RRosternomics

Diamondbacks ARI

GM: Josh Byrnes

Overview

WINDOW → steady
cheap & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.82× league · TAB +1.0
+1.0TAB — talent above budget13th/30
+2.6WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)12th/30
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars16th/30
-5.2dead WAR — sub-replacement drag17th/30
28%dead money %9th/30
0.506win %16th/30
32.9roster fWAR17th/30
+3surplus $M (value vs cost)8th/30
$72Mpayroll $M16th/30

Roster

CFChris Young 159GJeff Salazar 4GAlex Romero 2G
LFAdam Dunn 119GConor Jackson 77GEric Byrnes 51G
RFJustin Upton 101GAlex Romero 38GAdam Dunn 23G
SSStephen Drew 151GAugie Ojeda 22GChris Burke 2G
2BOrlando Hudson 105GAugie Ojeda 44GDavid Eckstein 24G
3BMark Reynolds 150GAugie Ojeda 28GChris Burke 4G
1BConor Jackson 68GChad Tracy 65GTony Clark 26G
STARTERSDan Haren 6.5WARBrandon Webb 5.4WARRandy Johnson 3.6WARDoug Davis 1.9WARMicah Owings 1.8WAR
CChris Snyder 112GMiguel Montero 53GRobby Hammock 15G
DHChad Tracy 5GChris Burke 1GOrlando Hudson 1G
BULLPEN Brandon Lyon 26svRamon Pena 23hChad Qualls 22hJuan Cruz 8hJon Rauch 6hDoug Slaten 4hLeo Rosales 1hBrandon Medders 0h
CChris Snyder 112 · Miguel Montero 53 · Robby Hammock 15
1BConor Jackson 68 · Chad Tracy 65 · Tony Clark 26
2BOrlando Hudson 105 · Augie Ojeda 44 · David Eckstein 24
3BMark Reynolds 150 · Augie Ojeda 28 · Chris Burke 4
SSStephen Drew 151 · Augie Ojeda 22 · Chris Burke 2
LFAdam Dunn 119 · Conor Jackson 77 · Eric Byrnes 51
CFChris Young 159 · Jeff Salazar 4 · Alex Romero 2
RFJustin Upton 101 · Alex Romero 38 · Adam Dunn 23
DHChad Tracy 5 · Chris Burke 1 · Orlando Hudson 1
SPDan Haren 6.5 · Brandon Webb 5.4 · Randy Johnson 3.6 · Doug Davis 1.9 · Micah Owings 1.8
BP Brandon Lyon 26 · Ramon Pena 23 · Chad Qualls 22 · Juan Cruz 8 · Jon Rauch 6 · Doug Slaten 4 · Leo Rosales 1 · Brandon Medders 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2008 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Dan Haren 27 arb 346.5 4.0 +10.8
Brandon Webb 29 arb 345.4 5.5 +6.8
Randy Johnson 44 FA-elig 303.6 15.1 -7.0
Conor Jackson 26 arb 1442.9 0.4 +6.1
Chris Young 24 pre-arb 1602.3 0.4 +4.7
Chris Snyder 27 arb 1152.1 1.9 +3.0
Doug Davis 32 FA-elig 261.9 7.8 -3.4
Stephen Drew 25 pre-arb 1521.9 1.5 +2.8
Chad Qualls 29 arb 771.8 1.3 +2.8
Micah Owings↔ CIN 25 pre-arb 361.8 0.4 +3.7
Orlando Hudson 30 FA-elig 1071.3 6.2 -3.3
Mark Reynolds 24 pre-arb 1521.3 0.4 +2.5
Miguel Montero 24 pre-arb 701.1 0.4 +2.2
Ramon Pena 26 pre-arb 721.0 0.4 +1.9
Max Scherzer 23 170.9 0.9 +1.2
Brandon Lyon 28 FA-elig 610.7 3.1 -1.5
Justin Upton 20 pre-arb 1080.6 0.4 +0.9
Juan Cruz 29 FA-elig 570.5 1.9 -0.8
Augie Ojeda 33 FA-elig 1050.4 0.6 +0.3
Josh Whitesell 26 70.1
Leo Rosales 27 270.1
Jailen Peguero 27 70.1
Wilfredo Ledezma↔ SDP 27 arb 30.0 0.1 +0.0
Adam Dunn↔ CIN 28 FA-elig 44-0.1 3.6 -3.8
Connor Robertson 26 6-0.1
Billy Buckner 24 10-0.1
Brandon Medders 28 arb 18-0.1 0.4 -0.6
Robby Hammock 31 arb 18-0.1 0.4 -0.6
Yusmeiro Petit 23 pre-arb 19-0.1 0.4 -0.6
Emilio Bonifácio↔ WSN 23 8-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Edgar Gonzalez 25 arb 17-0.2 0.4 -0.8
David Eckstein↔ TOR 33 FA-elig 18-0.2 0.9 -1.3
Tony Clark↔ SDP 36 FA-elig 38-0.2 0.3 -0.7
Doug Slaten 28 pre-arb 45-0.2 0.4 -0.9
Jeff Salazar 27 pre-arb 90-0.2 0.4 -0.9
Jamie D'Antona 26 18-0.3
Chris Burke 28 arb 86-0.3 1.0 -1.6
Jon Rauch↔ WSN 29 FA-elig 26-0.4 0.4 -1.2
Chad Tracy 28 arb 88-0.6 4.0 -5.4
Eric Byrnes 32 FA-elig 52-1.0 6.7 -9.1
Alex Romero 24 pre-arb 78-1.1 0.4 -2.8

Key additions (new vs 2007)

PlayerfWAR
Dan Haren6.5
Chad Qualls1.8
Max Scherzer0.9
Josh Whitesell0.1
Leo Rosales0.1
Wilfredo Ledezma0.0

Key subtractions (gone from 2007)

Player2007 fWAR
Jose Valverde1.4
Scott Hairston0.5
Livan Hernandez0.3
Dustin Nippert0.2
Bob Wickman0.1
Mike Schultz0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

2008 payroll
$72.5M

What the front office was committed to as of 2008, 2008–2014. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2008200920102011201220132014
Randy Johnson4420.000$15.1MFREE AGENT
Doug Davis329.000$7.8M$8.8MFREE AGENT
Eric Byrnes328.000$6.7M$11.7MFREE AGENT
Orlando Hudson306.000$6.2MFREE AGENT
Adam Dunn287.000$3.6MFREE AGENT
Brandon Lyon287.000$3.1MFREE AGENT
Juan Cruz297.000$1.9MFREE AGENT
David Eckstein337.000$862kFREE AGENT
Augie Ojeda338.000$550k$712k$825kFREE AGENT
Jon Rauch296.000$422k$2.0MFREE AGENT
Tony Clark3613.000$317k$800kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2008200920102011201220132014
Brandon Webb295.000$5.5MFREE AGENT
Dan Haren275.000$4.0MFREE AGENT
Chad Tracy284.000$4.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Snyder274.000$1.9MARB 3FREE AGENT
Chad Qualls294.000$1.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Burke284.000$955kARB 3FREE AGENT
Conor Jackson263.000$420kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Edgar Gonzalez255.000$411kFREE AGENT
Brandon Medders283.000$410kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robby Hammock315.000$410kFREE AGENT
Wilfredo Ledezma275.000$66kFREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (19)

PlayerAgeSvc2008200920102011201220132014
Stephen Drew252.000$1.5MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Max Scherzer230.000$950kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Young242.000$406kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ramon Pena262.000$406kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Doug Slaten282.000$400kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel Montero242.000$400kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Reynolds241.000$396kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yusmeiro Petit232.000$394kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Upton201.000$393kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Salazar272.000$393kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Romero240.000$390kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Micah Owings251.000$362kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Emilio Bonifácio231.000$64kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Billy Buckner241.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Whitesell260.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Leo Rosales270.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Connor Robertson26
Jamie D'Antona26
Jailen Peguero27

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Diamondbacks 2008; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3