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Nationals WSN

201180–81 (0.497)
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GM: Michael Rizzo

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2011, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$69M
Surplus $M
+2
Win %
0.497
TAB
-2.1
WAB
+2.6
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
28.1
Dead money %
38%
Depth Players
6.0
Dead WAR
-3.8

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2011 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RWilson Ramos108
RIvan Rodriguez37
RJesus Flores22

1B

RMichael Morse85
LAdam LaRoche43
RChris Marrero31
LAlex Cora9
LLaynce Nix9
LMatt Stairs4
RBrian Bixler2
RIvan Rodriguez1

2B

BDanny Espinosa158
RJerry Hairston Jr.⇄75
LAlex Cora5
BSteve Lombardozzi Jr.3

3B

RRyan Zimmerman97
LAlex Cora31
RBrian Bixler14
BSteve Lombardozzi Jr.3

SS

RIan Desmond152
LAlex Cora16
RBrian Bixler2
BSteve Lombardozzi Jr.1

LF

LLaynce Nix73
RMichael Morse55
RJonny Gomes⇄37
LRoger Bernadina36
RBrian Bixler27

CF

LRick Ankiel105
LRoger Bernadina56
RJayson Werth19
RBrian Bixler4
LLaynce Nix4

RF

RJayson Werth134
LLaynce Nix12
LRoger Bernadina10
LRick Ankiel9
RBrian Bixler6
RJonny Gomes⇄6

DH

LMatt Stairs5
LLaynce Nix2
RBrian Bixler1
RMichael Morse1
RRyan Zimmerman1
RWilson Ramos1

Starters

RJordan Zimmermann3.4 WAR
RLivan Hernandez1.7 WAR
RJason Marquis⇄1.4 WAR
RStephen Strasburg1.0 WAR
LJohn Lannan0.7 WAR
LTom Gorzelanny0.6 WAR
LTommy Milone0.6 WAR
LRoss Detwiler0.2 WAR
RBrad Peacock0.1 WAR
RChien-Ming Wang-0.0 WAR
RYunesky Maya-0.1 WAR

Bullpen

★ RDrew Storen43 sv
RTyler Clippard38 h
LSean Burnett15 h
RTodd Coffey10 h
RHenry Rodriguez10 h
RRyan Mattheus8 h
LDoug Slaten3 h
RCollin Balester2 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2010)

PlayerfWAR
Jayson Werth2.2
Rick Ankiel1.2
Tom Gorzelanny0.6
Tommy Milone0.6
Laynce Nix0.5
Todd Coffey0.3

Key subtractions (gone from 2010)

Player2010 fWAR
Adam Dunn3.0
Josh Willingham2.5
Joel Peralta0.7
Nyjer Morgan0.7
Matt Capps0.5
Cristian Guzman0.3

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Nationals. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2011; everyone else is shown as a 2011 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Jordan Zimmermann 2011 +3.4 +53.2 0.4 +52.8 $0.1M 1.96× –
Wilson Ramos 2011 +4.3 +38.3 0.4 +37.9 $0.1M 1.12× –
Danny Espinosa 2011 +3.2 +27.9 0.4 +27.4 $0.1M 1.07× –
Michael Morse 2011 +2.9 +24.4 1.1 +23.4 $0.4M 1.07× –
Livan Hernandez 2011 +1.7 +20.7 1.2 +19.5 $0.7M 1.49× –
Tyler Clippard 2011 +1.5 +15.9 0.4 +15.5 $0.3M 1.34× –
Jayson Werth 2011 +2.2 +21.7 10.6 +11.2 $4.7M 1.22× –
Drew Storen 2011 +0.7 +7.7 0.4 +7.3 $0.6M 1.34× –
Rick Ankiel 2011 +1.2 +7.9 1.5 +6.4 $1.3M 0.83× –
Ryan Zimmerman 2011 +2.1 +14.0 9.0 +5.0 $4.4M 0.85× –
Ian Desmond 2011 +1.0 +5.0 0.4 +4.5 $0.4M 0.61× –
Jason Marquis↔ 2011 +1.4 +11.2 6.7 +4.5 $4.9M 1.02× –
Tommy Milone 2011 +0.6 +4.8 0.4 +4.4 $0.7M 1.02× –
Stephen Strasburg 2011 +1.0 +7.8 4.4 +3.5 $4.5M 1.02× –
John Lannan 2011 +0.7 +6.0 2.8 +3.3 $3.7M 1.02× –
Henry Alberto Rodriguez 2011 +0.3 +3.5 0.4 +3.0 $1.3M 1.34× –
Tom Gorzelanny 2011 +0.6 +5.1 2.1 +3.0 $3.4M 1.02× –
Laynce Nix 2011 +0.5 +3.3 0.7 +2.6 $1.4M 0.83× –
Roger Bernadina 2011 +0.4 +2.6 0.4 +2.2 $1.0M 0.83× –
Craig Stammen 2011 +0.4 +2.1 0.4 +1.7 $1.0M 0.67× –
Jonny Gomes↔ 2011 +0.3 +2.2 0.6 +1.5 $1.9M 0.83× –
Ross Detwiler 2011 +0.2 +1.7 0.4 +1.2 $2.0M 1.02× –
Todd Coffey 2011 +0.3 +1.8 1.4 +0.5 $4.0M 0.67× –
Cole Kimball 2011 +0.1 +0.7 0.4 +0.3 $3.0M 0.67× –
Brad Peacock 2011 +0.1 +0.5 0.4 +0.1 $6.6M 1.02× –
Jerry Hairston Jr.↔ 2011 +0.3 +1.2 1.2 -0.1 $4.8M 0.56× –
Atahualpa Severino 2011 +0.0 +0.2 0.4 -0.2 $11.6M 0.67× –
Jesus Flores 2011 +0.1 +0.5 0.8 -0.2 $6.1M 0.52× –
Brian Broderick 2011 +0.0 +0.1 0.4 -0.3 $16.9M 0.67× –
Steve Lombardozzi Jr. 2011 -0.2 -0.7 0.1 -0.8 – 0.56× –
Alex Cora 2011 +0.0 +0.0 0.9 -0.9 $1325.9M 0.58× –
Chad Gaudin 2011 -0.1 -0.4 0.9 -1.3 – 0.67× –
Chien-Ming Wang 2011 -0.0 -0.1 1.2 -1.3 – 1.02× –
Ryan Mattheus 2011 -0.2 -1.0 0.4 -1.4 – 0.67× –
Ivan Rodriguez 2011 +0.3 +1.0 3.0 -2.0 $11.9M 0.52× –
Doug Slaten 2011 -0.4 -2.0 0.7 -2.7 – 0.67× –
Yunesky Maya 2011 -0.1 -1.1 2.0 -3.1 – 1.02× –
Chris Marrero 2011 -0.7 -2.9 0.4 -3.4 – 0.56× –
Matt Stairs 2011 -0.6 -3.5 0.8 -4.3 – 0.69× –
Sean Burnett 2011 -0.5 -5.1 1.4 -6.4 – 1.34× –
Adam LaRoche 2011 -0.3 -1.3 7.0 -8.3 – 0.56× –
Brian Bixler 2011 -0.2 -1.5 – – – 0.83× –
Collin Balester 2011 -0.5 -2.7 – – – 0.67× –
Corey Brown 2011 -0.1 -0.5 – – – 0.83× –
Total—+27.9+270.268.9+206.0—

Trades

Every graded 2011 deal involving the Nationals — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 9 total.

2011 · WSN / OAK
WSN · Michael Rizzo +$174.4M
Gio Gonzalez, Robert Gilliam
OAK · Billy Beane −$174.4M
Brad Peacock, Tommy Milone, Derek Norris, A. J. Cole
WSN came out ahead by $174.4M
2011 · CHC / WSN
CHC · Randy Bush +$2.4M
Graham Hicks, A. J. Morris, Michael Burgess
WSN · Michael Rizzo −$2.4M
Tom Gorzelanny
CHC came out ahead by $2.4M
2011 · WSN / ARI
WSN · Michael Rizzo +$16.8M
Zach Walters
ARI · Kevin Towers −$16.8M
Jason Marquis
WSN came out ahead by $16.8M
2011 · WSN / DET
WSN · Michael Rizzo +$1.6M
Ryan Perry
DET · Dave Dombrowski −$1.6M
Collin Balester
WSN came out ahead by $1.6M
2011 · WSN / SDP
WSN · Michael Rizzo +$6.4M
Erik Davis
SDP · Jed Hoyer −$6.4M
Alberto González
WSN came out ahead by $6.4M
2011 · MIL / WSN
MIL · Douglas Melvin +$0.0M
Jerry Hairston
WSN · Michael Rizzo +$0.0M
Erik Komatsu
Even trade
2011 · CIN / WSN
CIN · Walt Jocketty +$0.8M
Bill Rhinehart, Chris Manno
WSN · Michael Rizzo −$0.8M
Jonny Gomes
CIN came out ahead by $0.8M
2011 · WSN / NYY
WSN · Michael Rizzo +$0.0M
Adam Olbrychowski
NYY · Brian Cashman +$0.0M
Justin Maxwell
Even trade
2011 · MIL / WSN
MIL · Douglas Melvin +$27.2M
Nyjer Morgan
WSN · Michael Rizzo −$27.2M
Cutter Dykstra
MIL came out ahead by $27.2M

Current & Historical Payroll

2011 payroll
$69.0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2011, 2011–2017. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Jayson Werth327.102$10.6M$13.0M$16.0M$20.0M$21.0M$21.0M$21.0M
Adam LaRoche317.000$7.0M$8.0M$10.0M$12.0MFREE AGENT
Jason Marquis3210.012$6.7MFREE AGENT
Ivan Rodriguez3919.109$3.0MFREE AGENT
Rick Ankiel317.033$1.5M$1.2MFREE AGENT
Livan Hernandez3613.097$1.2MFREE AGENT
Jerry Hairston Jr.3513.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Michael Morse296.000$1.1M$3.2MFREE AGENT
Alex Cora3512.129$900kFREE AGENT
Matt Stairs4315.077$850kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Ryan Zimmerman265.032$9.0MFREE AGENT
John Lannan263.011$2.8MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tom Gorzelanny283.160$2.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Todd Coffey305.024$1.4MFREE AGENT
Sean Burnett284.085$1.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Chien-Ming Wang315.159$1.2MFREE AGENT
Chad Gaudin285.164$900kFREE AGENT
Jesus Flores263.158$750kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Laynce Nix305.070$700kFREE AGENT
Doug Slaten313.043$695kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonny Gomes305.097$627kFREE AGENT
Ryan Mattheus273.123$414kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Bixler283.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (21)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Stephen Strasburg220.118$4.4MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yunesky Maya290.070$2.0MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Clippard261.148$443kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ian Desmond251.027$442kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Storen230.140$418kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Henry Alberto Rodriguez242.000$415kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Danny Espinosa240.033$415kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Zimmermann251.154$415kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wilson Ramos230.047$415kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ross Detwiler251.088$414kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Atahualpa Severino260.028$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cole Kimball251.138$414kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Craig Stammen271.126$414kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Roger Bernadina272.032$414kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Marrero220.000$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Broderick240.000$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Peacock230.000$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tommy Milone240.000$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Lombardozzi Jr.220.000$54kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Collin Balester251.016—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Corey Brown250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2011 acquisition stacked onto Nationals's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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