RRosternomics
BB

Bill Bergesch

Jun 17, 1921 (St. Louis, MO) – May 10, 2011 · died at 89

General manager for the Yankees and Reds (1982–1987).

3 seasons with salary-era data across 2 stints. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

Overview

Titles0
Pennants0
Playoffs0
Record259–226
Win %0.534
+0.2GM WAR — wins above a replacement GM (org-adjusted, shrunk; per season) ±6.572nd/195 execs
7.0Depth — 2+ WAR regulars per season (the breadth that drives TAB, not stars)47th/195 execs
-2.7Dead WAR — WAR/yr bled by sub-replacement players (closer to 0 = better)4th/195 execs
36%Dead money — payroll on <0.5-WAR players (lower = better)113th/195 execs
$3MCheap-talent surplus — $/yr of value from cost-controlled (pre-arb/arb) players above their pay; the selection engine, and the stickiest GM skill we track147th/195 execs
$3MDrafted surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own draftees (the develop-from-the-draft engine)131st/195 execs
$1MTraded-for surplus — cheap-talent surplus from cost-controlled players he acquired via trade127th/195 execs
$0MInt'l surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own international signees140th/195 execs
+4.1TAB — talent above budget — roster-construction alpha (talent your budget bought above expectation), tenure total69th/195 execs
+16.6WAB — realized wins (TAB + the non-repeatable luck of converting talent to wins)41st/195 execs
1.26Acquisition Leverage — playoff pts per acquired WAR, graded once in the year each deal's wins arrive (the repeatable decision skill)116th/195 execs
-1Roster surplus $M44th/195 execs

Tenure breakdown

TeamRoleYearsSzns WAB WAB/yr TAB WAR surp HG Trade FA R5 AcqLev W-L% POPenWS Surp $M
Reds GM 1985–1987 3 +16.6 +5.52 +4.1 -3.7 +91.8 +10.4 +0.6 +0.0 1.26 0.534 -1
Yankees GM 1982–1983 0 +0.0 +0.0 +0.0 +15.9 -40.9 -3.5 +0.0
Career total (1985+ data) 3 +16.6 +4.1 -3.7 +107.7 -30.5 -2.9 +0.0 1.26 0.534 -1

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+107.7
Trade-30.5
Free agency-2.9
Rule 5 / minor draft+0.0
Sourcing mix: 76% draft · 1% FA · 23% trade · 0% R5

Roster value distribution — career average — depth vs. stars

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR, averaged across Bill Bergesch's seasons. Bars = his rosters; the black line = the league-average player at each slot. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge.

Players acquired — 43 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr Lev
Barry Larkin SS CIN Draft 1985 18 +67.0 +3.7
Reggie Sanders OF CIN Draft 1987 7 +21.1 +3.0
Roberto Kelly OF NYY Intl FA 1982 6 +12.1 +2.0
Norm Charlton P CIN Trade 1986 5 +7.3 +1.5
Buddy Bell 3B CIN Trade 1985 3 +5.6 +1.9
Dave Parker OF CIN Trade 1985 2 +5.5 +2.7
Dan Pasqua OF NYY Draft 1982 3 +3.7 +1.2
Chris Hammond P CIN Draft 1986 3 +3.2 +1.1
Dennis Rasmussen P NYY Trade 1982 3 +3.0 +1.0
John Denny P CIN Trade 1985 1 +2.9 +2.9 2.2
Bill Gullickson P CIN Trade 1985 2 +2.9 +1.5 2.1
Butch Wynegar C NYY Trade 1982 2 +2.9 +1.4
Jack Armstrong P CIN Draft 1987 2 +2.7 +1.4
Chris Welsh P CIN Free agency 1986 1 +1.7 +1.7 1.3
Bob Meacham SS NYY Trade 1982 3 +1.4 +0.5
Guy Hoffman P CIN Trade 1987 1 +1.0 +1.0 2.1
Frank Williams P CIN Trade 1987 1 +0.7 +0.7 2.4
Milt Hill P CIN Draft 1987 2 +0.6 +0.3
Oscar Azócar OF NYY Intl FA 1983 1 +0.6 +0.6
Sal Butera C CIN Trade 1985 1 +0.5 +0.5 0.4
Max Venable OF CIN Trade 1985 1 +0.4 +0.4
Tim Birtsas P CIN Trade 1987 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.2
Bill Scherrer P CIN Free agency 1987 1 +0.1 +0.1
Dave Collins OF CIN Free agency 1987 1 -0.0 -0.0 1.6
Jeff Gray P CIN Trade 1985 1 +0.0 +0.0
Jerry Reuss P CIN Free agency 1987 1 -0.0 -0.0 0.9
Keith Brown P CIN Draft 1986 2 -0.1 -0.0
Dennis Rasmussen P CIN Trade 1987 1 -0.1 -0.1 1.8
Scott Scudder P CIN Draft 1986 1 -0.1 -0.1
Glenn Sutko C CIN Draft 1987 -0.1
Rosario Rodríguez P CIN Intl FA 1987 -0.2
Mike Roesler P CIN Draft 1985 -0.2
Brad Arnsberg P NYY Draft 1983 1 -0.2 -0.2
Pat Perry P CIN Trade 1987 1 -0.2 -0.2 0.6
Bill Fulton P NYY Draft 1983 -0.3
Marty Brown 3B CIN Draft 1985 -0.4
Tom Runnells 2B/SS CIN Trade 1985 -0.4
Mike Armstrong P NYY Trade 1983 -0.4
Freddie Benavides 2B/SS CIN Draft 1987 -0.5
Gino Minutelli P CIN Intl FA 1985 -0.5
John Montefusco P NYY Trade 1983 -0.5
Terry Francona 1B/OF CIN Free agency 1987 -0.7
Jeff Richardson SS CIN Draft 1986 -1.0

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

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