RRosternomics

Orioles BAL

GM: Roland Hemond

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 4 in this regime · payroll 0.8× league · TAB +11.2
+11.2TAB — talent above budget1st/26
+9.9WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)6th/26
9.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars3rd/26
-2.2dead WAR — sub-replacement drag1st/26
30%dead money %11th/26
0.549win %8th/26
42.7roster fWAR4th/26
+9surplus $M (value vs cost)3rd/26
$24Mpayroll $M22nd/26

Roster

CFMike Devereaux 155GBrady Anderson 7GLuis Mercedes 2G
LFBrady Anderson 148GJoe Orsulak 14GDavid Segui 3G
RFJoe Orsulak 98GChito Martinez 52GDavid Segui 15G
SSCal Ripken Jr. 162GTim Hulett Sr. 5GManny Alexander 3G
2BBilly Ripken 108GMark McLemore 70GTim Hulett Sr. 10G
3BLeo Gomez 137GTim Hulett Sr. 27GSteve Scarsone 2G
1BRandy Milligan 129GDavid Segui 95GGlenn Davis 2G
STARTERSMike Mussina 5.3WARRick Sutcliffe 3.0WARArthur Rhodes 2.0WARBen McDonald 2.0WARCraig Lefferts 0.8WAR
CChris Hoiles 95GJeff Tackett 64GMark Parent 16G
DHGlenn Davis 98GSam Horn 45GTim Hulett Sr. 8G
BULLPEN Gregg Olson 36svTodd Frohwirth 0hPat Clements 0hStorm Davis 0hMike Flanagan 0hAlan Mills 0hMark Williamson 0hJim Poole 0h
CChris Hoiles 95 · Jeff Tackett 64 · Mark Parent 16
1BRandy Milligan 129 · David Segui 95 · Glenn Davis 2
2BBilly Ripken 108 · Mark McLemore 70 · Tim Hulett Sr. 10
3BLeo Gomez 137 · Tim Hulett Sr. 27 · Steve Scarsone 2
SSCal Ripken Jr. 162 · Tim Hulett Sr. 5 · Manny Alexander 3
LFBrady Anderson 148 · Joe Orsulak 14 · David Segui 3
CFMike Devereaux 155 · Brady Anderson 7 · Luis Mercedes 2
RFJoe Orsulak 98 · Chito Martinez 52 · David Segui 15
DHGlenn Davis 98 · Sam Horn 45 · Tim Hulett Sr. 8
SPMike Mussina 5.3 · Rick Sutcliffe 3.0 · Arthur Rhodes 2.0 · Ben McDonald 2.0 · Craig Lefferts 0.8
BP Gregg Olson 36 · Todd Frohwirth 0 · Pat Clements 0 · Storm Davis 0 · Mike Flanagan 0 · Alan Mills 0 · Mark Williamson 0 · Jim Poole 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1992 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Mike Mussina 23 pre-arb 325.3 0.2 +4.0
Brady Anderson 28 arb 1595.3 0.4 +3.7
Mike Devereaux 29 arb 1564.7 1.0 +2.7
Cal Ripken Jr. 31 FA-elig 1623.7 2.1 +0.8
Chris Hoiles 27 arb 963.3 0.2 +2.4
Rick Sutcliffe 36 FA-elig 363.0 2.4 -0.1
Leo Gomez 26 pre-arb 1372.7 0.1 +2.0
Randy Milligan 30 arb 1372.3 1.2 +0.6
Arthur Rhodes 22 pre-arb 152.0 0.1 +1.5
Ben McDonald 24 arb 352.0 0.5 +1.0
Gregg Olson 25 arb 591.6 1.4 -0.2
Todd Frohwirth 29 arb 651.1 0.3 +0.6
Chito Martinez 26 pre-arb 831.0 0.1 +0.6
Glenn Davis 31 FA-elig 1061.0 3.4 -2.7
Jeff Tackett 26 pre-arb 650.9 0.1 +0.6
Tim Hulett Sr. 32 FA-elig 570.9 0.4 +0.3
Storm Davis 30 FA-elig 480.8 2.6 -2.0
Craig Lefferts↔ SDP 34 FA-elig 50.8 0.3 +0.3
Alan Mills 25 pre-arb 350.7 0.1 +0.4
Billy Ripken 27 arb 1110.4 0.7 -0.4
Joe Orsulak 30 FA-elig 1170.3 1.3 -1.0
Mark Parent 30 FA-elig 170.3 0.2 +0.0
Bob Milacki 27 arb 230.2 1.2 -1.0
Pat Clements↔ SDP 30 FA-elig 230.2 0.1 +0.1
Sam Horn 28 arb 630.1 0.7 -0.6
Mark Williamson 32 arb 120.1 0.9 -0.8
Jim Poole 26 pre-arb 60.1 0.1 -0.1
Tommy Shields 27 20.0
Jack Voigt 26 10.0
Jose Mesa↔ CLE 26 arb 13-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Manny Alexander 21 pre-arb 4-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Steve Scarsone↔ PHI 26 11-0.0
Richie Lewis 26 pre-arb 2-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Rick Dempsey 42 FA-elig 8-0.1 0.5 -0.6
Mark McLemore 27 FA-elig 101-0.2 0.3 -0.5
Luis Mercedes 24 pre-arb 23-0.4 0.1 -0.4
Mike Flanagan 40 FA-elig 42-0.4 0.6 -0.9
David Segui 25 pre-arb 115-0.8 0.1 -0.8

Key additions (new vs 1991)

PlayerfWAR
Rick Sutcliffe3.0
Storm Davis0.8
Craig Lefferts0.8
Alan Mills0.7
Mark Parent0.3
Pat Clements0.2

Key subtractions (gone from 1991)

Player1991 fWAR
Dwight Evans0.8
Jeff Ballard0.6
Roy Smith0.4
Jeff Robinson0.4
Anthony Telford0.3
Craig Worthington0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

1992 payroll
$24.1M

What the front office was committed to as of 1992, 1992–1998. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (12)

PlayerAgeSvc1992199319941995199619971998
Glenn Davis318.000$3.4M$3.8MFREE AGENT
Storm Davis3010.000$2.6MFREE AGENT
Rick Sutcliffe3616.000$2.4M$2.5MFREE AGENT
Cal Ripken Jr.3111.000$2.1M$5.2M$5.5M$6.7M$6.7M$6.8M$6.4M
Joe Orsulak309.000$1.3MFREE AGENT
Mike Flanagan4017.000$600kFREE AGENT
Rick Dempsey4223.000$450kFREE AGENT
Tim Hulett Sr.329.000$420k$400k$550kFREE AGENT
Mark McLemore276.000$325k$345k$1.0MFREE AGENT
Craig Lefferts349.000$319kFREE AGENT
Mark Parent306.000$180k$215kFREE AGENT$339k
Pat Clements307.000$67kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (12)

PlayerAgeSvc1992199319941995199619971998
Gregg Olson254.000$1.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Randy Milligan305.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Bob Milacki274.000$1.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Devereaux295.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Mark Williamson325.000$900kFREE AGENT
Billy Ripken275.000$730kFREE AGENT
Sam Horn285.000$688kFREE AGENT
Ben McDonald243.000$500kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brady Anderson284.000$365kARB 3FREE AGENT
Todd Frohwirth295.000$265kFREE AGENT
Chris Hoiles273.000$175kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Mesa265.000$63kFREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (14)

PlayerAgeSvc1992199319941995199619971998
Mike Mussina231.000$152kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Segui252.000$150kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Leo Gomez262.000$150kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alan Mills252.000$142kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jim Poole262.000$140kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chito Martinez261.000$140kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Richie Lewis260.000$111kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Mercedes241.000$109kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Manny Alexander210.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Tackett261.000$109kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Arthur Rhodes221.000$109kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Scarsone260.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tommy Shields270.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jack Voigt260.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Orioles 1992; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3