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Cubs CHC

201171–91 (0.438)
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GM: Randy Bush

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2011, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$124M
Surplus $M
-61
Win %
0.438
TAB
-12.2
WAB
-14.2
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
25.1
Dead money %
19%
Depth Players
7.0
Dead WAR
-6.7

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2011 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RGeovany Soto122
BKoyie Hill45
RWelington Castillo4
LSteve Clevenger2

1B

LCarlos Pena153
RJeff Baker19
LBryan LaHair4
LTyler Colvin4
RDJ LeMahieu1

2B

RDarwin Barney135
LBlake DeWitt18
RJeff Baker18
RDJ LeMahieu15

3B

RAramis Ramirez145
LBlake DeWitt14
RDJ LeMahieu11
RJeff Baker11

SS

RStarlin Castro158
RDarwin Barney5

LF

RAlfonso Soriano128
LTony Campana35
RReed Johnson27
LBlake DeWitt23
RLuis Montanez10
LTyler Colvin10
LBryan LaHair5
RJeff Baker1
LBrad Snyder1

CF

RMarlon Byrd118
LTony Campana29
RReed Johnson24
LTyler Colvin8
RLuis Montanez1

RF

LTyler Colvin44
RReed Johnson44
RLuis Montanez14
RJeff Baker10
LBryan LaHair9
LTony Campana5

DH

RAlfonso Soriano3
RAramis Ramirez3
RJeff Baker3
LKosuke Fukudome⇄1

Starters

RMatt Garza4.3 WAR
RRyan Dempster2.1 WAR
RCarlos Zambrano1.4 WAR
LDoug Davis0.5 WAR
RCasey Coleman0.4 WAR
RAndrew Cashner0.0 WAR
RRamon Ortiz-0.2 WAR
LJames Russell-0.2 WAR
RRandy Wells-0.4 WAR
RRodrigo Lopez-0.8 WAR

Bullpen

★ RCarlos Marmol34 sv
LSean Marshall34 h
RKerry Wood21 h
RJeff Samardzija13 h
LJohn Grabow5 h
RMarcos Mateo2 h
RRamon Ortiz1 h
RChris Carpenter0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2010)

PlayerfWAR
Matt Garza4.3
Carlos Pena2.5
Tony Campana1.4
Reed Johnson1.1
Doug Davis0.5
Kerry Wood0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2010)

Player2010 fWAR
Tom Gorzelanny1.6
Ted Lilly1.3
Derrek Lee0.9
Bobby Scales0.1
Chad Tracy0.0
Mike Fontenot-0.0

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Cubs. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2011; everyone else is shown as a 2011 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Matt Garza 2011 +4.3 +74.5 6.0 +68.5 $1.4M 2.19× –
Sean Marshall 2011 +2.6 +53.0 1.6 +51.4 $0.6M 2.57× –
Starlin Castro 2011 +2.7 +25.9 0.4 +25.4 $0.2M 1.18× –
Geovany Soto 2011 +3.1 +24.6 3.0 +21.6 $1.0M 1.00× –
Aramis Ramirez 2011 +3.3 +29.8 14.6 +15.2 $4.4M 1.12× –
Marlon Byrd 2011 +1.7 +17.0 5.5 +11.5 $3.1M 1.22× –
Ryan Dempster 2011 +2.1 +24.9 13.5 +11.4 $6.5M 1.49× –
Darwin Barney 2011 +1.6 +10.2 0.4 +9.8 $0.3M 0.82× –
Tony Campana 2011 +1.4 +9.3 0.4 +8.9 $0.3M 0.83× –
Reed Johnson 2011 +1.1 +7.3 0.9 +6.4 $0.8M 0.83× –
Carlos Pena 2011 +2.5 +16.0 10.0 +6.1 $4.0M 0.81× –
Carlos Marmol 2011 +0.6 +6.8 2.5 +4.3 $4.0M 1.34× –
Casey Coleman 2011 +0.4 +3.6 0.4 +3.2 $0.9M 1.02× –
Kerry Wood 2011 +0.4 +4.1 1.5 +2.6 $3.9M 1.34× –
Bryan LaHair 2011 +0.2 +1.6 0.4 +1.2 $1.7M 0.83× –
Marcos Mateo 2011 +0.2 +0.9 0.4 +0.5 $2.5M 0.67× –
Steve Clevenger 2011 -0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 – 0.52× –
Blake DeWitt 2011 +0.0 +0.2 0.5 -0.2 $14.4M 0.83× –
Andrew Cashner 2011 +0.0 +0.1 0.4 -0.3 $17.0M 0.67× –
John Gaub 2011 +0.0 +0.1 0.4 -0.3 $20.5M 0.67× –
Jeff Samardzija 2011 +0.5 +2.9 3.3 -0.4 $6.1M 0.67× –
Rafael Dolis 2011 +0.0 +0.0 0.4 -0.4 $393.7M 0.67× –
DJ LeMahieu 2011 -0.1 -0.6 0.1 -0.7 – 0.56× –
Luis Montanez 2011 -0.1 -0.5 0.3 -0.8 – 0.83× –
Chris Carpenter 2011 -0.1 -0.6 0.4 -1.0 – 0.67× –
Justin Berg 2011 -0.1 -0.7 0.4 -1.1 – 0.67× –
Jeff Stevens 2011 -0.2 -1.0 0.1 -1.2 – 0.67× –
Ramon Ortiz 2011 -0.2 -1.1 0.2 -1.3 – 0.67× –
Welington Castillo 2011 -0.3 -1.2 0.4 -1.6 – 0.52× –
James Russell 2011 -0.2 -1.2 0.4 -1.7 – 0.67× –
Scott Maine 2011 -0.4 -2.1 0.4 -2.5 – 0.67× –
Jeff Baker 2011 -0.3 -1.5 1.2 -2.7 – 0.56× –
Randy Wells 2011 -0.4 -3.0 0.5 -3.5 – 1.02× –
Koyie Hill 2011 -1.4 -5.8 0.8 -6.6 – 0.52× –
Carlos Zambrano 2011 +1.4 +11.2 18.9 -7.7 $13.7M 1.02× –
John Grabow 2011 -0.6 -3.0 4.8 -7.8 – 0.67× –
Tyler Colvin 2011 -1.1 -7.4 0.4 -7.8 – 0.83× –
Kosuke Fukudome↔ 2011 -0.3 -1.4 8.6 -10.1 – 0.69× –
Alfonso Soriano 2011 +1.1 +7.0 19.0 -12.0 $17.9M 0.83× –
Brad Snyder 2011 -0.1 -0.9 – – – 0.83× –
Doug Davis 2011 +0.5 +4.4 – – – 1.02× –
Rodrigo Lopez 2011 -0.8 -6.1 – – – 1.02× –
Total—+25.0+297.2123.4+176.2—

Trades

Every graded 2011 deal involving the Cubs — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 7 total.

2011 · CHC / CIN
CHC · Randy Bush +$91.2M
Travis Wood, Dave Sappelt, Ronald Torreyes
CIN · Walt Jocketty −$91.2M
Sean Marshall
CHC came out ahead by $91.2M
2011 · TBR / CHC
TBR · Andrew Friedman +$257.6M
Sam Fuld, Chris Archer, Brandon Guyer, Robinson Chirinos, Hak-Ju Lee
CHC · Randy Bush −$257.6M
Matt Garza, Fernando Perez, Zac Rosscup
TBR came out ahead by $257.6M
2011 · COL / CHC
COL · Daniel O'Dowd +$72.8M
Tyler Colvin, DJ LeMahieu
CHC · Randy Bush −$72.8M
Ian Stewart, Casey Weathers
COL came out ahead by $72.8M
2011 · CHC / BOS
CHC · Randy Bush +$0.0M
Robert Coello
BOS · Theo Epstein +$0.0M
Tony Thomas
Even trade
2011 · ATL / CHC
ATL · Frank Wren +$5.6M
Ryan Buchter
CHC · Randy Bush −$5.6M
Rodrigo López
ATL came out ahead by $5.6M
2011 · CHC / CLE
CHC · Randy Bush +$2.4M
Abner Abreu, Carlton Smith
CLE · Mark Shapiro −$2.4M
Kosuke Fukudome
CHC came out ahead by $2.4M
2011 · CHC / WSN
CHC · Randy Bush +$2.4M
Graham Hicks, A. J. Morris, Michael Burgess
WSN · Michael Rizzo −$2.4M
Tom Gorzelanny
CHC came out ahead by $2.4M

Current & Historical Payroll

2011 payroll
$123.7M

What the front office was committed to as of 2011, 2011–2017. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Alfonso Soriano3510.079$19.0M$18.0M$11.1MFREE AGENT
Carlos Zambrano309.042$18.9MFREE AGENT
Aramis Ramirez3311.111$14.6MFREE AGENT
Ryan Dempster3412.063$13.5M$8.0MFREE AGENT
Carlos Pena337.133$10.0MFREE AGENT
Marlon Byrd337.045$5.5M$4.7MFREE AGENT
John Grabow327.016$4.8MFREE AGENT
Kerry Wood3412.169$1.5M$3.0MFREE AGENT
Reed Johnson347.145$900k$734kFREE AGENT
Chris Carpenter2513.080$414kFREE AGENT
Ramon Ortiz389.098$199kFREE AGENT
Doug Davis3512.000—FREE AGENT
Rodrigo Lopez3511.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Kosuke Fukudome343.000$8.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Garza273.149$6.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Geovany Soto283.096$3.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Marmol284.084$2.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Marshall284.088$1.6MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Baker304.049$1.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Koyie Hill324.006$850kARB 3FREE AGENT
Randy Wells283.016$475kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Montanez293.000$294kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (20)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Jeff Samardzija261.028$3.3MPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Blake DeWitt252.048$460kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Colvin251.014$440kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Starlin Castro210.150$440kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Cashner240.126$428kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
James Russell251.000$428kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Darwin Barney250.053$417kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marcos Mateo271.000$417kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rafael Dolis230.000$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Gaub260.023$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryan LaHair280.073$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Berg272.000$414kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Maine260.165$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Welington Castillo240.045$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Campana250.000$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Casey Coleman230.063$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Stevens272.000$133kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
DJ LeMahieu220.000$120kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Clevenger252.123$23kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Snyder29–—

Graphs

How each 2011 acquisition stacked onto Cubs's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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