Rosternomics

Nationals WSN

202666–74 (0.471)
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President of baseball ops: Paul Toboni · GM: Anirudh Kilambi · partial season

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2026, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$56M
Win %
0.471
TAB
+6.1
WAB
+6.7
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
27.7
Dead money %
54%
Depth Players
5.0
Dead WAR
-6.1
Farm System
Total Proj. WAR
72.0
Pitching Proj. WAR
23.1
Hitting Proj. WAR
48.9

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2026 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

BKeibert Ruiz88
BDrew Millas50
RHarry Ford22

1B

RAndrés Chaparro46
RCurtis Mead34
Abimelec Ortiz20
RBrady House1

2B

LLuis García Jr.104
BNasim Nuñez103
LJorbit Vivas43
LJosé Tena19
LCJ Abrams1

3B

RBrady House65
LJorbit Vivas50
RCurtis Mead48
RAndrés Chaparro3
LJosé Tena2

SS

LCJ Abrams118
BNasim Nuñez28
LJosé Tena1

LF

LDaylen Lile113
LJames Wood17
LJosé Tena14
RDylan Crews8
Andrew Pinckney7

CF

RJacob Young119
RDylan Crews35
RJoey Wiemer11
Andrew Pinckney2

RF

LJames Wood81
RDylan Crews60
RJoey Wiemer14
LDaylen Lile11
LJosé Tena3
Andrew Pinckney1

DH

LJosé Tena53
LJames Wood24
LDaylen Lile22
RAndrés Chaparro16
LCJ Abrams11
RBrady House10
Abimelec Ortiz5
RCurtis Mead5
LJorbit Vivas4
RJoey Wiemer3
RDylan Crews2
RHarry Ford1
BNasim Nuñez1

Starters

RCade Cavalli3.3 WAR
LAndrew Alvarez2.0 WAR
LFoster Griffin1.9 WAR
RJake Irvin0.4 WAR
RBrad Lord0.2 WAR
LCarson Palmquist0.2 WAR
RPaxton Schultz0.1 WAR
RMatt Waldron0.1 WAR
LPJ Poulin-0.1 WAR
LRichard Lovelady-0.3 WAR
RZack Littell-0.5 WAR
RMiles Mikolas-0.9 WAR
Jackson KentNone WAR
Will DionNone WAR
Eddy YeanNone WAR

Bullpen

RClayton Beeter12 sv
ROrlando Ribalta12 h
LMitchell Parker7 h
RBrad Lord6 h
RGus Varland6 h
LTom Cosgrove3 h
RMax Kranick2 h
RPaxton Schultz0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2025)

PlayerfWAR
Foster Griffin1.9
Curtis Mead1.5
Jorbit Vivas0.7
Joey Wiemer0.7
Harry Ford0.4
Carson Palmquist0.2

Key subtractions (gone from 2025)

Player2025 fWAR
MacKenzie Gore3.0
José A. Ferrer1.4
Michael Soroka1.2
Alex Call0.8
Kyle Finnegan0.6
Jorge López0.3

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Nationals. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2026; everyone else is shown as a 2026 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
James Wood 2026 +4.7 +67.6 0.8 +66.8 $0.2M 1.79× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Cade Cavalli 2026 +3.8 +66.3 0.9 +65.5 $0.2M 2.19× Arbitration · 2026–2027 · $0.9M AAV
CJ Abrams 2026 +3.7 +39.5 4.2 +35.3 $1.1M 1.32× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $4.2M AAV
Jacob Young 2026 +2.7 +34.0 0.8 +33.2 $0.3M 1.60× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Andrew Alvarez 2026 +2.3 +26.9 0.6 +26.4 $0.3M 1.49× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Foster Griffin 2026 +2.1 +25.5 4.5 +21.0 $2.1M 1.49× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $5.5M AAV
Daylen Lile 2026 +2.2 +21.1 0.8 +20.3 $0.4M 1.22× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Curtis Mead 2026 +1.8 +12.1 0.8 +11.3 $0.4M 0.85× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Luis García Jr. 2026 +2.4 +15.8 5.6 +10.3 $2.3M 0.82×
Joey Wiemer 2026 +0.8 +5.6 0.2 +5.4 $0.3M 0.83×
Andrés Chaparro 2026 +1.0 +4.3 0.6 +3.7 $0.6M 0.56× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Orlando Ribalta 2026 +0.4 +4.3 0.7 +3.7 $1.6M 1.34×
Jorbit Vivas 2026 +0.8 +3.9 0.8 +3.2 $0.9M 0.58× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Dylan Crews 2026 +0.5 +3.2 0.6 +2.6 $1.2M 0.83×
Brady House 2026 +0.6 +2.6 0.2 +2.4 $0.4M 0.58×
Jake Irvin 2026 +0.5 +4.1 2.8 +1.3 $5.6M 1.02× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $2.8M AAV
Harry Ford 2026 +0.4 +1.8 0.8 +0.9 $1.9M 0.52×
Brad Lord 2026 +0.3 +1.5 0.8 +0.7 $2.8M 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Matt Waldron 2026 +0.1 +0.6 0.1 +0.5 $1.3M 1.02× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Zak Kent 2026 +0.1 +0.4 0.0 +0.4 $0.5M 0.67×
Jake Bird 2026 +0.0 +0.1 0.2 -0.1 $8.9M 0.67× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.0M AAV
Nasim Nuñez 2026 +0.1 +0.6 0.8 -0.2 $6.3M 0.56× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Riley Cornelio 2026 -0.0 -0.2 0.0 -0.2 0.67×
Julian Fernández 2026 -0.0 -0.2 0.0 -0.3 0.67×
Paxton Schultz 2026 +0.1 +0.4 0.8 -0.3 $8.9M 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Justin Lawrence 2026 -0.2 -1.0 0.2 -1.2 0.67× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.2M AAV
Yovanny Cruz 2026 -0.2 -1.3 0.0 -1.3 0.67×
Andre Granillo 2026 -0.3 -1.4 0.1 -1.5 0.67×
José Tena 2026 -0.1 -0.7 0.8 -1.5 0.69× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Drew Millas 2026 -0.2 -0.9 0.8 -1.7 0.52× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Cionel Pérez 2026 -0.3 -1.6 0.2 -1.8 0.67×
Max Kranick 2026 -0.2 -1.2 1.0 -2.2 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.0M AAV
PJ Poulin 2026 -0.1 -1.4 0.8 -2.2 1.34× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Cole Henry 2026 -0.4 -1.9 0.8 -2.7 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Trevor Williams 2025–2026 +1.4 +11.0 14.0 -3.0 $9.8M 0.84× Free Agent · 2025–2026 · $7.0M AAV
Ken Waldichuk 2026 -0.5 -2.4 0.8 -3.3 0.67× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Richard Lovelady 2026 -0.4 -4.2 0.7 -5.0 1.34× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.0M AAV
Gus Varland 2026 -0.5 -5.5 0.8 -6.3 1.34× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Clayton Beeter 2026 -0.6 -5.9 0.8 -6.7 1.34× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Mitchell Parker 2026 -0.6 -6.5 0.7 -7.3 1.34×
Zack Littell 2026 -0.6 -4.9 2.7 -7.6 1.02× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $7.0M AAV
Miles Mikolas 2026 -1.1 -5.7 2.2 -8.0 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $2.2M AAV
Keibert Ruiz 2023–2026 -0.1 -0.3 18.5 -18.8 0.52× Pre-arb extension · 2023–2032 · $6.2M AAV
Jackson Rutledge 2026 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 0.67×
Carson Palmquist 2026 +0.2 +1.7 1.02×
Matt Krook 2026 -0.2 -1.3 0.67×
Tom Cosgrove 2026 -0.2 -1.0 0.67×
Total+26.2+305.474.3+231.7

Trades

Every graded 2026 deal involving the Nationals — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 18 total.

2026 · WSN / BOS Jul 26, 2026
WSN · Paul Toboni +$0.0M
Connelly Early
BOS · Craig Breslow +$0.0M
Curtis Mead
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · CLE / WSN Aug 3, 2026
CLE · Chris Antonetti +$0.0M
Foster Griffin
WSN · Paul Toboni +$0.0M
Will Dion, Nick Mitchell, Josh Hartle, Kendeglys Virguez
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · WSN / CHW Mar 28, 2026
WSN · Paul Toboni +$8.8M
Curtis Mead
CHW · Chris Getz −$8.8M
Boston Smith
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · WSN / NYY Mar 22, 2026
WSN · Paul Toboni +$2.4M
Jorbit Vivas
NYY · Brian Cashman −$2.4M
Sean Paul Liñan
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · WSN / STL Feb 10, 2026
WSN · Paul Toboni +$0.8M
Andre Granillo
STL · Chaim Bloom −$0.8M
George Soriano
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · WSN / DET May 1, 2026
WSN · Paul Toboni +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
DET · Scott Harris +$0.0M
Zack Short
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · PIT / WSN Jul 16, 2026
PIT · Ben Cherington +$0.0M
Robert Hassell
WSN · Paul Toboni +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · WSN / BAL Jul 1, 2026
WSN · Paul Toboni +$0.0M
Kyle Nicolas
BAL · Mike Elias +$0.0M
Randal Diaz
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · WSN / ATL Jun 20, 2026
WSN · Paul Toboni +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
ATL · Alex Anthopoulos +$0.0M
Tyler Schoff
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · WSN / BAL Aug 3, 2026
WSN · Paul Toboni +$0.0M
Joe Glassey
BAL · Mike Elias +$0.0M
Christian Franklin
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · HOU / WSN Jul 3, 2026
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.8M
cash / PTBNL
WSN · Paul Toboni −$0.8M
Tom Cosgrove
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · WSN / LAD Apr 1, 2026
WSN · Paul Toboni +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
LAD · Andrew Friedman +$0.0M
Jake Eder
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · WSN / HOU Jun 21, 2026
WSN · Paul Toboni +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Marcus Brown
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · NYY / WSN Aug 3, 2026
NYY · Brian Cashman +$3.2M
Luis García
WSN · Paul Toboni −$3.2M
Ben Grable, Yovanny Cruz, Jack Cebert, Jake Bird
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · WSN / NYY Mar 24, 2026
WSN · Paul Toboni +$0.0M
Zack Short
NYY · Brian Cashman +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · NYM / WSN Apr 16, 2026
NYM · David Stearns +$1.6M
cash / PTBNL
WSN · Paul Toboni −$1.6M
Richard Lovelady
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · WSN / COL May 25, 2026
WSN · Paul Toboni +$0.8M
Carson Palmquist
COL · Josh Byrnes −$0.8M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · TEX / WSN Jan 22, 2026
TEX · Chris Young +$36.8M
MacKenzie Gore
WSN · Paul Toboni −$36.8M
Alejandro Rosario, Gavin Fien, Abimelec Ortiz, Devin Fitz-Gerald#82.7, Yeremy Cabrera
Too soon to call unsettled

Current & Historical Payroll

2026 payroll
$56.2M
luxury tax $51M
2027 guaranteed
$21.4M

What the front office was committed to as of 2026, 2026–2032. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2026; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Summary — luxury-tax (CBT) basis

2026202720282029203020312032
Tax threshold$244M$247M$250M$253M$256M$259M$262M
Guaranteed contracts$26M$14M$6M$6M$6M$6M
Proj. arbitration$7M$1M
Proj. pre-arbitration$18M
Player benefits$18M$18M$18M$18M$18M$18M
Total CBT payroll$69M$33M$24M$24M$24M$24M
Tax space+$175M+$214M+$226M+$229M+$232M+$235M
Est. tax bill

Luxury-tax (CBT) basis: contract AAV + ~$18M benefits/bonus-pool — distinct from the base-salary payroll above. Threshold is the CBA line. Tier-1 payor rates on the overage. Forward years show only guaranteed deals (arb/pre-arb not yet set). Figures are estimates.

Guaranteed / signed (6)

PlayerAgeSvc2026202720282029203020312032
Trevor Williams349.027$7.0MFREE AGENT
Luis García Jr.266.000$5.6MFREE AGENT
Keibert Ruiz274.064$5.4M$5.4M$7.4M$9.4M$9.4M$12.0MCLUB$14.0MCLUB
Zack Littell306.043$2.7M$12.0MMUTUALFREE AGENT
Miles Mikolas379.037$2.2MFREE AGENT
Cade Cavalli272.141$862k$4.0MCLUBARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (6)

PlayerAgeSvc2026202720282029203020312032
CJ Abrams253.130$4.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Max Kranick283.011$1.0MFREE AGENT
Richard Lovelady303.052$718kFREE AGENT
Justin Lawrence313.167$232kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cionel Pérez304.151$222kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Bird303.051$177kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (35)

PlayerAgeSvc2026202720282029203020312032
Foster Griffin301.034$4.5MFREE AGENT
Jake Irvin292.152$2.8MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ken Waldichuk282.150$825kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Harry Ford230.028$820kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
James Wood231.091$807kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jacob Young262.037$794kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorbit Vivas250.056$791kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daylen Lile230.120$786kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gus Varland290.169$785kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Clayton Beeter270.129$785kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Lord261.000$785kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Tena251.031$784kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cole Henry260.169$784kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nasim Nuñez251.086$783kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Millas281.038$783kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
PJ Poulin290.055$769kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Curtis Mead251.094$755kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paxton Schultz280.078$752kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mitchell Parker262.000$728kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Orlando Ribalta281.013$662kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrés Chaparro271.002$603kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dylan Crews241.035$574kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Alvarez270.028$567kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joey Wiemer271.089$235kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brady House230.105$235kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Waldron291.107$100kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andre Granillo260.076$96kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zak Kent280.037$43kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Julian Fernández302.042$18kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yovanny Cruz26$10k
Riley Cornelio26$4k
Jackson Rutledge271.025$4kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Krook311.048Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tom Cosgrove302.085ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carson Palmquist25

Graphs

How each 2026 acquisition stacked onto Nationals's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.