Rosternomics
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Blue Jays TOR

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GM: Ross Atkins (since 2016)

2017 roster — every player, value & surplus

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-9.4
WAB — wins above budget
-12.6
TAB — roster Talent above budget
76–86 (0.469)
record
-86M
surplus $M (value/$)
24.9
roster fWAR
$169.8M
payroll
PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Josh Donaldson 31 FA-elig 113 4.9 17.0 -0.4
Marcus Stroman 26 arb 34 3.6 3.4 +8.7
Justin Smoak 30 FA-elig 158 3.4 4.1 +7.3
Roberto Osuna 22 pre-arb 66 2.9 0.6 +9.4
J.A. Happ 34 FA-elig 25 2.8 13.0 -3.4
Marco Estrada 33 FA-elig 33 2.5 14.5 -5.9
Russell Martin 34 FA-elig 91 1.7 20.0 -14.4
Dominic Leone 25 arb 65 1.5 0.5 +4.6
Joe Biagini 27 pre-arb 44 1.4 0.5 +4.0
Kevin Pillar 28 arb 154 1.3 0.6 +3.7
Joe Smith↔ CLE 33 FA-elig 38 1.0 1.9 +1.6
Ryan Tepera 29 pre-arb 73 1.0 0.5 +2.8
Francisco Liriano↔ HOU 33 FA-elig 18 0.8 6.5 -3.9
Brett Anderson↔ CHC 29 FA-elig 7 0.6 1.9 +0.2
Aaron Loup 29 arb 70 0.6 1.1 +0.8
Ezequiel Carrera 30 FA-elig 131 0.4 1.2 +0.3
Devon Travis 26 pre-arb 50 0.4 0.5 +0.7
Raffy Lopez 29 pre-arb 24 0.3 0.2 +0.9
Tom Koehler↔ MIA 31 arb 15 0.3 3.2 -2.2
Teoscar Hernández↔ HOU 24 pre-arb 26 0.3 0.1 +0.8
Troy Tulowitzki 32 FA-elig 66 0.2 20.0 -19.2
Tim Mayza 25 – 19 0.2 0.1 +0.6
Dwight Smith Jr. 24 – 12 0.2 – –
Ryan Goins 29 arb 143 0.2 0.5 +0.2
Danny Barnes 27 pre-arb 60 0.2 0.5 +0.2
Norichika Aoki↔ HOU 35 arb 12 0.2 0.6 +0.1
Darrell Ceciliani 27 pre-arb 3 0.1 0.4 +0.1
Carlos Ramírez 26 pre-arb 12 0.1 0.1 +0.2
Steve Pearce 34 FA-elig 92 0.1 6.2 -6.0
César Valdez↔ OAK 32 pre-arb 7 0.1 0.2 +0.0
TJ House 27 pre-arb 2 0.0 0.0 +0.1
Glenn Sparkman 25 – 2 0.0 0.3 -0.3
Leonel Campos 29 pre-arb 13 -0.0 0.2 -0.3
Aaron Sanchez 24 arb 8 -0.0 0.5 -0.6
Taylor Cole 27 – 1 -0.0 0.0 -0.1
Chris Smith 28 – 4 -0.0 0.0 -0.2
Lucas Harrell 32 pre-arb 4 -0.0 0.0 -0.2
Anthony Alford 22 – 4 -0.0 0.4 -0.6
Luis Santos 26 – 10 -0.1 0.1 -0.3
Ian Parmley 27 – 3 -0.1 0.0 -0.4
Chris Rowley 26 – 6 -0.1 0.1 -0.6
Mike Ohlman 26 – 7 -0.1 – –
Michael Saunders↔ PHI 30 FA-elig 12 -0.2 1.3 -1.8
Jeff Beliveau 30 pre-arb 19 -0.2 0.1 -0.7
Casey Lawrence↔ SEA 29 – 4 -0.2 0.0 -0.7
Richard Urena 21 – 21 -0.2 0.1 -0.8
J.P. Howell 34 FA-elig 16 -0.2 3.0 -3.7
Kendrys Morales 34 FA-elig 150 -0.3 10.0 -11.1
Matt Dermody 26 pre-arb 23 -0.3 0.2 -1.3
Mat Latos 29 FA-elig 3 -0.4 1.5 -2.7
Mike Bolsinger 29 pre-arb 11 -0.4 0.2 -1.4
Nick Tepesch↔ MIN 28 arb 3 -0.4 0.8 -2.1
Rob Refsnyder↔ NYY 26 pre-arb 32 -0.5 0.2 -1.8
Jarrod Saltalamacchia 32 FA-elig 10 -0.5 1.2 -3.0
Miguel Montero↔ CHC 33 FA-elig 32 -0.5 5.9 -7.7
Darwin Barney 31 FA-elig 129 -0.7 2.9 -5.1
José Bautista 36 FA-elig 157 -0.7 18.0 -20.4
Jason Grilli↔ TEX 40 FA-elig 26 -0.7 1.7 -4.2
Chris Coghlan 32 FA-elig 36 -0.7 0.5 -3.0
Luke Maile 26 pre-arb 46 -0.8 0.5 -3.0

60 players appeared (WAR is complete); salary & surplus are on record for 58 of them (97%). Players without a salary show "–" — no single historical salary source is fully complete (especially 2020–2022).

WAR = FanGraphs (fWAR). Green = produced more value than paid (bargain); red = paid more than produced. Service: pre-arb (<3 yr) / arb (3–6) / FA-eligible (6+). Click headers to sort.

History: front-office performance & develop-vs-buy (1985–2024)

Trade ledger (realized WAR, all-time)

Best acquisitions
PlayerYearWAR for TOR
Juan Guzmán198721.1
Roberto Alomar199020.4
Josh Donaldson201420.4
Fred McGriff198219.7
George Bell198016.7
Tom Henke198516.2
Duane Ward198614.9
Ernie Whitt198514.7
Ones that got away
PlayerYear tradedWAR elsewhere
Michael Young200025.0
Noah Syndergaard201220.1
John Olerud199618.3
David Cone199516.6
Yan Gomes201213.5
Matt Boyd201510.9
Travis d'Arnaud20129.8
Fred McGriff19909.1
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.