RRosternomics

White Sox CHW

President of baseball ops: Kenny Williams · GM: Rick Hahn

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 2 in this regime · payroll 0.65× league · TAB -8.5
-8.5TAB — talent above budget23rd/30
-14.3WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)26th/30
3.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars25th/30
-5.4dead WAR — sub-replacement drag20th/30
29%dead money %8th/30
0.383win %28th/30
20.4roster fWAR26th/30
-15surplus $M (value vs cost)13th/30
$85Mpayroll $M26th/30

Roster

CFAdam Engel 140GRyan LaMarre 36GLeury García 26G
LFNicky Delmonico 76GLeury García 40GCharlie Tilson 32G
RFAvisaíl García 87GDaniel Palka 43GTrayce Thompson 33G
SSTim Anderson 151GJosé Rondon 10GLeury García 5G
2BYoán Moncada 149GYolmer Sánchez 9GLeury García 7G
3BYolmer Sánchez 141GMatt Davidson 14GJosé Rondon 8G
1BJosé Abreu 114GMatt Davidson 45GNicky Delmonico 7G
STARTERSReynaldo López 2.3WARDylan Covey 1.3WARJames Shields 1.2WARCarlos Rodón 0.9WARLucas Giolito -0.0WAR
COmar Narváez 85GKevan Smith 47GWelington Castillo 43G
DHMatt Davidson 64GDaniel Palka 46GJosé Abreu 13G
BULLPEN Nate Jones 5svJace Fry 16hJuan Minaya 8hJeanmar Gómez 6hBruce Rondón 5hAaron Bummer 2hThyago Vieira 1hChris Volstad 0h
COmar Narváez 85 · Kevan Smith 47 · Welington Castillo 43
1BJosé Abreu 114 · Matt Davidson 45 · Nicky Delmonico 7
2BYoán Moncada 149 · Yolmer Sánchez 9 · Leury García 7
3BYolmer Sánchez 141 · Matt Davidson 14 · José Rondon 8
SSTim Anderson 151 · José Rondon 10 · Leury García 5
LFNicky Delmonico 76 · Leury García 40 · Charlie Tilson 32
CFAdam Engel 140 · Ryan LaMarre 36 · Leury García 26
RFAvisaíl García 87 · Daniel Palka 43 · Trayce Thompson 33
DHMatt Davidson 64 · Daniel Palka 46 · José Abreu 13
SPReynaldo López 2.3 · Dylan Covey 1.3 · James Shields 1.2 · Carlos Rodón 0.9 · Lucas Giolito -0.0
BP Nate Jones 5 · Jace Fry 16 · Juan Minaya 8 · Jeanmar Gómez 6 · Bruce Rondón 5 · Aaron Bummer 2 · Thyago Vieira 1 · Chris Volstad 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2018 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Tim Anderson 25 pre-arb 1532.4 1.0 +7.2
Yolmer Sánchez 26 arb 1552.3 2.4 +5.6
Reynaldo López 24 pre-arb 322.3 0.6 +7.4
José Abreu 31 arb 1281.7 13.0 -7.2
Joakim Soria↔ MIL 34 FA-elig 401.4 5.5 -0.6
Jace Fry 24 pre-arb 591.3 0.4 +4.1
Dylan Covey 26 pre-arb 271.3 0.4 +3.9
James Shields 36 FA-elig 341.2 21.0 -16.8
Adam Engel 26 pre-arb 1431.0 0.6 +3.0
Yoán Moncada 23 pre-arb 1491.0 0.6 +3.0
Luis Avilán↔ PHI 28 FA-elig 581.0 2.0 +1.4
Leury García 27 arb 821.0 1.2 +2.2
Avisaíl García 27 FA-elig 931.0 6.7 -3.4
Carlos Rodón 25 arb 200.9 2.3 +0.8
Matt Davidson 27 arb 1260.8 0.6 +2.1
Aaron Bummer 24 pre-arb 370.8 0.5 +2.1
Juan Minaya 27 pre-arb 520.8 0.6 +2.1
Ryan LaMarre↔ MIN 29 pre-arb 330.7 0.1 +2.2
Kevan Smith 30 pre-arb 520.6 0.3 +1.6
Omar Narváez 26 pre-arb 970.5 0.6 +1.2
Xavier Cedeño↔ MIL 31 330.4 0.5 +1.0
Bruce Rondón 27 arb 350.3 0.3 +0.7
Jeanmar Gómez 30 arb 260.3 0.2 +0.7
José Rondon 24 pre-arb 420.2 0.2 +0.6
Caleb Frare 24 110.2 0.1 +0.7
Nate Jones 32 FA-elig 330.1 4.0 -3.6
Matt Skole 28 40.1 0.0 +0.3
Dustin Garneau 30 pre-arb 10.1 0.0 +0.2
Gregory Infante 30 FA-elig 100.1 0.6 -0.4
Lucas Giolito 23 pre-arb 32-0.0 0.6 -0.6
Rob Scahill 31 pre-arb 6-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Tyler Saladino↔ MIL 28 arb 6-0.0 0.1 -0.1
José Ruiz 23 pre-arb 6-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Nicky Delmonico 25 pre-arb 88-0.0 0.6 -0.6
Michael Kopech 22 4-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Welington Castillo 31 FA-elig 49-0.1 7.2 -7.5
Danny Farquhar 31 FA-elig 8-0.1 1.1 -1.4
Héctor Santiago 30 FA-elig 49-0.1 2.0 -2.4
Alfredo González 25 3-0.2 0.0 -0.7
Ian Hamilton 23 10-0.2 0.1 -0.7
Daniel Palka 26 124-0.2 0.5 -1.2
Chris Beck↔ NYM 27 14-0.2 0.1 -0.8
Thyago Vieira 25 pre-arb 16-0.3 0.2 -1.2
Ryan Burr 24 8-0.3 0.1 -1.1
Miguel González 34 FA-elig 3-0.3 4.8 -5.8
Chris Volstad 31 33-0.3 0.3 -1.4
Tyler Danish 23 pre-arb 7-0.4 0.1 -1.3
Ryan Cordell 26 19-0.4 0.1 -1.6
Charlie Tilson 25 pre-arb 41-0.4 0.2 -1.7
Carson Fulmer 24 pre-arb 9-0.5 0.6 -2.3
Trayce Thompson↔ OAK 27 pre-arb 48-1.3 0.2 -4.6

Key additions (new vs 2017)

PlayerfWAR
Joakim Soria1.4
Luis Avilán1.0
Ryan LaMarre0.7
Xavier Cedeño0.4
Bruce Rondón0.3
Jeanmar Gómez0.3

Key subtractions (gone from 2017)

Player2017 fWAR
Jose Quintana1.9
Anthony Swarzak1.7
Tommy Kahnle1.4
Todd Frazier1.3
David Robertson0.8
Melky Cabrera0.4

Current & Historical Payroll

2018 payroll
$84.9M
2019 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2018, 2018–2024. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2018; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (6)

PlayerAgeSvc2018201920202021202220232024
James Shields3611.125$21.0MFREE AGENT
Welington Castillo316.009$7.2MFREE AGENT
Joakim Soria3411.000$5.5MFREE AGENT
Miguel González346.084$4.8MFREE AGENT
Nate Jones326.000$4.0MFREE AGENT
Héctor Santiago306.016$2.0MFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2018201920202021202220232024
José Abreu314.000$13.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Avisaíl García274.166$6.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Avilán284.146$2.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Leury García273.025$1.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Danny Farquhar313.135$1.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Xavier Cedeño314.060$450kARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Volstad315.053$311kFREE AGENT
Bruce Rondón273.098$275kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeanmar Gómez305.146$240kFREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (36)

PlayerAgeSvc2018201920202021202220232024
Yolmer Sánchez262.134$2.4MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Rodón252.168$2.3MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Anderson251.115$1.0MPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Davidson271.145$570kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Omar Narváez261.089$560kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gregory Infante300.166$558kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Juan Minaya271.002$558kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lucas Giolito230.080$555kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yoán Moncada230.106$555kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Reynaldo López240.096$555kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nicky Delmonico250.062$553kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Engel260.118$552kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carson Fulmer240.065$552kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Bummer240.067$549kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Palka260.000$469kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jace Fry240.027$440kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dylan Covey261.000$398kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevan Smith301.043$346kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Rondon240.013$237kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Thyago Vieira250.002$196kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trayce Thompson271.124$180kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Charlie Tilson251.062$161kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Kopech220.000$120kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Burr240.000$117kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan LaMarre290.076$99kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Beck271.062$96kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ian Hamilton230.000$91kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Caleb Frare240.000$88kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Cordell260.000$82kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Ruiz230.002$79kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Danish230.007$73kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rob Scahill311.147$67kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Saladino282.087$58kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alfredo González25$32k
Matt Skole280.000$21kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dustin Garneau301.055$9kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = White Sox 2018; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3