Rosternomics
BS

Bill Smith

General manager for the Twins (2008–2011).

4 seasons with salary-era data across 1 stint. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

Titles0
Pennants0
Playoffs2
Record332–318
Win %0.511
+10.6WAB — wins above budget47th/195 execs
-6.5Talent above budget — roster-construction alpha (talent your budget bought above expectation)99th/195 execs
1.84Acquisition leverage — playoff pts each bought win added, given the roster it joined (did you buy where wins matter?)26th/195 execs
-23.3WAR surplus (era-neutral, win-equiv)85th/195 execs
-58Roster surplus $M111th/195 execs

How the roster was sourced

Share of gross-positive acquired fWAR by channel (vs. league average).

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+87.9
Trade-29.8
Free agency-45.7
Rule 5 / minor draft+2.8
Sourcing mix: 74% draft · 17% FA · 7% trade · 2% R5

Tenure breakdown

TeamRoleYearsSzns WAB WAB/yr TAB WAR surp HG Trade FA R5 AcqLev W-L% POPenWS Surp $M
Twins GM 2008–2011 4 +10.6 +2.64 -6.5 -23.3 +87.9 -29.8 -45.7 +2.8 1.84 0.511 2 -58
Career total (1985+ data) 4 +10.6 -6.5 -23.3 +87.9 -29.8 -45.7 +2.8 1.84 0.511 2 -58

Players acquired — 52 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year fWAR
Brian Dozier 2B MIN Draft 2009 +22.7
Max Kepler OF MIN Intl FA 2009 +18.5
Jorge Polanco 2B/SS MIN Intl FA 2009 +15.4
Kyle Gibson P MIN Draft 2009 +13.0
Eddie Rosario OF MIN Draft 2010 +11.2
Miguel Sanó 1B/3B MIN Intl FA 2009 +8.2
Carl Pavano P MIN Trade 2009 +6.0
Nick Punto 2B/3B/SS MIN Free agency 2008 +5.7
Josh Willingham OF MIN Free agency 2011 +4.2
Jim Thome 1B/DH MIN Free agency 2010 +3.1
Orlando Hudson 2B MIN Free agency 2010 +3.0
Scott Diamond P MIN Rule 5 2010 +2.8
Aaron Hicks OF MIN Draft 2008 +2.5
J. J. Hardy SS MIN Trade 2009 +2.1
Jared Burton P MIN Free agency 2011 +1.9
Joe Crede 3B MIN Free agency 2009 +1.7
Jamey Carroll 2B/3B MIN Free agency 2011 +1.6
Jason Repko OF MIN Free agency 2010 +1.6
Sam Deduno P MIN Free agency 2011 +1.0
Kennys Vargas 1B/DH MIN Intl FA 2009 +0.8
Fernando Romero P MIN Intl FA 2011 +0.6
Aaron Thompson P MIN Free agency 2011 +0.3
Pat Dean P MIN Draft 2010 +0.1
Ryan O'Rourke P MIN Draft 2010 +0.1
Randy Ruiz DH MIN Trade 2008 +0.1
Eric Hacker P MIN Free agency 2010 -0.0
Chuck James P MIN Free agency 2010 -0.0
Ryan Jorgensen C MIN Free agency 2008 -0.0
Bobby Keppel P MIN Free agency 2008 +0.0
Ron Mahay P MIN Free agency 2009 +0.0
Wilkin Ramírez OF MIN Free agency 2011 +0.0
P. J. Walters P MIN Free agency 2011 -0.0
Logan Darnell P MIN Draft 2010 -0.1
Justin Huber 1B/OF MIN Free agency 2009 -0.1
Luis Perdomo P MIN Free agency 2011 -0.1
René Rivera C MIN Free agency 2010 -0.1
Randy Rosario P MIN Intl FA 2010 -0.1
Michael Tonkin P MIN Draft 2008 -0.1
Jason Wheeler P MIN Draft 2011 -0.1
Sean Burroughs 3B MIN Free agency 2011 -0.2
Alex Wimmers P MIN Draft 2010 -0.2
A. J. Achter P MIN Draft 2010 -0.3
Matt Carson OF MIN Free agency 2011 -0.3
Niko Goodrum 2B/SS MIN Draft 2010 -0.3
Steve Holm C MIN Free agency 2010 -0.3
Felix Jorge P MIN Intl FA 2011 -0.3
Matt Capps P MIN Free agency 2011 -0.4
Philip Humber P MIN Trade 2008 -0.4
Phil Dumatrait P MIN Free agency 2010 -0.6
Chris Herrmann C/OF MIN Draft 2009 -1.9
Tsuyoshi Nishioka SS MIN Draft 2011 -2.0
Ryan Doumit C MIN Free agency 2011 -2.5

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.