Rosternomics

Nationals WSN

201069–93 (0.426)
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GM: Michael Rizzo

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2010, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$62M
Win %
0.426
TAB
-3.3
WAB
-8.1
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
26.3
Dead money %
44%
Depth Players
5.0
Dead WAR
-3.3

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2010 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RIvan Rodriguez102
RWil Nieves51
RWilson Ramos15
RCarlos Maldonado4
RJamie Burke1

1B

LAdam Dunn153
LAdam Kennedy51
RMichael Morse19
RAlberto Gonzalez3

2B

LAdam Kennedy86
RAlberto Gonzalez38
BDanny Espinosa25

3B

RRyan Zimmerman137
RAlberto Gonzalez27
LAdam Kennedy8
LWillie Harris6

SS

RIan Desmond149
RAlberto Gonzalez16
BDanny Espinosa2

LF

RJosh Willingham108
LWillie Harris46
LRoger Bernadina44
RWilly Taveras6
RJustin Maxwell5
RKevin Mench1

CF

LNyjer Morgan134
LRoger Bernadina26
RJustin Maxwell20
RWilly Taveras3
LWillie Harris2

RF

LRoger Bernadina77
RMichael Morse72
LWillie Harris43
RJustin Maxwell29
RWilly Taveras14
BCristian Guzman8
RIan Desmond1
RAlberto Gonzalez1

DH

LAdam Dunn2
RJosh Willingham2
RMichael Morse1
RRyan Zimmerman1
LWillie Harris1

Starters

RLivan Hernandez2.7 WAR
RStephen Strasburg2.1 WAR
RCraig Stammen1.3 WAR
LJohn Lannan0.7 WAR
LScott Olsen0.2 WAR
LMatt Chico0.1 WAR
RJ.D. Martin0.1 WAR
RLuis Atilano-0.0 WAR
RYunesky Maya-0.0 WAR
RGarrett Mock-0.3 WAR
RJordan Zimmermann-0.3 WAR
LRoss Detwiler-0.4 WAR
RJason Marquis-0.5 WAR
RMiguel Batista-0.5 WAR

Bullpen

RTyler Clippard1 sv
LSean Burnett20 h
RDrew Storen10 h
RJoel Peralta9 h
RMiguel Batista2 h
LDoug Slaten2 h
RTyler Walker1 h
RMatt Capps0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2009)

PlayerfWAR
Stephen Strasburg2.1
Ivan Rodriguez0.9
Joel Peralta0.7
Drew Storen0.7
Matt Capps0.5
Danny Espinosa0.5

Key subtractions (gone from 2009)

Player2009 fWAR
Nick Johnson1.0
Jesus Flores0.8
Joel Hanrahan0.4
Ronnie Belliard0.3
Shairon Martis0.2
Joe Beimel0.2

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Nationals. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2010; everyone else is shown as a 2010 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Ryan Zimmerman 2010 +6.6 +75.4 6.3 +69.0 $1.0M 1.43×
Livan Hernandez 2010 +2.7 +41.6 0.9 +40.7 $0.3M 1.96×
Josh Willingham 2010 +2.5 +32.3 4.6 +27.7 $1.8M 1.60×
Stephen Strasburg 2010 +2.1 +25.3 2.0 +23.3 $0.9M 1.49×
Tyler Clippard 2010 +1.4 +14.7 0.4 +14.3 $0.3M 1.34×
Adam Dunn 2010 +3.0 +25.7 12.0 +13.7 $4.0M 1.07×
Craig Stammen 2010 +1.3 +10.5 0.4 +10.1 $0.3M 1.02×
Drew Storen 2010 +0.7 +7.1 0.4 +6.7 $0.6M 1.34×
Michael Morse 2010 +0.9 +6.3 0.4 +5.9 $0.4M 0.83×
Sean Burnett 2010 +1.2 +6.2 0.8 +5.4 $0.7M 0.67×
John Lannan 2010 +0.7 +5.4 0.5 +5.0 $0.7M 1.02×
Nyjer Morgan 2010 +0.7 +4.4 0.4 +4.0 $0.6M 0.83×
Ian Desmond 2010 +0.8 +3.9 0.4 +3.5 $0.5M 0.61×
Wilson Ramos 2010 +0.3 +1.2 0.3 +0.9 $1.0M 0.52×
Ivan Rodriguez 2010 +0.9 +3.6 3.0 +0.6 $3.4M 0.52×
Matt Capps 2010 +0.5 +2.8 2.2 +0.5 $4.3M 0.67×
Scott Olsen 2010 +0.2 +1.4 1.0 +0.4 $5.9M 1.02×
Tyler Walker 2010 +0.2 +0.8 0.7 +0.2 $4.3M 0.67×
Adam Kennedy 2010 +0.3 +1.1 1.2 -0.1 $4.9M 0.56×
Alberto Gonzalez 2010 +0.1 +0.3 0.4 -0.1 $5.9M 0.56×
Wil Nieves 2010 -0.1 -0.5 0.7 -1.2 0.52×
Willy Taveras 2010 -0.2 -1.2 0.4 -1.6 0.83×
Jason Bergmann 2010 -0.2 -1.0 0.8 -1.7 0.67×
Yunesky Maya 2010 -0.0 -0.4 2.0 -2.4 1.02×
Garrett Mock 2010 -0.3 -2.2 0.4 -2.6 1.02×
Brian Bruney 2010 -0.2 -1.2 1.5 -2.7 0.67×
Jordan Zimmermann 2010 -0.3 -2.3 0.4 -2.7 1.02×
Willie Harris 2010 -0.2 -1.4 1.5 -2.9 0.83×
Ross Detwiler 2010 -0.4 -2.8 0.4 -3.2 1.02×
Miguel Batista 2010 -0.5 -2.5 1.0 -3.5 0.67×
Cristian Guzman 2010 +0.3 +2.1 6.8 -4.7 $21.5M 0.83×
Jason Marquis 2010 -0.5 -3.9 7.5 -11.4 1.02×
Jesse English 2010 +0.1 +0.4 0.4 -0.0 $5.7M 0.67×
Carlos Maldonado 2010 +0.2 +0.6 0.52×
Collin Balester 2010 +0.1 +0.5 0.67×
Danny Espinosa 2010 +0.5 +2.1 0.56×
Doug Slaten 2010 +0.3 +1.9 0.67×
J.D. Martin 2010 +0.1 +0.9 1.02×
Jamie Burke 2010 -0.0 -0.0 0.52×
Joe Bisenius 2010 -0.1 -0.5 0.67×
Joel Peralta 2010 +0.7 +3.6 0.67×
Justin Maxwell 2010 +0.3 +2.1 0.83×
Kevin Mench 2010 -0.3 -2.3 0.83×
Luis Atilano 2010 -0.0 -0.1 1.02×
Matt Chico 2010 +0.1 +0.9 1.02×
Roger Bernadina 2010 +0.2 +1.5 0.83×
Total+26.7+264.362.1+191.1

Trades

Every graded 2010 deal involving the Nationals — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 3 total.

Current & Historical Payroll

2010 payroll
$62.1M

What the front office was committed to as of 2010, 2010–2016. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (16)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Adam Dunn309.000$12.0MFREE AGENT
Jason Marquis3110.000$7.5M$6.7MFREE AGENT
Cristian Guzman3211.000$6.8MFREE AGENT
Josh Willingham316.000$4.6MFREE AGENT
Ivan Rodriguez3819.000$3.0M$3.0MFREE AGENT
Brian Bruney286.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
Willie Harris329.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
Adam Kennedy3411.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Miguel Batista3918.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Livan Hernandez3514.000$900k$1.2MFREE AGENT
Sean Burnett276.000$775k$1.4M$2.3MFREE AGENT$86k
Wil Nieves328.000$700kFREE AGENT
Tyler Walker348.000$650kFREE AGENT
Willy Taveras286.000$400kFREE AGENT
Jamie Burke389.000FREE AGENT
Kevin Mench328.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Ryan Zimmerman255.000$6.3MFREE AGENT
Matt Capps265.000$2.2MFREE AGENT
Scott Olsen265.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Jason Bergmann285.000$750kFREE AGENT
John Lannan253.000$458kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nyjer Morgan293.000$426kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alberto Gonzalez273.000$416kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Morse285.000$410kFREE AGENT
Tyler Clippard253.000$401kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ross Detwiler243.000$400kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joel Peralta343.132ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Bisenius273.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Maxwell263.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Chico273.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Doug Slaten304.000ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Stephen Strasburg210.000$2.0MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yunesky Maya280.000$2.0MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Garrett Mock272.000$411kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Craig Stammen261.000$402kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Zimmermann241.000$401kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ian Desmond241.000$400kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesse English250.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Storen220.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wilson Ramos220.000$273kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Maldonado31
Collin Balester242.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.D. Martin27
Luis Atilano25
Danny Espinosa230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Roger Bernadina262.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2010 acquisition stacked onto Nationals's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.