Rosternomics
BB

Bill Bergesch

Jun 17, 1921 (St. Louis, MO) – May 10, 2011 · died at 89

General manager for the Yankees and Reds (1982–1987).

Across the full 3-season sample, the measured profile stands out most for avoidance of negative WAR (99th percentile), and cost per win (96th percentile). The clearest contrast is net WAR per trade (16th percentile): the realized net WAR return per trade has ranked below most peers. Because the sample covers fewer than five seasons, those comparisons are descriptive rather than stable.

3 seasons with salary-era data across 2 stints. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

0 pennants · 0 playoff appearances · 259–226 (0.534)

Percentile Rankings

vs. execs with toyrs exp.
PoorAverageGreat
Trade Decision Quality
Roster Construction
Depth
7.0
Dead WAR
-2.7
Dead money %
36%
PoorAverageGreat
Talent Creation
Cheap-talent surplus
$3M
Drafted surplus
$3M
Traded-for surplus
$1M
Int'l surplus
$0M
Results & Efficiency
GM WAR
+0.2
TAB
+4.1
WAB
+16.5
$ / WAR
$0.3M
Net WAR/trade
-1.13

Overview

TeamRoleYear Pay
$M
Rel
Pay
Surp
$M
Surp
WAR
Dead
%
Cheap
$M
Draft
$M
Trd
$M
Int'l
$M
$ /
WAR
WAR Depth Dead
WAR
HG Trade Net/
Trd
FA R5 RFA PPA CPA WAB TAB W-L% POPenWS
Reds GM 1985 89–72 $9 90 -0 -1.7 31% +2 +1 +1 +0 $0.2M 35.2 8.0 -2.1 +66.0 +9.1 +1.83 +0.3 +0.0 2.16 0.19 +8.9 +2.5 0.553
Reds GM 1986 86–76 $12 103 -1 -4.8 38% +3 +3 +0 +0 $0.3M 32.8 6.0 -3.2 +2.0 +7.7 +3.85 +0.9 +0.0 0.78 0.11 +3.7 -1.7 0.531
Reds GM 1987 84–78 $9 86 +1 +2.9 41% +5 +5 +0 +0 $0.2M 35.8 7.0 -2.9 +23.7 -6.5 -1.08 -0.6 +0.0 2.05 0.19 +3.9 +3.4 0.519
Career total (1985+ data) $30 93 -1 -3.7 36% +3 +3 +1 +0 $0.3M 103.9 7.0 -2.7 +107.7 -30.5 -1.13 -2.9 +0.0 1.33 0.14 +16.5 +4.1 0.534

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+107.7
Trade-30.5
Free agency-2.9
Rule 5 / minor draft+0.0
Sourcing mix: 76% draft · 1% FA · 23% trade · 0% R5

Trades

Trades made — 16 deals credited to Bill Bergesch, best expected value first; surplus is realized value in $M

1987 · CIN / KCR
CIN · Bill Bergesch +$92.0M
Danny Jackson, Angel Salazar
KCR · John Schuerholz −$92.0M
Ted Power, Kurt Stillwell
CIN came out ahead by $92.0M
1987 · CIN / OAK
CIN · Bill Bergesch +$305.6M
José Rijo, Tim Birtsas
OAK · Sandy Alderson −$305.6M
Dave Parker
CIN came out ahead by $305.6M
1985 · SFG / CIN
SFG · Tom Haller +$0.0M
Bob Buchanan
CIN · Bill Bergesch +$0.0M
Colin Ward
Even trade
1987 · CIN / CHC
CIN · Bill Bergesch +$5.6M
Guy Hoffman
CHC · Dallas Green −$5.6M
Wade Rowdon
CIN came out ahead by $5.6M
1987 · CIN / KCR
CIN · Bill Bergesch +$0.0M
Eddie Tanner, Pete Carey
KCR · John Schuerholz +$0.0M
Derek Botelho
Even trade
1985 · CIN / STL
CIN · Bill Bergesch +$2.4M
Mark Jackson
STL · Joe McDonald −$2.4M
César Cedeño
CIN came out ahead by $2.4M
1987 · STL / CIN
STL · Dal Maxvill +$20.0M
Scott Terry
CIN · Bill Bergesch −$20.0M
Pat Perry
STL came out ahead by $20.0M
1986 · CIN / WSN
CIN · Bill Bergesch +$0.8M
Bill Cutshall
WSN · Murray Cook −$0.8M
Mike Smith
CIN came out ahead by $0.8M
1985 · WSN / CIN
WSN · Murray Cook +$3.2M
Skeeter Barnes
CIN · Bill Bergesch −$3.2M
Max Venable
WSN came out ahead by $3.2M
1985 · CIN / PHI
CIN · Bill Bergesch +$29.6M
John Denny, Jeff Gray
PHI · Bill Giles −$29.6M
Gary Redus, Tom Hume
CIN came out ahead by $29.6M
1985 · TEX / CIN
TEX · Tom Grieve +$4.0M
Duane Walker, Jeff Russell
CIN · Bill Bergesch −$4.0M
Buddy Bell
TEX came out ahead by $4.0M
1986 · CIN / WSN
CIN · Bill Bergesch +$48.0M
Norm Charlton, Tim Barker
WSN · Murray Cook −$48.0M
Wayne Krenchicki
CIN came out ahead by $48.0M
1985 · WSN / CIN
WSN · Murray Cook +$20.8M
Jay Tibbs, Andy McGaffigan, John Stuper, Dann Bilardello
CIN · Bill Bergesch −$20.8M
Bill Gullickson, Sal Butera
WSN came out ahead by $20.8M
1985 · PHI / CIN
PHI · Bill Giles +$29.6M
Tom Foley, Alan Knicely, Freddie Toliver
CIN · Bill Bergesch −$29.6M
Bo Díaz, Greg Simpson
PHI came out ahead by $29.6M
1987 · SFG / CIN
SFG · Al Rosen +$4.8M
Eddie Milner
CIN · Bill Bergesch −$4.8M
Frank Williams, Timber Mead, Mike Villa
SFG came out ahead by $4.8M
1987 · CIN / NYY
CIN · Bill Bergesch +$6.4M
Dennis Rasmussen
NYY · Woody Woodward −$6.4M
Bill Gullickson
CIN came out ahead by $6.4M

Players acquired — 46 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr RFA PPA CPA
Barry Larkin SS CIN Draft 1985 18 +67.0 +3.7
Reggie Sanders OF CIN Draft 1987 7 +21.1 +3.0
Roberto Kelly OF NYY Intl FA 1982 6 +12.1 +2.0
Norm Charlton P CIN Trade 1986 5 +7.3 +1.5
Bo Díaz C CIN Trade 1985 4 +5.8 +1.5 1.8% 0.16%
Buddy Bell 3B CIN Trade 1985 3 +5.6 +1.9 0.0% 0.00%
Dave Parker OF CIN Trade 1985 2 +5.5 +2.7
Dan Pasqua OF NYY Draft 1982 3 +3.7 +1.2
Chris Hammond P CIN Draft 1986 3 +3.2 +1.1
Dennis Rasmussen P NYY Trade 1982 3 +3.0 +1.0
John Denny P CIN Trade 1985 1 +2.9 +2.9 2.2% 0.33%
Bill Gullickson P CIN Trade 1985 2 +2.9 +1.5 2.0% 0.30%
Butch Wynegar C NYY Trade 1982 2 +2.9 +1.4
Jack Armstrong P CIN Draft 1987 2 +2.7 +1.4
Chris Welsh P CIN Free agency 1986 1 +1.7 +1.7 1.4% 0.19%
Bob Meacham SS NYY Trade 1982 3 +1.4 +0.5
Guy Hoffman P CIN Trade 1987 1 +1.0 +1.0 2.1% 0.19%
Frank Williams P CIN Trade 1987 1 +0.7 +0.7 2.3% 0.21%
Milt Hill P CIN Draft 1987 2 +0.6 +0.3
Oscar Azócar OF NYY Intl FA 1983 1 +0.6 +0.6
Sal Butera C CIN Trade 1985 1 +0.5 +0.5 0.4% 0.06%
Max Venable OF CIN Trade 1985 1 +0.4 +0.4
César Cedeño OF CIN Trade 1985 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.4% 0.04%
Tim Birtsas P CIN Trade 1987 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.2% 0.04%
Bill Scherrer P CIN Free agency 1987 1 +0.1 +0.1
Dave Collins OF CIN Free agency 1987 1 -0.0 -0.0 1.7% 0.15%
Jeff Gray P CIN Trade 1985 1 +0.0 +0.0
Jerry Reuss P CIN Free agency 1987 1 -0.0 -0.0 0.9% 0.08%
Alan Knicely C CIN Trade 1985 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.0% 0.00%
Keith Brown P CIN Draft 1986 2 -0.1 -0.0
Dennis Rasmussen P CIN Trade 1987 1 -0.1 -0.1 1.8% 0.16%
Scott Scudder P CIN Draft 1986 1 -0.1 -0.1
Glenn Sutko C CIN Draft 1987 -0.1
Rosario Rodríguez P CIN Intl FA 1987 -0.2
Mike Roesler P CIN Draft 1985 -0.2
Brad Arnsberg P NYY Draft 1983 1 -0.2 -0.2
Pat Perry P CIN Trade 1987 1 -0.2 -0.2 0.6% 0.06%
Bill Fulton P NYY Draft 1983 -0.3
Marty Brown 3B CIN Draft 1985 -0.4
Tom Runnells 2B/SS CIN Trade 1985 -0.4
Mike Armstrong P NYY Trade 1983 -0.4
Freddie Benavides 2B/SS CIN Draft 1987 -0.5
Gino Minutelli P CIN Intl FA 1985 -0.5
John Montefusco P NYY Trade 1983 -0.5
Terry Francona 1B/OF CIN Free agency 1987 -0.7
Jeff Richardson SS CIN Draft 1986 -1.0

Trade-side columns: RFA is playoff-readiness percentage points added to the future roster foundation. It grades the franchise's entire side of a trade, so the same score repeats for every player acquired in that package. PPA/CPA remain player-level arrival-year probability points.

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

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