RRosternomics

Angels ANA

GM: Billy Eppler

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↘ cooling
expensive & losing · year 3 in this regime · payroll 1.16× league · TAB -8.4
-8.4TAB — talent above budget22nd/30
-3.9WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)19th/30
4.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars24th/30
-6.5dead WAR — sub-replacement drag20th/30
47%dead money %20th/30
0.494win %13th/30
27.7roster fWAR17th/30
-58surplus $M (value vs cost)24th/30
$152Mpayroll $M11th/30

Roster

CFMike Trout 108GEric Young Jr. 15GBen Revere 6G
LFJustin Upton 151GBen Revere 78GEric Young Jr. 22G
RFKole Calhoun 154GShane Robinson 8GRamón Flores 3G
SSAndrelton Simmons 158GCliff Pennington 18G
2BBrandon Phillips 112GCliff Pennington 47GKaleb Cowart 30G
3BYunel Escobar 87GLuis Valbuena 59GKaleb Cowart 24G
1BC.J. Cron 98GLuis Valbuena 48GJefry Marte 28G
STARTERSParker Bridwell 1.0WARGarrett Richards 0.9WARAlex Meyer 0.9WARJC Ramírez 0.9WARTyler Skaggs 0.8WAR
CMartín Maldonado 137GJuan Graterol 47GCarlos Pérez 10G
DHAlbert Pujols 143GMike Trout 6GBen Revere 3G
BULLPEN Bud Norris 19svBlake Parker 15hYusmeiro Petit 15hJose Alvarez 13hFernando Salas 12hKeynan Middleton 10hCam Bedrosian 10hBlake Wood 4h
CMartín Maldonado 137 · Juan Graterol 47 · Carlos Pérez 10
1BC.J. Cron 98 · Luis Valbuena 48 · Jefry Marte 28
2BBrandon Phillips 112 · Cliff Pennington 47 · Kaleb Cowart 30
3BYunel Escobar 87 · Luis Valbuena 59 · Kaleb Cowart 24
SSAndrelton Simmons 158 · Cliff Pennington 18
LFJustin Upton 151 · Ben Revere 78 · Eric Young Jr. 22
CFMike Trout 108 · Eric Young Jr. 15 · Ben Revere 6
RFKole Calhoun 154 · Shane Robinson 8 · Ramón Flores 3
DHAlbert Pujols 143 · Mike Trout 6 · Ben Revere 3
SPParker Bridwell 1.0 · Garrett Richards 0.9 · Alex Meyer 0.9 · JC Ramírez 0.9 · Tyler Skaggs 0.8
BP Bud Norris 19 · Blake Parker 15 · Yusmeiro Petit 15 · Jose Alvarez 13 · Fernando Salas 12 · Keynan Middleton 10 · Cam Bedrosian 10 · Blake Wood 4

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2017 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Mike Trout 25 FA-elig 1146.8 20.1 +2.8
Andrelton Simmons 27 arb 1584.8 8.0 +8.1
Martín Maldonado 30 FA-elig 1383.3 1.7 +9.2
Yusmeiro Petit 32 FA-elig 602.1 2.2 +4.7
Blake Parker 32 arb 711.5 0.6 +4.7
Cameron Maybin↔ HOU 30 FA-elig 931.4 7.3 -2.5
Kole Calhoun 29 arb 1551.2 6.0 -1.9
C.J. Cron 27 arb 1001.0 0.6 +2.9
David Hernandez↔ ARI 32 FA-elig 381.0 0.3 +3.0
Parker Bridwell 25 pre-arb 211.0 0.2 +3.0
JC Ramírez 28 arb 270.9 0.6 +2.7
Alex Meyer 27 pre-arb 130.9 0.4 +2.7
Garrett Richards 29 FA-elig 60.9 6.8 -3.7
Yunel Escobar 34 FA-elig 890.8 7.0 -4.2
Tyler Skaggs 25 arb 160.8 0.6 +2.2
Eric Young Jr. 32 470.7 0.2 +2.0
Ricky Nolasco 34 FA-elig 330.6 12.0 -9.8
Justin Upton↔ DET 29 FA-elig 270.6 3.9 -1.9
Cam Bedrosian 25 arb 480.6 0.6 +1.4
Bud Norris 32 FA-elig 600.6 1.8 +0.2
Jose Alvarez 28 arb 640.4 0.6 +0.6
Luis Valbuena 31 FA-elig 1170.3 6.5 -5.4
Fernando Salas↔ NYM 32 FA-elig 130.3 0.6 +0.3
Ben Revere 29 FA-elig 1090.3 4.0 -3.1
Daniel Wright 26 pre-arb 50.2 0.0 +0.8
Noé Ramirez↔ BOS 27 pre-arb 100.2 0.1 +0.6
Kaleb Cowart 25 pre-arb 500.2 0.2 +0.5
Matt Shoemaker 30 arb 140.2 3.3 -2.7
Blake Wood↔ CIN 31 FA-elig 170.2 0.3 +0.3
Keynan Middleton 23 640.1 0.5 -0.1
Jesse Chavez 33 FA-elig 380.1 5.8 -5.5
Eduardo Paredes 22 pre-arb 180.1 0.2 +0.1
Huston Street 33 FA-elig 40.1 9.0 -8.8
Andrew Bailey 33 FA-elig 40.1 1.0 -0.8
César Puello↔ TBR 26 10.0 0.0 +0.1
Juan Graterol 28 pre-arb 48-0.0 0.5 -0.5
Damien Magnifico 26 pre-arb 1-0.0 0.0 -0.1
Jason Gurka 29 pre-arb 3-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Nick Franklin↔ MIL 26 pre-arb 13-0.0 0.0 -0.1
Mike Morin↔ KCR 26 10-0.1 0.2 -0.4
Carlos Pérez 26 pre-arb 11-0.1 0.5 -0.8
José A. Váldez↔ SDP 27 1-0.1
Deolis Guerra 28 pre-arb 19-0.1 0.2 -0.6
Shane Robinson 32 arb 20-0.1 0.2 -0.6
Cliff Pennington 33 FA-elig 87-0.2 2.2 -2.8
Kirby Yates↔ SDP 30 1-0.2 0.0 -0.7
Brooks Pounders 26 pre-arb 11-0.2 0.3 -1.1
Ramón Flores 25 pre-arb 3-0.2 0.0 -0.8
Nolan Fontana 26 pre-arb 12-0.3 0.1 -1.0
Troy Scribner 25 10-0.3 0.1 -1.3
Brandon Phillips↔ ATL 36 FA-elig 24-0.3 2.4 -3.6
Jefry Marte 26 pre-arb 45-0.5 0.5 -2.3
Andrew Heaney 26 arb 5-0.7 0.5 -3.1
Danny Espinosa↔ SEA 30 FA-elig 77-1.0 4.5 -7.9
Albert Pujols 37 FA-elig 149-1.8 26.0 -32.1

Key additions (new vs 2016)

PlayerfWAR
Martín Maldonado3.3
Yusmeiro Petit2.1
Blake Parker1.5
Cameron Maybin1.4
David Hernandez1.0
Parker Bridwell1.0

Key subtractions (gone from 2016)

Player2016 fWAR
Jhoulys Chacín1.5
Héctor Santiago0.7
Johnny Giavotella0.6
Geovany Soto0.5
Jett Bandy0.4
Cody Ege0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2017 payroll
$151.5M
2018 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2017, 2017–2023. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2017; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (16)

PlayerAgeSvc2017201820192020202120222023
Albert Pujols3716.000$26.0MFREE AGENT
Ricky Nolasco3410.142$12.0MFREE AGENT
Huston Street3312.000$9.0MFREE AGENT
Cameron Maybin307.073$7.3MFREE AGENT
Yunel Escobar349.121$7.0MFREE AGENT
Luis Valbuena316.148$6.5MFREE AGENT
Jesse Chavez336.108$5.8MFREE AGENT
Justin Upton299.060$3.9MFREE AGENT
Brandon Phillips3612.022$2.4MFREE AGENT
Yusmeiro Petit326.016$2.2MFREE AGENT
Cliff Pennington337.114$2.2MFREE AGENT
Bud Norris327.068$1.8MFREE AGENT
Andrew Bailey336.002$1.0MFREE AGENT
Fernando Salas326.048$639kFREE AGENT
David Hernandez327.095$318kFREE AGENT
Eric Young Jr.328.000$231kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2017201820192020202120222023
Mike Trout255.070$20.1MFREE AGENT
Andrelton Simmons274.125$8.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Garrett Richards294.148$6.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Kole Calhoun293.130$6.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Danny Espinosa305.113$4.5MFREE AGENT
Ben Revere295.149$4.0MFREE AGENT
Martín Maldonado304.156$1.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
Blake Wood314.131$301kARB 3FREE AGENT
Shane Robinson324.124$152kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (30)

PlayerAgeSvc2017201820192020202120222023
Matt Shoemaker302.166$3.3MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
C.J. Cron272.110$565kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Blake Parker322.036$560kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Alvarez282.059$558kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Skaggs252.135$555kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cam Bedrosian251.153$555kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
JC Ramírez281.139$550kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Pérez261.144$548kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jefry Marte261.146$547kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Heaney261.150$543kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Juan Graterol280.037$485kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Keynan Middleton230.000$474kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Meyer271.013$409kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brooks Pounders260.051$266kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Parker Bridwell250.104$234kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Deolis Guerra281.063$225kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Morin262.110$216kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kaleb Cowart250.099$205kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eduardo Paredes220.070$199kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Troy Scribner25$149k
Nolan Fontana260.040$114kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Gurka290.089$91kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Noé Ramirez270.102$76kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Franklin262.072$49kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Wright260.050$44kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ramón Flores250.165$9kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
César Puello260.019$8kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kirby Yates302.025$7kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Damien Magnifico260.031$3kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José A. Váldez27

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Angels 2017; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3