RRosternomics
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Nationals WSN

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GM: Kevin Malone

Overview

WINDOW ↘ cooling
cheap & winning · year 5 in this regime · payroll 0.4× league · TAB +5.9
+5.9TAB — talent above budget8th/28
+3.7WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)8th/28
7.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars8th/28
-5.7dead WAR — sub-replacement drag21st/28
32%dead money %21st/28
0.458win %22nd/28
25.7roster fWAR18th/28
+11surplus $M (value vs cost)2nd/28
$13Mpayroll $M28th/28

Roster

CFRondell White 111GMoises Alou 4GYamil Benitez 4G
LFMoises Alou 61GWil Cordero 26GCurtis Pride 24G
RFTony Tarasco 105GMoises Alou 30GHenry Rodriguez 24G
SSWil Cordero 105GMark Grudzielanek 34GDave Silvestri 10G
2BMike Lansing 127GMark Grudzielanek 13GJeff Treadway 12G
3BSean Berry 83GShane Andrews 51GMark Grudzielanek 31G
1BDavid Segui 104GShane Andrews 29GCliff Floyd 18G
STARTERSJeff Fassero 3.3WARPedro Martínez 2.7WARGil Heredia 2.4WARCarlos Perez 2.2WARButch Henry 1.3WAR
CDarrin Fletcher 98GTim Laker 61GTim Spehr 38G
BULLPEN★ Mel Rojas 30svTim Scott 0hDave Leiper 0hGreg Harris 0hJose DeLeon 0hBryan Eversgerd 0hWillie Fraser 0hGabe White 0h
CDarrin Fletcher 98 · Tim Laker 61 · Tim Spehr 38
1BDavid Segui 104 · Shane Andrews 29 · Cliff Floyd 18
2BMike Lansing 127 · Mark Grudzielanek 13 · Jeff Treadway 12
3BSean Berry 83 · Shane Andrews 51 · Mark Grudzielanek 31
SSWil Cordero 105 · Mark Grudzielanek 34 · Dave Silvestri 10
LFMoises Alou 61 · Wil Cordero 26 · Curtis Pride 24
CFRondell White 111 · Moises Alou 4 · Yamil Benitez 4
RFTony Tarasco 105 · Moises Alou 30 · Henry Rodriguez 24
SPJeff Fassero 3.3 · Pedro Martínez 2.7 · Gil Heredia 2.4 · Carlos Perez 2.2 · Butch Henry 1.3
BP★ Mel Rojas 30 · Tim Scott 0 · Dave Leiper 0 · Greg Harris 0 · Jose DeLeon 0 · Bryan Eversgerd 0 · Willie Fraser 0 · Gabe White 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1995 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Rondell White 23 pre-arb 1303.6 0.1 +3.3
Jeff Fassero 32 arb 303.3 1.5 +1.6
Pedro Martínez 23 arb 302.7 0.3 +2.3
Darrin Fletcher 28 FA-elig 1102.5 0.9 +1.5
Gil Heredia 29 arb 402.4 0.2 +2.1
Sean Berry 29 arb 1032.3 0.3 +1.9
Carlos Perez 24 pre-arb 282.2 0.1 +2.0
Mike Lansing 27 pre-arb 1271.8 0.2 +1.5
David Segui↔ NYM 28 arb 971.5 0.6 +0.9
Moises Alou 28 arb 931.5 3.0 -1.6
Butch Henry 26 arb 211.3 0.2 +1.0
Mel Rojas 28 arb 591.1 1.3 -0.2
F.P. Santangelo 27 pre-arb 350.8 0.1 +0.7
Kirk Rueter 24 pre-arb 90.8 0.2 +0.6
Tony Tarasco 24 pre-arb 1260.6 0.1 +0.5
Dave Silvestri↔ NYY 27 arb 390.5 0.1 +0.4
Tim Scott 28 arb 620.5 0.2 +0.2
Tim Spehr 28 arb 410.5 0.1 +0.3
Greg Harris 39 FA-elig 450.4 0.2 +0.1
Jeff Shaw↔ CHW 28 arb 500.4 0.3 +0.1
Yamil Benitez 22 – 140.3 – –
Tavo Alvarez 23 – 80.2 – –
Dave Leiper↔ OAK 33 FA-elig 260.1 0.1 +0.0
Luis Aquino↔ SFG 31 FA-elig 290.1 0.4 -0.3
Wil Cordero 23 arb 1310.0 0.3 -0.3
J. J. Thobe 24 – 4-0.0 – –
Jose DeLeon↔ CHW 34 FA-elig 7-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Jeff Treadway↔ LAD 32 FA-elig 41-0.1 0.4 -0.4
Joe Siddall 27 – 7-0.1 – –
Chad Fonville↔ LAD 24 pre-arb 14-0.1 0.0 -0.1
Roberto Kelly↔ LAD 30 FA-elig 24-0.1 0.7 -0.8
Mark Grudzielanek 25 pre-arb 78-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Bryan Eversgerd 26 – 25-0.2 – –
Tom Foley 35 FA-elig 11-0.2 0.2 -0.3
Curt Schmidt 25 – 11-0.2 – –
Tim Laker 25 arb 64-0.2 0.1 -0.4
Henry Rodriguez↔ LAD 27 arb 24-0.3 0.1 -0.4
Reid Cornelius↔ NYM 25 pre-arb 8-0.3 0.0 -0.4
Gabe White 23 pre-arb 19-0.4 0.1 -0.5
Shane Andrews 23 pre-arb 84-0.4 0.1 -0.5
Ugueth Urbina 21 pre-arb 7-0.4 0.1 -0.5
Lou Frazier↔ TEX 30 pre-arb 35-0.4 0.1 -0.4
Willie Fraser 31 FA-elig 22-0.7 0.1 -0.8
Cliff Floyd 22 pre-arb 29-0.7 0.1 -0.9
Curtis Pride 26 pre-arb 48-0.8 0.1 -0.9

Key additions (new vs 1994)

PlayerfWAR
Carlos Perez2.2
David Segui1.5
F.P. Santangelo0.8
Tony Tarasco0.6
Dave Silvestri0.5
Greg Harris0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 1994)

Player1994 fWAR
Larry Walker4.4
Marquis Grissom4.1
Ken Hill2.3
John Wetteland1.4
Lenny Webster1.0
Juan Bell0.6

Current & Historical Payroll

1995 payroll
$13.4M

What the front office was committed to as of 1995, 1995–2001. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (9)

PlayerAgeSvc1995199619971998199920002001
Darrin Fletcher286.000$900k$1.1M$1.4MFREE AGENT
Roberto Kelly308.000$659kFREE AGENT
Luis Aquino319.000$358kFREE AGENT
Jeff Treadway328.000$353kFREE AGENT
Greg Harris3914.000$235kFREE AGENT
Tom Foley3512.000$160kFREE AGENT
Willie Fraser319.000$150kFREE AGENT
Jose DeLeon3412.000$110kFREE AGENT
Dave Leiper3311.000$101k$197kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (15)

PlayerAgeSvc1995199619971998199920002001
Moises Alou285.000$3.0MFREE AGENT
Jeff Fassero324.000$1.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Mel Rojas285.000$1.3MFREE AGENT
David Segui285.000$564kFREE AGENT
Wil Cordero233.000$315kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Berry295.000$285kFREE AGENT
Jeff Shaw285.000$275kFREE AGENT
Pedro Martínez233.000$270kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Butch Henry263.000$240kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Scott284.000$225kARB 3FREE AGENT
Gil Heredia294.000$210kARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Spehr284.000$150kARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Laker253.000$121kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Henry Rodriguez273.000$112kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dave Silvestri273.000$81kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (21)

PlayerAgeSvc1995199619971998199920002001
Mike Lansing272.000$250kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kirk Rueter242.000$151kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cliff Floyd222.000$145kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Tarasco242.000$135kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rondell White232.000$130kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
F.P. Santangelo270.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shane Andrews230.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Curtis Pride262.000$109kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Grudzielanek250.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gabe White231.000$109kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ugueth Urbina210.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Perez240.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lou Frazier302.000$69kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Reid Cornelius250.000$48kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chad Fonville240.000$15kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tavo Alvarez230.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yamil Benitez220.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryan Eversgerd261.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Curt Schmidt25–—
Joe Siddall272.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J. J. Thobe24–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Nationals 1995; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.