Red Sox BOSGM: Theo Epstein
Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2004, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).
Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.
| Player | fWAR |
|---|---|
| Curt Schilling | 6.5 |
| Mark Bellhorn | 3.4 |
| Keith Foulke | 1.6 |
| Kevin Youkilis | 1.5 |
| Orlando Cabrera | 0.7 |
| Dave Roberts | 0.2 |
| Player | 2003 fWAR |
|---|---|
| John Burkett | 2.6 |
| Casey Fossum | 1.2 |
| Todd Walker | 0.9 |
| Brandon Lyon | 0.6 |
| Todd Jones | 0.3 |
| Shea Hillenbrand | 0.2 |
WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Red Sox. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2004; everyone else is shown as a 2004 season snapshot.
| Player | Period | fWAR | Tier Market $M | Paid $M | Surplus $M | $ / WAR | Tier | Contract |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curt Schilling | 2004 | +6.5 | +130.4 | 12.0 | +118.4 | $1.8M | 2.50× | – |
| Pedro Martínez | 2004 | +4.8 | +84.8 | 17.5 | +67.3 | $3.6M | 2.19× | – |
| Johnny Damon | 2004 | +4.3 | +62.3 | 8.0 | +54.3 | $1.8M | 1.79× | – |
| Bronson Arroyo | 2004 | +3.2 | +50.3 | 0.3 | +50.0 | $0.1M | 1.96× | – |
| David Ortiz | 2004 | +4.2 | +50.4 | 4.6 | +45.8 | $1.1M | 1.49× | – |
| Jason Varitek | 2004 | +4.1 | +36.4 | 6.9 | +29.5 | $1.7M | 1.12× | – |
| Mark Bellhorn | 2004 | +3.4 | +29.4 | 0.5 | +28.9 | $0.1M | 1.07× | – |
| Derek Lowe | 2004 | +2.3 | +27.4 | 4.5 | +22.9 | $2.0M | 1.49× | – |
| Keith Foulke | 2004 | +1.6 | +25.3 | 3.5 | +21.8 | $2.2M | 1.95× | – |
| Manny Ramirez | 2004 | +3.3 | +42.1 | 22.5 | +19.6 | $6.8M | 1.60× | – |
| Tim Wakefield | 2004 | +1.4 | +11.6 | 4.3 | +7.2 | $3.1M | 1.02× | – |
| Kevin Millar | 2004 | +1.5 | +6.5 | 3.3 | +3.2 | $2.2M | 0.56× | – |
| Bill Mueller | 2004 | +1.1 | +5.2 | 2.1 | +3.1 | $1.9M | 0.58× | – |
| Doug Mirabelli | 2004 | +0.9 | +3.7 | 0.8 | +2.9 | $0.9M | 0.52× | – |
| Trot Nixon | 2004 | +1.1 | +7.0 | 4.5 | +2.5 | $4.3M | 0.83× | – |
| Orlando Cabrera↔ | 2004 | +0.7 | +3.6 | 2.2 | +1.4 | $2.9M | 0.61× | – |
| Mike Timlin | 2004 | +0.7 | +3.8 | 2.5 | +1.3 | $3.5M | 0.67× | – |
| Dave Roberts↔ | 2004 | +0.2 | +1.5 | 0.4 | +1.1 | $1.7M | 0.83× | – |
| Lenny DiNardo | 2004 | +0.2 | +1.0 | 0.3 | +0.7 | $1.6M | 0.67× | – |
| Pokey Reese | 2004 | +0.2 | +0.9 | 1.0 | -0.1 | $5.3M | 0.61× | – |
| Mike Myers↔ | 2004 | -0.0 | -0.1 | 0.2 | -0.3 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Gabe Kapler | 2004 | +0.0 | +0.3 | 0.8 | -0.5 | $19.5M | 0.83× | – |
| Dave McCarty | 2004 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 0.5 | -0.8 | – | 0.56× | – |
| Alan Embree | 2004 | +0.4 | +2.1 | 3.0 | -0.9 | $7.6M | 0.67× | – |
| Brian Daubach | 2004 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 0.5 | -0.9 | – | 0.56× | – |
| Scott Williamson | 2004 | +0.4 | +2.2 | 3.2 | -1.0 | $7.8M | 0.67× | – |
| Ellis Burks | 2004 | -0.2 | -1.0 | 0.8 | -1.7 | – | 0.69× | – |
| Curt Leskanic↔ | 2004 | -0.1 | -1.1 | 0.8 | -1.9 | – | 1.34× | – |
| Terry Adams↔ | 2004 | -0.1 | -1.5 | 0.5 | -2.0 | – | 1.34× | – |
| Byung-Hyun Kim | 2004 | +0.1 | +0.5 | 3.4 | -2.9 | $33.9M | 0.67× | – |
| Ramiro Mendoza | 2004 | +0.1 | +0.6 | 3.6 | -3.0 | $31.1M | 0.67× | – |
| Nomar Garciaparra↔ | 2004 | +0.4 | +2.2 | 5.4 | -3.2 | $13.8M | 0.69× | – |
| Cesar Crespo | 2004 | -0.6 | -3.1 | 0.3 | -3.4 | – | 0.61× | – |
| Doug Mientkiewicz↔ | 2004 | -0.6 | -2.6 | 1.1 | -3.7 | – | 0.56× | – |
| Ricky Gutierrez↔ | 2004 | -0.4 | -1.8 | 1.9 | -3.7 | – | 0.56× | – |
| Abe Alvarez | 2004 | -0.2 | -1.5 | – | – | – | 1.02× | – |
| Adam Hyzdu | 2004 | +0.1 | +0.9 | – | – | – | 0.83× | – |
| Anastacio Martinez | 2004 | -0.2 | -1.2 | – | – | – | 0.67× | – |
| Andy Dominique | 2004 | -0.2 | -0.7 | – | – | – | 0.56× | – |
| Bobby Jones | 2004 | -0.4 | -1.9 | – | – | – | 0.67× | – |
| Earl Snyder | 2004 | -0.1 | -0.3 | – | – | – | 0.58× | – |
| Frank Castillo | 2004 | -0.0 | -0.1 | – | – | – | 0.67× | – |
| Jamie Brown | 2004 | +0.0 | +0.1 | – | – | – | 0.67× | – |
| Jimmy Anderson↔ | 2004 | +0.0 | +0.2 | – | – | – | 0.67× | – |
| Joe Nelson | 2004 | -0.0 | -0.1 | – | – | – | 0.67× | – |
| Kevin Youkilis | 2004 | +1.5 | +10.4 | – | – | – | 0.85× | – |
| Mark Malaska | 2004 | -0.1 | -0.7 | – | – | – | 0.67× | – |
| Pedro Astacio | 2004 | -0.1 | -0.5 | – | – | – | 0.67× | – |
| Phil Seibel | 2004 | -0.1 | -0.5 | – | – | – | 0.67× | – |
| Sandy Martinez↔ | 2004 | -0.1 | -0.4 | – | – | – | 0.52× | – |
| Total | — | +45.0 | +583.3 | 127.7 | +451.9 | — | ||
Every graded 2004 deal involving the Red Sox — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 6 total.
LAD · Dan Evans
+$1.6M
BOS · Theo Epstein
−$1.6M
SDP · Kevin Towers
+$72.8M
BOS · Theo Epstein
−$72.8M
MIN · Terry Ryan
+$9.6M
CHC · Jim Hendry
+$8.0M
BOS · Theo Epstein
−$5.6M
WSN · Omar Minaya
−$12.0M
TOR · JP Ricciardi
+$4.8M
BOS · Theo Epstein
−$4.8M
CHC · Jim Hendry
+$0.8M
BOS · Theo Epstein
−$0.8M
STL · Walt Jocketty
+$25.6M
BOS · Theo Epstein
−$25.6M
What the front office was committed to as of 2004, 2004–2010. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.
| Player | Age | Svc | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manny Ramirez | 32 | 11.000 | $22.5M | $22.0M | $18.3M | $17.0M | $12.4M | FREE AGENT | |
| Pedro Martínez | 32 | 12.000 | $17.5M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Curt Schilling | 37 | 16.000 | $12.0M | $14.5M | $13.0M | $13.0M | FREE AGENT | ||
| Johnny Damon | 30 | 9.000 | $8.0M | $8.2M | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Jason Varitek | 32 | 7.000 | $6.9M | $8.0M | $10.0M | $11.0M | $10.4M | $5.0M | $3.0M |
| Nomar Garciaparra | 30 | 8.000 | $5.4M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| David Ortiz | 28 | 7.000 | $4.6M | $5.2M | $6.5M | $13.2M | $13.0M | $13.0M | $13.0M |
| Trot Nixon | 30 | 8.000 | $4.5M | $7.5M | $7.5M | FREE AGENT | |||
| Derek Lowe | 31 | 7.000 | $4.5M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Tim Wakefield | 37 | 12.000 | $4.3M | $4.7M | $4.0M | $4.0M | $4.0M | $4.0M | $3.5M |
| Ramiro Mendoza | 32 | 8.000 | $3.6M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Keith Foulke | 31 | 7.000 | $3.5M | $7.5M | $7.8M | FREE AGENT | |||
| Kevin Millar | 32 | 6.000 | $3.3M | $3.5M | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Alan Embree | 34 | 12.000 | $3.0M | $1.9M | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Mike Timlin | 38 | 13.000 | $2.5M | $2.8M | $3.0M | $2.8M | $3.0M | FREE AGENT | |
| Orlando Cabrera | 29 | 7.000 | $2.2M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Bill Mueller | 33 | 8.000 | $2.1M | $2.5M | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Ricky Gutierrez | 34 | 11.000 | $1.9M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Doug Mientkiewicz | 30 | 6.000 | $1.1M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Pokey Reese | 31 | 7.000 | $1.0M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Doug Mirabelli | 33 | 8.000 | $825k | $1.5M | $1.2M | $750k | FREE AGENT | ||
| Curt Leskanic | 36 | 11.000 | $784k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Gabe Kapler | 28 | 6.000 | $750k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Ellis Burks | 39 | 17.000 | $750k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Terry Adams | 31 | 9.000 | $530k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Brian Daubach | 32 | 6.000 | $500k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Dave McCarty | 34 | 11.000 | $500k | $550k | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Mark Bellhorn | 29 | 7.000 | $490k | $2.5M | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Mike Myers | 35 | 9.000 | $183k | $600k | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Pedro Astacio | 35 | 12.000 | — | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Frank Castillo | 35 | 13.000 | — | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Bobby Jones | 32 | 7.000 | — | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Sandy Martinez | 33 | 9.000 | — | FREE AGENT |
| Player | Age | Svc | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Byung-Hyun Kim | 25 | 5.000 | $3.4M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Scott Williamson | 28 | 5.000 | $3.2M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Dave Roberts | 32 | 5.000 | $388k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Bronson Arroyo | 27 | 4.000 | $332k | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Cesar Crespo | 25 | 3.000 | $309k | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |||
| Jimmy Anderson | 28 | 5.000 | — | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Adam Hyzdu | 32 | 4.000 | — | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Joe Nelson | 29 | 3.000 | — | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Player | Age | Svc | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lenny DiNardo | 24 | 0.000 | $300k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Andy Dominique | 28 | – | — | ||||||
| Jamie Brown | 27 | – | — | ||||||
| Anastacio Martinez | 25 | – | — | ||||||
| Earl Snyder | 28 | – | — | ||||||
| Phil Seibel | 25 | – | — | ||||||
| Kevin Youkilis | 25 | 0.000 | — | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Mark Malaska | 26 | – | — | ||||||
| Abe Alvarez | 21 | – | — |
How each 2004 acquisition stacked onto Red Sox's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.