RRosternomics
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Diamondbacks ARI

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GM: Mike Hazen

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.66× league · TAB -16.0
-16.0TAB — talent above budget30th/30
-24.6WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)30th/30
2.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars29th/30
-10.7dead WAR — sub-replacement drag29th/30
32%dead money %13th/30
0.321win %29th/30
13.1roster fWAR29th/30
-40surplus $M (value vs cost)21st/30
$84Mpayroll $M23rd/30

Roster

CFKetel Marte 71GPavin Smith 39GDaulton Varsho 30G
LFDavid Peralta 137GPavin Smith 22GJosh Rojas 18G
RFPavin Smith 53GKole Calhoun 39GJosh Rojas 37G
SSNick Ahmed 127GJosh Rojas 42GGeraldo Perdomo 10G
2BJosh Rojas 55GJosh VanMeter 52GEduardo Escobar 42G
3BJosh VanMeter 25GDrew Ellis 17GJosh Rojas 14G
1BChristian Walker 107GPavin Smith 54GWyatt Mathisen 13G
STARTERSMerrill Kelly 2.1WARMadison Bumgarner 1.6WARZac Gallen 1.6WARLuke Weaver 0.6WARTyler Gilbert 0.3WAR
CCarson Kelly 91GDaulton Varsho 41GBryan Holaday 10G
DHSeth Beer 3GKole Calhoun 3GAsdrúbal Cabrera 2G
BULLPEN★ Tyler Clippard 6svJoe Mantiply 11hNoé Ramirez 10hTaylor Clarke 7hKevin Ginkel 6hJ.B. Wendelken 6hStefan Crichton 5hBrett de Geus 3h
CCarson Kelly 91 · Daulton Varsho 41 · Bryan Holaday 10
1BChristian Walker 107 · Pavin Smith 54 · Wyatt Mathisen 13
2BJosh Rojas 55 · Josh VanMeter 52 · Eduardo Escobar 42
3BJosh VanMeter 25 · Drew Ellis 17 · Josh Rojas 14
SSNick Ahmed 127 · Josh Rojas 42 · Geraldo Perdomo 10
LFDavid Peralta 137 · Pavin Smith 22 · Josh Rojas 18
CFKetel Marte 71 · Pavin Smith 39 · Daulton Varsho 30
RFPavin Smith 53 · Kole Calhoun 39 · Josh Rojas 37
DHSeth Beer 3 · Kole Calhoun 3 · Asdrúbal Cabrera 2
SPMerrill Kelly 2.1 · Madison Bumgarner 1.6 · Zac Gallen 1.6 · Luke Weaver 0.6 · Tyler Gilbert 0.3
BP★ Tyler Clippard 6 · Joe Mantiply 11 · Noé Ramirez 10 · Taylor Clarke 7 · Kevin Ginkel 6 · J.B. Wendelken 6 · Stefan Crichton 5 · Brett de Geus 3

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2021 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Ketel Marte 27 FA-elig 902.4 6.4 +1.4
Merrill Kelly 32 pre-arb 272.1 4.2 +2.6
Eduardo Escobar↔ MIL 32 FA-elig 981.9 5.1 +1.0
Daulton Varsho 24 pre-arb 951.8 0.4 +5.4
Carson Kelly 26 arb 981.7 1.7 +4.0
Josh Rojas 27 pre-arb 1391.7 0.6 +5.1
Madison Bumgarner 31 FA-elig 281.6 19.0 -13.7
Zac Gallen 25 pre-arb 231.6 0.6 +4.5
Nick Ahmed 31 FA-elig 1291.5 7.9 -2.9
David Peralta 33 FA-elig 1501.4 7.5 -2.9
Joe Mantiply 30 pre-arb 570.7 0.4 +1.7
Pavin Smith 25 pre-arb 1450.7 0.6 +1.5
Luke Weaver 27 arb 130.6 1.9 -0.1
Noé Ramirez↔ ANA 31 arb 360.6 0.3 +1.6
Taylor Clarke 28 pre-arb 430.5 0.5 +1.2
Christian Walker 30 pre-arb 1150.4 0.6 +0.5
Tyler Gilbert 27 – 90.3 0.2 +0.9
Asdrúbal Cabrera↔ CIN 35 FA-elig 900.3 1.4 -0.3
Stephen Vogt↔ ATL 36 FA-elig 520.3 2.3 -1.2
Humberto Castellanos 23 pre-arb 140.3 0.2 +0.7
Jake Faria 27 – 240.2 0.3 +0.5
Jake McCarthy 23 – 240.2 0.1 +0.7
Sean Poppen↔ PIT 27 pre-arb 200.2 0.1 +0.6
Joakim Soria↔ TOR 37 FA-elig 310.2 2.6 -1.9
Geraldo Perdomo 21 – 110.2 0.0 +0.6
Seth Beer 24 – 50.1 0.1 +0.4
Miguel Aguilar 29 – 90.0 0.1 +0.1
Anthony Swarzak↔ KCR 35 FA-elig 6-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Humberto Mejía 24 pre-arb 5-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Caleb Smith 29 arb 45-0.0 1.4 -1.5
Matt Peacock 27 – 35-0.0 0.4 -0.6
J.B. Wendelken↔ OAK 28 pre-arb 20-0.0 0.3 -0.4
Luis Frías 23 – 3-0.1 0.0 -0.2
Stuart Fairchild 25 – 12-0.1 0.2 -0.5
Tyler Clippard 36 FA-elig 26-0.1 1.8 -2.2
Jordan Weems↔ OAK 28 pre-arb 2-0.2 0.0 -0.5
Yoan López 28 – 13-0.2 0.1 -0.6
Stefan Crichton 29 pre-arb 31-0.2 0.3 -0.8
Jake Hager↔ NYM 28 – 9-0.2 0.0 -0.6
Keury Mella 27 – 2-0.2 0.0 -0.6
Josh VanMeter 26 pre-arb 112-0.2 0.5 -1.1
Chris Devenski 30 arb 8-0.2 1.0 -1.7
Andrew Young 27 – 58-0.2 – –
Henry Ramos 29 – 18-0.2 0.1 -0.8
Seth Frankoff 32 – 4-0.3 0.3 -1.1
Riley Smith 26 pre-arb 24-0.3 0.4 -1.2
J.B. Bukauskas 24 – 21-0.3 0.3 -1.2
Kole Calhoun 33 FA-elig 51-0.3 8.0 -9.0
Brett de Geus↔ TEX 23 – 28-0.3 0.2 -1.1
Nick Heath 27 pre-arb 20-0.3 0.1 -1.1
Taylor Widener 26 pre-arb 23-0.3 0.6 -1.6
Bryan Holaday 33 FA-elig 13-0.3 0.1 -1.1
Jon Duplantier 26 pre-arb 4-0.4 0.6 -1.8
Ildemaro Vargas↔ CHC 29 pre-arb 18-0.4 0.1 -1.3
Wyatt Mathisen 27 – 23-0.4 0.1 -1.4
Kevin Ginkel 27 pre-arb 32-0.4 0.3 -1.7
Brandyn Sittinger 27 – 5-0.5 0.0 -1.6
Corbin Martin 25 pre-arb 5-0.5 0.1 -1.7
Domingo Leyba↔ BAL 25 – 13-0.5 0.0 -1.7
Ryan Buchter 34 FA-elig 18-0.5 0.1 -1.7
Josh Reddick 34 – 54-0.5 0.3 -2.0
Tim Locastro↔ NYY 28 – 55-0.6 0.3 -2.1
Drew Ellis 25 – 28-0.6 0.1 -2.2
Alex Young↔ CLE 27 – 30-0.9 0.2 -3.3

Key additions (new vs 2020)

PlayerfWAR
Noé Ramirez0.6
Tyler Gilbert0.3
Asdrúbal Cabrera0.3
Humberto Castellanos0.3
Jake Faria0.2
Jake McCarthy0.2

Key subtractions (gone from 2020)

Player2020 fWAR
Starling Marte0.9
Archie Bradley0.5
Artie Lewicki0.1
Junior Guerra0.1
Andrew Chafin0.0
Jeremy Beasley0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

2021 payroll
$83.8M
2022 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2021, 2021–2027. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2021; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2021202220232024202520262027
Madison Bumgarner3110.127$19.0MFREE AGENT
Kole Calhoun337.130$8.0MFREE AGENT
Nick Ahmed316.054$7.9MFREE AGENT
David Peralta336.120$7.5MFREE AGENT
Eduardo Escobar328.128$5.1MFREE AGENT
Joakim Soria3714.000$2.6MFREE AGENT
Stephen Vogt367.064$2.3MFREE AGENT
Tyler Clippard3611.134$1.8MFREE AGENT
Asdrúbal Cabrera3513.027$1.4MFREE AGENT
Josh Reddick3410.050$310kFREE AGENT
Bryan Holaday339.000$100kFREE AGENT
Ryan Buchter347.000$100kFREE AGENT
Anthony Swarzak3512.000$74kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (6)

PlayerAgeSvc2021202220232024202520262027
Ketel Marte274.162$6.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Luke Weaver273.112$1.9MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Caleb Smith293.077$1.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Devenski305.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Noé Ramirez313.139$311kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Faria273.107$282kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (45)

PlayerAgeSvc2021202220232024202520262027
Merrill Kelly322.000$4.2MCLUBARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carson Kelly262.161$1.7MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Christian Walker302.124$619kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zac Gallen251.100$608kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pavin Smith250.050$587kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Rojas270.152$582kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jon Duplantier260.095$570kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Taylor Widener261.000$552kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Taylor Clarke281.120$514kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh VanMeter261.076$496kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Peacock270.000$436kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Mantiply300.061$432kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daulton Varsho240.167$406kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Riley Smith260.097$388kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.B. Bukauskas240.000$313kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Ginkel271.023$312kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Seth Frankoff321.002$282kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Stefan Crichton291.115$269kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Locastro282.010$256kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.B. Wendelken282.028$252kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Young271.095$246kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Humberto Castellanos230.092$215kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Gilbert270.000$187kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brett de Geus230.000$181kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Stuart Fairchild250.000$150kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Ellis250.000$129kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Poppen270.119$120kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wyatt Mathisen27–$114k
Jake McCarthy230.000$113kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yoan López282.011$109kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Heath270.142$104kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Henry Ramos290.000$86kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Seth Beer240.000$71kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Corbin Martin251.023$64kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Humberto Mejía240.033$61kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel Aguilar29–$58k
Ildemaro Vargas292.028$50kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Frías230.000$46kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Domingo Leyba251.042$43kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Hager280.000$43kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Geraldo Perdomo210.000$43kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandyn Sittinger27–$40k
Jordan Weems280.161$24kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Keury Mella270.170$9kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Young27–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Diamondbacks 2021; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.