RRosternomics
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Giants SFG

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GM: Brian Sabean

Overview

REBUILD ↗ rising
cheap & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.99× league · TAB -7.6
-7.6TAB — talent above budget25th/30
-10.9WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)28th/30
5.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars24th/30
-3.1dead WAR — sub-replacement drag4th/30
32%dead money %18th/30
0.438win %25th/30
26.5roster fWAR22nd/30
-27surplus $M (value vs cost)20th/30
$82Mpayroll $M15th/30

Roster

CFDave Roberts 92GRajai Davis 58GRandy Winn 36G
LFBarry Bonds 110GFred Lewis 24GRandy Winn 23G
RFRandy Winn 104GNate Schierholtz 30GFred Lewis 27G
SSOmar Vizquel 143GKevin Frandsen 22GRich Aurilia 12G
2BRay Durham 124GKevin Frandsen 49GRich Aurilia 9G
3BPedro Feliz 143GRich Aurilia 22GKevin Frandsen 9G
1BRyan Klesko 100GRich Aurilia 55GDaniel Ortmeier 22G
STARTERSMatt Cain 3.8WARTim Lincecum 2.8WARBarry Zito 1.3WARKevin Correia 1.0WARRuss Ortiz 0.4WAR
CBengie Molina 129GGuillermo Rodriguez 33GEliezer Alfonzo 17G
DHBarry Bonds 6G
BULLPEN★ Brad Hennessey 19svJack Taschner 13hRandy Messenger 11hSteve Kline 9hVinnie Chulk 9hBrian Wilson 9hScott Atchison 5hJonathan Sánchez 2h
CBengie Molina 129 · Guillermo Rodriguez 33 · Eliezer Alfonzo 17
1BRyan Klesko 100 · Rich Aurilia 55 · Daniel Ortmeier 22
2BRay Durham 124 · Kevin Frandsen 49 · Rich Aurilia 9
3BPedro Feliz 143 · Rich Aurilia 22 · Kevin Frandsen 9
SSOmar Vizquel 143 · Kevin Frandsen 22 · Rich Aurilia 12
LFBarry Bonds 110 · Fred Lewis 24 · Randy Winn 23
CFDave Roberts 92 · Rajai Davis 58 · Randy Winn 36
RFRandy Winn 104 · Nate Schierholtz 30 · Fred Lewis 27
DHBarry Bonds 6
SPMatt Cain 3.8 · Tim Lincecum 2.8 · Barry Zito 1.3 · Kevin Correia 1.0 · Russ Ortiz 0.4
BP★ Brad Hennessey 19 · Jack Taschner 13 · Randy Messenger 11 · Steve Kline 9 · Vinnie Chulk 9 · Brian Wilson 9 · Scott Atchison 5 · Jonathan Sánchez 2

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2007 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Matt Cain 22 pre-arb 323.8 0.7 +7.6
Barry Bonds 42 FA-elig 1263.2 15.5 -8.7
Tim Lincecum 23 – 242.8 0.4 +5.6
Randy Winn 33 FA-elig 1552.4 4.8 +0.5
Pedro Feliz 32 FA-elig 1502.3 5.1 -0.2
Omar Vizquel 40 FA-elig 1452.0 5.1 -0.8
Matt Morris↔ PIT 32 FA-elig 212.0 6.6 -2.4
Barry Zito 29 FA-elig 341.3 10.0 -7.2
Rajai Davis↔ PIT 26 – 511.0 0.3 +1.9
Bengie Molina 32 FA-elig 1341.0 4.0 -1.9
Kevin Correia 26 arb 591.0 0.4 +1.7
Vinnie Chulk 28 arb 570.9 0.4 +1.6
Ryan Klesko 36 FA-elig 1160.8 1.8 -0.1
Fred Lewis 26 – 580.6 0.4 +0.8
Brian Wilson 25 – 240.5 0.4 +0.7
Mark Sweeney↔ LAD 37 FA-elig 760.5 0.6 +0.4
Pat Misch 25 – 180.4 – –
Tyler Walker 31 – 150.4 – –
Russ Ortiz 33 FA-elig 120.4 0.4 +0.5
Jack Taschner 29 pre-arb 630.3 0.4 +0.3
Daniel Ortmeier 26 – 620.3 – –
Guillermo Rodriguez 29 – 390.3 – –
Rich Aurilia 35 FA-elig 990.2 3.5 -3.0
Steve Kline 34 FA-elig 680.2 1.8 -1.3
Noah Lowry 26 arb 330.2 1.4 -0.9
Randy Messenger↔ MIA 25 pre-arb 370.2 0.2 +0.1
Scott Munter 27 – 120.1 – –
Jonathan Sánchez 24 pre-arb 330.1 0.4 -0.1
Nate Schierholtz 23 – 390.1 0.4 -0.1
Dave Roberts 35 FA-elig 1140.1 5.0 -4.8
Eugenio Velez 25 – 140.1 – –
Brad Hennessey 27 arb 690.1 0.4 -0.2
Luis Figueroa 33 – 60.0 – –
Erick Threets 25 – 3-0.0 – –
Eliezer Alfonzo 28 pre-arb 26-0.1 0.4 -0.5
Scott Atchison 31 – 22-0.1 – –
Travis Blackley 24 – 2-0.1 – –
Armando Benitez↔ MIA 34 FA-elig 19-0.1 3.4 -3.6
Lance Niekro 28 arb 11-0.2 0.4 -0.7
Scott McClain 35 – 8-0.2 – –
Kevin Frandsen 25 pre-arb 109-0.2 0.4 -0.8
Dan Giese 30 – 8-0.4 – –
Todd Linden↔ MIA 27 arb 30-0.7 0.1 -1.6
Ray Durham 35 FA-elig 138-1.2 7.0 -9.6

Key additions (new vs 2006)

PlayerfWAR
Tim Lincecum2.8
Barry Zito1.3
Rajai Davis1.0
Bengie Molina1.0
Ryan Klesko0.8
Russ Ortiz0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2006)

Player2006 fWAR
Jason Schmidt3.8
Moises Alou1.3
Jamey Wright1.2
Steve Finley0.9
Jeremy Accardo0.8
Todd Greene0.6

Current & Historical Payroll

2007 payroll
$81.8M

What the front office was committed to as of 2007, 2007–2013. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2007200820092010201120122013
Barry Bonds4221.000$15.5MFREE AGENT
Barry Zito297.000$10.0M$14.5M$18.5M$18.5M$18.5M$19.0M$20.0M
Ray Durham3512.000$7.0M$5.1MFREE AGENT
Matt Morris3210.000$6.6MFREE AGENT
Omar Vizquel4018.000$5.1M$5.0MFREE AGENT
Pedro Feliz327.000$5.1MFREE AGENT
Dave Roberts358.000$5.0M$6.5MFREE AGENT
Randy Winn339.000$4.8M$8.9M$9.6MFREE AGENT
Bengie Molina329.000$4.0M$6.2M$6.5M$2.3MFREE AGENT
Rich Aurilia3512.000$3.5M$4.5M$1.0MFREE AGENT
Armando Benitez3413.000$3.4MFREE AGENT
Ryan Klesko3615.000$1.8MFREE AGENT
Steve Kline3410.000$1.8MFREE AGENT
Mark Sweeney3712.000$645kFREE AGENT
Russ Ortiz339.000$380kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2007200820092010201120122013
Noah Lowry264.000$1.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Correia264.000$400kARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Hennessey273.000$400kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Vinnie Chulk284.000$396kARB 3FREE AGENT
Lance Niekro284.000$390kARB 3FREE AGENT
Todd Linden274.000$100kARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Walker315.000—FREE AGENT
Scott Atchison313.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (21)

PlayerAgeSvc2007200820092010201120122013
Matt Cain222.000$650kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jack Taschner292.000$382kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eliezer Alfonzo281.000$382kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan Sánchez241.000$381kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Frandsen251.000$380kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Fred Lewis261.000$380kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Wilson251.000$380kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nate Schierholtz230.000$380kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Lincecum230.000$380kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rajai Davis261.000$258kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Randy Messenger252.000$234kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott McClain35–—
Guillermo Rodriguez29–—
Luis Figueroa33–—
Erick Threets250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Travis Blackley240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Ortmeier262.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Munter272.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dan Giese30–—
Pat Misch251.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eugenio Velez250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Giants 2007; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.