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Cubs CHC

201075–87 (0.463)
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GM: Jim Hendry

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2010, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$138M
Surplus $M
-74
Win %
0.463
TAB
-12.0
WAB
-12.2
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
27.3
Dead money %
24%
Depth Players
7.0
Dead WAR
-7.5

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2010 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RGeovany Soto104
BKoyie Hill72
RWelington Castillo5

1B

RDerrek Lee⇄106
RXavier Nady52
LChad Tracy⇄28
LMicah Hoffpauir12
RJeff Baker4

2B

LMike Fontenot⇄75
LBlake DeWitt⇄53
RJeff Baker26
RDarwin Barney10

3B

RAramis Ramirez118
RJeff Baker33
BBobby Scales7
RDarwin Barney6
LBlake DeWitt⇄1
BKoyie Hill1

SS

RStarlin Castro123
RRyan Theriot⇄29
RDarwin Barney11

LF

RAlfonso Soriano134
LTyler Colvin55
LSam Fuld8
RXavier Nady6
LBrad Snyder3
LMicah Hoffpauir3

CF

RMarlon Byrd151
LTyler Colvin18
LSam Fuld7

RF

LKosuke Fukudome110
LTyler Colvin59
RXavier Nady23
LBrad Snyder6
RJeff Baker4
LMicah Hoffpauir2

DH

RDerrek Lee⇄3
RXavier Nady2
RAramis Ramirez1
RAlfonso Soriano1
RGeovany Soto1
RMarlon Byrd1

Starters

RRandy Wells2.6 WAR
RRyan Dempster2.3 WAR
RCarlos Zambrano2.3 WAR
LTom Gorzelanny1.6 WAR
RCarlos Silva1.5 WAR
LTed Lilly⇄1.3 WAR
RCasey Coleman0.4 WAR
RThomas Diamond-0.1 WAR
RJeff Samardzija-0.4 WAR

Bullpen

★ RCarlos Marmol38 sv
LSean Marshall22 h
RAndrew Cashner16 h
LJohn Grabow7 h
LJames Russell6 h
RJustin Berg5 h
RBob Howry⇄3 h
RMarcos Mateo1 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2009)

PlayerfWAR
Marlon Byrd3.9
Starlin Castro1.8
Carlos Silva1.5
Darwin Barney0.5
Casey Coleman0.4
Welington Castillo0.3

Key subtractions (gone from 2009)

Player2009 fWAR
Rich Harden2.0
Milton Bradley0.7
Aaron Heilman0.3
Reed Johnson0.2
Luis Vizcaino0.2
Jose Ascanio0.1

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Cubs. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2010; everyone else is shown as a 2010 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Carlos Marmol 2010 +2.7 +56.5 2.1 +54.3 $0.8M 2.57× –
Marlon Byrd 2010 +3.9 +56.4 3.0 +53.4 $0.8M 1.79× –
Randy Wells 2010 +2.6 +41.4 0.4 +41.0 $0.2M 1.96× –
Geovany Soto 2010 +3.8 +34.1 0.6 +33.5 $0.2M 1.12× –
Tom Gorzelanny 2010 +1.6 +19.4 0.8 +18.6 $0.5M 1.49× –
Tyler Colvin 2010 +1.8 +17.3 0.4 +16.9 $0.2M 1.22× –
Alfonso Soriano 2010 +2.7 +34.5 19.0 +15.5 $7.1M 1.60× –
Ryan Dempster 2010 +2.3 +27.9 13.5 +14.4 $5.8M 1.49× –
Sean Marshall 2010 +1.8 +14.1 0.9 +13.2 $0.5M 0.98× –
Starlin Castro 2010 +1.8 +12.9 0.3 +12.5 $0.2M 0.89× –
Carlos Zambrano 2010 +2.3 +27.4 18.9 +8.5 $8.2M 1.49× –
Carlos Silva 2010 +1.5 +18.3 12.8 +5.6 $8.3M 1.49× –
Jeff Baker 2010 +1.0 +4.6 1.0 +3.6 $1.0M 0.58× –
Ted Lilly↔ 2010 +1.3 +10.6 7.8 +2.8 $6.0M 1.02× –
Darwin Barney 2010 +0.5 +2.5 0.1 +2.4 $0.2M 0.61× –
Chad Tracy↔ 2010 +0.0 +0.2 0.4 -0.2 $10.4M 0.56× –
Blake DeWitt↔ 2010 -0.1 -0.6 0.2 -0.8 – 0.56× –
Mike Fontenot↔ 2010 -0.0 -0.0 0.7 -0.8 – 0.56× –
Bob Howry↔ 2010 -0.0 -0.1 1.3 -1.3 – 0.67× –
Brian Schlitter 2010 -0.2 -1.3 0.2 -1.5 – 0.67× –
Esmailin Caridad 2010 -0.2 -1.2 0.4 -1.6 – 0.67× –
Sam Fuld 2010 -0.2 -1.4 0.4 -1.8 – 0.83× –
Justin Berg 2010 -0.3 -1.8 0.4 -2.2 – 0.67× –
Micah Hoffpauir 2010 -0.5 -2.4 0.0 -2.4 – 0.56× –
James Russell 2010 -0.4 -2.2 0.4 -2.6 – 0.67× –
Andrew Cashner 2010 -0.6 -3.4 0.4 -3.8 – 0.67× –
John Grabow 2010 -0.4 -1.9 2.7 -4.6 – 0.67× –
Derrek Lee↔ 2010 +0.9 +5.0 9.8 -4.8 $10.9M 0.69× –
Ryan Theriot↔ 2010 -0.6 -3.1 1.7 -4.8 – 0.61× –
Jeff Samardzija 2010 -0.4 -2.1 3.0 -5.1 – 0.67× –
Kosuke Fukudome 2010 +1.2 +7.9 14.0 -6.1 $11.7M 0.83× –
Xavier Nady 2010 -0.7 -3.2 3.3 -6.5 – 0.56× –
Koyie Hill 2010 -1.6 -6.5 0.7 -7.2 – 0.52× –
Aramis Ramirez 2010 -0.0 -0.0 16.8 -16.8 – 0.58× –
Bobby Scales 2010 +0.1 +0.3 – – – 0.58× –
Brad Snyder 2010 -0.0 -0.3 – – – 0.83× –
Casey Coleman 2010 +0.4 +3.4 – – – 1.02× –
Jeff Gray 2010 -0.1 -0.6 – – – 0.67× –
Jeff Stevens 2010 -0.4 -2.0 – – – 0.67× –
Marcos Mateo 2010 -0.3 -1.7 – – – 0.67× –
Mitch Atkins 2010 -0.1 -0.7 – – – 0.67× –
Scott Maine 2010 +0.1 +0.5 – – – 0.67× –
Thomas Diamond 2010 -0.1 -0.6 – – – 0.67× –
Welington Castillo 2010 +0.3 +1.1 – – – 0.52× –
Total—+27.4+359.2138.4+221.3—

Trades

Every graded 2010 deal involving the Cubs — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 3 total.

2010 · CHC / ATL
CHC · Jim Hendry +$22.4M
Jeff Lorick, Robinson Lopez, Ty'Relle Harris
ATL · Frank Wren −$22.4M
Derrek Lee
CHC came out ahead by $22.4M
2010 · CHC / SFG
CHC · Jim Hendry +$0.8M
Evan Crawford
SFG · Brian Sabean −$0.8M
Mike Fontenot
CHC came out ahead by $0.8M
2010 · CHC / LAD
CHC · Jim Hendry +$52.8M
Blake DeWitt, Brett Wallach, Kyle Smit
LAD · Ned Colletti −$52.8M
Ted Lilly, Ryan Theriot
CHC came out ahead by $52.8M

Current & Historical Payroll

2010 payroll
$138.2M

What the front office was committed to as of 2010, 2010–2016. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Alfonso Soriano3411.000$19.0M$19.0M$18.0M$11.1MFREE AGENT
Carlos Zambrano299.000$18.9M$18.9MFREE AGENT
Aramis Ramirez3212.000$16.8M$14.6MFREE AGENT
Ryan Dempster3312.000$13.5M$13.5M$8.0MFREE AGENT
Carlos Silva318.000$12.8MFREE AGENT
Derrek Lee3413.000$9.8MFREE AGENT
Ted Lilly3411.000$7.8MFREE AGENT
Xavier Nady3110.000$3.3MFREE AGENT
Marlon Byrd328.000$3.0M$5.5M$4.7MFREE AGENT
John Grabow317.000$2.7M$4.8MFREE AGENT
Bob Howry3612.000$1.3MFREE AGENT
Koyie Hill317.000$700k$850kFREE AGENT
Chad Tracy306.000$365kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Carlos Marmol274.000$2.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Theriot305.000$1.7MFREE AGENT
Jeff Baker295.000$975kFREE AGENT
Sean Marshall274.000$950kARB 3FREE AGENT
Tom Gorzelanny275.000$800kFREE AGENT
Mike Fontenot305.000$728kFREE AGENT
Geovany Soto275.000$575kFREE AGENT
Sam Fuld283.000$400kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (23)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Kosuke Fukudome332.000$14.0MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Samardzija252.000$3.0MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Randy Wells272.000$427kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Berg261.000$403kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Esmailin Caridad261.000$403kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Colvin241.000$401kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
James Russell240.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Cashner230.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Starlin Castro200.000$327kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Schlitter240.000$220kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Blake DeWitt242.000$161kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Darwin Barney240.000$114kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Micah Hoffpauir302.000$0kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Snyder28–—
Thomas Diamond27–—
Mitch Atkins24–—
Scott Maine250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Welington Castillo230.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marcos Mateo260.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bobby Scales32–—
Jeff Stevens261.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Gray282.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Casey Coleman220.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2010 acquisition stacked onto Cubs's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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