RRosternomics

Angels ANA

GM: Billy Eppler

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↗ rising
expensive & losing · year 4 in this regime · payroll 1.3× league · TAB -5.0
-5.0TAB — talent above budget22nd/30
-5.4WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)19th/30
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars16th/30
-7.6dead WAR — sub-replacement drag25th/30
46%dead money %23rd/30
0.494win %17th/30
32.5roster fWAR16th/30
-59surplus $M (value vs cost)26th/30
$170Mpayroll $M6th/30

Roster

CFMike Trout 125GEric Young Jr. 24GChris Young 17G
LFJustin Upton 140GChris Young 13GEric Young Jr. 13G
RFKole Calhoun 136GChris Young 20GJabari Blash 14G
SSAndrelton Simmons 145GZack Cozart 15GDavid Fletcher 7G
2BDavid Fletcher 43GZack Cozart 16GKaleb Cowart 14G
3BLuis Valbuena 57GTaylor Ward 40GZack Cozart 35G
1BJefry Marte 71GAlbert Pujols 70GLuis Valbuena 39G
STARTERSShohei Ohtani 3.8WARAndrew Heaney 2.9WARTyler Skaggs 2.4WARJaime Barria 1.4WARFélix Peña 1.4WAR
CJosé Briceño 41GFrancisco Arcia 34GJoe Hudson 8G
DHShohei Ohtani 82GAlbert Pujols 47GMike Trout 15G
BULLPEN Blake Parker 14svJustin Anderson 22hJose Alvarez 14hCam Bedrosian 11hHansel Robles 9hJim Johnson 8hNoé Ramirez 6hJunichi Tazawa 2h
CJosé Briceño 41 · Francisco Arcia 34 · Joe Hudson 8
1BJefry Marte 71 · Albert Pujols 70 · Luis Valbuena 39
2BDavid Fletcher 43 · Zack Cozart 16 · Kaleb Cowart 14
3BLuis Valbuena 57 · Taylor Ward 40 · Zack Cozart 35
SSAndrelton Simmons 145 · Zack Cozart 15 · David Fletcher 7
LFJustin Upton 140 · Chris Young 13 · Eric Young Jr. 13
CFMike Trout 125 · Eric Young Jr. 24 · Chris Young 17
RFKole Calhoun 136 · Chris Young 20 · Jabari Blash 14
DHShohei Ohtani 82 · Albert Pujols 47 · Mike Trout 15
SPShohei Ohtani 3.8 · Andrew Heaney 2.9 · Tyler Skaggs 2.4 · Jaime Barria 1.4 · Félix Peña 1.4
BP Blake Parker 14 · Justin Anderson 22 · Jose Alvarez 14 · Cam Bedrosian 11 · Hansel Robles 9 · Jim Johnson 8 · Noé Ramirez 6 · Junichi Tazawa 2

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2018 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Mike Trout 26 FA-elig 1409.4 34.1 -2.0
Andrelton Simmons 28 FA-elig 1464.3 11.0 +3.8
Shohei Ohtani 23 pre-arb 1143.8 0.5 +12.4
Andrew Heaney 27 arb 302.9 0.8 +9.0
Justin Upton 30 FA-elig 1452.7 16.0 -6.9
Tyler Skaggs 26 FA-elig 242.4 1.9 +6.4
Ian Kinsler↔ BOS 36 FA-elig 911.5 7.8 -2.7
David Fletcher 24 801.5 0.3 +4.8
Jaime Barria 21 261.4 0.4 +4.3
Félix Peña 28 pre-arb 191.4 0.3 +4.3
Martín Maldonado↔ HOU 31 FA-elig 781.3 2.6 +1.9
Jose Alvarez 29 arb 761.2 1.1 +3.2
Garrett Richards 30 FA-elig 161.0 7.3 -3.8
Ty Buttrey 25 160.8 0.1 +2.6
Matt Shoemaker 31 arb 70.7 4.1 -1.9
René Rivera↔ ATL 34 FA-elig 300.6 2.5 -0.4
Hansel Robles↔ NYM 27 arb 370.6 0.6 +1.3
Justin Anderson 25 570.5 0.5 +1.3
Taylor Cole 28 pre-arb 180.5 0.2 +1.3
José Briceño 25 460.4 0.3 +1.1
Cam Bedrosian 26 arb 710.3 1.1 -0.0
Kole Calhoun 30 FA-elig 1370.3 8.5 -7.6
Keynan Middleton 24 pre-arb 160.2 0.6 +0.2
Ryan Schimpf 30 50.1 0.0 +0.4
Juan Graterol↔ MIN 29 10.1 0.0 +0.4
Blake Parker 33 FA-elig 670.1 1.8 -1.5
Eric Young Jr. 33 410.0 0.2 -0.1
José Miguel Fernández 30 360.0 0.2 -0.1
Ian Krol 27 10.0 0.0 +0.1
Osmer Morales 25 10.0 0.0 +0.0
Oliver Drake↔ CLE 31 arb 80.0 0.1 -0.1
Miguel Almonte 25 pre-arb 8-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Blake Wood 32 FA-elig 13-0.0 1.4 -1.5
Junichi Tazawa↔ MIA 32 FA-elig 9-0.0 2.0 -2.2
Joe Hudson 27 8-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Nick Tropeano 27 pre-arb 14-0.0 0.5 -0.6
Nolan Fontana 27 8-0.0 0.0 -0.2
Jake Jewell 25 3-0.1 0.3 -0.5
Noé Ramirez 28 arb 69-0.1 0.5 -0.7
Odrisamer Despaigne↔ MIA 31 arb 8-0.1 0.5 -0.7
Michael Hermosillo 23 31-0.1 0.2 -0.4
Chris Young 34 FA-elig 56-0.1 2.0 -2.4
Williams Jerez 26 17-0.1 0.1 -0.5
Jim Johnson 35 FA-elig 62-0.2 5.0 -5.7
Sherman Johnson 27 10-0.2 0.0 -0.7
John Lamb 27 pre-arb 3-0.2 0.3 -1.0
Akeel Morris 25 pre-arb 9-0.2 0.0 -0.7
Zack Cozart 32 FA-elig 58-0.2 12.7 -13.4
Luke Bard 27 pre-arb 8-0.2 0.5 -1.4
Eduardo Paredes 23 pre-arb 14-0.3 0.1 -1.2
JC Ramírez 29 arb 2-0.3 1.9 -3.1
Taylor Ward 24 40-0.4 0.1 -1.4
Francisco Arcia 28 41-0.4 0.2 -1.4
Parker Bridwell 26 pre-arb 5-0.4 0.1 -1.5
Albert Pujols 38 FA-elig 117-0.4 27.0 -28.5
Jabari Blash 28 pre-arb 24-0.6 0.2 -2.1
Deck McGuire↔ TOR 29 pre-arb 17-0.6 0.1 -2.2
Kaleb Cowart 26 pre-arb 47-0.7 0.2 -2.7
Luis Valbuena 32 FA-elig 96-0.8 8.0 -10.7
Jefry Marte 27 arb 90-0.8 0.6 -3.3

Key additions (new vs 2017)

PlayerfWAR
Shohei Ohtani3.8
Ian Kinsler1.5
David Fletcher1.5
Jaime Barria1.4
Félix Peña1.4
Ty Buttrey0.8

Key subtractions (gone from 2017)

Player2017 fWAR
Yusmeiro Petit2.1
Cameron Maybin1.4
C.J. Cron1.0
David Hernandez1.0
Yunel Escobar0.8
Bud Norris0.6

Current & Historical Payroll

2018 payroll
$169.9M
2019 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2018, 2018–2024. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2018; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2018201920202021202220232024
Mike Trout266.070$34.1MFREE AGENT
Albert Pujols3817.000$27.0MFREE AGENT
Justin Upton3010.060$16.0MFREE AGENT
Zack Cozart326.084$12.7MFREE AGENT
Luis Valbuena3210.000$8.0MFREE AGENT
Ian Kinsler3612.000$7.8MFREE AGENT
Jim Johnson359.161$5.0MFREE AGENT
René Rivera346.070$2.5MFREE AGENT
Junichi Tazawa327.086$2.0MFREE AGENT
Chris Young3411.074$2.0MFREE AGENT
Eric Young Jr.339.000$193kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2018201920202021202220232024
Andrelton Simmons285.125$11.0MFREE AGENT
Kole Calhoun304.130$8.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Garrett Richards305.148$7.3MFREE AGENT
Matt Shoemaker313.166$4.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Martín Maldonado315.156$2.6MFREE AGENT
Tyler Skaggs263.135$1.9MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Blake Parker333.036$1.8MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Blake Wood325.131$1.4MFREE AGENT
Jose Alvarez293.035$1.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ian Krol273.149$26kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (39)

PlayerAgeSvc2018201920202021202220232024
JC Ramírez292.139$1.9MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cam Bedrosian262.153$1.1MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Heaney272.150$800kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hansel Robles272.129$628kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jefry Marte271.146$559kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Keynan Middleton240.150$551kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Noé Ramirez280.139$548kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luke Bard270.000$545kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shohei Ohtani230.000$545kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Tropeano272.068$504kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Anderson250.000$475kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Odrisamer Despaigne312.075$459kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jaime Barria210.000$398kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Briceño250.000$349kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Félix Peña280.132$346kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Fletcher240.000$325kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Lamb270.160$314kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Jewell250.000$296kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kaleb Cowart260.170$243kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Taylor Cole280.013$205kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Francisco Arcia28$196k
José Miguel Fernández30$170k
Jabari Blash281.023$167kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Hermosillo230.000$164kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Taylor Ward240.000$144kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ty Buttrey250.000$135kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Williams Jerez260.000$135kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Deck McGuire290.018$130kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eduardo Paredes230.070$108kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Oliver Drake311.094$101kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel Almonte250.129$94kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Hudson270.000$79kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Parker Bridwell260.104$70kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nolan Fontana271.040$44kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sherman Johnson27$38k
Akeel Morris250.031$21kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Schimpf302.008$18kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Osmer Morales25$15k
Juan Graterol291.031$7kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Angels 2018; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3