RRosternomics
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Diamondbacks ARI

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GM: Kevin Towers

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.86× league · TAB -3.8
-3.8TAB — talent above budget20th/30
+1.1WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)14th/30
4.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars23rd/30
-4.1dead WAR — sub-replacement drag9th/30
52%dead money %27th/30
0.500win %16th/30
28.5roster fWAR20th/30
-12surplus $M (value vs cost)18th/30
$89Mpayroll $M16th/30

Roster

CFAJ Pollock 110GGerardo Parra 33GAdam Eaton 30G
LFCody Ross 46GAdam Eaton 35GMartín Prado 30G
RFGerardo Parra 123GCody Ross 44GAdam Eaton 4G
SSDidi Gregorius 100GCliff Pennington 51GChris Owings 13G
2BAaron Hill 84GMartín Prado 32GCliff Pennington 29G
3BMartín Prado 113GEric Chavez 52GMatt Davidson 20G
1BPaul Goldschmidt 159GEric Chavez 6GEric Hinske 6G
STARTERSPatrick Corbin 3.3WARWade Miley 1.7WARBrandon McCarthy 1.3WARTrevor Cahill 0.4WARRandall Delgado 0.1WAR
CMiguel Montero 112GWil Nieves 47GTuffy Gosewisch 13G
DHEric Chavez 4GAdam Eaton 1GEric Hinske 1G
BULLPEN★ Heath Bell 15svJoe Thatcher 15hDavid Hernandez 15hBrad Ziegler 11hJ.J. Putz 6hJosh Collmenter 5hWill Harris 4hTony Sipp 3h
CMiguel Montero 112 · Wil Nieves 47 · Tuffy Gosewisch 13
1BPaul Goldschmidt 159 · Eric Chavez 6 · Eric Hinske 6
2BAaron Hill 84 · Martín Prado 32 · Cliff Pennington 29
3BMartín Prado 113 · Eric Chavez 52 · Matt Davidson 20
SSDidi Gregorius 100 · Cliff Pennington 51 · Chris Owings 13
LFCody Ross 46 · Adam Eaton 35 · Martín Prado 30
CFAJ Pollock 110 · Gerardo Parra 33 · Adam Eaton 30
RFGerardo Parra 123 · Cody Ross 44 · Adam Eaton 4
DHEric Chavez 4 · Adam Eaton 1 · Eric Hinske 1
SPPatrick Corbin 3.3 · Wade Miley 1.7 · Brandon McCarthy 1.3 · Trevor Cahill 0.4 · Randall Delgado 0.1
BP★ Heath Bell 15 · Joe Thatcher 15 · David Hernandez 15 · Brad Ziegler 11 · J.J. Putz 6 · Josh Collmenter 5 · Will Harris 4 · Tony Sipp 3

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2013 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Paul Goldschmidt 25 pre-arb 1606.0 0.5 +15.6
Patrick Corbin 23 pre-arb 333.3 0.5 +8.4
Gerardo Parra 26 arb 1563.3 2.4 +6.5
AJ Pollock 25 pre-arb 1372.3 0.5 +5.6
Aaron Hill 31 FA-elig 872.0 5.5 -0.3
Wade Miley 26 pre-arb 341.7 0.5 +4.0
Miguel Montero 29 FA-elig 1161.7 10.0 -5.5
Cody Ross 32 FA-elig 941.6 6.0 -1.7
Didi Gregorius 23 pre-arb 1031.5 0.5 +3.5
Brandon McCarthy 29 FA-elig 221.3 5.2 -1.8
Martín Prado 29 FA-elig 1551.2 7.0 -3.7
Eric Chavez 35 FA-elig 801.0 3.0 -0.3
Josh Collmenter 27 pre-arb 490.9 0.5 +1.9
Will Harris 28 pre-arb 610.8 0.4 +1.7
Brad Ziegler 33 arb 780.5 3.1 -1.9
Ian Kennedy↔ SDP 28 FA-elig 220.4 2.9 -1.8
Wil Nieves 35 FA-elig 710.4 0.8 +0.3
Matt Reynolds 28 arb 300.4 0.5 +0.5
Trevor Cahill 25 arb 260.4 5.5 -4.5
Cliff Pennington 29 arb 960.4 1.8 -0.7
Matt Davidson 22 – 310.3 0.1 +0.8
Adam Eaton 24 pre-arb 660.3 0.5 +0.3
Willie Bloomquist 35 FA-elig 480.3 1.9 -1.1
Tony Campana 27 pre-arb 290.3 0.5 +0.2
Chris Owings 21 – 200.2 0.1 +0.4
Randall Delgado 23 pre-arb 210.1 0.3 -0.1
Charles Brewer 25 pre-arb 40.1 0.0 +0.2
J.J. Putz 36 FA-elig 400.1 6.5 -6.4
Tyler Skaggs 21 pre-arb 70.0 0.1 +0.1
Joe Paterson 27 pre-arb 2-0.0 0.0 -0.1
David Holmberg 21 – 1-0.1 0.0 -0.1
Matt Langwell↔ CLE 27 – 8-0.1 – –
Josh Wilson 32 FA-elig 30-0.1 0.7 -1.0
Heath Bell 35 FA-elig 69-0.1 9.0 -9.4
Joe Thatcher↔ SDP 31 FA-elig 22-0.1 0.4 -0.8
Chaz Roe 26 – 21-0.2 0.1 -0.5
Eric Hinske 35 FA-elig 52-0.2 1.4 -1.9
Zeke Spruill 23 – 6-0.2 0.1 -0.7
Tony Sipp 29 arb 56-0.3 1.3 -2.0
David Hernandez 28 arb 62-0.3 1.2 -2.2
Tuffy Gosewisch 29 – 14-0.4 0.1 -1.1
Alfredo Marte 24 pre-arb 22-0.4 0.5 -1.5
Eury De La Rosa 23 – 19-0.4 0.2 -1.4
Jason Kubel↔ CLE 31 FA-elig 89-1.1 6.9 -9.9

Key additions (new vs 2012)

PlayerfWAR
Cody Ross1.6
Didi Gregorius1.5
Brandon McCarthy1.3
Martín Prado1.2
Eric Chavez1.0
Will Harris0.8

Key subtractions (gone from 2012)

Player2012 fWAR
Justin Upton2.6
Chris Young1.8
Joe Saunders1.1
Cody Ransom1.0
Chris Johnson0.7
John McDonald0.5

Current & Historical Payroll

2013 payroll
$88.9M

What the front office was committed to as of 2013, 2013–2019. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2013201420152016201720182019
Miguel Montero296.031$10.0M$10.0MFREE AGENT
Heath Bell357.099$9.0MFREE AGENT
Jason Kubel318.009$6.9MFREE AGENT
J.J. Putz369.022$6.5M$7.0MFREE AGENT
Cody Ross327.058$6.0M$9.5MFREE AGENT
Aaron Hill317.136$5.5M$11.0M$12.0MFREE AGENT
Brandon McCarthy296.122$5.2M$5.8MFREE AGENT
Eric Chavez3514.020$3.0M$3.5MFREE AGENT
Willie Bloomquist3510.027$1.9MFREE AGENT
Eric Hinske3511.000$1.4MFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2013201420152016201720182019
Martín Prado295.105$7.0MFREE AGENT
Trevor Cahill254.000$5.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Ziegler334.122$3.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Ian Kennedy283.124$2.9MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gerardo Parra263.145$2.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cliff Pennington293.114$1.8MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Sipp293.138$1.3MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Hernandez283.105$1.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wil Nieves355.127$800kFREE AGENT
Josh Wilson324.031$650kARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Reynolds283.000$505kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Thatcher314.068$413kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (22)

PlayerAgeSvc2013201420152016201720182019
Josh Collmenter272.000$504kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wade Miley261.044$500kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul Goldschmidt251.059$500kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Campana271.105$498kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Patrick Corbin230.105$494kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Didi Gregorius230.033$491kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
AJ Pollock250.052$491kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Eaton240.030$491kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alfredo Marte240.135$490kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Will Harris280.054$388kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Randall Delgado230.165$292kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eury De La Rosa23–$163k
Tuffy Gosewisch290.000$142kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Davidson220.000$134kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chaz Roe260.000$134kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Owings210.000$75kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Skaggs210.043$56kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zeke Spruill230.000$51kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Paterson271.035$38kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Charles Brewer250.014$32kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Holmberg210.000$3kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Langwell27–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Diamondbacks 2013; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.