RRosternomics

Giants SFG

GM: Brian Sabean

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↘ cooling
expensive & losing · year 2 in this regime · payroll 1.23× league · TAB -7.9
-7.9TAB — talent above budget26th/30
-8.1WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)26th/30
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars16th/30
-5.5dead WAR — sub-replacement drag22nd/30
24%dead money %10th/30
0.472win %21st/30
28.7roster fWAR24th/30
-41surplus $M (value vs cost)27th/30
$93Mpayroll $M8th/30

Roster

CFSteve Finley 130GRandy Winn 59GJason Ellison 4G
LFBarry Bonds 116GJason Ellison 44GTodd Linden 40G
RFRandy Winn 89GMoises Alou 81GJason Ellison 17G
SSOmar Vizquel 152GTomas De La Rosa 8GKevin Frandsen 3G
2BRay Durham 133GKevin Frandsen 28GTomas De La Rosa 2G
3BPedro Feliz 159GShea Hillenbrand 25GJose Vizcaino 2G
1BShea Hillenbrand 77GLance Niekro 58GMark Sweeney 53G
STARTERSJason Schmidt 3.8WARMatt Cain 3.7WARMatt Morris 2.6WARNoah Lowry 1.4WARJamey Wright 1.2WAR
CEliezer Alfonzo 84GMike Matheny 46GTodd Greene 42G
DHBarry Bonds 5GMoises Alou 1GDaniel Ortmeier 1G
BULLPEN Armando Benítez 17svSteve Kline 18hMike Stanton 15hKevin Correia 10hVinnie Chulk 6hJonathan Sánchez 5hScott Munter 5hBrian Wilson 4h
CEliezer Alfonzo 84 · Mike Matheny 46 · Todd Greene 42
1BShea Hillenbrand 77 · Lance Niekro 58 · Mark Sweeney 53
2BRay Durham 133 · Kevin Frandsen 28 · Tomas De La Rosa 2
3BPedro Feliz 159 · Shea Hillenbrand 25 · Jose Vizcaino 2
SSOmar Vizquel 152 · Tomas De La Rosa 8 · Kevin Frandsen 3
LFBarry Bonds 116 · Jason Ellison 44 · Todd Linden 40
CFSteve Finley 130 · Randy Winn 59 · Jason Ellison 4
RFRandy Winn 89 · Moises Alou 81 · Jason Ellison 17
DHBarry Bonds 5 · Moises Alou 1 · Daniel Ortmeier 1
SPJason Schmidt 3.8 · Matt Cain 3.7 · Matt Morris 2.6 · Noah Lowry 1.4 · Jamey Wright 1.2
BP Armando Benítez 17 · Steve Kline 18 · Mike Stanton 15 · Kevin Correia 10 · Vinnie Chulk 6 · Jonathan Sánchez 5 · Scott Munter 5 · Brian Wilson 4

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2006 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Jason Schmidt 33 FA-elig 323.8 10.5 -2.9
Matt Cain 21 pre-arb 323.7 0.3 +7.1
Ray Durham 34 FA-elig 1373.6 7.0 +0.2
Omar Vizquel 39 FA-elig 1533.3 3.6 +3.0
Barry Bonds 41 FA-elig 1303.2 19.3 -12.9
Matt Morris 31 FA-elig 332.6 5.5 -0.4
Randy Winn 32 FA-elig 1491.6 5.8 -2.6
Pedro Feliz 31 FA-elig 1601.5 4.0 -1.0
Noah Lowry 25 arb 291.4 0.4 +2.5
Moises Alou 39 FA-elig 981.3 5.8 -3.2
Jamey Wright 31 FA-elig 351.2 0.8 +1.6
Kevin Correia 25 481.0
Eliezer Alfonzo 27 870.9
Steve Finley 41 FA-elig 1390.9 7.0 -5.2
Todd Linden 26 610.9
Jeremy Accardo↔ TOR 24 pre-arb 380.8 0.2 +1.4
Todd Greene 35 FA-elig 610.6 0.7 +0.5
Mike Stanton↔ WSN 39 FA-elig 260.6 0.3 +0.8
Jonathan Sánchez 23 270.4
Steve Kline 33 FA-elig 720.2 3.0 -2.5
Fred Lewis 25 130.2 0.3 +0.1
Vinnie Chulk↔ TOR 27 arb 280.2 0.2 +0.1
Brian Wilson 24 310.1 0.3 -0.1
Chad Santos 25 30.1
Pat Misch 24 10.0
Brad Hennessey 26 36-0.0
Travis Ishikawa 22 12-0.1 0.3 -0.4
Mark Sweeney 36 FA-elig 114-0.1 0.8 -1.0
Tomas De La Rosa 28 16-0.1
Tyler Walker↔ TBR 30 arb 6-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Jack Taschner 28 pre-arb 24-0.1 0.3 -0.6
Billy Sadler 24 5-0.1
Kevin Frandsen 24 41-0.1
Justin Knoedler 25 5-0.2
Daniel Ortmeier 25 9-0.2
Scott Munter 26 pre-arb 27-0.2 0.3 -0.8
Jeff Fassero 43 FA-elig 10-0.3 0.8 -1.4
Jason Ellison 28 arb 84-0.3 0.3 -1.0
Armando Benitez 33 FA-elig 41-0.3 6.3 -6.9
Lance Niekro 27 arb 66-0.4 0.3 -1.1
Mike Matheny 35 FA-elig 47-0.5 3.4 -4.3
Shea Hillenbrand↔ TOR 30 arb 60-0.5 2.5 -3.4
Jose Vizcaino↔ STL 38 FA-elig 64-0.9 1.0 -2.8
Tim Worrell 38 FA-elig 23-1.0 1.8 -3.8

Key additions (new vs 2005)

PlayerfWAR
Matt Morris2.6
Jamey Wright1.2
Eliezer Alfonzo0.9
Steve Finley0.9
Todd Greene0.6
Mike Stanton0.6

Key subtractions (gone from 2005)

Player2005 fWAR
Brett Tomko2.3
Scott Eyre1.5
J.T. Snow0.7
LaTroy Hawkins0.4
Brian Cooper0.3
Deivi Cruz0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

2006 payroll
$93.3M

What the front office was committed to as of 2006, 2006–2012. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (19)

PlayerAgeSvc2006200720082009201020112012
Barry Bonds4120.000$19.3M$15.5MFREE AGENT
Jason Schmidt3311.000$10.5MFREE AGENT
Steve Finley4117.000$7.0MFREE AGENT
Ray Durham3411.000$7.0M$7.0M$5.1MFREE AGENT
Armando Benitez3312.000$6.3M$6.5MFREE AGENT
Moises Alou3916.000$5.8MFREE AGENT
Randy Winn328.000$5.8M$4.8M$8.9M$9.6MFREE AGENT
Matt Morris319.000$5.5M$6.6MFREE AGENT
Pedro Feliz316.000$4.0M$5.1MFREE AGENT
Omar Vizquel3917.000$3.6M$5.1M$5.0MFREE AGENT
Mike Matheny3512.000$3.4MFREE AGENT
Steve Kline339.000$3.0M$1.8MFREE AGENT
Tim Worrell3813.000$1.8MFREE AGENT
Jose Vizcaino3817.000$981kFREE AGENT
Mark Sweeney3611.000$850k$645kFREE AGENT
Jamey Wright3110.000$800kFREE AGENT
Jeff Fassero4315.000$750kFREE AGENT
Todd Greene3510.000$700kFREE AGENT
Mike Stanton3917.000$317kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2006200720082009201020112012
Shea Hillenbrand305.000$2.5MFREE AGENT
Noah Lowry253.000$385kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Ellison283.000$345kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lance Niekro273.000$345kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Vinnie Chulk273.000$203kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Walker304.000$89kARB 3FREE AGENT
Todd Linden263.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Correia253.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (17)

PlayerAgeSvc2006200720082009201020112012
Scott Munter261.000$334kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jack Taschner281.000$330kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Cain211.000$328kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Fred Lewis250.000$328kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Wilson240.000$327kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Travis Ishikawa220.000$327kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeremy Accardo241.000$193kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tomas De La Rosa28
Eliezer Alfonzo270.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Knoedler25
Brad Hennessey262.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Ortmeier251.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pat Misch240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Frandsen240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Billy Sadler24
Chad Santos25
Jonathan Sánchez230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Giants 2006; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3