RRosternomics
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Diamondbacks ARI

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GM: Mike Hazen

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 2 in this regime · payroll 0.64× league · TAB -2.8
-2.8TAB — talent above budget17th/30
-2.2WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)16th/30
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars16th/30
-7.8dead WAR — sub-replacement drag25th/30
68%dead money %29th/30
0.457win %19th/30
26.0roster fWAR22nd/30
+4surplus $M (value vs cost)9th/30
$92Mpayroll $M23rd/30

Roster

CFAlek Thomas 112GDaulton Varsho 54GJake McCarthy 12G
LFJake McCarthy 32GCorbin Carroll 25GJordan Luplow 22G
RFDaulton Varsho 71GJake McCarthy 47GPavin Smith 43G
SSGeraldo Perdomo 140GSergio Alcántara 28GNick Ahmed 16G
2BKetel Marte 94GJosh Rojas 26GSergio Alcántara 25G
3BJosh Rojas 89GEmmanuel Rivera 86GSergio Alcántara 41G
1BChristian Walker 150GPavin Smith 10GEmmanuel Rivera 5G
STARTERSZac Gallen 4.2WARMerrill Kelly 3.2WARZach Davies 0.4WARMadison Bumgarner 0.4WARHumberto Castellanos 0.1WAR
CCarson Kelly 100GJose Herrera 46GDaulton Varsho 31G
DHKetel Marte 37GSeth Beer 28GPavin Smith 22G
BULLPEN★ Mark Melancon 18svJoe Mantiply 22hNoé Ramirez 11hIan Kennedy 10hKyle Nelson 10hCaleb Smith 6hKevin Ginkel 5hReyes Moronta 4h
CCarson Kelly 100 · Jose Herrera 46 · Daulton Varsho 31
1BChristian Walker 150 · Pavin Smith 10 · Emmanuel Rivera 5
2BKetel Marte 94 · Josh Rojas 26 · Sergio Alcántara 25
3BJosh Rojas 89 · Emmanuel Rivera 86 · Sergio Alcántara 41
SSGeraldo Perdomo 140 · Sergio Alcántara 28 · Nick Ahmed 16
LFJake McCarthy 32 · Corbin Carroll 25 · Jordan Luplow 22
CFAlek Thomas 112 · Daulton Varsho 54 · Jake McCarthy 12
RFDaulton Varsho 71 · Jake McCarthy 47 · Pavin Smith 43
DHKetel Marte 37 · Seth Beer 28 · Pavin Smith 22
SPZac Gallen 4.2 · Merrill Kelly 3.2 · Zach Davies 0.4 · Madison Bumgarner 0.4 · Humberto Castellanos 0.1
BP★ Mark Melancon 18 · Joe Mantiply 22 · Noé Ramirez 11 · Ian Kennedy 10 · Kyle Nelson 10 · Caleb Smith 6 · Kevin Ginkel 5 · Reyes Moronta 4

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2022 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Daulton Varsho 25 pre-arb 1514.3 0.7 +15.0
Zac Gallen 26 pre-arb 314.2 0.7 +14.5
Christian Walker 31 FA-elig 1604.0 2.6 +11.9
Merrill Kelly 33 arb 333.2 5.2 +6.4
Josh Rojas 28 pre-arb 1252.5 0.7 +8.6
Jake McCarthy 24 pre-arb 992.2 0.5 +7.6
Ketel Marte 28 FA-elig 1371.8 8.4 -1.8
David Peralta↔ TBR 34 FA-elig 871.5 4.9 +0.8
Corbin Carroll 21 – 321.4 0.1 +4.9
Joe Mantiply 31 pre-arb 691.1 0.7 +3.4
Emmanuel Rivera↔ KCR 26 pre-arb 391.0 0.1 +3.5
Alek Thomas 22 – 1130.8 0.5 +2.3
Kevin Ginkel 28 pre-arb 300.5 0.2 +1.7
Drey Jameson 24 – 40.5 0.1 +1.8
Carson Kelly 27 FA-elig 1040.5 3.3 -1.5
Stone Garrett 26 – 270.5 0.2 +1.5
Zach Davies 29 FA-elig 270.4 1.5 +0.1
Jordan Luplow 28 arb 830.4 1.4 +0.2
Madison Bumgarner 32 FA-elig 300.4 23.0 -21.7
Kyle Nelson 25 pre-arb 430.4 0.7 +0.6
Nick Ahmed 32 FA-elig 170.3 7.9 -6.6
Ryne Nelson 24 – 30.3 0.1 +1.0
Sergio Alcántara↔ SDP 25 pre-arb 710.3 0.3 +0.8
Geraldo Perdomo 22 pre-arb 1480.3 0.7 +0.3
Luke Weaver↔ KCR 28 FA-elig 130.2 1.4 -0.5
Reyes Moronta↔ LAD 29 arb 170.2 0.2 +0.6
Buddy Kennedy 23 – 300.1 0.2 +0.3
Humberto Castellanos 24 pre-arb 110.1 0.7 -0.3
Mark Melancon 37 FA-elig 620.1 6.0 -5.7
Jake Hager 29 pre-arb 280.1 0.2 +0.0
Matt Davidson↔ OAK 31 – 50.0 0.0 +0.1
Taylor Widener 27 pre-arb 140.0 0.2 -0.1
Tyler Holton 26 – 100.0 0.1 -0.1
Grayson Greiner 29 arb 2-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Paul Fry↔ BAL 29 arb 1-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Chris Devenski↔ PHI 31 – 10-0.0 0.1 -0.3
Edwin Uceta 24 pre-arb 10-0.0 0.2 -0.3
Dallas Keuchel↔ CHW 34 FA-elig 4-0.1 5.1 -5.4
Pavin Smith 26 pre-arb 75-0.1 0.4 -0.6
Matt Peacock↔ KCR 28 – 2-0.1 0.0 -0.3
Corbin Martin 26 pre-arb 7-0.1 0.2 -0.6
Oliver Pérez 40 – 7-0.1 0.1 -0.6
Wilmer Difo 30 arb 3-0.2 0.0 -0.6
Drew Ellis↔ SEA 26 – 6-0.2 0.0 -0.7
Luis Frías 24 pre-arb 15-0.2 0.2 -1.0
Jose Herrera 25 – 47-0.3 0.5 -1.5
J.B. Wendelken 29 FA-elig 29-0.3 0.8 -1.9
Yonny Hernández 24 pre-arb 12-0.3 0.1 -1.3
Keynan Middleton 28 arb 18-0.3 0.1 -1.3
Tyler Gilbert 28 pre-arb 8-0.4 0.4 -1.7
Tommy Henry 24 – 9-0.4 0.2 -1.6
Sean Poppen 28 pre-arb 29-0.4 0.4 -1.9
Noé Ramirez 32 FA-elig 55-0.7 1.2 -3.8
Caleb Smith 30 arb 44-0.8 2.0 -4.9
Seth Beer 25 pre-arb 38-0.9 0.2 -3.5
Ian Kennedy 37 FA-elig 57-1.0 4.8 -8.2
Cooper Hummel 27 – 66-1.0 0.5 -4.0

Key additions (new vs 2021)

PlayerfWAR
Corbin Carroll1.4
Emmanuel Rivera1.0
Alek Thomas0.8
Drey Jameson0.5
Stone Garrett0.5
Zach Davies0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2021)

Player2021 fWAR
Eduardo Escobar1.9
Taylor Clarke0.5
Asdrúbal Cabrera0.3
Stephen Vogt0.3
Jake Faria0.2
Joakim Soria0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

2022 payroll
$91.6M
2023 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2022, 2022–2028. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2022; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Madison Bumgarner3211.127$23.0MFREE AGENT
Nick Ahmed327.054$7.9MFREE AGENT
Mark Melancon3711.098$6.0MFREE AGENT
Dallas Keuchel3410.000$5.1MFREE AGENT
David Peralta347.120$4.9MFREE AGENT
Ian Kennedy3712.124$4.8MFREE AGENT
Zach Davies296.020$1.5MFREE AGENT
Noé Ramirez327.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Oliver Pérez4020.000$105kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Ketel Marte285.162$8.4MFREE AGENT
Merrill Kelly333.000$5.2MCLUBARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carson Kelly273.161$3.3MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Christian Walker313.124$2.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Caleb Smith304.077$2.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Luplow283.112$1.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luke Weaver284.112$1.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
J.B. Wendelken293.028$835kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Reyes Moronta294.000$230kARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Devenski315.164$135kFREE AGENT
Grayson Greiner293.041$100kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Keynan Middleton284.052$100kARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul Fry293.075$65kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wilmer Difo304.138$46kARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Davidson313.112$21kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (33)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Zac Gallen262.100$746kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Rojas281.152$731kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daulton Varsho251.128$722kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Mantiply311.049$717kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Humberto Castellanos240.158$714kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Geraldo Perdomo220.015$701kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Nelson250.076$685kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alek Thomas220.000$542kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake McCarthy240.038$529kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cooper Hummel270.000$523kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Herrera250.000$481kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Poppen281.016$406kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pavin Smith261.050$393kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Gilbert280.062$373kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sergio Alcántara250.168$275kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Ginkel281.139$246kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Seth Beer250.024$227kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Hager290.032$215kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Buddy Kennedy230.000$196kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Stone Garrett260.000$188kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tommy Henry240.000$185kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Frías240.016$165kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Taylor Widener272.000$162kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Corbin Martin261.044$155kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Edwin Uceta240.060$154kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yonny Hernández240.060$146kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Corbin Carroll210.000$142kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Holton260.000$138kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Emmanuel Rivera260.074$134kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryne Nelson240.000$115kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drey Jameson240.000$79kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Peacock280.141$33kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Ellis260.042$13kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Diamondbacks 2022; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.