RRosternomics

White Sox CHW

President of baseball ops: Kenny Williams · GM: Rick Hahn

Overview

REBUILD ↗ rising
cheap & losing · year 3 in this regime · payroll 0.68× league · TAB -6.6
-6.6TAB — talent above budget20th/30
-4.5WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)17th/30
5.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars17th/30
-9.7dead WAR — sub-replacement drag25th/30
46%dead money %20th/30
0.447win %20th/30
22.8roster fWAR21st/30
-14surplus $M (value vs cost)13th/30
$88Mpayroll $M23rd/30

Roster

CFAdam Engel 86GLeury García 80GRyan Cordell 19G
LFEloy Jiménez 114GLeury García 24GNicky Delmonico 21G
RFRyan Cordell 72GLeury García 45GJon Jay 33G
SSTim Anderson 122GLeury García 19GJosé Rondon 15G
2BYolmer Sánchez 149GJosé Rondon 18GDanny Mendick 3G
3BYoán Moncada 129GRyan Goins 23GDanny Mendick 3G
1BJosé Abreu 125GMatt Skole 9GAJ Reed 4G
STARTERSLucas Giolito 5.2WARReynaldo López 2.4WARIván Nova 2.0WARCarlos Rodón 0.9WARDylan Cease 0.7WAR
CJames McCann 106GWelington Castillo 48GZack Collins 10G
DHYonder Alonso 41GJosé Abreu 34GWelington Castillo 20G
BULLPEN Alex Colomé 30svAaron Bummer 27hEvan Marshall 19hJace Fry 11hKelvin Herrera 6hJimmy Cordero 4hJosh Osich 2hJosé Ruiz 1h
CJames McCann 106 · Welington Castillo 48 · Zack Collins 10
1BJosé Abreu 125 · Matt Skole 9 · AJ Reed 4
2BYolmer Sánchez 149 · José Rondon 18 · Danny Mendick 3
3BYoán Moncada 129 · Ryan Goins 23 · Danny Mendick 3
SSTim Anderson 122 · Leury García 19 · José Rondon 15
LFEloy Jiménez 114 · Leury García 24 · Nicky Delmonico 21
CFAdam Engel 86 · Leury García 80 · Ryan Cordell 19
RFRyan Cordell 72 · Leury García 45 · Jon Jay 33
DHYonder Alonso 41 · José Abreu 34 · Welington Castillo 20
SPLucas Giolito 5.2 · Reynaldo López 2.4 · Iván Nova 2.0 · Carlos Rodón 0.9 · Dylan Cease 0.7
BP Alex Colomé 30 · Aaron Bummer 27 · Evan Marshall 19 · Jace Fry 11 · Kelvin Herrera 6 · Jimmy Cordero 4 · Josh Osich 2 · José Ruiz 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2019 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Lucas Giolito 24 arb 295.2 0.6 +16.4
Yoán Moncada 24 arb 1325.2 0.6 +16.4
Tim Anderson 26 arb 1234.5 1.4 +13.3
Reynaldo López 25 arb 332.4 0.6 +7.1
Iván Nova 32 FA-elig 342.0 9.2 -2.5
James McCann 29 arb 1181.9 2.5 +3.9
José Abreu 32 arb 1591.9 16.0 -9.9
Aaron Bummer 25 pre-arb 581.3 0.5 +3.9
Leury García 28 FA-elig 1401.3 1.6 +2.7
Eloy Jiménez 22 pre-arb 1221.1 1.8 +1.6
Carlos Rodón 26 arb 70.9 4.2 -1.3
Adam Engel 27 pre-arb 890.8 0.6 +2.2
Dylan Cease 23 140.7 0.3 +2.1
Alex Colomé 30 FA-elig 620.7 7.3 -5.1
Evan Marshall 29 pre-arb 550.5 0.5 +1.3
Jimmy Cordero↔ TOR 27 pre-arb 300.4 0.2 +1.2
Kelvin Herrera 29 FA-elig 570.4 8.5 -7.2
Yolmer Sánchez 27 arb 1490.3 4.6 -3.5
Ryan Cordell 27 pre-arb 970.3 0.6 +0.4
Juan Minaya 28 pre-arb 220.2 0.2 +0.4
Ryan Burr 25 pre-arb 160.1 0.6 -0.1
Danny Mendick 25 160.1 0.1 +0.3
Thyago Vieira 26 pre-arb 60.1 0.1 +0.2
José Ruiz 24 pre-arb 400.1 0.4 -0.2
Ryan Goins 31 arb 520.1 0.4 -0.2
Jace Fry 25 pre-arb 680.1 0.6 -0.4
Josh Osich 30 pre-arb 570.0 0.5 -0.4
Héctor Santiago↔ NYM 31 FA-elig 11-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Dylan Covey 27 pre-arb 18-0.1 0.6 -0.8
Odrisamer Despaigne 32 pre-arb 3-0.1 0.0 -0.4
Nate Jones 33 FA-elig 13-0.1 4.7 -5.0
Caleb Frare 25 pre-arb 5-0.1 0.6 -1.0
Seby Zavala 25 5-0.1 0.0 -0.5
Carson Fulmer 25 pre-arb 20-0.2 0.3 -1.1
Charlie Tilson 26 pre-arb 54-0.3 0.2 -1.2
Manny Banuelos 28 arb 16-0.4 0.6 -1.8
Ervin Santana 36 FA-elig 3-0.4 0.1 -1.4
Zack Collins 24 27-0.4 0.2 -1.6
AJ Reed 26 pre-arb 14-0.5 0.1 -1.7
Ross Detwiler 33 FA-elig 18-0.6 0.1 -2.0
Matt Skole 29 pre-arb 27-0.6 0.2 -2.3
Nicky Delmonico 26 21-0.7 0.1 -2.2
José Rondon↔ BAL 25 arb 55-0.7 0.6 -2.8
Jon Jay 34 FA-elig 47-0.9 4.0 -6.9
Welington Castillo 32 FA-elig 72-1.0 7.2 -10.4
Yonder Alonso↔ COL 32 67-1.2 4.3 -8.2
Daniel Palka 27 pre-arb 30-1.3 0.6 -4.8

Key additions (new vs 2018)

PlayerfWAR
Iván Nova2.0
James McCann1.9
Eloy Jiménez1.1
Dylan Cease0.7
Alex Colomé0.7
Evan Marshall0.5

Key subtractions (gone from 2018)

Player2018 fWAR
Joakim Soria1.4
James Shields1.2
Luis Avilán1.0
Avisaíl García1.0
Matt Davidson0.8
Ryan LaMarre0.7

Current & Historical Payroll

2019 payroll
$88.5M
2020 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2019, 2019–2025. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2019; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2019202020212022202320242025
Iván Nova328.024$9.2MFREE AGENT
Kelvin Herrera296.157$8.5MFREE AGENT
Welington Castillo326.104$7.2MFREE AGENT
Nate Jones337.000$4.7MFREE AGENT
Yonder Alonso327.116$4.3MFREE AGENT
Jon Jay348.134$4.0MFREE AGENT
Ervin Santana3614.000$100kFREE AGENT
Ross Detwiler336.089$100kFREE AGENT
Héctor Santiago317.016$95kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (7)

PlayerAgeSvc2019202020212022202320242025
José Abreu325.000$16.0MFREE AGENT
Alex Colomé304.118$7.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
Yolmer Sánchez273.134$4.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Rodón263.168$4.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
James McCann294.028$2.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Leury García284.025$1.6MARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Goins314.030$393kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (31)

PlayerAgeSvc2019202020212022202320242025
Eloy Jiménez220.000$1.8MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Anderson262.115$1.4MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Reynaldo López251.096$580kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yoán Moncada241.106$575kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lucas Giolito241.080$573kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Engel271.118$571kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dylan Covey271.136$571kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jace Fry251.005$569kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Palka270.160$567kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Manny Banuelos280.146$559kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Burr250.040$556kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Caleb Frare250.030$555kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Cordell270.028$555kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Rondon250.096$550kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Osich302.119$510kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Bummer250.167$463kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Evan Marshall292.110$454kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Ruiz240.029$421kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carson Fulmer250.116$286kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dylan Cease230.000$266kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Charlie Tilson261.118$221kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jimmy Cordero270.051$208kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Juan Minaya281.129$206kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Skole290.007$176kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zack Collins240.000$164kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Danny Mendick250.000$81kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nicky Delmonico261.062$78kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Thyago Vieira260.069$66kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
AJ Reed260.110$60kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Odrisamer Despaigne322.075$42kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Seby Zavala250.000$33kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = White Sox 2019; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3