RRosternomics

Rangers TEX

GM: Douglas Melvin

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↘ cooling
expensive & losing · year 3 in this regime · payroll 1.05× league · TAB -4.7
-4.7TAB — talent above budget17th/28
+0.6WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)14th/28
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars13th/28
-5.5dead WAR — sub-replacement drag17th/28
8%dead money %1st/28
0.514win %11th/28
26.8roster fWAR16th/28
-8surplus $M (value vs cost)18th/28
$35Mpayroll $M12th/28

Roster

CFOtis Nixon 138GLou Frazier 17GRusty Greer 4G
LFMark McLemore 69GLou Frazier 53GRusty Greer 51G
RFRusty Greer 101GMickey Tettleton 61GCandy Maldonado 42G
SSBenji Gil 130GEsteban Beltre 36G
2BJeff Frye 83GMark McLemore 66GEsteban Beltre 15G
3BMike Pagliarulo 68GSteve Buechele 41GDean Palmer 36G
1BWill Clark 122GMike Pagliarulo 11GMickey Tettleton 9G
STARTERSRoger Pavlik 3.2WARBob Tewksbury 3.1WARKenny Rogers 3.0WARBobby Witt 1.6WARKevin Gross 0.9WAR
CIvan Rodriguez 127GDave Valle 29GMickey Tettleton 3G
DHJuan Gonzalez 82GMickey Tettleton 58GLou Frazier 1G
BULLPEN Jeff Russell 20svRoger McDowell 0hDennis Cook 0hEd Vosberg 0hMatt Whiteside 0hTerry Burrows 0hChris Nichting 0hJose Alberro 0h
CIvan Rodriguez 127 · Dave Valle 29 · Mickey Tettleton 3
1BWill Clark 122 · Mike Pagliarulo 11 · Mickey Tettleton 9
2BJeff Frye 83 · Mark McLemore 66 · Esteban Beltre 15
3BMike Pagliarulo 68 · Steve Buechele 41 · Dean Palmer 36
SSBenji Gil 130 · Esteban Beltre 36
LFMark McLemore 69 · Lou Frazier 53 · Rusty Greer 51
CFOtis Nixon 138 · Lou Frazier 17 · Rusty Greer 4
RFRusty Greer 101 · Mickey Tettleton 61 · Candy Maldonado 42
DHJuan Gonzalez 82 · Mickey Tettleton 58 · Lou Frazier 1
SPRoger Pavlik 3.2 · Bob Tewksbury 3.1 · Kenny Rogers 3.0 · Bobby Witt 1.6 · Kevin Gross 0.9
BP Jeff Russell 20 · Roger McDowell 0 · Dennis Cook 0 · Ed Vosberg 0 · Matt Whiteside 0 · Terry Burrows 0 · Chris Nichting 0 · Jose Alberro 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1995 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Roger Pavlik 27 arb 313.2 0.3 +2.8
Bob Tewksbury 34 FA-elig 223.1 1.5 +1.5
Kenny Rogers 30 FA-elig 313.0 3.8 -0.9
Ivan Rodriguez 23 arb 1303.0 2.7 +0.2
Will Clark 31 FA-elig 1232.6 5.6 -3.2
Mickey Tettleton 34 FA-elig 1342.2 1.0 +1.1
Dean Palmer 26 FA-elig 362.0 1.9 -0.0
Bobby Witt↔ MIA 31 FA-elig 101.6 0.6 +0.9
Juan Gonzalez 25 FA-elig 901.5 5.4 -3.9
Rusty Greer 26 pre-arb 1311.4 0.2 +1.2
Roger McDowell 34 FA-elig 640.9 0.6 +0.3
Kevin Gross 34 FA-elig 310.9 2.9 -2.0
Matt Whiteside 27 arb 400.9 0.2 +0.6
Ed Vosberg 33 FA-elig 440.8 0.1 +0.6
Mark McLemore 30 FA-elig 1290.8 1.2 -0.5
Darren Oliver 24 pre-arb 170.7 0.2 +0.5
Otis Nixon 36 FA-elig 1390.7 3.1 -2.5
Jeff Frye 28 arb 900.6 0.2 +0.4
Benji Gil 22 pre-arb 1300.6 0.1 +0.4
Jeff Russell 33 FA-elig 370.6 0.6 -0.1
Craig Worthington↔ CIN 30 FA-elig 260.5 0.1 +0.3
Dennis Cook↔ CLE 32 FA-elig 350.4 0.3 +0.0
Mike Pagliarulo 35 FA-elig 860.4 0.4 -0.0
Candy Maldonado↔ TOR 34 FA-elig 130.2 0.0 +0.2
Chris Howard 29 40.0
Mark Brandenburg 24 pre-arb 110.0 0.1 -0.1
Hector Fajardo 24 50.0
Chris Nichting 29 pre-arb 130.0 0.1 -0.1
John Dettmer 25 10.0
Shawn Hare 28 18-0.0
Jose Alberro 26 pre-arb 12-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Dave Valle 34 FA-elig 36-0.1 0.6 -0.7
Billy Hatcher 34 6-0.1
John Marzano 32 2-0.1
Rick Helling 24 3-0.1
Sam Horn 31 11-0.1
Scott Taylor 28 3-0.3
Eric Fox 31 arb 10-0.3 0.2 -0.5
Jack Voigt↔ BAL 29 arb 33-0.3 0.1 -0.5
Steve Buechele↔ CHC 33 9-0.4
Wilson Heredia 23 pre-arb 6-0.4 0.1 -0.5
Danny Darwin↔ TOR 39 FA-elig 7-0.4 0.1 -0.5
Lou Frazier↔ WSN 30 pre-arb 49-0.4 0.1 -0.5
Esteban Beltre 27 arb 54-0.5 0.1 -0.7
Terry Burrows 26 pre-arb 28-0.7 0.1 -0.8
Luis Ortiz 25 pre-arb 41-1.2 0.1 -1.2

Key additions (new vs 1994)

PlayerfWAR
Bob Tewksbury3.1
Mickey Tettleton2.2
Bobby Witt1.6
Roger McDowell0.9
Kevin Gross0.9
Ed Vosberg0.8

Key subtractions (gone from 1994)

Player1994 fWAR
Kevin Brown3.4
Jose Canseco2.7
Chris James1.1
Tom Henke0.6
Cris Carpenter0.5
Oddibe McDowell0.3

Current & Historical Payroll

1995 payroll
$35.0M

What the front office was committed to as of 1995, 1995–2001. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (23)

PlayerAgeSvc1995199619971998199920002001
Will Clark319.000$5.6M$5.7M$5.7M$5.8MFREE AGENT
Juan Gonzalez256.000$5.4M$7.4M$7.5M$7.8M$8.5MFREE AGENT
Kenny Rogers306.000$3.8MFREE AGENT$7.5M$7.5M
Otis Nixon3612.000$3.1MFREE AGENT
Kevin Gross3412.000$2.9M$3.3MFREE AGENT
Dean Palmer266.000$1.9M$2.0M$3.2MFREE AGENT
Bob Tewksbury349.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
Mark McLemore309.000$1.2M$1.2M$1.8M$2.3M$2.4MFREE AGENT
Mickey Tettleton3411.000$1.0M$1.5M$1.8MFREE AGENT
Dave Valle3411.000$619k$725kFREE AGENT
Jeff Russell3312.000$615k$615kFREE AGENT
Bobby Witt319.000$581k$1.4M$2.0M$1.7MFREE AGENT
Roger McDowell3410.000$575kFREE AGENT
Mike Pagliarulo3511.000$375kFREE AGENT
Dennis Cook327.000$335k$330kFREE AGENT
Craig Worthington307.000$148k$168kFREE AGENT
Ed Vosberg339.000$125k$198k$320kFREE AGENT
Danny Darwin3917.000$105kFREE AGENT
Candy Maldonado3414.000$35kFREE AGENT
Steve Buechele3310.000FREE AGENT
Billy Hatcher3411.000FREE AGENT
Sam Horn318.000FREE AGENT
John Marzano328.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (8)

PlayerAgeSvc1995199619971998199920002001
Ivan Rodriguez234.000$2.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
Roger Pavlik273.000$255kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Whiteside273.000$220kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Frye283.000$190kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Fox313.000$154kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Esteban Beltre274.000$150kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jack Voigt293.000$142kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hector Fajardo244.000ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (15)

PlayerAgeSvc1995199619971998199920002001
Rusty Greer261.000$175kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Darren Oliver242.000$165kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Benji Gil222.000$130kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Ortiz252.000$116kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Terry Burrows261.000$109kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Brandenburg240.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Alberro260.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wilson Heredia230.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Nichting290.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lou Frazier302.000$96kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Dettmer25
Shawn Hare28
Rick Helling241.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Howard29
Scott Taylor28

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Rangers 1995; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3