RRosternomics
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Diamondbacks ARI

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GM: Mike Hazen

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.78× league · TAB +1.9
+1.9TAB — talent above budget15th/30
+5.4WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)9th/30
7.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars13th/30
-4.3dead WAR — sub-replacement drag12th/30
54%dead money %26th/30
0.519win %12th/30
33.0roster fWAR14th/30
+12surplus $M (value vs cost)9th/30
$119Mpayroll $M21st/30

2023: won pennant · 84–78. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFAlek Thomas 117GCorbin Carroll 44GDominic Fletcher 14G
LFLourdes Gurriel Jr. 95GCorbin Carroll 74GTommy Pham 71G
RFJake McCarthy 84GCorbin Carroll 64GPavin Smith 22G
SSGeraldo Perdomo 116GNick Ahmed 65GJordan Lawlar 13G
2BKetel Marte 145GGeraldo Perdomo 28GJace Peterson 21G
3BJace Peterson 112GEmmanuel Rivera 65GEvan Longoria 41G
1BChristian Walker 152GEmmanuel Rivera 12GPavin Smith 10G
STARTERSZac Gallen 5.2WARMerrill Kelly 3.2WARZach Davies 0.8WARTommy Henry 0.7WARRyne Nelson 0.7WAR
CGabriel Moreno 104GSeby Zavala 71GJose Herrera 40G
DHLourdes Gurriel Jr. 50GTommy Pham 44GPavin Smith 30G
BULLPEN★ Paul Sewald 34svScott McGough 14hPeter Strzelecki 14hMiguel Castro 13hKyle Nelson 11hKevin Ginkel 8hJosé Ruiz 1hJoe Mantiply 1h
CGabriel Moreno 104 · Seby Zavala 71 · Jose Herrera 40
1BChristian Walker 152 · Emmanuel Rivera 12 · Pavin Smith 10
2BKetel Marte 145 · Geraldo Perdomo 28 · Jace Peterson 21
3BJace Peterson 112 · Emmanuel Rivera 65 · Evan Longoria 41
SSGeraldo Perdomo 116 · Nick Ahmed 65 · Jordan Lawlar 13
LFLourdes Gurriel Jr. 95 · Corbin Carroll 74 · Tommy Pham 71
CFAlek Thomas 117 · Corbin Carroll 44 · Dominic Fletcher 14
RFJake McCarthy 84 · Corbin Carroll 64 · Pavin Smith 22
DHLourdes Gurriel Jr. 50 · Tommy Pham 44 · Pavin Smith 30
SPZac Gallen 5.2 · Merrill Kelly 3.2 · Zach Davies 0.8 · Tommy Henry 0.7 · Ryne Nelson 0.7
BP★ Paul Sewald 34 · Scott McGough 14 · Peter Strzelecki 14 · Miguel Castro 13 · Kyle Nelson 11 · Kevin Ginkel 8 · José Ruiz 1 · Joe Mantiply 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2023 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Corbin Carroll 22 pre-arb 1555.4 1.6 +19.6
Zac Gallen 27 arb 345.2 5.6 +14.9
Ketel Marte 29 FA-elig 1504.3 11.6 +5.6
Christian Walker 32 FA-elig 1573.9 6.5 +8.9
Merrill Kelly 34 arb 303.2 8.5 +4.1
Geraldo Perdomo 23 pre-arb 1442.3 0.7 +8.5
Gabriel Moreno 23 pre-arb 1112.3 0.7 +8.4
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 29 arb 1452.0 5.8 +2.1
Kevin Ginkel 29 arb 601.3 0.7 +4.3
Zach Davies 30 FA-elig 180.8 5.0 -1.8
Andrew Chafin↔ MIL 33 FA-elig 430.7 3.8 -0.9
Ryne Nelson 25 pre-arb 290.7 0.7 +2.2
Tommy Henry 25 pre-arb 170.7 0.6 +2.1
Dominic Fletcher 25 – 280.6 0.2 +2.0
Tommy Pham↔ NYM 35 FA-elig 500.5 2.3 -0.2
Brandon Pfaadt 24 – 190.3 0.4 +0.9
Emmanuel Rivera 27 pre-arb 860.3 0.5 +0.7
Alek Thomas 23 pre-arb 1250.3 0.7 +0.5
Slade Cecconi 24 – 70.3 0.2 +1.0
Evan Longoria 37 FA-elig 740.3 4.0 -3.0
Joe Mantiply 32 FA-elig 350.3 0.8 +0.3
Seby Zavala↔ CHW 29 arb 70.3 0.1 +1.0
Kyle Nelson 26 arb 680.2 0.7 +0.2
Tyler Gilbert 29 pre-arb 110.2 0.2 +0.7
Ryan Thompson↔ TBR 31 arb 130.2 0.4 +0.4
Miguel Castro 28 FA-elig 750.2 3.5 -2.7
Austin Adams 32 arb 240.2 0.5 +0.2
Andrew Saalfrank 25 – 100.1 0.1 +0.4
Nick Ahmed 33 FA-elig 720.1 10.4 -9.9
Jake McCarthy 25 pre-arb 990.1 0.7 -0.5
Nabil Crismatt↔ SDP 28 arb 10.1 0.1 +0.2
Carson Kelly↔ DET 28 FA-elig 330.0 2.7 -2.7
Anthony Misiewicz↔ DET 28 – 70.0 0.1 -0.1
Buddy Kennedy 24 – 10-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Diego Castillo 25 – 1-0.0 3.0 -3.0
Peter Strzelecki↔ MIL 28 pre-arb 1-0.0 0.0 -0.1
Drey Jameson 25 pre-arb 15-0.0 0.7 -0.9
Luis Frías 25 pre-arb 29-0.1 0.3 -0.6
Josh Rojas↔ SEA 29 arb 59-0.1 1.4 -1.7
Bryce Jarvis 25 – 11-0.1 0.2 -0.5
Scott McGough 33 FA-elig 63-0.1 2.5 -2.9
Dominic Canzone↔ SEA 25 – 15-0.1 0.1 -0.5
Carlos Vargas 23 pre-arb 5-0.1 0.1 -0.6
Paul Sewald↔ SEA 33 FA-elig 20-0.2 1.3 -1.9
Cole Sulser 33 arb 4-0.2 0.8 -1.5
Justin Martinez 21 – 10-0.2 0.1 -0.8
Jordan Lawlar 20 – 14-0.2 0.1 -0.8
Peter Solomon 26 pre-arb 5-0.2 0.1 -0.9
José Ruiz↔ CHW 28 FA-elig 34-0.2 0.8 -1.8
Madison Bumgarner 33 FA-elig 4-0.4 23.0 -24.6
Kyle Lewis 27 arb 16-0.5 1.6 -3.5
Jace Peterson↔ OAK 33 FA-elig 41-0.5 1.4 -3.3
Jose Herrera 26 pre-arb 43-0.5 0.7 -2.7
Pavin Smith 27 pre-arb 69-0.7 0.1 -2.9

Key additions (new vs 2022)

PlayerfWAR
Gabriel Moreno2.3
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.2.0
Andrew Chafin0.7
Dominic Fletcher0.6
Tommy Pham0.5
Brandon Pfaadt0.3

Key subtractions (gone from 2022)

Player2022 fWAR
Daulton Varsho4.3
David Peralta1.5
Stone Garrett0.5
Jordan Luplow0.4
Sergio Alcántara0.3
Luke Weaver0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

2023 payroll
$119.0M
2024 guaranteed
$3.6M

What the front office was committed to as of 2023, 2023–2029. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2023; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2023202420252026202720282029
Madison Bumgarner3314.000$23.0MFREE AGENT
Ketel Marte296.162$11.6MFREE AGENT
Nick Ahmed339.000$10.4MFREE AGENT
Zach Davies307.020$5.0MFREE AGENT
Evan Longoria3714.170$4.0MFREE AGENT
Andrew Chafin338.020$3.8MFREE AGENT
Miguel Castro286.079$3.5MFREE AGENT
Tommy Pham357.107$2.3MFREE AGENT
Corbin Carroll220.038$1.6M$3.6M$5.6M$10.6M$12.6M$14.6M$28.6M
Jace Peterson336.142$1.4MFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2023202420252026202720282029
Merrill Kelly344.000$8.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Christian Walker324.124$6.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.295.000$5.8MFREE AGENT
Zac Gallen273.100$5.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carson Kelly284.161$2.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul Sewald334.072$1.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
José Ruiz283.048$828kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cole Sulser333.028$825kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Adams324.015$519kARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Thompson313.000$419kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (34)

PlayerAgeSvc2023202420252026202720282029
Diego Castillo25–$3.0M
Scott McGough330.046$2.5MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Lewis272.146$1.6MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Rojas292.152$1.4MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Mantiply322.049$756kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Ginkel292.033$747kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Geraldo Perdomo231.015$739kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake McCarthy250.170$736kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alek Thomas230.151$735kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Nelson261.076$729kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Herrera260.124$724kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drey Jameson250.021$724kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryne Nelson250.031$723kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gabriel Moreno230.061$722kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tommy Henry250.049$619kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Emmanuel Rivera271.058$538kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Pfaadt240.000$372kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Frías250.067$302kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dominic Fletcher250.000$236kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Slade Cecconi240.000$166kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Gilbert290.161$163kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryce Jarvis250.000$151kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pavin Smith271.149$121kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Martinez210.000$116kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Saalfrank250.000$108kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Lawlar200.000$97kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anthony Misiewicz282.108$96kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nabil Crismatt282.033$94kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Peter Solomon260.029$93kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Buddy Kennedy240.053$74kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Seby Zavala291.045$70kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Vargas230.123$70kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dominic Canzone250.000$61kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Peter Strzelecki280.081$20kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Diamondbacks 2023; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.