Rosternomics
Log in Sign up 𝕏

Blue Jays TOR

202191–71 (0.562)
‹ Previous Next ›

President of baseball ops: Mark Shapiro · GM: Ross Atkins

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2021, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$137M
Surplus $M
+6
Win %
0.562
TAB
+8.7
WAB
+8.0
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
43.9
Dead money %
26%
Depth Players
8.0
Dead WAR
-5.7

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2021 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

LReese McGuire73
RDanny Jansen69
RAlejandro Kirk44
RRiley Adams⇄12

1B

RVladimir Guerrero Jr.133
LRowdy Tellez⇄31
RLourdes Gurriel Jr.11
LCavan Biggio7
LJake Lamb⇄1
RKevin Smith1

2B

RMarcus Semien147
LJoe Panik⇄39
BBreyvic Valera10
LCavan Biggio7
ROtto Lopez1

3B

RSantiago Espinal81
LCavan Biggio52
BBreyvic Valera21
RKevin Smith14
LJake Lamb⇄7
RVladimir Guerrero Jr.1

SS

RBo Bichette148
RMarcus Semien21

LF

RLourdes Gurriel Jr.119
RTeoscar Hernández58
LCorey Dickerson⇄36
LJarrod Dyson⇄8
LJoshua Palacios4
LCavan Biggio1
LJared Hoying1
RKevin Smith1

CF

RRandal Grichuk96
RGeorge Springer40
LJarrod Dyson⇄15
LCorey Dickerson⇄5
LJoshua Palacios2
RTeoscar Hernández2

RF

RTeoscar Hernández110
RRandal Grichuk71
LCavan Biggio15
LJoshua Palacios8
RGeorge Springer4
LCorey Dickerson⇄2

DH

RGeorge Springer38
RVladimir Guerrero Jr.28
LRowdy Tellez⇄19
RLourdes Gurriel Jr.14
RRandal Grichuk12
RBo Bichette11
RTeoscar Hernández11
RAlejandro Kirk8
RSantiago Espinal5
LJake Lamb⇄4
LJoe Panik⇄3
LCorey Dickerson⇄3
LJarrod Dyson⇄2
LCavan Biggio2
BBreyvic Valera1
RKevin Smith1
LJoshua Palacios1
LReese McGuire1
RMarcus Semien1

Starters

LRobbie Ray3.9 WAR
LSteven Matz2.7 WAR
LHyun-Jin Ryu2.4 WAR
RAlek Manoah2.0 WAR
RJose Berrios⇄1.7 WAR
RDavid Phelps0.4 WAR
RRoss Stripling0.2 WAR
LTommy Milone0.1 WAR
RNate Pearson-0.0 WAR
LAnthony Kay-0.0 WAR
RThomas Hatch-0.1 WAR
RTanner Roark-0.2 WAR
LTravis Bergen-0.2 WAR
RJulian Merryweather-0.3 WAR
RTrent Thornton-0.4 WAR
RT.J. Zeuch-0.6 WAR

Bullpen

★ RJordan Romano23 sv
LTim Mayza19 h
RAdam Cimber⇄7 h
RTrevor Richards⇄6 h
RRafael Dolis3 h
LTayler Saucedo1 h
RTrent Thornton0 h
RTyler Chatwood⇄0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2020)

PlayerfWAR
Marcus Semien5.9
Steven Matz2.7
George Springer2.6
Alek Manoah2.0
José Berríos1.7
Tim Mayza0.9

Key subtractions (gone from 2020)

Player2020 fWAR
Taijuan Walker0.4
Anthony Bass0.4
Brian Moran0.1
Sean Reid-Foley0.1
Billy McKinney0.1
Jacob Waguespack0.0

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Blue Jays. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2021; everyone else is shown as a 2021 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2021 +6.3 +69.2 0.6 +68.6 $0.1M 1.37× –
Robbie Ray 2021 +3.9 +67.5 8.0 +59.5 $2.1M 2.19× Free Agent · 2022–2026 · $23.0M AAV
Teoscar Hernández 2021 +4.0 +57.9 4.3 +53.6 $1.1M 1.79× Free Agent · 2025–2028 · $22.0M AAV
Bo Bichette 2021 +4.9 +51.3 0.6 +50.7 $0.1M 1.32× Free Agent · 2026–2028 · $42.0M AAV
Marcus Semien 2021 +5.9 +65.4 18.0 +47.4 $3.0M 1.38× Free Agent · 2022–2025 · $25.0M AAV
Steven Matz 2021 +2.7 +42.6 5.2 +37.4 $1.9M 1.96× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $7.5M AAV
Alek Manoah 2021 +2.0 +23.6 0.4 +23.2 $0.2M 1.49× –
José Berríos↔ 2021 +1.7 +20.1 2.3 +17.8 $1.4M 1.49× Arb extension · 2022–2028 · $18.7M AAV
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 2021 +1.7 +16.7 3.9 +12.8 $2.3M 1.22× –
Santiago Espinal 2021 +1.9 +12.8 0.5 +12.3 $0.3M 0.85× –
Jordan Romano 2021 +1.2 +12.5 0.6 +12.0 $0.5M 1.34× –
George Springer 2021 +2.6 +33.7 23.7 +10.0 $9.0M 1.60× Free Agent · 2021–2026 · $25.0M AAV
Hyun Jin Ryu 2021 +2.4 +28.6 20.0 +8.6 $8.3M 1.49× –
Reese McGuire 2021 +1.4 +6.0 0.5 +5.6 $0.3M 0.52× –
Danny Jansen 2021 +1.5 +6.1 0.6 +5.5 $0.4M 0.52× Free Agent · 2026–2028 · $7.2M AAV
Tim Mayza 2021 +0.9 +4.9 0.6 +4.3 $0.6M 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.8M AAV
Adam Cimber↔ 2021 +0.7 +3.6 0.5 +3.1 $0.7M 0.67× –
Alejandro Kirk 2021 +0.7 +3.1 0.6 +2.5 $0.8M 0.52× Arb extension · 2026–2030 · $11.6M AAV
Tayler Saucedo 2021 +0.2 +1.2 0.3 +0.9 $1.3M 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.0M AAV
Anthony Castro 2021 +0.2 +1.2 0.4 +0.8 $1.6M 0.67× –
Breyvic Valera 2021 +0.2 +1.0 0.2 +0.8 $1.1M 0.58× –
Joel Payamps↔ 2021 +0.2 +0.9 0.2 +0.7 $0.9M 0.67× –
Kirby Snead 2021 +0.1 +0.7 0.1 +0.6 $0.5M 0.67× –
Connor Overton↔ 2021 +0.1 +0.4 0.0 +0.3 $0.5M 0.67× –
David Phelps 2021 +0.4 +2.1 1.8 +0.3 $4.6M 0.67× –
Trevor Richards↔ 2021 +0.0 +0.5 0.2 +0.3 $3.5M 1.34× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.0M AAV
Jacob Barnes↔ 2021 +0.1 +0.4 0.3 +0.2 $3.1M 0.67× –
Bryan Baker 2021 +0.0 +0.2 0.0 +0.1 $0.8M 0.67× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.3M AAV
Otto Lopez 2021 -0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 – 0.56× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Nate Pearson 2021 -0.0 -0.1 0.2 -0.3 – 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.4M AAV
Ty Tice↔ 2021 -0.0 -0.3 0.1 -0.3 – 0.67× –
Anthony Kay 2021 -0.0 -0.2 0.3 -0.5 – 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2028 · $6.0M AAV
Jared Hoying 2021 -0.1 -0.5 0.0 -0.5 – 0.83× –
A.J. Cole 2021 +0.1 +0.4 1.0 -0.6 $13.9M 0.67× –
Patrick Murphy↔ 2021 -0.1 -0.5 0.1 -0.6 – 0.67× –
Jarrod Dyson↔ 2021 -0.1 -0.5 0.4 -0.9 – 0.83× –
Thomas Hatch 2021 -0.1 -0.5 0.4 -0.9 – 1.02× –
Carl Edwards Jr.↔ 2021 -0.2 -0.9 0.1 -1.0 – 0.67× –
Jake Lamb↔ 2021 -0.2 -0.8 0.2 -1.0 – 0.58× –
Rafael Dolis 2021 +0.1 +0.4 1.5 -1.1 $21.7M 0.67× –
Corey Dickerson↔ 2021 +0.4 +2.5 3.7 -1.2 $9.8M 0.83× –
Joshua Palacios 2021 -0.2 -1.1 0.1 -1.2 – 0.83× –
Travis Bergen 2021 -0.2 -1.1 0.2 -1.3 – 0.67× –
Jeremy Beasley 2021 -0.2 -1.3 0.1 -1.4 – 0.67× –
Kevin Smith 2021 -0.3 -1.4 0.1 -1.5 – 0.58× –
Ross Stripling 2021 +0.2 +1.3 3.0 -1.7 $18.4M 1.02× –
Tyler Chatwood↔ 2021 +0.2 +1.1 2.8 -1.8 $14.2M 0.67× –
Cavan Biggio 2021 -0.3 -1.3 0.6 -1.9 – 0.58× –
Joe Panik↔ 2021 -0.2 -1.1 0.8 -1.9 – 0.69× –
Riley Adams↔ 2021 -0.4 -1.9 0.1 -1.9 – 0.52× –
Ryan Borucki 2021 -0.3 -1.5 0.5 -1.9 – 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.5M AAV
Jonathan Davis↔ 2021 -0.3 -1.7 0.3 -2.0 – 0.83× –
Joakim Soria↔ 2021 -0.1 -1.3 0.9 -2.2 – 1.34× –
Julian Merryweather 2021 -0.3 -1.7 0.6 -2.2 – 0.67× –
Trent Thornton 2021 -0.4 -1.9 0.4 -2.3 – 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.0M AAV
Rowdy Tellez↔ 2021 -0.6 -3.3 0.1 -3.4 – 0.69× –
Brad Hand↔ 2021 -0.4 -2.0 1.7 -3.7 – 0.67× –
T.J. Zeuch 2021 -0.6 -5.1 0.1 -5.2 – 1.02× –
Randal Grichuk 2021 +0.6 +4.1 10.3 -6.3 $16.9M 0.83× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Tanner Roark 2021 -0.2 -1.0 12.0 -13.0 – 0.67× –
Nick Allgeyer 2021 +0.0 +0.0 0.0 +0.0 $1.9M 0.67× –
Tommy Milone 2021 +0.1 +0.5 0.6 -0.0 $5.6M 0.67× –
Total—+43.8+511.4137.7+374.1—

Trades

Every graded 2021 deal involving the Blue Jays — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 9 total.

2021 · TOR / MIN
TOR · Mark Shapiro +$5.6M
José Berríos
MIN · Derek Falvey −$5.6M
Simeon Woods Richardson, Austin Martin
TOR came out ahead by $5.6M
2021 · TOR / MIL
TOR · Mark Shapiro +$4.0M
Trevor Richards, Bowden Francis
MIL · David Stearns −$4.0M
Rowdy Tellez
TOR came out ahead by $4.0M
2021 · TOR / MIL
TOR · Mark Shapiro +$0.0M
Paxton Schultz
MIL · David Stearns +$0.0M
Derek Fisher
Even trade
2021 · TOR / WSN
TOR · Mark Shapiro +$0.8M
Brad Hand
WSN · Michael Rizzo −$0.8M
Riley Adams
TOR came out ahead by $0.8M
2021 · TOR / CIN
TOR · Mark Shapiro +$0.0M
Darlin Guzman
CIN · Dick Williams +$0.0M
Hector Perez
Even trade
2021 · TOR / MIA
TOR · Mark Shapiro +$7.2M
Adam Cimber, Corey Dickerson
MIA · Kim Ng −$7.2M
Andrew McInvale, Joe Panik
TOR came out ahead by $7.2M
2021 · TOR / NYM
TOR · Mark Shapiro +$37.6M
Steven Matz
NYM · Sandy Alderson −$37.6M
Josh Winckowski, Yennsy Díaz, Sean Reid-Foley
TOR came out ahead by $37.6M
2021 · TOR / NYM
TOR · Mark Shapiro +$0.0M
Jacob Barnes
NYM · Sandy Alderson +$0.0M
Troy Miller
Even trade
2021 · ARI / TOR
ARI · Mike Hazen +$1.6M
Yaifer Perdomo, J.J. D'Orazio
TOR · Mark Shapiro −$1.6M
Joakim Soria
ARI came out ahead by $1.6M

Current & Historical Payroll

2021 payroll
$137.1M
2022 guaranteed
$29.7M

What the front office was committed to as of 2021, 2021–2027. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2021; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (16)

PlayerAgeSvc2021202220232024202520262027
George Springer316.166$23.7M$29.7M$24.2M$24.2M$24.2M$24.2MFREE AGENT
Hyun Jin Ryu348.000$20.0MFREE AGENT
Marcus Semien306.118$18.0MFREE AGENT
Tanner Roark348.000$12.0MFREE AGENT
Randal Grichuk296.033$10.3MFREE AGENT
Robbie Ray296.007$8.0MFREE AGENT
Corey Dickerson327.101$3.7MFREE AGENT
Tyler Chatwood319.039$2.8MFREE AGENT
David Phelps348.156$1.8MFREE AGENT
Brad Hand317.092$1.7MFREE AGENT
Joakim Soria3714.000$854kFREE AGENT
Joe Panik306.100$818kFREE AGENT
Tommy Milone3410.000$570kFREE AGENT
Jarrod Dyson369.088$368kFREE AGENT
Jake Lamb307.000$218kFREE AGENT
Carl Edwards Jr.296.000$86kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2021202220232024202520262027
Steven Matz305.099$5.2MFREE AGENT
Teoscar Hernández283.097$4.3MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.273.000$3.9MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ross Stripling314.115$3.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
José Berríos274.044$2.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
A.J. Cole293.124$1.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jacob Barnes314.030$259kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jared Hoying324.070$9kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (38)

PlayerAgeSvc2021202220232024202520262027
Rafael Dolis332.101$1.5MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.222.000$605kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cavan Biggio261.129$604kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Danny Jansen262.050$602kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Mayza291.156$600kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bo Bichette231.063$588kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Romano281.051$584kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Julian Merryweather290.114$578kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alejandro Kirk220.047$564kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Santiago Espinal260.136$506kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Cimber302.139$501kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Reese McGuire261.043$463kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Borucki272.088$461kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alek Manoah230.000$396kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trent Thornton272.000$383kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Thomas Hatch261.000$380kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anthony Castro260.033$353kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan Davis291.029$289kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tayler Saucedo280.000$285kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anthony Kay261.006$259kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Breyvic Valera290.121$236kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nate Pearson240.169$196kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trevor Richards282.098$166kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Travis Bergen271.046$156kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joel Payamps270.064$152kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rowdy Tellez262.012$135kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Patrick Murphy260.028$100kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
T.J. Zeuch250.058$96kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeremy Beasley250.136$95kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Smith240.000$80kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kirby Snead260.000$74kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Riley Adams250.000$72kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joshua Palacios250.000$67kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ty Tice24–$66k
Connor Overton270.000$30kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryan Baker260.000$25kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Otto Lopez220.000$15kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Allgeyer25–$12k

Graphs

How each 2021 acquisition stacked onto Blue Jays's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
Privacy Policy · Terms of Service · © 2026 Rosternomics