RRosternomics
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Braves ATL

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President of baseball ops: John Hart

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 2 in this regime · payroll 0.79× league · TAB -14.5
-14.5TAB — talent above budget30th/30
-11.9WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)28th/30
4.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars24th/30
-7.3dead WAR — sub-replacement drag26th/30
56%dead money %26th/30
0.414win %28th/30
16.9roster fWAR30th/30
-41surplus $M (value vs cost)21st/30
$96Mpayroll $M22nd/30

Roster

CFCameron Maybin 139GMichael Bourn 106GEric Young Jr. 16G
LFJonny Gomes 59GMichael Bourn 29GEury Pérez 29G
RFNick Markakis 153GEury Pérez 6GTodd Cunningham 4G
SSAndrelton Simmons 147GDaniel Castro 10GPedro Ciriaco 9G
2BJace Peterson 144GDaniel Castro 12GPedro Ciriaco 7G
3BAdonis García 42GPedro Ciriaco 24GHéctor Olivera 21G
1BFreddie Freeman 117GJoey Terdoslavich 12GNick Swisher 12G
STARTERSShelby Miller 3.4WARJulio Teheran 1.1WARMatt Wisler 0.3WARRyan Weber 0.1WARWilliams Pérez -0.1WAR
CA.J. Pierzynski 107GChristian Bethancourt 42GRyan Lavarnway 30G
DHNick Swisher 28GNick Markakis 3GPedro Ciriaco 1G
BULLPEN★ Jason Grilli 24svDavid Aardsma 6hNick Masset 6hEdwin Jackson 5hMatt Marksberry 5hBrandon Cunniff 5hJason Frasor 4hArodys Vizcaíno 3h
CA.J. Pierzynski 107 · Christian Bethancourt 42 · Ryan Lavarnway 30
1BFreddie Freeman 117 · Joey Terdoslavich 12 · Nick Swisher 12
2BJace Peterson 144 · Daniel Castro 12 · Pedro Ciriaco 7
3BAdonis García 42 · Pedro Ciriaco 24 · Héctor Olivera 21
SSAndrelton Simmons 147 · Daniel Castro 10 · Pedro Ciriaco 9
LFJonny Gomes 59 · Michael Bourn 29 · Eury Pérez 29
CFCameron Maybin 139 · Michael Bourn 106 · Eric Young Jr. 16
RFNick Markakis 153 · Eury Pérez 6 · Todd Cunningham 4
DHNick Swisher 28 · Nick Markakis 3 · Pedro Ciriaco 1
SPShelby Miller 3.4 · Julio Teheran 1.1 · Matt Wisler 0.3 · Ryan Weber 0.1 · Williams Pérez -0.1
BP★ Jason Grilli 24 · David Aardsma 6 · Nick Masset 6 · Edwin Jackson 5 · Matt Marksberry 5 · Brandon Cunniff 5 · Jason Frasor 4 · Arodys Vizcaíno 3

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2015 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Shelby Miller 24 arb 333.4 0.5 +10.2
Freddie Freeman 25 arb 1183.3 8.5 +1.9
Andrelton Simmons 25 arb 1473.1 3.0 +6.7
Alex Wood↔ LAD 24 pre-arb 202.3 0.3 +7.0
Nick Markakis 31 FA-elig 1561.4 11.0 -6.6
Jason Grilli 38 FA-elig 361.3 4.2 -0.1
Cameron Maybin 28 FA-elig 1411.3 7.0 -2.9
Julio Teheran 24 arb 331.1 1.0 +2.6
Jace Peterson 25 pre-arb 1521.0 0.5 +2.8
A.J. Pierzynski 38 FA-elig 1130.9 2.0 +0.9
Juan Uribe↔ LAD 36 FA-elig 460.8 2.5 +0.1
Arodys Vizcaíno 24 pre-arb 360.8 0.3 +2.3
Adonis García 30 pre-arb 580.7 0.2 +1.9
Jim Johnson↔ LAD 32 FA-elig 490.6 1.1 +0.9
Matt Wisler 22 – 210.3 0.3 +0.6
Pedro Ciriaco 29 pre-arb 840.3 0.4 +0.4
Phil Gosselin↔ ARI 26 pre-arb 200.3 0.2 +0.6
Peter Moylan 36 arb 220.2 0.1 +0.5
Luis Avilán↔ LAD 25 arb 500.2 0.4 +0.2
Daniel Castro 22 – 330.2 – –
Eury Pérez 25 pre-arb 470.1 0.2 +0.2
Andrew McKirahan 25 pre-arb 270.1 0.5 -0.1
Ryan Weber 24 – 50.1 0.1 +0.3
Kelly Johnson↔ NYM 33 FA-elig 620.1 0.8 -0.5
Joey Terdoslavich 26 pre-arb 280.1 0.5 -0.3
Jason Frasor↔ KCR 37 FA-elig 60.0 0.2 -0.1
Danny Burawa↔ NYY 26 pre-arb 120.0 0.1 -0.0
Todd Cunningham 26 pre-arb 390.0 0.5 -0.5
Trevor Cahill↔ CHC 27 FA-elig 15-0.0 6.9 -7.0
Ryan Lavarnway↔ BAL 27 pre-arb 27-0.0 0.3 -0.4
Michael Kohn 29 arb 6-0.0 0.0 -0.1
Nick Swisher↔ CLE 34 FA-elig 46-0.0 9.1 -9.2
Jake Brigham 27 – 12-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Matt Marksberry 24 pre-arb 31-0.1 0.2 -0.4
John Cornely 26 – 1-0.1 0.0 -0.2
Héctor Olivera 30 – 24-0.1 5.4 -5.6
Juan Jaime 27 – 2-0.1 0.1 -0.4
Ian Thomas↔ LAD 28 – 5-0.1 0.0 -0.4
Williams Pérez 24 – 23-0.1 0.4 -0.8
Brandon Cunniff 26 pre-arb 39-0.1 0.4 -0.8
Cody Martin↔ OAK 25 – 21-0.1 0.2 -0.6
Mike Foltynewicz 23 pre-arb 18-0.1 0.5 -1.0
Dan Winkler 25 – 2-0.1 0.5 -1.0
David Carpenter 27 pre-arb 4-0.2 0.2 -0.7
Dana Eveland 31 – 10-0.2 0.1 -0.6
Sugar Ray Marimon 26 – 16-0.2 0.1 -0.7
Jonny Gomes↔ KCR 34 FA-elig 83-0.2 3.5 -4.1
Michael Bourn↔ CLE 32 FA-elig 46-0.2 4.4 -5.0
Manny Banuelos 24 – 7-0.3 0.3 -1.1
Edwin Jackson↔ CHC 31 FA-elig 24-0.3 7.1 -8.1
Donnie Veal 30 – 5-0.4 – –
David Aardsma 33 – 33-0.4 – –
Ross Detwiler↔ TEX 29 FA-elig 24-0.4 2.0 -3.2
Alberto Callaspo↔ LAD 32 FA-elig 37-0.4 1.1 -2.4
Ryan Kelly 27 pre-arb 17-0.4 0.1 -1.4
Eric Stults 35 – 9-0.4 0.6 -1.8
Chris Johnson↔ CLE 30 FA-elig 56-0.4 4.0 -5.3
Nick Masset↔ MIA 33 – 20-0.4 0.7 -2.1
Eric Young Jr.↔ NYM 30 FA-elig 35-0.5 0.7 -2.2
Christian Bethancourt 23 pre-arb 48-1.0 0.5 -3.5

Key additions (new vs 2014)

PlayerfWAR
Shelby Miller3.4
Nick Markakis1.4
Jason Grilli1.3
Cameron Maybin1.3
Jace Peterson1.0
A.J. Pierzynski0.9

Key subtractions (gone from 2014)

Player2014 fWAR
Jason Heyward4.7
Justin Upton3.7
Ervin Santana3.1
Evan Gattis2.6
Aaron Harang2.5
Craig Kimbrel2.4

Current & Historical Payroll

2015 payroll
$96.2M
2016 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2015, 2015–2021. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2015; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2015201620172018201920202021
Nick Markakis319.000$11.0MFREE AGENT
Nick Swisher3410.031$9.1MFREE AGENT
Edwin Jackson319.070$7.1MFREE AGENT
Michael Bourn328.028$4.4MFREE AGENT
Jason Grilli388.016$4.2MFREE AGENT
Jonny Gomes349.097$3.5MFREE AGENT
Juan Uribe3613.089$2.5MFREE AGENT
A.J. Pierzynski3814.100$2.0MFREE AGENT
Alberto Callaspo327.135$1.1MFREE AGENT
Jim Johnson326.161$1.1MFREE AGENT
Kelly Johnson339.127$838kFREE AGENT
Nick Masset337.146$714kFREE AGENT
Eric Young Jr.306.000$660kFREE AGENT
Jason Frasor3711.000$234kFREE AGENT
David Aardsma338.082—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2015201620172018201920202021
Freddie Freeman254.033$8.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Cameron Maybin285.073$7.0MFREE AGENT
Trevor Cahill275.160$6.9MFREE AGENT
Chris Johnson304.144$4.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Ross Detwiler295.002$2.0MFREE AGENT
Eric Stults354.075$568kARB 3FREE AGENT
Manny Banuelos243.015$263kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Carpenter273.000$191kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Peter Moylan365.153$136kFREE AGENT
Dana Eveland314.164$69kARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Kohn293.010$39kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Donnie Veal303.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (33)

PlayerAgeSvc2015201620172018201920202021
Héctor Olivera30–$5.4M
Andrelton Simmons252.125$3.0MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Julio Teheran242.062$1.0MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shelby Miller242.030$535kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Foltynewicz230.059$509kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Christian Bethancourt230.072$507kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Todd Cunningham262.000$507kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dan Winkler250.000$507kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew McKirahan252.000$507kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jace Peterson250.058$507kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joey Terdoslavich261.050$507kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Ciriaco292.065$433kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Williams Pérez240.000$410kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Avilán252.077$363kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Cunniff261.018$358kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Lavarnway271.133$331kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Wood241.123$325kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Wisler220.000$302kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Arodys Vizcaíno242.077$252kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Phil Gosselin262.000$231kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adonis García302.067$211kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eury Pérez25–$186k
Matt Marksberry240.140$186kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cody Martin250.075$168kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sugar Ray Marimon26–$150k
Ryan Kelly270.053$130kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Brigham27–$108k
Danny Burawa260.035$84kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Weber240.000$75kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Juan Jaime270.056$55kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ian Thomas280.123$16kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Cornely260.007$3kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Castro220.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Braves 2015; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.