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Nationals WSN

200959–103 (0.364)
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GM: Michael Rizzo

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2009, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$58M
Surplus $M
-5
Win %
0.364
TAB
-8.4
WAB
-17.3
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
20.5
Dead money %
47%
Depth Players
3.0
Dead WAR
-6.7

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2009 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

BJosh Bard79
RWil Nieves71
RJesus Flores24
RJamie Burke⇄6

1B

LNick Johnson⇄98
LAdam Dunn67
RRonnie Belliard⇄15
RMichael Morse11
RJosh Willingham1

2B

RAlberto Gonzalez55
LWillie Harris19
LPete Orr18
RIan Desmond5
BAlex Cintron2

3B

RRyan Zimmerman154
LWillie Harris4
LPete Orr4
RAlberto Gonzalez3
RMichael Morse1

SS

BCristian Guzman117
RAlberto Gonzalez41
RIan Desmond17
BAlex Cintron2

LF

RJosh Willingham87
LAdam Dunn62
LWillie Harris45
RJorge Padilla7
RElijah Dukes5
RMichael Morse2
RJustin Maxwell2
BAnderson Hernandez⇄1
LRoger Bernadina1

CF

LWillie Harris63
LNyjer Morgan⇄56
RElijah Dukes35
RJustin Maxwell32
RLastings Milledge⇄5
RAustin Kearns3
RJorge Padilla1
LRoger Bernadina1

RF

RElijah Dukes65
RAustin Kearns54
RJosh Willingham35
LAdam Dunn22
RJorge Padilla5
RMichael Morse3
LCorey Patterson⇄2
RJustin Maxwell2
RIan Desmond1
LPete Orr1
LRoger Bernadina1
LWillie Harris1

DH

LAdam Dunn6
BCristian Guzman2
RAlberto Gonzalez1
RRyan Zimmerman1

Starters

RJordan Zimmermann1.9 WAR
LJohn Lannan1.4 WAR
LRoss Detwiler1.1 WAR
RCraig Stammen1.1 WAR
RGarrett Mock0.9 WAR
RLivan Hernandez⇄0.9 WAR
LScott Olsen0.3 WAR
RShairon Martis0.2 WAR
RMarco Estrada0.0 WAR
RJ.D. Martin-0.1 WAR
RDaniel Cabrera⇄-0.3 WAR
RCollin Balester-0.6 WAR

Bullpen

★ RMike MacDougal⇄20 sv
LSean Burnett⇄11 h
RJason Bergmann10 h
LRon Villone7 h
RJulian Tavarez5 h
RTyler Clippard3 h
LJoe Beimel⇄0 h
RJoel Hanrahan⇄0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2008)

PlayerfWAR
Nyjer Morgan2.9
Josh Willingham2.4
Jordan Zimmermann1.9
Ross Detwiler1.1
Craig Stammen1.1
Adam Dunn1.0

Key subtractions (gone from 2008)

Player2008 fWAR
Tim Redding1.4
Jon Rauch1.3
Odalis Perez1.3
Ryan Langerhans1.0
Shawn Hill0.9
Chad Cordero0.0

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Nationals. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2009; everyone else is shown as a 2009 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Ryan Zimmerman 2009 +6.6 +74.9 3.3 +71.6 $0.5M 1.43× –
Nyjer Morgan↔ 2009 +2.9 +36.9 0.2 +36.7 $0.1M 1.60× –
Jordan Zimmermann 2009 +1.9 +22.6 0.4 +22.2 $0.2M 1.49× –
Josh Willingham 2009 +2.4 +23.6 3.0 +20.6 $1.2M 1.22× –
John Lannan 2009 +1.4 +11.2 0.4 +10.8 $0.3M 1.02× –
Ross Detwiler 2009 +1.1 +9.1 0.4 +8.7 $0.4M 1.02× –
Craig Stammen 2009 +1.1 +8.6 0.3 +8.3 $0.3M 1.02× –
Livan Hernandez↔ 2009 +0.9 +7.6 0.2 +7.5 $0.2M 1.02× –
Garrett Mock 2009 +0.9 +7.6 0.4 +7.2 $0.4M 1.02× –
Justin Maxwell 2009 +0.9 +6.3 0.4 +5.9 $0.4M 0.83× –
Jesus Flores 2009 +0.8 +3.5 0.4 +3.1 $0.5M 0.52× –
Willie Harris 2009 +0.6 +4.2 1.5 +2.7 $2.4M 0.83× –
Joel Hanrahan↔ 2009 +0.4 +2.2 0.2 +2.0 $0.5M 0.67× –
Ian Desmond 2009 +0.4 +2.0 0.4 +1.6 $1.0M 0.61× –
Shairon Martis 2009 +0.2 +2.0 0.4 +1.6 $1.6M 1.02× –
Michael Morse 2009 +0.4 +1.6 0.4 +1.2 $1.1M 0.56× –
Anderson Hernandez↔ 2009 +0.2 +1.0 0.3 +0.8 $1.6M 0.83× –
Roger Bernadina 2009 +0.1 +0.8 0.4 +0.4 $3.5M 0.83× –
Nick Johnson↔ 2009 +1.0 +4.2 4.1 +0.2 $4.2M 0.56× –
Julian Tavarez 2009 +0.1 +0.6 0.5 +0.1 $4.7M 0.67× –
Joe Beimel↔ 2009 +0.2 +1.2 1.3 -0.1 $5.9M 0.67× –
Ronnie Belliard↔ 2009 +0.3 +1.4 1.5 -0.1 $4.7M 0.56× –
Marco Estrada 2009 +0.0 +0.2 0.4 -0.2 $11.6M 0.67× –
Wil Nieves 2009 +0.0 +0.1 0.4 -0.3 $18.4M 0.52× –
Tyler Clippard 2009 -0.0 -0.0 0.4 -0.4 – 0.67× –
Steven Shell 2009 -0.0 -0.1 0.4 -0.5 – 0.67× –
Scott Olsen 2009 +0.3 +2.1 2.8 -0.7 $11.0M 1.02× –
Sean Burnett↔ 2009 -0.1 -0.5 0.2 -0.7 – 0.67× –
Wilfredo Ledezma 2009 -0.0 -0.0 0.8 -0.8 – 0.67× –
Jason Bergmann 2009 -0.2 -1.0 0.4 -1.4 – 0.67× –
Elijah Dukes 2009 -0.3 -1.8 0.4 -2.2 – 0.83× –
Lastings Milledge↔ 2009 -0.3 -2.2 0.0 -2.2 – 0.83× –
Saul Rivera 2009 -0.4 -2.0 0.5 -2.5 – 0.67× –
Mike Hinckley 2009 -0.4 -2.3 0.4 -2.7 – 0.67× –
Josh Bard 2009 -0.3 -1.3 1.6 -2.9 – 0.52× –
Alberto Gonzalez 2009 -0.7 -2.9 0.4 -3.3 – 0.56× –
Adam Dunn 2009 +1.0 +4.5 8.0 -3.5 $7.9M 0.56× –
Logan Kensing↔ 2009 -0.6 -3.4 0.5 -3.9 – 0.67× –
Cristian Guzman 2009 +0.8 +3.9 8.0 -4.1 $10.1M 0.61× –
Daniel Cabrera↔ 2009 -0.3 -2.7 1.6 -4.2 – 1.02× –
Mike MacDougal↔ 2009 -0.2 -1.9 2.4 -4.3 – 1.34× –
Collin Balester 2009 -0.6 -4.6 0.4 -5.0 – 1.02× –
Austin Kearns 2009 -0.1 -0.7 8.0 -8.7 – 0.83× –
Alex Cintron 2009 -0.5 -2.4 – – – 0.56× –
Corey Patterson↔ 2009 -0.1 -0.5 – – – 0.83× –
J.D. Martin 2009 -0.1 -0.5 – – – 1.02× –
Jamie Burke↔ 2009 -0.2 -0.7 – – – 0.52× –
Jesus Colome↔ 2009 +0.1 +0.7 – – – 0.67× –
Jorge Padilla 2009 -0.3 -2.3 – – – 0.83× –
Jorge Sosa 2009 -0.3 -1.5 – – – 0.67× –
Kip Wells↔ 2009 -0.0 -0.0 – – – 0.67× –
Pete Orr 2009 -0.1 -0.4 – – – 0.56× –
Ron Villone 2009 -0.5 -2.6 – – – 0.67× –
Victor Garate 2009 -0.1 -0.6 – – – 0.67× –
Zack Segovia 2009 -0.0 -0.2 – – – 0.67× –
Total—+20.3+205.558.4+158.5—

Trades

Every graded 2009 deal involving the Nationals — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 8 total.

2009 · WSN / PIT
WSN · Michael Rizzo +$19.2M
Nyjer Morgan, Sean Burnett
PIT · Neal Huntington −$19.2M
Lastings Milledge, Joel Hanrahan
WSN came out ahead by $19.2M
2009 · COL / WSN
COL · Daniel O'Dowd +$0.0M
Joe Beimel
WSN · Michael Rizzo +$0.0M
Robinson Fabian, Ryan Mattheus
Even trade
2009 · WSN / SEA
WSN · Michael Rizzo +$14.4M
Mike Morse
SEA · Jack Zduriencik −$14.4M
Ryan Langerhans
WSN came out ahead by $14.4M
2009 · WSN / MIA
WSN · Michael Rizzo +$8.0M
Aaron Thompson
MIA · Larry Beinfest −$8.0M
Nick Johnson
WSN came out ahead by $8.0M
2009 · LAD / WSN
LAD · Ned Colletti +$0.8M
Ronnie Belliard
WSN · Michael Rizzo −$0.8M
Luis García, Víctor Gárate
LAD came out ahead by $0.8M
2009 · MIA / WSN
MIA · Larry Beinfest +$4.0M
Kyle Gunderson
WSN · Michael Rizzo −$4.0M
Logan Kensing
MIA came out ahead by $4.0M
2009 · WSN / NYM
WSN · Michael Rizzo +$0.8M
Greg Veloz
NYM · Omar Minaya −$0.8M
Anderson Hernández
WSN came out ahead by $0.8M
2009 · NYY / WSN
NYY · Brian Cashman +$4.0M
Jamie Hoffmann
WSN · Michael Rizzo −$4.0M
Brian Bruney
NYY came out ahead by $4.0M

Current & Historical Payroll

2009 payroll
$58.3M

What the front office was committed to as of 2009, 2009–2015. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (20)

PlayerAgeSvc2009201020112012201320142015
Austin Kearns297.000$8.0MFREE AGENT
Adam Dunn298.000$8.0M$12.0MFREE AGENT
Cristian Guzman3110.000$8.0M$6.8MFREE AGENT
Nick Johnson308.000$4.1MFREE AGENT
Mike MacDougal328.000$2.4MFREE AGENT
Josh Bard317.000$1.6MFREE AGENT
Willie Harris318.000$1.5M$1.5MFREE AGENT
Ronnie Belliard3411.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
Joe Beimel328.000$1.3MFREE AGENT
Wilfredo Ledezma286.000$750kFREE AGENT
Julian Tavarez3616.000$500kFREE AGENT
Wil Nieves317.000$445k$700kFREE AGENT
Livan Hernandez3413.000$179k$900k$1.2MFREE AGENT
Ron Villone3914.000—FREE AGENT
Kip Wells3210.000—FREE AGENT
Corey Patterson299.000—FREE AGENT
Alex Cintron308.000—FREE AGENT
Jesus Colome318.000—FREE AGENT
Jamie Burke378.000—FREE AGENT
Jorge Sosa317.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2009201020112012201320142015
Ryan Zimmerman244.000$3.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Willingham305.000$3.0MFREE AGENT
Scott Olsen254.000$2.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Cabrera285.000$1.6MFREE AGENT
Logan Kensing265.000$536kFREE AGENT
Saul Rivera313.000$475kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Bergmann274.000$439kARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Morse274.000$407kARB 3FREE AGENT
Anderson Hernandez264.000$250kARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Burnett265.000$190kFREE AGENT
Lastings Milledge243.000$49kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pete Orr304.000—ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (23)

PlayerAgeSvc2009201020112012201320142015
Steven Shell261.000$425kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Lannan242.000$424kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Elijah Dukes252.000$416kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesus Flores242.000$416kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Collin Balester231.000$410kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Roger Bernadina251.000$400kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Hinckley261.000$400kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Zimmermann230.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alberto Gonzalez262.000$400kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shairon Martis221.000$400kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ian Desmond230.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Maxwell252.000$400kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Garrett Mock261.000$400kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Clippard242.000$400kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ross Detwiler232.000$400kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marco Estrada251.000$400kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Craig Stammen250.000$299kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joel Hanrahan272.000$213kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nyjer Morgan282.000$168kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge Padilla29–—
Zack Segovia262.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.D. Martin26–—
Victor Garate24–—

Graphs

How each 2009 acquisition stacked onto Nationals's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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