President of baseball ops: Chaim Bloom · GM: Brian O'Halloran
Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2023, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).
Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.
| Player | fWAR |
|---|---|
| Adam Duvall | 1.6 |
| Chris Martin | 1.5 |
| Justin Turner | 1.2 |
| Kenley Jansen | 1.1 |
| James Paxton | 1.0 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.8 |
| Player | 2022 fWAR |
|---|---|
| Xander Bogaerts | 6.0 |
| Rich Hill | 1.8 |
| Christian Vázquez | 1.7 |
| Michael Wacha | 1.5 |
| J.D. Martinez | 1.4 |
| Nathan Eovaldi | 1.0 |
WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Red Sox. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2023; everyone else is shown as a 2023 season snapshot.
| Player | Period | fWAR | Tier Market $M | Paid $M | Surplus $M | $ / WAR | Tier | Contract |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kutter Crawford | 2023 | +2.4 | +28.9 | 0.7 | +28.1 | $0.3M | 1.49× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $2.8M AAV |
| Jarren Duran | 2023 | +2.5 | +24.2 | 0.6 | +23.6 | $0.3M | 1.22× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $7.7M AAV |
| Brayan Bello | 2023 | +1.6 | +18.7 | 0.7 | +18.0 | $0.5M | 1.49× | Pre-arb extension · 2024–2030 · $9.2M AAV |
| Rafael Devers | 2023 | +3.5 | +35.2 | 17.5 | +17.7 | $5.0M | 1.25× | Extension · 2023–2033 · $31.4M AAV |
| Triston Casas | 2023 | +1.8 | +11.6 | 0.7 | +10.8 | $0.4M | 0.81× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.6M AAV |
| Nick Pivetta | 2023 | +1.9 | +14.5 | 5.3 | +9.2 | $2.9M | 0.98× | Free Agent · 2025–2028 · $13.8M AAV |
| Tanner Houck | 2023 | +1.2 | +9.7 | 0.7 | +9.0 | $0.6M | 1.02× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $4.2M AAV |
| Alex Verdugo | 2023 | +1.6 | +15.1 | 6.3 | +8.8 | $4.1M | 1.22× | – |
| Adam Duvall | 2023 | +1.6 | +15.3 | 7.0 | +8.3 | $4.5M | 1.22× | – |
| Josh Winckowski | 2023 | +0.8 | +8.4 | 0.7 | +7.7 | $0.9M | 1.34× | – |
| James Paxton | 2023 | +1.0 | +8.3 | 4.0 | +4.3 | $3.9M | 1.02× | – |
| Wilyer Abreu | 2023 | +0.6 | +4.1 | 0.2 | +3.9 | $0.3M | 0.83× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Brennan Bernardino | 2023 | +0.7 | +3.9 | 0.6 | +3.4 | $0.8M | 0.67× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.9M AAV |
| Garrett Whitlock | 2023 | +0.8 | +4.3 | 1.2 | +3.1 | $1.5M | 0.67× | Pre-arb extension · 2023–2026 · $4.7M AAV |
| Pablo Reyes | 2023 | +0.5 | +2.6 | 0.5 | +2.1 | $1.0M | 0.61× | – |
| Chris Murphy | 2023 | +0.4 | +2.0 | 0.3 | +1.7 | $0.8M | 0.67× | – |
| Rob Refsnyder | 2023 | +0.4 | +2.8 | 1.2 | +1.6 | $2.9M | 0.83× | Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $6.2M AAV |
| Enmanuel Valdez | 2023 | +0.3 | +1.6 | 0.3 | +1.3 | $0.7M | 0.56× | – |
| Reese McGuire | 2023 | +0.5 | +2.2 | 1.2 | +1.0 | $2.3M | 0.52× | – |
| Ryan Sherriff | 2023 | +0.1 | +0.7 | 0.0 | +0.7 | $0.2M | 0.67× | – |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 2023 | +0.1 | +0.7 | 0.1 | +0.6 | $1.2M | 0.83× | Pre-arb extension · 2024–2032 · $6.2M AAV |
| Connor Wong | 2023 | +0.3 | +1.1 | 0.7 | +0.4 | $2.7M | 0.52× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.4M AAV |
| Mauricio Llovera↔ | 2023 | +0.1 | +0.7 | 0.2 | +0.4 | $1.7M | 0.67× | – |
| Raimel Tapia↔ | 2023 | +0.3 | +1.4 | 1.2 | +0.2 | $4.7M | 0.69× | – |
| Nick Robertson↔ | 2023 | +0.0 | +0.2 | 0.1 | +0.1 | $1.8M | 0.67× | – |
| Chris Martin | 2023 | +1.5 | +7.9 | 8.0 | -0.1 | $5.4M | 0.67× | Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $4.0M AAV |
| Jake Faria | 2023 | -0.0 | -0.1 | 0.0 | -0.1 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Zack Littell↔ | 2023 | -0.0 | -0.0 | 0.0 | -0.1 | – | 0.67× | Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $7.0M AAV |
| John Schreiber | 2023 | +0.1 | +0.5 | 0.8 | -0.3 | $8.1M | 0.67× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $3.7M AAV |
| Caleb Hamilton | 2023 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 0.1 | -0.4 | – | 0.52× | – |
| Ryan Brasier↔ | 2023 | +0.0 | +0.2 | 0.7 | -0.4 | $15.4M | 0.67× | – |
| Zack Weiss↔ | 2023 | -0.1 | -0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Jorge Alfaro↔ | 2023 | -0.1 | -0.6 | 0.0 | -0.6 | – | 0.52× | – |
| Tayler Scott↔ | 2023 | -0.1 | -0.6 | 0.0 | -0.6 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Dinelson Lamet↔ | 2023 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 0.3 | -0.7 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Yu Chang | 2023 | +0.0 | +0.2 | 0.8 | -0.7 | $21.3M | 0.61× | – |
| Bobby Dalbec | 2023 | -0.2 | -1.0 | 0.1 | -1.1 | – | 0.56× | – |
| Zack Kelly | 2023 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 0.7 | -1.1 | – | 0.67× | – |
| David Hamilton | 2023 | -0.2 | -1.1 | 0.1 | -1.2 | – | 0.61× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Justin Garza | 2023 | -0.2 | -1.0 | 0.2 | -1.2 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Matt Dermody | 2023 | -0.2 | -1.4 | 0.0 | -1.4 | – | 1.02× | – |
| Joely Rodríguez | 2023 | -0.0 | -0.1 | 1.5 | -1.6 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Justin Turner | 2023 | +1.2 | +6.5 | 8.3 | -1.8 | $7.0M | 0.69× | – |
| Kaleb Ort | 2023 | -0.2 | -1.1 | 0.7 | -1.8 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Luis Urías↔ | 2023 | +0.2 | +0.9 | 2.9 | -2.0 | $14.2M | 0.56× | – |
| Kyle Barraclough | 2023 | -0.4 | -2.3 | 0.0 | -2.4 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Chris Sale | 2023 | +2.1 | +25.0 | 27.5 | -2.5 | $13.1M | 1.49× | Extension · 2027–2028 · $27.0M AAV |
| Christian Arroyo | 2023 | -0.3 | -1.3 | 2.0 | -3.3 | – | 0.56× | – |
| Richard Bleier | 2023 | -0.1 | -0.6 | 3.5 | -4.1 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Kenley Jansen | 2023 | +1.1 | +11.6 | 16.0 | -4.4 | $14.8M | 1.34× | Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $11.0M AAV |
| Masataka Yoshida | 2023 | +0.8 | +5.0 | 15.6 | -10.6 | $20.7M | 0.83× | Free agent · 2023–2027 · $18.0M AAV |
| Enrique Hernández↔ | 2023 | -1.3 | -8.7 | 6.1 | -14.9 | – | 0.83× | Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $4.5M AAV |
| Corey Kluber | 2023 | -0.8 | -6.6 | 10.0 | -16.6 | – | 1.02× | – |
| Trevor Story | 2022–2023 | +2.9 | +13.1 | 40.0 | -26.9 | $13.8M | 0.59× | Free Agent · 2022–2028 · $23.3M AAV |
| Brandon Walter | 2023 | +0.0 | +0.2 | 0.1 | +0.0 | $4.0M | 0.67× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Joe Jacques | 2023 | +0.1 | +0.3 | 0.3 | -0.0 | $5.4M | 0.67× | – |
| Total | — | +30.5 | +261.6 | 198.3 | +62.6 | — | ||
Every graded 2023 deal involving the Red Sox — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 19 total.
What the front office was committed to as of 2023, 2023–2029. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2023; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.
| Player | Age | Svc | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale | 34 | 12.061 | $27.5M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Trevor Story | 30 | 7.000 | $20.0M | $22.5M | $22.5M | $25.0MOPT-OUT | $25.0M | $25.0MCLUB | FREE AGENT |
| Rafael Devers | 26 | 5.070 | $17.5M | $29.3M | $15.4M | $27.0M | $28.5M | $28.5M | $28.5M |
| Kenley Jansen | 35 | 12.072 | $16.0M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Masataka Yoshida | 29 | 0.000 | $15.6M | $18.6M | $18.6M | $18.6M | $18.6M | FREE AGENT | |
| Corey Kluber | 37 | 10.074 | $10.0M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Justin Turner | 38 | 12.045 | $8.3M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Adam Duvall | 34 | 6.151 | $7.0M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Enrique Hernández | 31 | 8.054 | $6.1M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| James Paxton | 34 | 8.151 | $4.0M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Richard Bleier | 36 | 7.000 | $3.5M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Garrett Whitlock | 27 | 2.000 | $1.2M | $3.5M | $5.5M | $7.5M | $8.2MCLUB | $10.5MCLUB | FREE AGENT |
| Player | Age | Svc | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Martin | 37 | 5.133 | $8.0M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Alex Verdugo | 27 | 4.078 | $6.3M | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Nick Pivetta | 30 | 4.166 | $5.3M | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Luis Urías | 26 | 3.120 | $2.9M | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |||
| Christian Arroyo | 28 | 4.036 | $2.0M | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Joely Rodríguez | 31 | 3.096 | $1.5M | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |||
| Reese McGuire | 28 | 3.027 | $1.2M | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |||
| Raimel Tapia | 29 | 5.020 | $1.2M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Rob Refsnyder | 32 | 4.048 | $1.2M | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Yu Chang | 27 | 4.000 | $850k | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Ryan Brasier | 35 | 5.109 | $678k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Dinelson Lamet | 30 | 5.070 | $294k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Jorge Alfaro | 30 | 5.083 | $45k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Zack Littell | 27 | 3.067 | $39k | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |||
| Kyle Barraclough | 33 | 4.089 | $19k | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Jake Faria | 29 | 5.107 | $8k | FREE AGENT |
| Player | Age | Svc | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Schreiber | 29 | 2.027 | $750k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Tanner Houck | 27 | 1.100 | $740k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Kutter Crawford | 27 | 0.136 | $730k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Brayan Bello | 24 | 0.082 | $730k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Triston Casas | 23 | 0.032 | $724k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Zack Kelly | 28 | 0.038 | $724k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Kaleb Ort | 31 | 0.072 | $722k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Connor Wong | 27 | 0.079 | $722k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Josh Winckowski | 25 | 0.074 | $722k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Jarren Duran | 26 | 0.160 | $646k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Brennan Bernardino | 31 | 0.005 | $569k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Pablo Reyes | 29 | 1.073 | $546k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Chris Murphy | 25 | 0.000 | $314k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Joe Jacques | 28 | 0.000 | $271k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Enmanuel Valdez | 24 | 0.000 | $255k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Justin Garza | 29 | 0.102 | $213k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Mauricio Llovera | 27 | 0.155 | $213k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Wilyer Abreu | 24 | 0.000 | $155k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 22 | 0.000 | $132k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Brandon Walter | 26 | 0.000 | $124k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Bobby Dalbec | 28 | 2.081 | $124k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| David Hamilton | 25 | 0.000 | $74k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Nick Robertson | 24 | 0.000 | $72k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Caleb Hamilton | 28 | 0.064 | $54k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Zack Weiss | 31 | 0.044 | $46k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Ryan Sherriff | 33 | 2.029 | $31k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Tayler Scott | 31 | 0.125 | $21k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Matt Dermody | 32 | 0.110 | $4k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
How each 2023 acquisition stacked onto Red Sox's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.