
Aristides Aquino 2021 -0.2 -1.3 0.6 -1.8 – 0.83× –
Amir Garrett 2021 -0.0 -0.4 1.5 -1.9 – 1.34× –
Cionel Pérez 2021 -0.3 -1.6 0.2 -1.9 – 0.67× –
Riley O'Brien 2021 -0.2 -1.9 0.0 -1.9 – 1.02× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Josh Osich 2021 -0.4 -1.9 0.1 -2.0 – 0.67× –
Asdrúbal Cabrera↔ 2021 -0.4 -2.0 0.3 -2.3 – 0.58× –
Mark Payton 2021 -0.3 -2.2 0.1 -2.3 – 0.83× –
Ryan Hendrix 2021 -0.4 -2.1 0.3 -2.4 – 0.67× –
Michael Lorenzen 2021 +0.2 +1.2 4.4 -3.2 $19.4M 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $8.0M AAV
Eugenio Suárez 2021 -0.0 -0.1 10.8 -10.9 – 0.58× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $15.0M AAV
Shogo Akiyama 2021 -0.7 -4.5 7.0 -11.5 – 0.83× –
Mike Moustakas 2021 -0.4 -1.8 14.0 -15.8 – 0.58× –
Total—+35.2+435.6125.5+310.3—

Trades

Every graded 2021 deal involving the Reds — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 5 total.

2021 · CIN / DET
CIN · Dick Williams +$4.8M
Nick Quintana
DET · Al Avila −$4.8M
Tucker Barnhart
CIN came out ahead by $4.8M
2021 · CIN / NYY
CIN · Dick Williams +$0.0M
Luis Cessa, Justin Wilson
NYY · Brian Cashman +$0.0M
Jason Parker
Even trade
2021 · TOR / CIN
TOR · Mark Shapiro +$0.0M
Darlin Guzman
CIN · Dick Williams +$0.0M
Hector Perez
Even trade
2021 · COL / CIN
COL · Jeff Bridich +$0.8M
Case Williams, Noah Davis
CIN · Dick Williams −$0.8M
Mychal Givens
COL came out ahead by $0.8M
2021 · HOU / CIN
HOU · James Click +$1.6M
Luke Berryhill
CIN · Dick Williams −$1.6M
Cionel Pérez
HOU came out ahead by $1.6M

Current & Historical Payroll

2021 payroll
$125.7M
2022 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2021, 2021–2027. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2021; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2021202220232024202520262027
Joey Votto3713.027$25.0MFREE AGENT
Mike Moustakas329.111$14.0MFREE AGENT
Nick Castellanos297.029$14.0MFREE AGENT
Eugenio Suárez296.061$10.8MFREE AGENT
Sonny Gray317.061$10.2MFREE AGENT
Wade Miley349.025$8.0MFREE AGENT
Tucker Barnhart306.075$4.2MFREE AGENT
Justin Wilson338.035$1.4MFREE AGENT
Sean Doolittle348.122$1.2MFREE AGENT
Michael Feliz286.000$429kFREE AGENT
Brad Brach358.063$353kFREE AGENT
Asdrúbal Cabrera3513.027$318kFREE AGENT
Josh Osich326.000$100kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2021202220232024202520262027
Michael Lorenzen295.159$4.4MFREE AGENT
Luis Castillo283.101$4.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesse Winker273.080$3.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Mahle263.018$2.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mychal Givens315.069$1.7MFREE AGENT
Tyler Naquin304.032$1.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Amir Garrett293.099$1.5MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Heath Hembree325.106$938kFREE AGENT
Luis Cessa293.131$475kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cam Bedrosian295.153$346kFREE AGENT
José De León285.000$108kFREE AGENT
Delino DeShields285.109$98kFREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (30)

PlayerAgeSvc2021202220232024202520262027
Shogo Akiyama331.000$7.0MPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Farmer302.129$640kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lucas Sims272.014$598kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Hoffman282.105$586kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tejay Antone271.000$580kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Senzel261.150$580kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aristides Aquino271.005$579kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan India240.000$570kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Stephenson240.056$570kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Blandino281.108$410kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Vladimir Gutierrez250.000$386kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Art Warren280.023$368kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Hendrix261.125$301kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Santillan240.000$267kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cionel Pérez251.010$234kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Max Schrock260.075$233kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Freeman332.111$205kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carson Fulmer272.035$164kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Payton290.031$120kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Heineman281.146$115kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Barrero230.092$107kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alejo Lopez250.000$104kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sal Romano272.125$102kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
R.J. Alaniz300.065$95kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ashton Goudeau280.092$50kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
TJ Friedl250.000$46kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dauri Moreta250.000$34kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Edgar García240.145$25kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Reiver Sanmartin250.000$18kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Riley O'Brien260.000$6kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2021 acquisition stacked onto Reds's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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