RRosternomics

White Sox CHW

GM: Ron Schueler

Overview

CONTEND ↗ rising
expensive & winning · year 2 in this regime · payroll 1.08× league · TAB +18.3
+18.3TAB — talent above budget2nd/28
+9.1WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)4th/28
7.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars2nd/28
-1.3dead WAR — sub-replacement drag3rd/28
17%dead money %4th/28
0.593win %4th/28
37.3roster fWAR2nd/28
+10surplus $M (value vs cost)2nd/28
$34Mpayroll $M12th/28

Roster

CFLance Johnson 103GDarrin Jackson 16GDann Howitt 1G
LFTim Raines Sr. 96GBob Zupcic 17GWarren Newson 9G
RFDarrin Jackson 92GWarren Newson 25GBob Zupcic 14G
SSOzzie Guillen 99GCraig Grebeck 14GNorberto Martin 6G
2BJoey Cora 84GNorberto Martin 28GCraig Grebeck 14G
3BRobin Ventura 108GCraig Grebeck 7GNorberto Martin 5G
1BFrank Thomas 99GJulio Franco 14GDann Howitt 4G
STARTERSJack McDowell 4.9WARWilson Alvarez 2.8WARAlex Fernandez 2.4WARJason Bere 1.9WARScott Sanderson 0.2WAR
CRon Karkovice 76GMichael LaValliere 57GRon Tingley 23G
DHJulio Franco 99GFrank Thomas 13GWarren Newson 1G
BULLPEN Roberto Hernandez 14svPaul Assenmacher 0hJose DeLeon 0hKirk McCaskill 0hDennis Cook 0hDane Johnson 0hAtlee Hammaker 0hScott Ruffcorn 0h
CRon Karkovice 76 · Michael LaValliere 57 · Ron Tingley 23
1BFrank Thomas 99 · Julio Franco 14 · Dann Howitt 4
2BJoey Cora 84 · Norberto Martin 28 · Craig Grebeck 14
3BRobin Ventura 108 · Craig Grebeck 7 · Norberto Martin 5
SSOzzie Guillen 99 · Craig Grebeck 14 · Norberto Martin 6
LFTim Raines Sr. 96 · Bob Zupcic 17 · Warren Newson 9
CFLance Johnson 103 · Darrin Jackson 16 · Dann Howitt 1
RFDarrin Jackson 92 · Warren Newson 25 · Bob Zupcic 14
DHJulio Franco 99 · Frank Thomas 13 · Warren Newson 1
SPJack McDowell 4.9 · Wilson Alvarez 2.8 · Alex Fernandez 2.4 · Jason Bere 1.9 · Scott Sanderson 0.2
BP Roberto Hernandez 14 · Paul Assenmacher 0 · Jose DeLeon 0 · Kirk McCaskill 0 · Dennis Cook 0 · Dane Johnson 0 · Atlee Hammaker 0 · Scott Ruffcorn 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1994 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Frank Thomas 26 arb 1137.0 2.8 +5.4
Jack McDowell 28 FA-elig 254.9 5.3 +0.4
Julio Franco 35 FA-elig 1123.1 1.0 +2.6
Robin Ventura 26 arb 1093.0 3.5 +0.0
Wilson Alvarez 24 arb 242.8 0.3 +2.9
Darrin Jackson 30 FA-elig 1042.7 0.8 +2.4
Alex Fernandez 24 arb 242.4 0.8 +2.0
Jason Bere 23 pre-arb 241.9 0.2 +2.0
Tim Raines Sr. 34 FA-elig 1011.8 3.6 -1.6
Lance Johnson 30 FA-elig 1061.3 2.7 -1.2
Ron Karkovice 30 FA-elig 771.2 1.4 -0.0
Jose DeLeon 33 FA-elig 420.9 0.6 +0.5
Craig Grebeck 29 arb 350.9 0.7 +0.3
Ozzie Guillen 30 FA-elig 1000.8 2.1 -1.1
Roberto Hernandez 29 arb 450.8 0.3 +0.6
Michael LaValliere 33 FA-elig 590.7 0.1 +0.7
Paul Assenmacher 33 FA-elig 440.7 2.6 -1.9
Joey Cora 29 FA-elig 900.5 0.6 -0.1
Joe Hall 28 pre-arb 170.4 0.1 +0.3
Kirk McCaskill 33 FA-elig 400.3 2.1 -1.8
Dennis Cook 31 FA-elig 380.2 0.3 -0.1
Scott Sanderson 37 FA-elig 180.2 0.3 -0.2
Norberto Martin 27 pre-arb 450.2 0.1 +0.1
Atlee Hammaker 36 20.1
Warren Newson 29 arb 630.0 0.2 -0.1
Dann Howitt 30 100.0
Dan Pasqua 32 FA-elig 110.0 1.8 -1.7
Jeff Schwarz↔ ANA 30 pre-arb 9-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Olmedo Saenz 23 5-0.0
Scott Ruffcorn 24 2-0.0
Ron Tingley↔ MIA 35 FA-elig 5-0.2 0.1 -0.3
Dane Johnson 31 pre-arb 15-0.3 0.1 -0.4
Bob Melvin↔ NYY 32 11-0.3
Bob Zupcic↔ BOS 27 32-0.5

Key additions (new vs 1993)

PlayerfWAR
Julio Franco3.1
Darrin Jackson2.7
Paul Assenmacher0.7
Joe Hall0.4
Dennis Cook0.2
Scott Sanderson0.2

Key subtractions (gone from 1993)

Player1993 fWAR
Ellis Burks2.7
Scott Radinsky0.9
Bo Jackson0.8
Tim Belcher0.6
Donn Pall0.5
Mike Huff0.4

Current & Historical Payroll

1994 payroll
$34.5M

What the front office was committed to as of 1994, 1994–2000. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (18)

PlayerAgeSvc1994199519961997199819992000
Jack McDowell287.000$5.3MFREE AGENT
Tim Raines Sr.3415.000$3.6M$3.7MFREE AGENT
Lance Johnson307.000$2.7M$2.7MFREE AGENT
Paul Assenmacher338.000$2.6MFREE AGENT
Kirk McCaskill339.000$2.1M$940k$800kFREE AGENT
Ozzie Guillen309.000$2.1M$3.5M$4.0M$4.5MFREE AGENT
Dan Pasqua329.000$1.8MFREE AGENT
Ron Karkovice308.000$1.4M$1.8M$2.2M$1.5MFREE AGENT
Julio Franco3512.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Darrin Jackson309.000$750kFREE AGENT$425k
Joey Cora297.000$625kFREE AGENT
Jose DeLeon3311.000$625k$595kFREE AGENT
Scott Sanderson3716.000$350kFREE AGENT
Dennis Cook316.000$325kFREE AGENT
Michael LaValliere3310.000$109k$750kFREE AGENT
Ron Tingley3512.000$56kFREE AGENT
Atlee Hammaker3613.000FREE AGENT
Bob Melvin329.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc1994199519961997199819992000
Robin Ventura265.000$3.5MFREE AGENT
Frank Thomas264.000$2.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Fernandez244.000$758kARB 3FREE AGENT
Craig Grebeck294.000$660kARB 3FREE AGENT
Wilson Alvarez245.000$285kFREE AGENT
Roberto Hernandez293.000$275kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Warren Newson293.000$175kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dann Howitt305.000FREE AGENT
Bob Zupcic273.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (7)

PlayerAgeSvc1994199519961997199819992000
Jason Bere231.000$170kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Norberto Martin271.000$112kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Hall280.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dane Johnson310.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Schwarz301.000$104kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Ruffcorn241.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Olmedo Saenz230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = White Sox 1994; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3