RRosternomics
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Orioles BAL

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GM: Roland Hemond

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 5 in this regime · payroll 0.92× league · TAB +8.7
+8.7TAB — talent above budget5th/28
+4.1WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)8th/28
9.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars8th/28
-4.4dead WAR — sub-replacement drag11th/28
23%dead money %6th/28
0.525win %10th/28
41.9roster fWAR8th/28
+5surplus $M (value vs cost)4th/28
$29Mpayroll $M18th/28

Roster

CFMike Devereaux 130GDamon Buford 24GBrady Anderson 18G
LFBrady Anderson 126GLonnie Smith 62GJack Voigt 22G
RFMark McLemore 124GJack Voigt 23GJeffrey Hammonds 10G
SSCal Ripken Jr. 162GTim Hulett Sr. 8G
2BHarold Reynolds 141GMark McLemore 25GTim Hulett Sr. 4G
3BMike Pagliarulo 107GTim Hulett Sr. 75GLeo Gomez 70G
1BDavid Segui 144GGlenn Davis 22GPaul Carey 9G
STARTERSBen McDonald 4.5WARJamie Moyer 3.2WARMike Mussina 2.8WARFernando Valenzuela 1.4WARRick Sutcliffe 0.5WAR
CChris Hoiles 124GJeff Tackett 38GMark Parent 21G
DHHarold Baines 110GSherman Obando 20GGlenn Davis 7G
BULLPEN★ Gregg Olson 29svTodd Frohwirth 0hJim Poole 0hMark Williamson 0hAlan Mills 0hBrad Pennington 0hJohn O'Donoghue 0hMike Oquist 0h
CChris Hoiles 124 · Jeff Tackett 38 · Mark Parent 21
1BDavid Segui 144 · Glenn Davis 22 · Paul Carey 9
2BHarold Reynolds 141 · Mark McLemore 25 · Tim Hulett Sr. 4
3BMike Pagliarulo 107 · Tim Hulett Sr. 75 · Leo Gomez 70
SSCal Ripken Jr. 162 · Tim Hulett Sr. 8
LFBrady Anderson 126 · Lonnie Smith 62 · Jack Voigt 22
CFMike Devereaux 130 · Damon Buford 24 · Brady Anderson 18
RFMark McLemore 124 · Jack Voigt 23 · Jeffrey Hammonds 10
DHHarold Baines 110 · Sherman Obando 20 · Glenn Davis 7
SPBen McDonald 4.5 · Jamie Moyer 3.2 · Mike Mussina 2.8 · Fernando Valenzuela 1.4 · Rick Sutcliffe 0.5
BP★ Gregg Olson 29 · Todd Frohwirth 0 · Jim Poole 0 · Mark Williamson 0 · Alan Mills 0 · Brad Pennington 0 · John O'Donoghue 0 · Mike Oquist 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1993 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Chris Hoiles 28 arb 1267.0 0.3 +5.4
Ben McDonald 25 arb 344.5 1.2 +2.4
Cal Ripken Jr. 32 FA-elig 1623.7 5.2 -2.2
Jamie Moyer 30 FA-elig 253.2 0.2 +2.4
Brady Anderson 29 arb 1422.9 1.9 +0.6
Mike Mussina 24 pre-arb 252.8 0.5 +1.9
Mark McLemore 28 FA-elig 1482.6 0.3 +1.8
Harold Baines 34 FA-elig 1182.5 1.2 +0.9
Tim Hulett Sr. 33 FA-elig 852.5 0.4 +1.7
Jack Voigt 27 – 641.8 – –
Mike Devereaux 30 FA-elig 1311.7 3.0 -1.7
David Segui 26 arb 1461.5 0.2 +1.0
Gregg Olson 26 arb 501.4 2.3 -1.1
Fernando Valenzuela 32 FA-elig 321.4 0.7 +0.5
Harold Reynolds 32 FA-elig 1451.3 1.6 -0.6
Mike Pagliarulo↔ MIN 33 FA-elig 331.3 0.1 +0.9
Mark Williamson 33 FA-elig 481.2 0.5 +0.5
Jim Poole 27 arb 550.8 0.1 +0.5
Rick Sutcliffe 37 FA-elig 290.5 2.5 -2.1
Jeffrey Hammonds 22 pre-arb 330.5 0.1 +0.3
Todd Frohwirth 30 FA-elig 700.3 1.0 -0.7
Leo Gomez 27 arb 710.3 0.3 -0.0
Mike Oquist 25 – 50.2 – –
Mark Parent 31 FA-elig 220.2 0.2 -0.1
Lonnie Smith↔ PIT 37 FA-elig 90.1 0.1 +0.0
Luis Mercedes↔ SFG 25 pre-arb 100.1 0.0 +0.0
Mike Cook 29 – 20.0 – –
Sherman Obando 23 pre-arb 310.0 0.1 -0.1
Damon Buford 23 pre-arb 530.0 0.1 -0.1
Manny Alexander 22 pre-arb 30.0 0.1 -0.1
Jeff Tackett 27 pre-arb 39-0.1 0.1 -0.2
John O'Donoghue 24 pre-arb 11-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Anthony Telford 27 – 3-0.1 – –
Mark Leonard 28 – 10-0.2 – –
Arthur Rhodes 23 pre-arb 17-0.4 0.2 -0.5
Kevin McGehee 24 pre-arb 5-0.4 0.1 -0.5
Paul Carey 25 – 18-0.5 – –
Brad Pennington 24 – 34-0.6 – –
Alan Mills 26 arb 45-0.6 0.2 -0.7
Chito Martinez 27 pre-arb 8-0.7 0.2 -0.7
Glenn Davis 32 FA-elig 30-0.8 3.8 -4.5

Key additions (new vs 1992)

PlayerfWAR
Jamie Moyer3.2
Harold Baines2.5
Fernando Valenzuela1.4
Harold Reynolds1.3
Mike Pagliarulo1.3
Jeffrey Hammonds0.5

Key subtractions (gone from 1992)

Player1992 fWAR
Randy Milligan2.3
Storm Davis0.8
Craig Lefferts0.8
Billy Ripken0.4
Joe Orsulak0.3
Bob Milacki0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

1993 payroll
$29.2M

What the front office was committed to as of 1993, 1993–1999. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (15)

PlayerAgeSvc1993199419951996199719981999
Cal Ripken Jr.3212.000$5.2M$5.5M$6.7M$6.7M$6.8M$6.4M$6.5M
Glenn Davis329.000$3.8MFREE AGENT
Mike Devereaux306.000$3.0M$3.4MFREE AGENT$900k
Rick Sutcliffe3717.000$2.5MFREE AGENT
Harold Reynolds3210.000$1.6MFREE AGENT
Harold Baines3413.000$1.2M$1.9M$1.9MFREE AGENT$1.3M$1.3M$1.4M
Todd Frohwirth306.000$975kFREE AGENT
Fernando Valenzuela3213.000$650kFREE AGENT
Mark Williamson336.000$500k$350kFREE AGENT
Tim Hulett Sr.3310.000$400k$550kFREE AGENT
Mark McLemore287.000$345k$1.0MFREE AGENT
Mark Parent317.000$215kFREE AGENT$339k
Jamie Moyer307.000$200k$725k$1.1MFREE AGENT
Mike Pagliarulo339.000$128kFREE AGENT
Lonnie Smith3715.000$87k$750kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc1993199419951996199719981999
Gregg Olson265.000$2.3MFREE AGENT
Brady Anderson295.000$1.9MFREE AGENT
Ben McDonald254.000$1.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Hoiles284.000$350kARB 3FREE AGENT
Leo Gomez273.000$312kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alan Mills263.000$245kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Segui263.000$238kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jim Poole273.000$150kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Leonard283.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anthony Telford273.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (16)

PlayerAgeSvc1993199419951996199719981999
Mike Mussina242.000$450kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chito Martinez272.000$198kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Arthur Rhodes232.000$155kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Tackett272.000$142kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Manny Alexander221.000$109kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin McGehee240.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Damon Buford230.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeffrey Hammonds220.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sherman Obando230.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John O'Donoghue240.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Mercedes252.000$43kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul Carey25–—
Mike Cook29–—
Mike Oquist250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Pennington240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jack Voigt271.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Orioles 1993; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.