GM: Theo Epstein
Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2011, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).
Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.
| Player | fWAR |
|---|---|
| Adrián González | 6.1 |
| Erik Bedard | 0.7 |
| Alfredo Aceves | 0.6 |
| Drew Sutton | 0.4 |
| Dan Wheeler | 0.3 |
| Ryan Lavarnway | 0.2 |
| Player | 2010 fWAR |
|---|---|
| Adrian Beltré | 6.4 |
| Victor Martinez | 3.7 |
| Robert Coello | 0.1 |
| Felipe Lopez | 0.1 |
| Jonathan Van Every | 0.0 |
| Matt Fox | -0.0 |
WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Red Sox. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2011; everyone else is shown as a 2011 season snapshot.
| Player | Period | fWAR | Tier Market $M | Paid $M | Surplus $M | $ / WAR | Tier | Contract |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoby Ellsbury | 2011 | +9.5 | +155.1 | 2.4 | +152.7 | $0.3M | 2.05× | – |
| Dustin Pedroia | 2011 | +7.9 | +86.8 | 5.8 | +81.0 | $0.7M | 1.38× | – |
| Adrián González | 2011 | +6.1 | +67.3 | 6.3 | +61.0 | $1.0M | 1.37× | – |
| Jonathan Papelbon | 2011 | +3.0 | +62.6 | 12.0 | +50.6 | $3.9M | 2.57× | – |
| Josh Beckett | 2011 | +3.7 | +64.9 | 17.0 | +47.9 | $4.6M | 2.19× | – |
| Jon Lester | 2011 | +2.6 | +40.0 | 5.8 | +34.2 | $2.2M | 1.96× | – |
| David Ortiz | 2011 | +3.7 | +44.2 | 12.5 | +31.7 | $3.4M | 1.49× | – |
| Jarrod Saltalamacchia | 2011 | +3.4 | +27.4 | 0.8 | +26.6 | $0.2M | 1.00× | – |
| Marco Scutaro | 2011 | +2.7 | +25.8 | 5.5 | +20.3 | $2.0M | 1.18× | – |
| Josh Reddick | 2011 | +2.0 | +19.3 | 0.4 | +18.9 | $0.2M | 1.22× | – |
| Kevin Youkilis | 2011 | +3.5 | +31.2 | 12.2 | +18.9 | $3.5M | 1.12× | – |
| Daniel Bard | 2011 | +1.3 | +14.4 | 0.5 | +13.9 | $0.4M | 1.34× | – |
| Alfredo Aceves | 2011 | +0.6 | +6.7 | 0.7 | +6.1 | $1.0M | 1.34× | – |
| Clay Buchholz | 2011 | +0.7 | +5.9 | 0.6 | +5.3 | $0.8M | 1.02× | – |
| Erik Bedard↔ | 2011 | +0.7 | +5.4 | 0.3 | +5.1 | $0.5M | 1.02× | – |
| Drew Sutton | 2011 | +0.4 | +2.0 | 0.2 | +1.7 | $0.6M | 0.58× | – |
| Scott Atchison | 2011 | +0.3 | +1.8 | 0.4 | +1.3 | $1.3M | 0.67× | – |
| Mike Aviles↔ | 2011 | +0.2 | +1.1 | 0.3 | +0.9 | $1.1M | 0.58× | – |
| Rich Hill | 2011 | +0.2 | +1.3 | 0.4 | +0.9 | $1.7M | 0.67× | – |
| Ryan Lavarnway | 2011 | +0.2 | +1.0 | 0.1 | +0.9 | $0.4M | 0.52× | – |
| Jed Lowrie | 2011 | +0.2 | +1.1 | 0.5 | +0.6 | $2.0M | 0.61× | – |
| Yamaico Navarro↔ | 2011 | +0.1 | +0.9 | 0.3 | +0.5 | $2.4M | 0.83× | – |
| Randy Williams | 2011 | +0.0 | +0.2 | 0.1 | +0.2 | $1.6M | 0.67× | – |
| Franklin Morales↔ | 2011 | +0.1 | +0.4 | 0.3 | +0.1 | $4.2M | 0.67× | – |
| Darnell McDonald | 2011 | +0.0 | +0.2 | 0.5 | -0.3 | $15.9M | 0.83× | – |
| Tommy Hottovy | 2011 | -0.0 | -0.2 | 0.1 | -0.3 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Matt Albers | 2011 | +0.1 | +0.5 | 0.9 | -0.4 | $9.1M | 0.67× | – |
| Michael Bowden | 2011 | +0.0 | +0.0 | 0.4 | -0.4 | $46.0M | 0.67× | – |
| Félix Doubront | 2011 | -0.1 | -0.6 | 0.4 | -1.1 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Lars Anderson | 2011 | -0.2 | -0.7 | 0.4 | -1.1 | – | 0.56× | – |
| Dennys Reyes | 2011 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 0.9 | -1.3 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Conor Jackson↔ | 2011 | -0.3 | -1.2 | 0.3 | -1.5 | – | 0.56× | – |
| Hideki Okajima | 2011 | +0.1 | +0.3 | 1.8 | -1.5 | $34.2M | 0.67× | – |
| Dan Wheeler | 2011 | +0.3 | +1.4 | 3.0 | -1.6 | $11.3M | 0.67× | – |
| Junichi Tazawa | 2011 | -0.0 | -0.2 | 1.5 | -1.7 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Tim Wakefield | 2011 | -0.0 | -0.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | – | 1.02× | – |
| Andrew Miller | 2011 | -0.2 | -1.4 | 1.3 | -2.7 | – | 1.02× | – |
| Jose Iglesias | 2011 | -0.2 | -0.8 | 2.1 | -2.9 | – | 0.61× | – |
| Kyle Weiland | 2011 | -0.4 | -3.3 | 0.4 | -3.7 | – | 1.02× | – |
| Bobby Jenks | 2011 | +0.0 | +0.1 | 6.0 | -5.9 | $217.8M | 0.67× | – |
| Jason Varitek | 2011 | -1.2 | -4.9 | 2.0 | -6.9 | – | 0.52× | – |
| John Lackey | 2011 | +0.9 | +7.7 | 15.9 | -8.2 | $16.8M | 1.02× | – |
| Daisuke Matsuzaka | 2011 | +0.2 | +1.4 | 10.3 | -8.9 | $59.8M | 1.02× | – |
| Mike Cameron↔ | 2011 | -1.0 | -6.5 | 3.3 | -9.8 | – | 0.83× | – |
| Carl Crawford | 2011 | -0.0 | -0.3 | 14.9 | -15.1 | – | 0.83× | – |
| J.D. Drew | 2011 | -0.3 | -1.8 | 14.0 | -15.8 | – | 0.83× | – |
| Joey Gathright | 2011 | +0.0 | +0.1 | 0.0 | +0.0 | $3.3M | 0.83× | – |
| Trever Miller↔ | 2011 | +0.0 | +0.2 | 0.1 | +0.0 | $4.2M | 0.67× | – |
| Nate Spears | 2011 | -0.1 | -0.4 | – | – | – | 0.56× | – |
| Total | — | +50.6 | +656.0 | 167.9 | +488.2 | — | ||
Every graded 2011 deal involving the Red Sox — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 8 total.
What the front office was committed to as of 2011, 2011–2017. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.
| Player | Age | Svc | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Beckett | 31 | 9.030 | $17.0M | $12.8M | FREE AGENT | ||||
| John Lackey | 32 | 8.095 | $15.9M | FREE AGENT | $15.2M | $10.3M | |||
| Carl Crawford | 29 | 8.072 | $14.9M | $20.4M | FREE AGENT | ||||
| J.D. Drew | 35 | 12.020 | $14.0M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| David Ortiz | 35 | 12.048 | $12.5M | $14.6M | $14.0M | $15.0M | $16.0M | $16.0M | FREE AGENT |
| Kevin Youkilis | 32 | 6.093 | $12.2M | $8.0M | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Dustin Pedroia | 27 | 14.041 | $5.8M | $8.0M | $10.0M | $12.5M | $12.5M | $13.0M | $15.0M |
| Marco Scutaro | 35 | 7.138 | $5.5M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Mike Cameron | 38 | 14.036 | $3.3M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Dan Wheeler | 33 | 8.047 | $3.0M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Jason Varitek | 39 | 13.020 | $2.0M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Tim Wakefield | 44 | 19.000 | $2.0M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Dennys Reyes | 34 | 14.000 | $900k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Erik Bedard | 32 | 7.171 | $333k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Trever Miller | 38 | 10.095 | $125k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Randy Williams | 35 | 7.000 | $75k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Joey Gathright | 30 | 7.000 | $38k | FREE AGENT |
| Player | Age | Svc | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Papelbon | 30 | 5.064 | $12.0M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Daisuke Matsuzaka | 30 | 4.000 | $10.3M | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Adrián González | 29 | 5.108 | $6.3M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Bobby Jenks | 30 | 5.090 | $6.0M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Jon Lester | 27 | 4.075 | $5.8M | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Jacoby Ellsbury | 27 | 3.037 | $2.4M | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |||
| Hideki Okajima | 35 | 4.000 | $1.8M | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Matt Albers | 28 | 3.141 | $875k | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |||
| Jarrod Saltalamacchia | 26 | 3.043 | $750k | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |||
| Rich Hill | 31 | 3.062 | $414k | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |||
| Conor Jackson | 29 | 5.067 | $337k | FREE AGENT |
| Player | Age | Svc | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Iglesias | 21 | 0.000 | $2.1M | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Junichi Tazawa | 25 | 1.058 | $1.5M | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Andrew Miller | 26 | 2.132 | $1.3M | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Alfredo Aceves | 28 | 2.014 | $650k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Clay Buchholz | 26 | 2.059 | $555k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Daniel Bard | 26 | 1.148 | $505k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Darnell McDonald | 32 | 2.143 | $470k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Jed Lowrie | 27 | 2.111 | $450k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Scott Atchison | 35 | 2.106 | $440k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Michael Bowden | 24 | 2.030 | $418k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Josh Reddick | 24 | 0.109 | $418k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Félix Doubront | 23 | 0.074 | $417k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Lars Anderson | 23 | 0.053 | $415k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Kyle Weiland | 24 | 0.040 | $414k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Franklin Morales | 25 | 2.007 | $305k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Yamaico Navarro | 23 | 1.001 | $303k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Mike Aviles | 30 | 2.121 | $267k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Drew Sutton | 28 | 1.074 | $247k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Tommy Hottovy | 29 | – | $97k | ||||||
| Ryan Lavarnway | 23 | 0.000 | $93k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Nate Spears | 26 | – | — |
How each 2011 acquisition stacked onto Red Sox's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.