Rosternomics

Orioles BAL

200267–95 (0.414)
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GM: Syd Thrift

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2002, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$52M
Win %
0.414
TAB
-9.2
WAB
-11.9
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
22.2
Dead money %
40%
Depth Players
4.0
Dead WAR
-4.8

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2002 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RGeronimo Gil125
RBrook Fordyce55
RFernando Lunar2
BRaul Casanova2
RIzzy Molina1

1B

RJeff Conine103
LJay Gibbons30
RJose Leon17
LChris Richard9
LRyan McGuire7
BDavid Segui7
LHowie Clark1
BLuis Lopez1

2B

RJerry Hairston Jr.119
BBrian Roberts25
BLuis Lopez12
RMelvin Mora12
RMike Moriarty2

3B

RTony Batista154
RJose Leon12
RMike Moriarty1

SS

RMike Bordick117
RMelvin Mora41
BLuis Lopez26
REd Rogers4
RMike Moriarty4

LF

RMelvin Mora74
RMarty Cordova72
BGary Matthews Jr.16
RJeff Conine6
LLarry Bigbie6
LHowie Clark4
RJose Leon2
RLuis Matos2

CF

LChris Singleton126
RMelvin Mora31
BGary Matthews Jr.16
RLuis Matos6
RLuis C. Garcia1
LLarry Bigbie1

RF

LJay Gibbons92
BGary Matthews Jr.76
RLuis Matos7
LLarry Bigbie6
RMelvin Mora5
RLuis C. Garcia1

DH

RMarty Cordova52
LChris Richard36
BDavid Segui19
LJay Gibbons12
LHowie Clark8
BBrian Roberts7
RJeff Conine7
RTony Batista7
RMelvin Mora3
BLuis Lopez1
LRyan McGuire1

Starters

RRodrigo Lopez2.8 WAR
RSidney Ponson1.7 WAR
RJason Johnson1.6 WAR
RScott Erickson0.6 WAR
RJohn Stephens0.3 WAR
RTravis Driskill0.3 WAR
RCalvin Maduro-0.0 WAR
RPat Hentgen-0.2 WAR
RSean Douglass-0.3 WAR
RJosh Towers-0.5 WAR
RRick Bauer-0.6 WAR

Bullpen

RJorge Julio25 sv
LBuddy Groom19 h
RWillis Roberts13 h
LB.J. Ryan12 h
RRick Bauer12 h
LYorkis Perez1 h
RChris Brock0 h
RJosh Towers0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2001)

PlayerfWAR
Gary Matthews Jr.3.1
Rodrigo Lopez2.8
Chris Singleton1.7
Marty Cordova0.6
Scott Erickson0.6
Travis Driskill0.3

Key subtractions (gone from 2001)

Player2001 fWAR
Jose Mercedes2.5
John Wasdin0.7
Mike Trombley0.6
Greg Myers0.4
Tim Raines Sr.0.1
John Bale0.1

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Orioles. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2002; everyone else is shown as a 2002 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Rodrigo Lopez 2002 +2.8 +44.5 0.2 +44.3 $0.1M 1.96×
Melvin Mora 2002 +3.0 +38.8 0.3 +38.5 $0.1M 1.60×
Gary Matthews Jr. 2002 +3.1 +39.8 3.6 +36.2 $1.2M 1.60×
Jerry Hairston Jr. 2002 +2.9 +24.6 0.3 +24.3 $0.1M 1.07×
Sidney Ponson 2002 +1.7 +20.6 2.6 +18.0 $1.5M 1.49×
Jason Johnson 2002 +1.6 +19.2 1.8 +17.4 $1.1M 1.49×
Jay Gibbons 2002 +1.6 +15.3 0.2 +15.0 $0.1M 1.22×
Chris Singleton 2002 +1.7 +16.2 1.4 +14.8 $0.8M 1.22×
Jorge Julio 2002 +1.0 +10.7 0.2 +10.4 $0.2M 1.34×
Buddy Groom 2002 +1.4 +7.5 2.5 +5.0 $1.8M 0.67×
Willis Roberts 2002 +0.7 +3.6 0.3 +3.4 $0.4M 0.67×
Mike Bordick 2002 +1.4 +6.8 4.9 +1.9 $3.5M 0.61×
Marty Cordova 2002 +0.6 +4.3 2.5 +1.8 $3.9M 0.83×
Geronimo Gil 2002 +0.5 +1.9 0.2 +1.7 $0.4M 0.52×
B.J. Ryan 2002 +0.1 +0.6 0.3 +0.3 $2.9M 0.67×
Raul Casanova 2002 -0.0 -0.1 0.1 -0.1 0.52×
Fernando Lunar 2002 +0.0 +0.0 0.2 -0.2 $131.1M 0.52×
Luis C. Garcia 2002 -0.0 -0.0 0.2 -0.2 0.83×
Calvin Maduro 2002 -0.0 -0.4 0.3 -0.6 1.02×
Scott Erickson 2002 +0.6 +4.5 5.1 -0.7 $9.3M 1.02×
Tony Batista 2002 +0.9 +4.1 4.9 -0.8 $5.5M 0.58×
Chris Brock 2002 -0.1 -0.6 1.0 -1.6 0.67×
Luis Lopez 2002 -0.2 -1.1 0.6 -1.8 0.61×
Jeff Conine 2002 +0.3 +1.6 3.5 -1.9 $10.0M 0.56×
Mike Moriarty 2002 -0.3 -1.7 0.2 -1.9 0.61×
Chris Richard 2002 -0.4 -2.2 0.3 -2.5 0.69×
Brook Fordyce 2002 -0.3 -1.1 2.5 -3.6 0.52×
Luis Matos 2002 -0.5 -3.4 0.2 -3.6 0.83×
Josh Towers 2002 -0.5 -3.8 0.2 -4.1 1.02×
Pat Hentgen 2002 -0.2 -1.6 4.2 -5.9 1.02×
David Segui 2002 +0.1 +0.6 6.8 -6.2 $65.0M 0.69×
Rick Bauer 2002 -0.6 -6.0 0.2 -6.2 1.34×
Brian Roberts 2002 -0.1 -0.3 0.56×
Ed Rogers 2002 -0.1 -0.3 0.61×
Eric DuBose 2002 -0.0 -0.1 0.67×
Erik Bedard 2002 +0.1 +0.4 0.67×
Howie Clark 2002 +0.1 +0.7 0.69×
Izzy Molina 2002 +0.0 +0.1 0.52×
John Stephens 2002 +0.3 +2.8 1.02×
Jose Leon 2002 -0.1 -0.6 0.56×
Larry Bigbie 2002 -0.3 -2.1 0.83×
Ryan McGuire 2002 -0.4 -2.0 0.56×
Sean Douglass 2002 -0.3 -2.4 1.02×
Steve Bechler 2002 -0.3 -1.5 0.67×
Travis Driskill 2002 +0.3 +2.8 1.02×
Yorkis Perez 2002 +0.0 +0.0 0.67×
Total+22.1+240.751.8+191.1

Trades

Every graded 2002 deal involving the Orioles — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 2 total.

Current & Historical Payroll

2002 payroll
$52.0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2002, 2002–2008. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2002200320042005200620072008
David Segui3512.000$6.8M$7.0M$7.0MFREE AGENT
Scott Erickson3412.000$5.1MFREE AGENT
Tony Batista286.000$4.9M$6.4MFREE AGENT
Mike Bordick3612.000$4.9MFREE AGENT
Pat Hentgen3311.000$4.2M$1.2MFREE AGENT
Jeff Conine3612.000$3.5M$3.5MFREE AGENT$1.4M
Brook Fordyce327.000$2.5M$3.5MFREE AGENT
Buddy Groom3610.000$2.5M$3.0M$3.0MFREE AGENT
Marty Cordova327.000$2.5M$3.1MFREE AGENT
Luis Lopez319.000$628kFREE AGENT$365k
Calvin Maduro276.000$270kFREE AGENT
Raul Casanova296.000$52kFREE AGENT
Izzy Molina316.000FREE AGENT
Yorkis Perez3411.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2002200320042005200620072008
Gary Matthews Jr.273.000$3.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sidney Ponson254.000$2.6MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Johnson285.000$1.8MFREE AGENT
Chris Singleton293.000$1.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Brock325.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Melvin Mora303.000$350kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jerry Hairston Jr.264.000$300kARB 3FREE AGENT
B.J. Ryan263.000$300kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Willis Roberts273.000$260kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan McGuire305.000FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (22)

PlayerAgeSvc2002200320042005200620072008
Chris Richard282.000$300kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Towers251.000$245kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jay Gibbons251.000$232kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Matos232.000$230kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Fernando Lunar252.000$225kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge Julio231.000$216kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rodrigo Lopez262.000$200kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Moriarty280.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rick Bauer251.000$200kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Geronimo Gil261.000$200kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis C. Garcia260.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Travis Driskill30
Jose Leon250.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric DuBose260.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Douglass231.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Roberts241.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Larry Bigbie241.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Bechler22
Erik Bedard230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ed Rogers23
John Stephens22
Howie Clark28

Graphs

How each 2002 acquisition stacked onto Orioles's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.